aura

aura Prediction

aura
Solana
AI Analysis
May 4, 06:17 PM

DtR4D9FtVoTX2569gaL837ZgrB6wNjj6tkmnX9Rdk9B2

$0.00855530

-8.45%

FDV $8,241,166

FDV

$8,241,166

Liquidity

$1,161,842

Holders

33,326

Snipers

0

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

Aura (AURA) is a Solana-based meme/community token with a total supply of ~963.3M tokens, currently trading at $0.008555 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$8.24M. The token has a verified contract, is marked non-mutable, and trades on Raydium with $1.16M in total liquidity. Over the past 24 hours, price has declined ~8.45%, though buy pressure (60.5%) outpaces sell pressure (39.5%). The holder base of 33,326 is slowly declining over the 30-day window, suggesting mild distribution pressure. No snipers were detected in the first 1,000 blocks, which is a positive signal for fair launch integrity.

Risk: High
Sentiment: Bearish
Zero snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — strong fair-launch signal
Verified contract with immutable (non-mutable) metadata and no master edition
Relatively broad holder base of 33,326 with moderate top-10 concentration of 17.6%
$1.16M liquidity on Raydium providing reasonable depth for a sub-$10M FDV token
60.5% buy pressure over 24h despite an 8.45% price decline, suggesting accumulation at lower levels

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
24–72 hours

Price has broken below the $0.0093–$0.0095 support band established across candles 6–19 and is now trading at $0.008555. The sharp sell-off in candle [2] (17:00 UTC, low of $0.007905) created a significant wick, suggesting panic selling. A relief bounce is possible toward $0.0090–$0.0092, but the short-term trend remains bearish unless buyers reclaim $0.0093.

Target low$0.0079
Target high$0.0093
Support: $0.00855 (current close / intraday low area), $0.00790 (candle [2] wick low — key demand zone)
Resistance: $0.00902–$0.00923 (candles [3]–[6] consolidation zone), $0.00955–$0.00968 (candles [12]–[13] prior support now resistance)

Medium term

neutral
1–4 weeks

The 30-day holder trend is mildly declining (-92 net holders, -0.28%), and price has been in a gradual downtrend from the ~$0.0097 range. Recovery depends on renewed community engagement and broader Solana meme-coin sentiment. If buy pressure sustains above 55% and holders stabilize, a retest of $0.0095–$0.0097 is plausible. Without a catalyst, sideways-to-down price action is the base expectation.

Catalysts
  • Broader Solana ecosystem rally lifting meme-coin sentiment
  • Community-driven social media campaigns leveraging existing Reddit/Telegram/Twitter presence
  • Holder base stabilization and renewed accumulation by dolphins/sharks
  • Potential CEX listing or partnership announcement

Bullish factors

  • 60.5% buy pressure over 24h ($30.61K buys vs $19.99K sells)
  • Zero snipers detected — no early whale dump overhang from launch
  • Verified, immutable contract reduces rug-pull risk
  • Broad holder base (33,326) with moderate concentration (top 10 = 17.6%)
  • Deep wick in candle [2] at $0.007905 may represent a capitulation low

Bearish factors

  • Price down 8.45% in 24h with a clear short-term downtrend
  • 30-day holder count declining (-92 net, -0.28%)
  • Very low hourly volumes on most candles (many under $500) indicating thin participation
  • Update authority not renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM)
  • Meme-coin with no clear utility — sentiment-driven price action
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the meme-coin nature of the asset, thin hourly volume (many candles under $200), and the absence of fundamental catalysts. Price action is driven largely by sentiment and liquidity conditions rather than on-chain fundamentals.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

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Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply963,281,403.67

Key Risks

Active update authority not renounced — potential for future contract changes
Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm full rug-pull protection
Largest holder controls 7.00% of supply — potential dump risk if team/insider wallet
30-day declining holder trend (-92 net) with accelerating weekly attrition (-59 in 7d)

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

high confidence
Low risk

Zero snipers were detected in the first 1,000 blocks of this token's launch. This is a strongly positive signal indicating no early bots or insiders front-ran the launch to accumulate discounted supply. There is no sniper-related dump overhang to worry about. Smart money signals are therefore assessed based on the broader holder distribution and trading analytics rather than sniper data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

0% — No snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks

Positive — the absence of snipers suggests the token launched fairly, and early buyers acquired tokens at market prices without being front-run. The 33,326-holder base built organically through swaps (27,538), transfers (5,432), and airdrops (356).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for aura (aura)?

Price has broken below the $0.0093–$0.0095 support band established across candles 6–19 and is now trading at $0.008555. The sharp sell-off in candle [2] (17:00 UTC, low of $0.007905) created a significant wick, suggesting panic selling. A relief bounce is possible toward $0.0090–$0.0092, but the short-term trend remains bearish unless buyers reclaim $0.0093. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0079 to $0.0093.

Is aura a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated high with a risk score of 7.2/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with a speculative allocation. This token exhibits characteristics of a community/meme token with no fundamental utility. Position sizing should be small relative to portfolio, and investors should be prepared for total loss. Not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors.

How are aura holders trending?

aura currently has 33,326 holders and is declining (24h: 14, 7d: -59, 30d: -92). The historical holder data shows a broadly flat-to-declining trend over 30 days. Daily changes are small in absolute terms (ranging from -32 to +17), but the net direction is negative. The 7-day decline of -59 holders represents 64% of the entire 30-day decline of -92, indicating acceleration in the most recent week. The 24-hour figure of +14 is a minor positive blip, likely noise. Holder distribution shows 181 whales, 178 sharks, 1,485 dolphins, 2,176 fish, and 2,483 octopus-tier holders, suggesting a reasonably broad base. The primary acquisition method is swaps (27,538), indicating organic market participation rather than airdrop farming.

What does sniper activity look like for aura?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding aura?

Active update authority not renounced — potential for future contract changes • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm full rug-pull protection • Largest holder controls 7.00% of supply — potential dump risk if team/insider wallet

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