TOEROGAN

Toe Rogan Price Today & AI Analysis

TOEROGAN
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 15, 2026

FbYYdLRX2sL5xzLGjdhfaWNhtpxqXBSoqvUY8o8W8eNF

$0.001642

+3879.33%

FDV $1,642,489

LiveContract:FbYYdLRX2sL5xzLGjdhfaWNhtpxqXBSoqvUY8o8W8eNFChain:SolanaHolders:1,545Market cap:$1,642,489

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Ask Unhosted AI about TOEROGAN

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Sep 15, 12:16 AM
FDV

$1,642,489

Liquidity

$56,970

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Toe Rogan (TOEROGAN) is a Solana meme token trading on a Raydium CPMM pool with extremely low liquidity ($56.97K) against a $1.64M fully diluted valuation. The token has exhibited explosive, parabolic price action over the last 24 hours (+3879%), moving from ~$0.0000033 to ~$0.00164, consistent with a fresh meme-coin launch experiencing a speculative pump. No holder or sniper distribution data is available, which severely limits confidence in any distribution-based risk assessment.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bullish
24h price move of +3879% on thin ($56.97K) liquidity signals extreme volatility and possible early-stage pump
Buy/sell volume is roughly balanced (52.3% buy vs 47.7% sell) despite the huge price spike, suggesting broad participation rather than a single-wallet pump
No holder, whale, or sniper data available — a major transparency gap for a token of this FDV
Update authority, mint/freeze authority status, and contract verification are all unknown, adding uncertainty to rug risk

AI Price Analysis

bullish

Short term

bullish
1-24 hours

Momentum remains strong with the most recent hourly candle closing near its high ($0.00155 close vs $0.00177 high) after a sharp acceleration in the final hours of the dataset. However, the 5m change is already slightly negative (-0.99%), and 1h change of +152% suggests the move may be losing steam or entering a consolidation/pullback phase after the parabolic run. Given the extremely shallow $56.97K liquidity pool, price can swing violently in either direction on relatively small trade sizes.

Target low$0.0011
Target high$0.0022
Support: $0.00115 (candle 24 open/low zone), $0.00046 (candle 21 open, prior consolidation)
Resistance: $0.00177 (candle 24 high), $0.00144 (candle 23 high, prior breakout level)

Medium term

neutral
3-14 days

Sustainability of the pump depends heavily on continued buyer inflow and liquidity growth. With only $56.97K in pool liquidity against a $1.64M FDV, the token is highly susceptible to a sharp reversal if buy pressure fades or early holders take profit. Meme tokens with this pattern typically either continue a multi-day run on hype/social virality or collapse back toward pre-pump levels within days.

Catalysts
  • Continued social media/Twitter momentum around the 'Toe Rogan' branding
  • Potential liquidity additions or CEX/DEX aggregator listings increasing depth
  • Broader meme-coin market sentiment on Solana
  • Risk of large early holders or snipers (unknown cohort) exiting into strength

Bullish factors

  • Strong recent uptrend with higher highs across nearly every hourly candle
  • Buy volume ($691.84K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($630.33K) over 24h, and buyer count (3,370) exceeds seller count (2,290)
  • High trading activity (7,144 buys vs 4,682 sells) indicates strong retail interest

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($56.97K) relative to $1.64M FDV creates high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Parabolic +3879% 24h move is a classic pattern that often precedes sharp mean-reversion corrections
  • 5m price change is already negative (-0.99%), a potential early sign of momentum stalling
  • No visibility into holder concentration or sniper wallets — unknown whales could dump at any time
Confidence: low. Only 24 hourly candles are available (all from a single launch/pump day), there is no holder or sniper data to gauge distribution risk, and liquidity is extremely thin, making price projections highly speculative.

TOEROGAN call history

Full track record →
Sep 15bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Across the 24 available hourly candles, price rose from an opening of $0.00000326 (candle 1) to a close of $0.00155 (candle 24), representing a near-500x move within the window. The pattern shows a series of higher highs and higher lows through most candles, punctuated by sharp expansion candles (e.g., candle 15: O:0.000212 H:0.000420 L:0.0000944; candle 23: O:0.000580 H:0.00144 with volume spiking to $383K) indicating strong bursts of buying interspersed with pullbacks/wicks to the downside, typical of a volatile low-liquidity launch.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 52%Sell 48%

Both short-term (last few hours) and medium-term (full 24h window) trends are firmly up, characterized by a staircase pattern of expansion candles followed by partial retracements, then fresh breakouts to new highs.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00115 (candle 24 open/low)
Major$0.00046 (candle 21 open, pre-breakout base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00177 (candle 24 high, all-time high in dataset)
Major$0.00144 (candle 23 high, prior local top before latest breakout)

The token has broken through several intraday resistance levels (candles 15, 20, 23) in rapid succession, each becoming support for the next leg up. Immediate support sits at the candle 24 open (~$0.00115); a break below this could trigger a fast retracement toward the $0.00046-$0.00058 zone (candles 20-21) given thin liquidity offers little cushioning.

Notable patterns

  • Consecutive higher-high, higher-low candles (candles 9 through 24) forming a steep uptrend/parabolic staircase
  • Large-range expansion candle at [23] with wick both directions (H:0.00144, L:0.00046) signaling high volatility and potential exhaustion
  • Volume spike concurrent with largest price expansion candles ([15],[16],[23]), consistent with FOMO-driven buying
  • Most recent candle [24] closing well below its high ($0.00177 high vs $0.00155 close), a mild upper-wick rejection that could presage short-term pullback

Liquidity$56.97K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$691.84K
Sell$630.33K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers3,370
Unique sellers2,290

Total liquidity of just $56.97K is extremely thin relative to both the $1.64M FDV and the $1.32M+ in combined 24h trading volume (buy + sell). This mismatch means the pool has likely been turned over multiple times in a single day, producing large price swings (as seen in the +3879% 24h move) on relatively modest absolute dollar flows. Buy volume ($691.84K) modestly exceeds sell volume ($630.33K), and unique buyers (3,370) outpace unique sellers (2,290), indicating net inflow and broad-based demand rather than concentrated selling. However, with liquidity this shallow, even moderate-sized sell orders could cause severe slippage and rapid price collapse.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,945.05 TOEROGAN
FDV$1,642,489

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is fixed at approximately 1 billion tokens (999,999,945.05), yielding a fully diluted valuation of ~$1.64M at current price. Metadata for update authority, mutability, verified contract status, and mint/freeze authority renouncement are all listed as 'unknown' in the available data, meaning it cannot be confirmed whether the contract creator retains the ability to mint additional supply or freeze accounts. This lack of transparency on authorities is a meaningful rug-pull risk factor that cannot be ruled out or confirmed and should be independently verified on-chain before any investment decision.

Volatility
high

24h price change of +3879% and hourly candles showing multiple 100%+ swings within single hours (e.g., candle 15: low $0.0000944 to high $0.000420) indicate extreme volatility inconsistent with stable investment characteristics.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $56.97K against $1.64M FDV and over $1.3M in 24h volume creates high slippage risk; large trades could dramatically move price in either direction.

Concentration
high

No holder or whale data is available to verify distribution, but given the token's brand-new parabolic launch pattern and thin liquidity, concentration risk should be assumed high until on-chain verification proves otherwise.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available to rule out early-sniper dumping risk. Fresh meme-token launches with parabolic price action are historically prone to sniper wallets exiting into strength, and this cannot be excluded here.

Authority
medium

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and contract verification status are all listed as unknown, preventing confirmation that the contract is safe from further minting or freezing actions.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($56.97K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Parabolic +3879% 24h price move that historically often precedes sharp corrections/mean reversion
  • Total absence of holder and sniper distribution data, preventing verification of concentration or insider dumping risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status, leaving open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • Meme-coin category with no evident utility beyond branding/humor content, relying purely on speculative and social momentum

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($691.84K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($630.33K), and buyers (3,370) outnumber sellers (2,290), suggesting net demand rather than a one-sided dump
  • High trade counts (7,144 buys, 4,682 sells) indicate broad retail participation rather than a single actor controlling volume
  • Token trades on Raydium CPMM, a widely used and audited AMM infrastructure, reducing (but not eliminating) smart-contract risk at the DEX layer
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders who fully understand meme-coin dynamics and can afford total loss of capital. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone unable to monitor positions closely given the extreme volatility and thin liquidity.

Toe Rogan (TOEROGAN) is a newly-pumped Solana meme token that has risen nearly 3879% in 24 hours on thin liquidity, driven by apparently balanced but heavy buy-side retail participation. The absence of holder, whale, and sniper data, combined with unknown authority/contract verification status, makes this a high-risk speculative play suitable only for traders comfortable with total capital loss.

Bull case (low)

Continued viral momentum (branding around 'Toe Rogan' humor/meme appeal) drives sustained buyer inflow, liquidity providers add depth, and the token rides broader Solana meme-coin sentiment to further gains, potentially retesting or exceeding the $0.00177 intraday high.

  • Sustained social media virality and community growth
  • Increased liquidity depth reducing slippage and attracting larger buyers
  • Positive broader memecoin market conditions on Solana
  • Listing on additional trackers/aggregators increasing visibility

Base case

Price consolidates with continued high volatility, oscillating between the $0.0005-$0.0018 range as buy and sell pressure remain roughly balanced (52.3%/47.7% as observed), without a decisive breakout or full collapse in the immediate term.

  • No major liquidity injection or withdrawal occurs in the near term
  • Retail buy/sell activity continues at similar balanced ratios observed in the 24h data
  • No confirmed rug-pull event via mint/freeze authority (though this remains unverified)
  • Broader crypto/Solana market conditions remain neutral to stable

Bear case (high)

The parabolic move exhausts itself as early buyers and any undisclosed snipers/whales take profits into the shallow $56.97K liquidity pool, triggering a rapid price collapse back toward pre-pump levels (sub-$0.0005 or lower), consistent with typical meme-coin pump-and-dump lifecycles.

  • Extremely thin liquidity unable to absorb large sell orders without severe price impact
  • Already-visible momentum stall (5m change -0.99%) after the vertical run
  • Unknown holder/sniper concentration that could mean large coordinated sell pressure is imminent
  • General historical pattern of meme tokens giving back most parabolic gains within days

GeneratedSep 15, 12:16 AM
Data freshnessOHLC data spans 2026-09-14T01:00 to 2026-09-15T00:00 (most recent 24 hourly candles); trading analytics reflect trailing 24h as of report generation.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • USD price and 24h/1h/5h change metrics
  • 24-candle hourly OHLCV data (Raydium CPMM pair)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution data available (holder endpoints retired) — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are placeholders with zero values and should not be treated as real metrics
  • No sniper wallet data available — sniper concentration and PnL metrics could not be computed
  • Only 24 hours of price history available, limiting medium/long-term trend analysis
  • Metadata fields for update authority, mint/freeze authority, verification, and mutability were all unknown, preventing a definitive rug-risk determination
  • Extremely low liquidity ($56.97K) means all price and volume figures are subject to significant noise and manipulation risk

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is derived from on-chain and third-party sources that may be incomplete, delayed, or inaccurate. Token metadata, name, symbol, and descriptions originate from the token creator and may be misleading or adversarial. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in low-liquidity meme tokens, carry a high risk of total loss. Conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,945.05 TOEROGAN

Key Risks

•Extremely thin liquidity ($56.97K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
•Parabolic +3879% 24h price move that historically often precedes sharp corrections/mean reversion
•Total absence of holder and sniper distribution data, preventing verification of concentration or insider dumping risk
•Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status, leaving open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was provided for this token, so sniper concentration and PnL state cannot be assessed. This is a significant blind spot given the token's fresh, parabolic launch pattern where snipers typically play an outsized role in early price action.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unable to determine specific early-buyer sentiment without sniper/wallet-level data; aggregate trading analytics show buyers (3,370) outnumbering sellers (2,290) over 24h, suggesting net positive retail sentiment, but this does not isolate sniper or insider behavior.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Toe Rogan (TOEROGAN)?

Momentum remains strong with the most recent hourly candle closing near its high ($0.00155 close vs $0.00177 high) after a sharp acceleration in the final hours of the dataset. However, the 5m change is already slightly negative (-0.99%), and 1h change of +152% suggests the move may be losing steam or entering a consolidation/pullback phase after the parabolic run. Given the extremely shallow $56.97K liquidity pool, price can swing violently in either direction on relatively small trade sizes. Short-term outlook is bullish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.0011 to $0.0022.

Is TOEROGAN a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders who fully understand meme-coin dynamics and can afford total loss of capital. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone unable to monitor positions closely given the extreme volatility and thin liquidity.

What does sniper activity look like for TOEROGAN?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding TOEROGAN?

Extremely thin liquidity ($56.97K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential • Parabolic +3879% 24h price move that historically often precedes sharp corrections/mean reversion • Total absence of holder and sniper distribution data, preventing verification of concentration or insider dumping risk

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