CMDT

commodities Price Today & AI Analysis

CMDT
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 15, 2026

CuaQE1HxjcMotLWnVJeFHHanDFEkbpkHDwrT4YRDpump

$0.000231

+476.44%

FDV $228,111

LiveContract:CuaQE1HxjcMotLWnVJeFHHanDFEkbpkHDwrT4YRDpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,523Market cap:$228,111

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Ask Unhosted AI about CMDT

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Sep 15, 09:19 PM
FDV

$228,111

Liquidity

$21,358

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

CMDT ('commodities') is a micro-cap Solana token trading on PumpSwap with a $228.11K fully diluted valuation and just $21.36K in total liquidity. It has experienced an extreme +476% price move in the last 24 hours, with hourly candles showing 100x+ intra-candle volatility (e.g., a range from $0.00000286 to $0.000296 in a single hour). No holder, whale, or sniper data is available, and key tokenomics fields (mint/freeze authority) are unknown, leaving major due-diligence gaps.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.36K) relative to $1.4M+ combined 24h volume and $228.11K FDV
Parabolic +476% 24h price move with violent intra-hour wicks (100x+ range in one candle)
Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper data — an unusually large transparency gap
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status, preventing confirmation of rug-pull safeguards
Roughly balanced 24h buy (50.7%) vs sell (49.3%) volume with more unique buyers (4,259) than sellers (3,446)

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
24-48 hours

Given the extreme volatility (100x+ intra-hour candle ranges) and a slightly negative 5m change (-1.5%) following a massive +476% 24h spike, short-term direction is highly uncertain. The market could either continue upward momentum or reverse sharply given the razor-thin $21.36K liquidity.

Target low$0.0001186
Target high$0.000448
Support: $0.0001186, $0.00000286
Resistance: $0.000296, $0.000448

Medium term

neutral
1-2 weeks

Medium-term direction cannot be reliably forecast from only two hourly candles. Sustainability will depend heavily on whether liquidity deepens, whether authorities are confirmed renounced, and whether holder distribution (currently unknown) turns out to be healthy. Absent new information, high volatility with no clear trend is the most likely continuation.

Catalysts
  • Liquidity pool growth or reduction
  • Any public confirmation of mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Social media/community momentum via existing Twitter and website presence
  • Potential large holder sells given unknown concentration risk

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($710.72K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($690.48K)
  • More unique buyers (4,259) than sellers (3,446) in 24h
  • Sequential higher candle closes over the observed window
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website)

Bearish factors

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($21.36K) relative to volume and FDV, high slippage risk
  • Long upper wicks on both candles indicating repeated rejection at highs
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves rug/dilution risk open
  • No holder or whale concentration data to rule out concentrated dump risk
  • Most recent 5m price change is negative (-1.5%), hinting at momentum stalling after a massive spike
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because only two OHLC candles are available (insufficient for robust technical analysis), holder and whale data are completely absent, sniper data is unavailable, and key tokenomics fields (mint/freeze authority) are unknown. The extreme volatility already observed also makes any forecast inherently unreliable.

CMDT call history

Full track record →
Sep 15neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles were provided. Candle 1 (20:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000286, spiked to a high of $0.000296, then collapsed to a low of $0.00000286 before closing at $0.000143 — an enormous range consistent with a fresh launch or extreme pump-and-dump-style price discovery, on volume of $813K. Candle 2 (21:00 UTC) opened at $0.000143 (matching prior close), pushed up to a high of $0.000448, pulled back to a low of $0.0001186, and closed at $0.000231, roughly 61% above its open, on volume of $679K. The pattern shows two consecutive candles with huge wicks in both directions — classic high-volatility price discovery with aggressive buying met by equally aggressive profit-taking.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Both available candles closed higher than they opened relative to the broader 24h move (+476%), and candle 2's close ($0.000231) sits above candle 1's close ($0.000143), suggesting short-term upward momentum despite violent intra-candle swings. With only 2 candles of data, medium-term trend cannot be reliably established beyond noting the overall 24h gain.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0001186 (candle 2 low)
Major$0.00000286 (candle 1 low / open)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000448 (candle 2 high)
Major$0.000296 (candle 1 high, since breached)

With only two candles of data, support/resistance levels are provisional. The candle 2 low of $0.0001186 is the nearest support; a break below risks a retest of the $0.00000286 candle 1 low, which would represent a near-total collapse. On the upside, the candle 2 high of $0.000448 is immediate resistance; the current price of $0.000231 sits roughly in the middle of the most recent candle's range, indicating indecision.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper and lower wicks on both candles (high-low ranges spanning 10x-100x the open/close) indicative of extreme volatility and price discovery
  • Sequential higher closes (candle 1 close $0.000143 → candle 2 close $0.000231) suggesting short-term bullish follow-through despite large wicks
  • Sharp reversal within candle 1 from a spike high of $0.000296 down to the candle's own low of $0.00000286, indicating a violent shakeout or rug-and-recovery pattern

Liquidity$21.36K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$710.72K
Sell$690.48K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers4,259
Unique sellers3,446

Total liquidity of just $21.36K is extremely shallow relative to the $228.11K FDV and the enormous $710.72K/$690.48K in 24h buy/sell volume — implying the liquidity pool is being turned over roughly 65x in a single day. This is a strong red flag for slippage: even modest trade sizes will move price dramatically, as evidenced by the wild intra-hour candle swings. Buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume (50.7% vs 49.3%), and unique buyers (4,259) outnumber unique sellers (3,446), suggesting modest net inflow and more distinct participants buying than selling, but with buys (11,179) actually fewer than sells (11,500) in transaction count, the picture is mixed — many small buyers vs fewer but more numerous individual sell transactions. Given the thin liquidity, any large holder exiting could crater the price.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply989,144,563.23
FDV$228.11K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Metadata fields for update authority, mutability, verified contract status, and master edition are all listed as 'unknown' in the provided data, so mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. This is a meaningful gap — without confirmation that authorities are renounced, there remains a possibility the deployer could mint additional supply or freeze accounts. The token trades on PumpSwap, consistent with a pump.fun-style launch (mint suffix 'pump'), which typically renounces mint authority by default at migration, but this cannot be verified from the data provided. Total supply is ~989.14M tokens against a $228.11K fully diluted valuation, implying a very low per-token price ($0.00023), typical of a freshly launched meme/micro-cap token.

Volatility
high

Price moved +476% over 24h with a single hourly candle ranging from a low of $0.00000286 to a high of $0.000296 (a >100x intra-candle swing), then falling back before recovering. This is extreme, casino-like volatility typical of an early-stage pump.fun/PumpSwap launch.

Liquidity
high

Only $21.36K total liquidity against $228.11K FDV and over $1.4M combined daily volume. The pool is razor-thin relative to trading activity, creating high slippage and the risk that liquidity could be pulled or exhausted quickly.

Concentration
high

No holder or whale distribution data is available to confirm concentration, but given the token's brand-new appearance (extreme volatility, tiny liquidity, unknown authorities), it should be assumed concentration risk is elevated until proven otherwise via on-chain explorer.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data was returned by the data provider, so sniper concentration and PnL state cannot be assessed. Given the token's fresh, highly volatile profile consistent with new PumpSwap listings, sniper/early-buyer dumping remains a plausible but unconfirmed risk.

Authority
medium

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown from the provided metadata. This is a data gap rather than a confirmed negative, but it prevents ruling out mint/freeze risk entirely.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.36K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull vectors are closed
  • No holder or whale concentration data available to assess distribution risk
  • Extreme price volatility (+476% in 24h with 100x+ intra-hour swings) indicative of a highly speculative, likely very new token
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dump risk
  • Description field is 'none' and verification status is unknown, suggesting minimal due-diligence trail

Mitigating factors

  • Buy volume (50.7%) modestly exceeds sell volume (49.3%) over 24h, and unique buyers (4,259) exceed unique sellers (3,446), suggesting some net demand
  • Token trades on PumpSwap with a 'pump' mint suffix, a platform where mint authority is typically auto-renounced at migration (unconfirmed here)
  • Active trading with thousands of buy/sell transactions indicates genuine market interest rather than a dead or abandoned token
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders who understand they may lose their entire position rapidly. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, retirement funds, or anyone unable to tolerate 100%+ intra-hour drawdowns and thin-liquidity slippage. Independent verification of contract authorities and holder distribution via a Solana explorer is strongly recommended before any position is taken.

CMDT (commodities) is an extremely new, extremely volatile PumpSwap-listed micro-cap token with a tiny $228.11K FDV and only $21.36K in liquidity. The available data — two hourly candles showing +476% 24h price action with 100x+ intra-candle swings, and no holder, whale, or sniper data — paints the picture of a speculative, high-risk, low-liquidity trade rather than an investable asset with established fundamentals. Any position should be sized as a small, high-risk speculative bet only.

Bull case (low)

Continued speculative momentum and buyer interest (4,259 unique buyers vs 3,446 sellers in 24h) push price higher as the token gains attention, potentially aided by its 'commodities' branding and existing Twitter/website presence.

  • Net positive unique buyer count over sellers in the last 24h
  • Sequential higher candle closes suggesting short-term bullish momentum
  • Existing social presence (Twitter, website) could support community-driven demand
  • Nearly balanced buy/sell volume (50.7%/49.3%) shows no overwhelming sell-side dominance yet

Base case

Price continues to oscillate wildly within a wide range (roughly $0.0001-$0.0005) as buyers and sellers remain roughly balanced, with no clear sustained trend forming until liquidity deepens or a major catalyst emerges.

  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying volatility in both directions
  • Buy/sell volume stays roughly balanced near 50/50 as seen in the 24h data
  • No new holder or sniper data becomes available to change the risk picture near-term

Bear case (high)

The parabolic +476% move exhausts itself, thin liquidity gets drained by large sells, and price collapses back toward or below its candle 1 low of $0.00000286, wiping out late buyers.

  • Extremely shallow $21.36K liquidity vs $1.4M+ daily volume creates high slippage and easy price manipulation
  • Long upper wicks on both candles show repeated rejection at highs, a classic exhaustion signal
  • No confirmation of renounced mint/freeze authorities leaves open the possibility of supply dilution or account freezes
  • Total absence of holder/whale/sniper data prevents confirming distribution health, raising the risk of hidden concentration and dump risk
  • 5m price change already negative (-1.5%), hinting momentum may be stalling

GeneratedSep 15, 09:19 PM
Data freshnessPrice and candle data current as of 2026-09-15T21:00:00Z; only the most recent 2 hourly candles were provided, limiting historical technical depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, FDV)
  • Price feed (USD price, % change intervals)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 most recent candles, PumpSwap pair ETUdFmuJU6wk9WmoppGuQnKbhLFkWLSmAPLNVEpdJ2x2)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, transaction counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder count, growth, or distribution data available (upstream holder endpoints retired)
  • No whale/top-holder concentration data available
  • No sniper wallet data available for early-buyer/dump analysis
  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles provided, insufficient for robust trend/pattern analysis
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, verification, and mutability status all listed as unknown in source metadata
  • 6h price change data unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited, incomplete on-chain and market data and is for informational purposes only. It does NOT constitute financial advice. Significant data gaps exist (holder data, whale data, sniper data, and authority confirmation are all unavailable), and the token exhibits extreme volatility and very shallow liquidity consistent with a high-risk, early-stage speculative asset. Any investment decision should involve independent research and verification via on-chain explorers, and should account for the possibility of total loss of capital.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply989,144,563.23

Key Risks

•Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.36K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
•Unverified mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull vectors are closed
•No holder or whale concentration data available to assess distribution risk
•Extreme price volatility (+476% in 24h with 100x+ intra-hour swings) indicative of a highly speculative, likely very new token

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper wallet data was available for this token, so sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be assessed. This is a data gap, not a confirmed absence of snipers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unknown — cannot be determined without sniper/early-buyer wallet data. General 24h transaction data shows more unique buyers (4,259) than sellers (3,446), which may hint at broader positive sentiment, but this is not a substitute for sniper-specific analysis.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for commodities (CMDT)?

Given the extreme volatility (100x+ intra-hour candle ranges) and a slightly negative 5m change (-1.5%) following a massive +476% 24h spike, short-term direction is highly uncertain. The market could either continue upward momentum or reverse sharply given the razor-thin $21.36K liquidity. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.0001186 to $0.000448.

Is CMDT a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders who understand they may lose their entire position rapidly. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, retirement funds, or anyone unable to tolerate 100%+ intra-hour drawdowns and thin-liquidity slippage. Independent verification of contract authorities and holder distribution via a Solana explorer is strongly recommended before any position is taken.

What does sniper activity look like for CMDT?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding CMDT?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.36K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential • Unverified mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull vectors are closed • No holder or whale concentration data available to assess distribution risk

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