MCJAK

CONOR MCJAK Price Today & AI Analysis

MCJAKSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 11, 2026

Price

$0.052716

Contract

Live
ERSGe4BXyeSWe2bW1VyNARes9GfS1UAyCWCYRpR6pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

98

Market cap

$2,714

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CONOR MCJAK: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-11 17:17 UTC

Holder addresses

242

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$17,919.58
How concentrated is CONOR MCJAK ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 242 addresses (2026-07-11 17:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling CONOR MCJAK?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is CONOR MCJAK liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-11 17:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $17,919.58. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-11 17:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 11, 05:17 PM UTC

FDV

$3,542

Liquidity

$17,919.58

Holders

242

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

CONOR MCJAK (MCJAK) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a mint address of ERSGe4BXyeSWe2bW1VyNARes9GfS1UAyCWCYRpR6pump. The token has experienced a catastrophic price collapse of approximately -97.3% in the past 24 hours, falling from a high of ~$0.000208 to a current price of ~$0.00000354. Total liquidity stands at only $17.92K against a fully diluted valuation of $3.55K — meaning liquidity actually exceeds the FDV, a hallmark of a near-dead token. Holder data is highly anomalous: the historical series shows only 13 holders for the entire prior 30-day period, with a sudden spike to 242 holders in the last 24 hours coinciding with the price pump-and-dump event. Supply concentration data is reported as 0% for top 10 and top 100, which is likely a data artifact. No top holder data is available. No sniper data is available. The token exhibits all classic signs of a pump-and-dump: rapid price spike, massive sell-off, near-zero residual liquidity, and a celebrity-name meme theme with no verifiable utility.

Key points

  • Catastrophic 97.3% price decline within 24 hours — textbook pump-and-dump pattern
  • Liquidity ($17.92K) exceeds fully diluted valuation ($3.55K), indicating near-total value destruction
  • Holder base was frozen at exactly 13 for 30 consecutive days before a sudden 24h spike to 242 — highly anomalous
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, and mutable=false metadata with no on-chain authority transparency
  • No top holder data, no sniper data, and zero supply concentration figures — severe data gaps

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already collapsed ~97.3% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000167 and closed at $0.00000355 — a ~98% intra-candle collapse. With only $17.92K in liquidity and sell pressure at 52%, any residual selling will push the price toward zero. There is no credible support level given the near-zero FDV.

Target low

$0.000001

Target high

$0.000010

Support

$0.000003 (current price floor, very weak), $0.000001 (near-zero floor)

Resistance

$0.000029 (candle [2] low), $0.000167 (candle [1] open), $0.000208 (candle [1] all-time high in data)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the complete collapse of price, near-zero liquidity, and no evidence of any utility or development activity (13 holders for 30 days prior to the pump), medium-term recovery is extremely unlikely. The token is effectively dead unless a coordinated re-pump occurs, which would itself be a manipulation event.

Catalysts

  • Coordinated re-pump by insiders (manipulation risk)
  • Viral social media attention (speculative, no evidence)
  • Any new liquidity injection (no evidence)

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume of $751.4K shows some speculative interest during the pump phase
  • Holder count grew from 13 to 242 in 24h, indicating brief retail attention
  • Liquidity ($17.92K) technically exceeds FDV ($3.55K), meaning the pool has more value than the token itself

Bearish factors

  • Price down -97.3% in 24 hours — catastrophic collapse
  • 5-minute price change: -90.66%; 1-hour: -97.50% — freefall continues
  • Sell volume ($813.97K) exceeds buy volume ($751.40K) with 52% sell pressure
  • Only $17.92K total liquidity — extreme slippage risk on any exit
  • Token was dormant at 13 holders for 30 consecutive days before the pump — no organic growth
  • No verified contract, no top holder transparency, no sniper data

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to severe data gaps: no top holder data, no sniper data, zero supply concentration figures, and only 2 OHLC candles available. The price trajectory is clear (near-total collapse), but the exact floor and any potential for manipulation-driven bounces are unpredictable.

MCJAK call history

Full track record →

Jul 11bearish
24h-36.8%
7d-47.9%
30d-49.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
ERSGe4...pump
Total Supply
999,999,999.999044

Key Risks

  • Near-total value destruction: -97.3% price decline in 24 hours
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($17.92K) with FDV below liquidity pool value ($3.55K)
  • Extreme holder concentration: 13 holders for 30 days prior to pump — strong insider coordination signal
  • No top holder data, no sniper data — severe transparency gaps

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available. Candle [2] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000533, H=$0.000195, L=$0.0000272, C=$0.000156 — a bullish candle with a wide range, suggesting an initial pump with strong buying. Candle [1] (17:00 UTC): O=$0.000167, H=$0.000208, L=$0.00000290, C=$0.00000355 — a massive bearish engulfing/collapse candle. The open was near the prior close, briefly made a new high at $0.000208, then collapsed 98.3% to close near the candle low of $0.00000290. This is a classic 'wick and dump' or 'shooting star' pattern on an extreme scale, indicating a coordinated sell-off immediately after the peak.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both available candles, when read together, form a pump-and-dump sequence: a rapid rise followed by near-total collapse. The short and medium-term trend is decisively bearish with no technical basis for reversal given current liquidity and holder data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

48%

Sell

52%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000003 (current price, near candle [1] low of $0.00000290)

Major support

$0.000001 (near-zero floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000272 (candle [2] low, now overhead resistance)

Major resistance

$0.000208 (candle [1] all-time high in available data)

All meaningful support levels have been broken. The current price of ~$0.00000354 is just above the candle [1] low of $0.00000290. Any recovery attempt would face immediate resistance at the candle [2] low (~$0.0000272), which is ~7.7x the current price. The all-time high in the data ($0.000208) is ~58x the current price and represents an extremely remote resistance level.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / wick-and-dump on candle [1]: new high at $0.000208 immediately followed by near-total collapse to $0.00000355
  • Pump-and-dump two-candle sequence: strong bullish candle [2] followed by catastrophic bearish candle [1]
  • Volume collapse: 85.6% drop in volume from candle [2] to candle [1], confirming distribution phase complete
  • Price opened candle [1] near candle [2] close ($0.000167 vs $0.000156), briefly extended higher, then dumped — classic bull trap

Liquidity

Liquidity

$17,919.58

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $17.92K, which is actually higher than the token's fully diluted valuation of $3.55K — an extremely unusual and bearish condition indicating near-total value destruction. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio exceeding 1.0 means the liquidity pool contains more value than the entire token supply is worth at current prices. Slippage risk is very high: any sell order of meaningful size will move the price dramatically. The 24h net flow is negative: sell volume ($813.97K) exceeded buy volume ($751.40K) with 52% sell pressure and 2,492 unique sellers vs 2,117 unique buyers. The PumpSwap pair (gdEBLCb7gKRNDtXK6uv4KmfmHFm8uies1sehcNntx2R) has effectively become a graveyard pool. Market health is critically poor.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,999.999044

FDV

$3,541.95

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price declined -97.3% in 24 hours and -97.5% in 1 hour. The token experienced a near-total value wipeout within a single trading session. Volatility is extreme and entirely to the downside.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $17.92K is critically shallow. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio exceeds 1.0, meaning the pool is worth more than the token. Any sell order will cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity is effectively exhausted.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Near-total value destruction: -97.3% price decline in 24 hours
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($17.92K) with FDV below liquidity pool value ($3.55K)
  • Extreme holder concentration: 13 holders for 30 days prior to pump — strong insider coordination signal
  • No top holder data, no sniper data — severe transparency gaps
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern with retail holders now trapped at severe losses
  • Sell pressure exceeds buy pressure (52% vs 48%) with more sellers than buyers (2,492 vs 2,117)

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of post-launch metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically includes automatic mint authority burn (unconfirmed here)
  • The dump has largely already occurred, reducing marginal downside from further insider selling
  • Some residual liquidity ($17.92K) exists, allowing small exits

Suitable for

This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The price has already collapsed -97.3% and exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump scheme. Current holders face near-total loss of capital. No new capital should be deployed into this token under any circumstances. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

MCJAK presents no credible investment thesis. The token has completed a textbook pump-and-dump cycle: 30 days of dormancy at 13 holders, a rapid price spike to $0.000208, and a near-total collapse to $0.00000354 (-97.3%) within hours. Liquidity is critically shallow, the contract is unverified, authority status is unknown, and no utility or development activity is evident. The only scenarios for price recovery involve further manipulation, which itself represents a risk rather than an opportunity.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A coordinated re-pump by insiders or a viral social media moment temporarily drives speculative buying, pushing price back toward the $0.000029–$0.000053 range (candle [2] low/open levels).

  • Viral social media attention leveraging the Conor McGregor name association
  • Coordinated insider re-pump (manipulation risk)
  • Broader meme coin market rally lifting all tokens

Base Case

The token trades sideways at near-zero prices ($0.000002–$0.000005) with minimal volume as the pump-and-dump cycle completes. Occasional speculative micro-pumps occur but fail to sustain. The token gradually becomes illiquid and effectively dead.

  • No new coordinated pump activity
  • Residual liquidity remains in the pool for weeks
  • A small number of speculators continue low-volume trading
  • No new utility or development is introduced

Bear Case

High probability

Residual selling pressure and zero organic demand push the price to near-zero ($0.000001 or below), with liquidity eventually being withdrawn from the PumpSwap pool, rendering the token completely illiquid.

  • Continued sell pressure (52% of 24h volume)
  • No utility, no development, no community beyond pump participants
  • Liquidity withdrawal by pool providers once fees dry up
  • Retail holders capitulating at any price to recover remaining value

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 11, 05:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-11 17:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • OHLC price candle data (hourly)
  • Historical holder count series (30-day daily)
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics
  • Holder distribution metrics

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No top holder data available — whale map analysis is based on circumstantial evidence only
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals cannot be quantified
  • Supply concentration reported as 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data artifact, not genuine distribution
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown
  • Holder count anomalies (1h change of -363, -150%) suggest possible data pipeline issues
  • The token is unverified, increasing the risk of incomplete or inaccurate on-chain data
  • Historical holder series frozen at 13 for 30 days may reflect data collection gaps rather than true holder count

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of this token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total capital loss. The data analyzed here strongly suggests this token has undergone a pump-and-dump event. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Always conduct your own due diligence.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is CONOR MCJAK ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 242 addresses (2026-07-11 17:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling CONOR MCJAK?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is CONOR MCJAK liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-11 17:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $17,919.58. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for CONOR MCJAK (MCJAK)?

The token has already collapsed ~97.3% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000167 and closed at $0.00000355 — a ~98% intra-candle collapse. With only $17.92K in liquidity and sell pressure at 52%, any residual selling will push the price toward zero. There is no credible support level given the near-zero FDV. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000001 to $0.000010.

Is MCJAK a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The price has already collapsed -97.3% and exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump scheme. Current holders face near-total loss of capital. No new capital should be deployed into this token under any circumstances. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding MCJAK?

Near-total value destruction: -97.3% price decline in 24 hours • Critically shallow liquidity ($17.92K) with FDV below liquidity pool value ($3.55K) • Extreme holder concentration: 13 holders for 30 days prior to pump — strong insider coordination signal

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