CHANGE

長押しで変化 Price Today & AI Analysis

CHANGE
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 24, 2026

D9cCcaA7ByHST1zj4KMLCXM4iZJgKfvYhsbYCvBfpump

$0.053908

-4.71%

FDV $3,654

LiveContract:D9cCcaA7ByHST1zj4KMLCXM4iZJgKfvYhsbYCvBfpumpChain:SolanaHolders:489Market cap:$3,654

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Ask Unhosted AI about CHANGE

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 24, 09:17 AM
FDV

$89,815

Liquidity

$38,285

Holders

606

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

CHANGE (長押しで変化) is a newly launched Solana meme/pump token on PumpSwap with mint D9cCcaA7ByHST1zj4KMLCXM4iZJgKfvYhsbYCvBfpump. The token has an extremely short trading history — it sat dormant with only 2 holders for roughly 30 days before exploding to 606 holders within the last 24 hours. The 24h price gain of ~214% is accompanied by heavily skewed sell pressure (70.8% sell volume), shallow liquidity ($38.28K), and a fully diluted valuation of ~$84–90K. Top holder data is unavailable, supply concentration metrics report 0%, and no sniper data exists. The token is unverified, has no description, and its update authority is unknown — all significant red flags for a very-high-risk speculative asset.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h holder growth from 2 to 606 (+100%) suggesting a viral pump event
214% 24h price surge on PumpSwap with very shallow $38.28K liquidity
Dormant for ~30 days with only 2 holders before sudden activation
Heavily sell-dominated volume (70.8% sell pressure) despite price spike
No top holder data, no sniper data, unknown update authority — extreme opacity

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token just posted a 214% 24h gain but is already showing severe distribution signals: 70.8% sell pressure, 2,938 sells vs 1,812 buys, and a -25.9% drop in the last 5 minutes. The most recent candle (Candle 1, 09:00 UTC) shows a bearish structure with Open ~$0.0000308, a wick to $0.0000898 (the current price high), and a Close of $0.0000241 — a classic shooting-star/wick rejection. With only $38.28K in liquidity, any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. Short-term price action is likely to continue lower toward the $0.000017–$0.000024 support zone.

Target low$0.000017
Target high$0.000045
Support: $0.000024 (Candle 1 close / Candle 2 open), $0.000020 (Candle 2 low), $0.000017 (Candle 3 low)
Resistance: $0.000031 (Candle 1 open / Candle 2 high / Candle 3 open), $0.000037 (Candle 3 high), $0.000090 (current price / Candle 1 high wick)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, meaningful utility, or verified fundamentals, the token is likely to retrace the majority of its pump gains. The dormancy pattern (2 holders for 30 days) followed by a sudden spike is a classic pump-and-dump setup. Sell pressure dominance and shallow liquidity make a sustained rally unlikely unless a new catalyst emerges.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media virality or influencer promotion
  • Listing on a higher-liquidity venue
  • Unexpected community development or utility announcement
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 214% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Rapid holder growth from 2 to 606 in 24h shows viral interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of manipulation

Bearish factors

  • 70.8% sell pressure (sell volume $184.25K vs buy volume $76.05K)
  • Shooting-star candle pattern at the top with -25.9% drop in last 5 minutes
  • Extremely shallow liquidity of $38.28K — high slippage risk
  • No top holder data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unknown update authority — potential rug vector
  • Token dormant for ~30 days with only 2 holders before pump — classic pre-pump setup
  • No description, unverified contract, no on-chain utility signals
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) no top holder or sniper data to assess distribution risk; (3) unknown update authority introduces unquantifiable rug risk; (4) the token's extreme youth (effectively <24h of real trading) makes any price target highly speculative.

CHANGE call history

Full track record →
Jul 24bearish
24h+113.8%
7d-95.7%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (07:00–09:00 UTC, 2026-07-24). Candle 3 (07:00): O=$0.0000308, H=$0.0000373, L=$0.0000173, C=$0.0000234 — a bearish candle with a wide range and lower close, indicating selling pressure. Candle 2 (08:00): O=$0.0000241, H=$0.0000308, L=$0.0000201, C=$0.0000308 — a bullish recovery candle closing at its high. Candle 3 (09:00): O=$0.0000308, H=$0.0000898, L=$0.0000241, C=$0.0000241 — a dramatic shooting-star/gravestone doji: price spiked to $0.0000898 (the current reported price) but closed back at $0.0000241, a classic bearish reversal signal at the top of a pump. Volume was highest in Candle 2 ($142K) during the recovery, with Candle 1 at $43K and Candle 3 at $11.6K, suggesting volume is declining.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 29%Sell 71%

Short-term trend is turning bearish following the shooting-star rejection at $0.0000898. The medium-term trend is effectively sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of history and 30 days of dormancy prior. The -25.9% 5-minute drop confirms immediate downward momentum.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000024 (Candle 1 close / Candle 2 open)
Major$0.000017 (Candle 3 low — lowest recorded price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000031 (Candle 1 open / Candle 2 high)
Major$0.000037 (Candle 3 high)

The $0.000024 level has acted as both support and resistance across multiple candles, making it the key pivot. The $0.000017 low represents the floor of the observed trading range. The $0.000090 wick high is an extreme outlier and unlikely to be retested without significant new buying. Resistance at $0.000031 and $0.000037 are the next meaningful levels above current price.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting-star / gravestone doji on Candle 1 (09:00 UTC) — bearish reversal signal at pump high
  • Bearish wick rejection: price spiked to $0.0000898 but closed at $0.0000241 (73% wick-to-close retracement)
  • Decreasing volume on price spike — bearish divergence
  • Candle 2 (08:00) was a bullish engulfing of Candle 3's body, but immediately followed by the shooting-star rejection
  • No higher highs established on closes — only wick-based spike

Total holders606
24h Δ+604
7d Δ+604
30d Δ+604
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is perfectly correlated with the price spike — both occurred within the same 24-hour window. The token had exactly 2 holders for the entire 30-day historical period (June 24 – July 22, 2026), then jumped to 25 holders on July 23 (+23, +92%) and exploded to 606 holders on July 24 (+581 intraday, +100% of the 24h reported delta). This near-instantaneous holder accumulation mirrors the 214% price pump and is consistent with a viral pump event rather than organic growth.

The holder history is stark: 2 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero net change, then a sudden +92% jump to 25 on July 23, followed by a +100% 24h growth to 606. All 604 of the 24h new holders acquired via swap (604 swap, 2 transfer). Growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is entirely pump-driven. The distribution metrics report 0% concentration for all tiers (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus) and top10/top100 supply concentration both show 0% — this is likely a data availability issue rather than genuinely even distribution, as top holder data is explicitly unavailable. Treat these concentration figures as unreliable.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is explicitly unavailable for this token ('No top holders available'). The reported supply concentration of 0% for both top 10 and top 100 is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. Given the token's history — 2 holders for 30 days, then a rapid pump — it is highly probable that the original 2 holders control a significant portion of supply. Without on-chain holder data, concentration risk cannot be properly assessed and should be assumed HIGH by default. The distribution is classified as 'concentrated' as a conservative risk assumption. Sentiment is 'mixed' given the simultaneous price spike (bullish signal) and dominant sell pressure (bearish signal).

Liquidity$38,280
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$76,050
Sell$184,250
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers557
Unique sellers1,093

Liquidity is critically shallow at $38.28K on PumpSwap (pair CGbnFL4NsQnVc5bPE92tMr2ZSyutAfKPecGFVUkqFsrQ). The FDV of ~$84–90K is only ~2.2x the liquidity pool, meaning large trades will cause extreme price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $184.25K in sell volume vs $76.05K in buy volume — a net outflow of ~$108.2K. Unique sellers (1,093) outnumber unique buyers (557) by nearly 2:1. Total 24h transactions: 4,750 (2,938 sells, 1,812 buys). The 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in the analytics (likely a data artifact given the 214% 24h figure from the price endpoint), but the 5-minute -25.9% drop confirms active selling pressure. Market health is poor: shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and high slippage risk make this a dangerous trading environment.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,472.69
FDV$84,140–$89,815 (range from analytics vs price endpoint)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,999,472.69). The FDV ranges from $84.14K (analytics) to $89.81K (price endpoint), consistent with a micro-cap pump token. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' — this is a significant red flag as it means the ability to modify token metadata cannot be confirmed as renounced. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The token is unverified, has no description, and carries a 'pump' suffix in its mint address (D9cCcaA7ByHST1zj4KMLCXM4iZJgKfvYhsbYCvBfpump), consistent with a PumpFun-launched token. PumpFun tokens typically have mint authority burned at launch, but this cannot be confirmed from the available data. Rug risk from authorities is classified as 'unknown' — investors should verify on-chain before trading.

Volatility
high

214% 24h price gain followed by a -25.9% 5-minute drop. Shooting-star candle at the top. Extreme price volatility with only $38.28K liquidity amplifies every trade's price impact.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $38.28K is critically shallow. The FDV-to-liquidity ratio of ~2.2x means even modest sell orders will cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity is extremely limited.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable. The token had only 2 holders for 30 days before the pump — those original holders likely control a large portion of supply. Reported 0% concentration figures are a data gap, not genuine distribution.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the 2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio (1,093 sellers vs 557 buyers) and $108K net sell outflow strongly suggest early holders are dumping into retail buyers. Profit-taking risk is high.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint or freeze authority has been renounced. This leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation or account freezing. Unverified contract adds further uncertainty.

Key risks

  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug or supply manipulation vector
  • Only 2 holders for 30 days before pump — classic pre-coordinated pump setup
  • 70.8% sell pressure with $108K net outflow — active distribution into retail
  • Critically shallow $38.28K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • No top holder data — concentration risk unquantifiable but likely very high
  • Shooting-star candle rejection at $0.0000898 — technical breakdown in progress
  • No description, no verified contract, no utility signals
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$84–90K) with high manipulation potential

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpSwap listing provides some on-chain transparency
  • Rapid holder growth to 606 shows genuine market interest (though pump-driven)
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggesting some creator presence
  • No spam flag from data provider
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand pump-and-dump dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of rapid entry/exit in low-liquidity environments. Absolutely NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap token risks.

CHANGE is a newly launched, unverified Solana meme token that experienced a viral pump event within its first 24 hours of real trading activity after 30 days of dormancy. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — there is no utility, no verified team, no description, and no fundamental value proposition. The token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a coordinated pump-and-dump: pre-pump dormancy with minimal holders, explosive price action, dominant sell pressure, and shallow exit liquidity. Any investment thesis must be framed purely as a short-term momentum trade with very high probability of total loss.

Bull case (low)

Continued viral momentum drives a second wave of buying, pushing price back toward or beyond the $0.0000898 wick high. Social media amplification (Twitter/website presence noted) attracts new retail buyers, temporarily overwhelming sell pressure. FDV remains low enough (~$84–90K) that even modest capital inflows could produce outsized percentage gains.

  • Viral social media catalyst (Twitter/influencer promotion)
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • New exchange listing or aggregator feature increasing visibility
  • Community formation around the Japanese-language branding creating a niche following

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.000017–$0.000031 range as the initial pump fades. Some holders remain speculating on a second pump, but volume and interest gradually decline. Token drifts lower over days/weeks as no new catalysts emerge, eventually losing 60–80% of peak value.

  • Sell pressure moderates but does not reverse — no new major catalyst
  • Liquidity remains shallow, preventing large price moves in either direction
  • Original holders have partially but not fully exited
  • No rug pull event — token continues trading on PumpSwap

Bear case (high)

Original holders (who held for 30 days) continue distributing into the pump. Sell pressure overwhelms the shallow $38.28K liquidity pool, causing a rapid price collapse back toward or below the $0.000017 low. New holders who bought near the top face 80–95% losses. Token returns to near-zero activity.

  • Dominant 70.8% sell pressure continues as early holders exit
  • Shallow liquidity accelerates price decline on any sell pressure
  • No fundamental value to attract long-term holders
  • Unknown authority risk materializes (rug pull)
  • Broader market risk-off sentiment reducing meme-coin appetite

GeneratedJul 24, 09:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 09:00 UTC on 2026-07-24. Historical holder data covers June 24 – July 23, 2026 (30 days daily). Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — severely limited for technical analysis.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price data (3 candles)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Trading volume and buyer/seller analytics
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or indicator calculation
  • Top holder data is completely unavailable — whale/concentration analysis is based on inference only
  • Sniper data is unavailable — smart money signals are inferred from volume analytics only
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed as renounced
  • Supply concentration metrics report 0% for all tiers, which is likely a data gap rather than genuine distribution
  • 6h and 24h price change fields show 0% in analytics (possible data artifact) — relied on price endpoint for 24h change
  • Token is <24h old in terms of real trading activity — all analysis is based on extremely limited history
  • No description or whitepaper — fundamental analysis is impossible

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or gaps. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,472.69

Key Risks

•Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug or supply manipulation vector
•Only 2 holders for 30 days before pump — classic pre-coordinated pump setup
•70.8% sell pressure with $108K net outflow — active distribution into retail
•Critically shallow $38.28K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. However, the trading analytics paint a concerning picture: 70.8% of 24h volume is sell-side ($184.25K sells vs $76.05K buys), with 1,093 unique sellers vs 557 unique buyers. This 2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio strongly suggests early holders and/or insiders are distributing into the pump. The token's dormancy pattern (2 holders for ~30 days) followed by a sudden viral spike is a hallmark of coordinated pump activity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results.

Cannot be determined from sniper data (unavailable). However, the 2 original holders who held the token for ~30 days of dormancy are likely in significant profit given the 214% 24h price surge. Their sell behavior is unquantifiable but the dominant sell pressure suggests distribution is occurring.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for 長押しで変化 (CHANGE)?

The token just posted a 214% 24h gain but is already showing severe distribution signals: 70.8% sell pressure, 2,938 sells vs 1,812 buys, and a -25.9% drop in the last 5 minutes. The most recent candle (Candle 1, 09:00 UTC) shows a bearish structure with Open ~$0.0000308, a wick to $0.0000898 (the current price high), and a Close of $0.0000241 — a classic shooting-star/wick rejection. With only $38.28K in liquidity, any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. Short-term price action is likely to continue lower toward the $0.000017–$0.000024 support zone. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000017 to $0.000045.

Is CHANGE a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand pump-and-dump dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of rapid entry/exit in low-liquidity environments. Absolutely NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap token risks.

How are CHANGE holders trending?

長押しで変化 currently has 606 holders and is growing (24h: 604, 7d: 604, 30d: 604). The holder history is stark: 2 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero net change, then a sudden +92% jump to 25 on July 23, followed by a +100% 24h growth to 606. All 604 of the 24h new holders acquired via swap (604 swap, 2 transfer). Growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is entirely pump-driven. The distribution metrics report 0% concentration for all tiers (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus) and top10/top100 supply concentration both show 0% — this is likely a data availability issue rather than genuinely even distribution, as top holder data is explicitly unavailable. Treat these concentration figures as unreliable.

What does sniper activity look like for CHANGE?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding CHANGE?

Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug or supply manipulation vector • Only 2 holders for 30 days before pump — classic pre-coordinated pump setup • 70.8% sell pressure with $108K net outflow — active distribution into retail

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