MCJAK

CONOR MCJAK Price Today & AI Analysis

MCJAK
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 11, 2026

ERSGe4BXyeSWe2bW1VyNARes9GfS1UAyCWCYRpR6pump

$0.052192

FDV $2,191

LiveContract:ERSGe4BXyeSWe2bW1VyNARes9GfS1UAyCWCYRpR6pumpChain:SolanaHolders:107Market cap:$2,191

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Report snapshotas of Jul 11, 05:17 PM
FDV

$3,542

Liquidity

$17,920

Holders

242

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

CONOR MCJAK (MCJAK) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a mint address of ERSGe4BXyeSWe2bW1VyNARes9GfS1UAyCWCYRpR6pump. The token has experienced a catastrophic price collapse of approximately -97.3% in the past 24 hours, falling from a high of ~$0.000208 to a current price of ~$0.00000354. Total liquidity stands at only $17.92K against a fully diluted valuation of $3.55K — meaning liquidity actually exceeds the FDV, a hallmark of a near-dead token. Holder data is highly anomalous: the historical series shows only 13 holders for the entire prior 30-day period, with a sudden spike to 242 holders in the last 24 hours coinciding with the price pump-and-dump event. Supply concentration data is reported as 0% for top 10 and top 100, which is likely a data artifact. No top holder data is available. No sniper data is available. The token exhibits all classic signs of a pump-and-dump: rapid price spike, massive sell-off, near-zero residual liquidity, and a celebrity-name meme theme with no verifiable utility.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Catastrophic 97.3% price decline within 24 hours — textbook pump-and-dump pattern
Liquidity ($17.92K) exceeds fully diluted valuation ($3.55K), indicating near-total value destruction
Holder base was frozen at exactly 13 for 30 consecutive days before a sudden 24h spike to 242 — highly anomalous
Unverified contract, unknown update authority, and mutable=false metadata with no on-chain authority transparency
No top holder data, no sniper data, and zero supply concentration figures — severe data gaps

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already collapsed ~97.3% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000167 and closed at $0.00000355 — a ~98% intra-candle collapse. With only $17.92K in liquidity and sell pressure at 52%, any residual selling will push the price toward zero. There is no credible support level given the near-zero FDV.

Target low$0.000001
Target high$0.000010
Support: $0.000003 (current price floor, very weak), $0.000001 (near-zero floor)
Resistance: $0.000029 (candle [2] low), $0.000167 (candle [1] open), $0.000208 (candle [1] all-time high in data)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the complete collapse of price, near-zero liquidity, and no evidence of any utility or development activity (13 holders for 30 days prior to the pump), medium-term recovery is extremely unlikely. The token is effectively dead unless a coordinated re-pump occurs, which would itself be a manipulation event.

Catalysts
  • Coordinated re-pump by insiders (manipulation risk)
  • Viral social media attention (speculative, no evidence)
  • Any new liquidity injection (no evidence)

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume of $751.4K shows some speculative interest during the pump phase
  • Holder count grew from 13 to 242 in 24h, indicating brief retail attention
  • Liquidity ($17.92K) technically exceeds FDV ($3.55K), meaning the pool has more value than the token itself

Bearish factors

  • Price down -97.3% in 24 hours — catastrophic collapse
  • 5-minute price change: -90.66%; 1-hour: -97.50% — freefall continues
  • Sell volume ($813.97K) exceeds buy volume ($751.40K) with 52% sell pressure
  • Only $17.92K total liquidity — extreme slippage risk on any exit
  • Token was dormant at 13 holders for 30 consecutive days before the pump — no organic growth
  • No verified contract, no top holder transparency, no sniper data
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to severe data gaps: no top holder data, no sniper data, zero supply concentration figures, and only 2 OHLC candles available. The price trajectory is clear (near-total collapse), but the exact floor and any potential for manipulation-driven bounces are unpredictable.

MCJAK call history

Full track record →
Jul 11bearish
24h-36.8%
7d-47.9%
30d-49.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available. Candle [2] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000533, H=$0.000195, L=$0.0000272, C=$0.000156 — a bullish candle with a wide range, suggesting an initial pump with strong buying. Candle [1] (17:00 UTC): O=$0.000167, H=$0.000208, L=$0.00000290, C=$0.00000355 — a massive bearish engulfing/collapse candle. The open was near the prior close, briefly made a new high at $0.000208, then collapsed 98.3% to close near the candle low of $0.00000290. This is a classic 'wick and dump' or 'shooting star' pattern on an extreme scale, indicating a coordinated sell-off immediately after the peak.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 48%Sell 52%

Both available candles, when read together, form a pump-and-dump sequence: a rapid rise followed by near-total collapse. The short and medium-term trend is decisively bearish with no technical basis for reversal given current liquidity and holder data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000003 (current price, near candle [1] low of $0.00000290)
Major$0.000001 (near-zero floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000272 (candle [2] low, now overhead resistance)
Major$0.000208 (candle [1] all-time high in available data)

All meaningful support levels have been broken. The current price of ~$0.00000354 is just above the candle [1] low of $0.00000290. Any recovery attempt would face immediate resistance at the candle [2] low (~$0.0000272), which is ~7.7x the current price. The all-time high in the data ($0.000208) is ~58x the current price and represents an extremely remote resistance level.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / wick-and-dump on candle [1]: new high at $0.000208 immediately followed by near-total collapse to $0.00000355
  • Pump-and-dump two-candle sequence: strong bullish candle [2] followed by catastrophic bearish candle [1]
  • Volume collapse: 85.6% drop in volume from candle [2] to candle [1], confirming distribution phase complete
  • Price opened candle [1] near candle [2] close ($0.000167 vs $0.000156), briefly extended higher, then dumped — classic bull trap

Total holders242
24h Δ+229
7d Δ+229
30d Δ+229
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder spike from 13 to 242 (+229, +95%) occurred simultaneously with the pump-and-dump price event. This is a negative correlation: holder growth was driven by retail FOMO during the pump, and the price has since collapsed -97.3%. The holder growth does NOT reflect organic adoption — it reflects retail victims of a coordinated dump.

The historical holder series is deeply anomalous. For the entire 30-day period from 2026-06-11 to 2026-07-10, the holder count was frozen at exactly 13 with zero net change every single day. This is highly suspicious and suggests the token was dormant or controlled by a small group of insiders. On 2026-07-11, the holder count spiked to 242 (+229 in 24h, +95%) coinciding with the pump-and-dump event. The 1-hour holder change of -363 (-150%) is a data anomaly that may reflect wallet reclassification or data pipeline issues. The 'growth' in holders is not a bullish signal — it represents retail participants who bought into a pump and are now holding near-worthless tokens.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available — data source returned empty results for this token

0.00%

No top holder data is available for MCJAK. The supply concentration figures (top10=0%, top100=0%) are almost certainly data artifacts rather than genuine distribution, as a token with only 242 holders cannot have zero concentration among the top 100. The 30-day dormancy at 13 holders strongly implies extreme concentration among a small group of insiders prior to the pump. Without top holder data, it is impossible to confirm specific wallet addresses or classify holders. The distribution health is assessed as 'very_concentrated' based on the circumstantial evidence of 13 holders for 30 days and the pump-and-dump price pattern.

Liquidity$17,920
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$751,400
Sell$813,970
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,117
Unique sellers2,492

Liquidity is critically shallow at $17.92K, which is actually higher than the token's fully diluted valuation of $3.55K — an extremely unusual and bearish condition indicating near-total value destruction. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio exceeding 1.0 means the liquidity pool contains more value than the entire token supply is worth at current prices. Slippage risk is very high: any sell order of meaningful size will move the price dramatically. The 24h net flow is negative: sell volume ($813.97K) exceeded buy volume ($751.40K) with 52% sell pressure and 2,492 unique sellers vs 2,117 unique buyers. The PumpSwap pair (gdEBLCb7gKRNDtXK6uv4KmfmHFm8uies1sehcNntx2R) has effectively become a graveyard pool. Market health is critically poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,999.999044
FDV$3,541.95

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,999,999.999), a standard PumpFun launch supply. The FDV of $3,541.95 reflects near-total value destruction after the -97.3% price collapse. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'mutable: false', which provides some protection against metadata changes but does not address mint or freeze authority. No explicit mint authority renouncement or freeze authority renouncement data is available. The token is unverified (verified contract: false). The 'pump' suffix in the mint address (ERSGe4BXyeSWe2bW1VyNARes9GfS1UAyCWCYRpR6pump) confirms this is a PumpFun-launched token. Authority risk is unknown but elevated given the lack of transparency. The description 'Built Different. Born to Dominate.' is generic meme token marketing with no utility claims.

Volatility
high

Price declined -97.3% in 24 hours and -97.5% in 1 hour. The token experienced a near-total value wipeout within a single trading session. Volatility is extreme and entirely to the downside.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $17.92K is critically shallow. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio exceeds 1.0, meaning the pool is worth more than the token. Any sell order will cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity is effectively exhausted.

Concentration
high

The token was held by exactly 13 wallets for 30 consecutive days before the pump event. This extreme concentration among insiders enabled the coordinated dump. Top holder data is unavailable, preventing precise quantification, but circumstantial evidence strongly implies very high concentration.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, but the price action pattern (30 days of dormancy at 13 holders, followed by a pump-and-dump) is consistent with insider/sniper coordination. The dump has already largely occurred (-97.3%), but residual insider holdings may continue to suppress price.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown', mint and freeze authority renouncement status is unknown. The token is unverified. Mutable=false provides some metadata protection. The PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority, but this cannot be confirmed from available data.

Key risks

  • Near-total value destruction: -97.3% price decline in 24 hours
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($17.92K) with FDV below liquidity pool value ($3.55K)
  • Extreme holder concentration: 13 holders for 30 days prior to pump — strong insider coordination signal
  • No top holder data, no sniper data — severe transparency gaps
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern with retail holders now trapped at severe losses
  • Sell pressure exceeds buy pressure (52% vs 48%) with more sellers than buyers (2,492 vs 2,117)

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of post-launch metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically includes automatic mint authority burn (unconfirmed here)
  • The dump has largely already occurred, reducing marginal downside from further insider selling
  • Some residual liquidity ($17.92K) exists, allowing small exits
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The price has already collapsed -97.3% and exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump scheme. Current holders face near-total loss of capital. No new capital should be deployed into this token under any circumstances. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

MCJAK presents no credible investment thesis. The token has completed a textbook pump-and-dump cycle: 30 days of dormancy at 13 holders, a rapid price spike to $0.000208, and a near-total collapse to $0.00000354 (-97.3%) within hours. Liquidity is critically shallow, the contract is unverified, authority status is unknown, and no utility or development activity is evident. The only scenarios for price recovery involve further manipulation, which itself represents a risk rather than an opportunity.

Bull case (low)

A coordinated re-pump by insiders or a viral social media moment temporarily drives speculative buying, pushing price back toward the $0.000029–$0.000053 range (candle [2] low/open levels).

  • Viral social media attention leveraging the Conor McGregor name association
  • Coordinated insider re-pump (manipulation risk)
  • Broader meme coin market rally lifting all tokens

Base case

The token trades sideways at near-zero prices ($0.000002–$0.000005) with minimal volume as the pump-and-dump cycle completes. Occasional speculative micro-pumps occur but fail to sustain. The token gradually becomes illiquid and effectively dead.

  • No new coordinated pump activity
  • Residual liquidity remains in the pool for weeks
  • A small number of speculators continue low-volume trading
  • No new utility or development is introduced

Bear case (high)

Residual selling pressure and zero organic demand push the price to near-zero ($0.000001 or below), with liquidity eventually being withdrawn from the PumpSwap pool, rendering the token completely illiquid.

  • Continued sell pressure (52% of 24h volume)
  • No utility, no development, no community beyond pump participants
  • Liquidity withdrawal by pool providers once fees dry up
  • Retail holders capitulating at any price to recover remaining value

GeneratedJul 11, 05:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-07-11T17:00–17:30 UTC. OHLC data covers the 2 most recent hourly candles. Holder history covers 30 days of daily snapshots.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • OHLC price candle data (hourly)
  • Historical holder count series (30-day daily)
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics
  • Holder distribution metrics

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No top holder data available — whale map analysis is based on circumstantial evidence only
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals cannot be quantified
  • Supply concentration reported as 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data artifact, not genuine distribution
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown
  • Holder count anomalies (1h change of -363, -150%) suggest possible data pipeline issues
  • The token is unverified, increasing the risk of incomplete or inaccurate on-chain data
  • Historical holder series frozen at 13 for 30 days may reflect data collection gaps rather than true holder count

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of this token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total capital loss. The data analyzed here strongly suggests this token has undergone a pump-and-dump event. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Always conduct your own due diligence.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,999.999044

Key Risks

Near-total value destruction: -97.3% price decline in 24 hours
Critically shallow liquidity ($17.92K) with FDV below liquidity pool value ($3.55K)
Extreme holder concentration: 13 holders for 30 days prior to pump — strong insider coordination signal
No top holder data, no sniper data — severe transparency gaps

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the on-chain price action strongly implies that early buyers (likely insiders or coordinated wallets) executed a classic pump-and-dump: the token was held by only 13 wallets for 30 consecutive days, then a rapid price spike occurred, attracting 229+ new retail holders within 24 hours, followed by a near-total price collapse. This pattern is consistent with insiders distributing into retail buying pressure.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.

Strongly negative for late buyers. The 13 wallets that held the token for 30 days prior to the pump are the likely beneficiaries. Retail buyers who entered during the pump phase (the 229 new holders in 24h) are almost certainly at a severe loss given the -97.3% price decline.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for CONOR MCJAK (MCJAK)?

The token has already collapsed ~97.3% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000167 and closed at $0.00000355 — a ~98% intra-candle collapse. With only $17.92K in liquidity and sell pressure at 52%, any residual selling will push the price toward zero. There is no credible support level given the near-zero FDV. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000001 to $0.000010.

Is MCJAK a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The price has already collapsed -97.3% and exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump scheme. Current holders face near-total loss of capital. No new capital should be deployed into this token under any circumstances. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are MCJAK holders trending?

CONOR MCJAK currently has 242 holders and is growing (24h: 229, 7d: 229, 30d: 229). The historical holder series is deeply anomalous. For the entire 30-day period from 2026-06-11 to 2026-07-10, the holder count was frozen at exactly 13 with zero net change every single day. This is highly suspicious and suggests the token was dormant or controlled by a small group of insiders. On 2026-07-11, the holder count spiked to 242 (+229 in 24h, +95%) coinciding with the pump-and-dump event. The 1-hour holder change of -363 (-150%) is a data anomaly that may reflect wallet reclassification or data pipeline issues. The 'growth' in holders is not a bullish signal — it represents retail participants who bought into a pump and are now holding near-worthless tokens.

What does sniper activity look like for MCJAK?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding MCJAK?

Near-total value destruction: -97.3% price decline in 24 hours • Critically shallow liquidity ($17.92K) with FDV below liquidity pool value ($3.55K) • Extreme holder concentration: 13 holders for 30 days prior to pump — strong insider coordination signal

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