falcão

Não grita Price Today & AI Analysis

falcão
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 1, 2026

CsmPN87BHt79sLnvr9TGrqjiceSzVvGh1UZMnfaapump

$0.052757

+3.19%

FDV $2,661

LiveContract:CsmPN87BHt79sLnvr9TGrqjiceSzVvGh1UZMnfaapumpChain:SolanaHolders:365Market cap:$2,661

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Report snapshotas of Aug 1, 06:16 AM
FDV

$109,265

Liquidity

$40,837

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Falcão (falcão / 'Não grita') is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$105–109K and total liquidity of only $40.84K. The token has experienced an extreme 97.6% price spike in the last 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single explosive candle in the 05:00 UTC hour that saw price briefly reach $0.002804 before collapsing back to ~$0.000109. Sell pressure dominates heavily at 69.8% of 24h volume, with sellers outnumbering buyers nearly 3:1 by wallet count. The token is unverified, has no description, and authority status is unknown — all significant red flags for a newly launched meme token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 97.6% 24h price spike followed by sharp retracement — classic pump-and-dump pattern
Sell pressure dominates at 69.8% of 24h volume ($412.64K sells vs $178.49K buys)
Very shallow liquidity at $40.84K relative to $105K FDV — high slippage risk
Unverified contract with unknown update authority and mutable=false metadata
Social presence (Twitter + website) exists but contract is unverified

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token pumped ~94x intraday (from $0.0000206 low to $0.002804 high) before collapsing back to $0.000109. The current price is well below the spike high and sell pressure is overwhelming (69.8%). Short-term outlook is bearish as profit-takers continue to exit and liquidity is thin.

Target low$0.000055
Target high$0.000184
Support: $0.000099 (candle [1] low), $0.000055 (estimated pre-pump baseline), $0.000021 (candle [2] low)
Resistance: $0.000152 (candle [1] open), $0.000184 (candle [1] high), $0.000156 (candle [2] close)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new catalysts, or a verified contract, the token is likely to continue drifting lower as early buyers distribute. The FDV of ~$105K is fragile given only $40.84K in liquidity. A return toward pre-pump levels near $0.00002–0.00003 is plausible if sell pressure persists.

Catalysts
  • Any new social media viral moment could trigger another pump
  • Liquidity additions by the team could stabilize price
  • Broader Solana meme coin market sentiment
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices

Bullish factors

  • 97.6% 24h price gain demonstrates strong speculative interest
  • 4,673 buy transactions and 663 unique buyers in 24h shows some community engagement
  • Social links (Twitter + website) suggest some project infrastructure
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure at 69.8% of 24h volume ($412.64K vs $178.49K buys)
  • Sellers outnumber buyers 1,991 vs 663 by unique wallet count
  • Liquidity of only $40.84K is extremely shallow — large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Price already retraced ~96% from intraday high of $0.002804 to $0.000109
  • No token description, no verified contract — minimal transparency
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, no sniper data exists, holder distribution is unavailable, and the token has an extremely short and volatile price history. The single explosive candle makes pattern-based prediction unreliable. Confidence is low.

falcão call history

Full track record →
Aug 1bearish
24h-91.8%
7d-97.7%
30d-97.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (05:00 UTC) is an extreme spike candle: Open $0.0000297, High $0.002804, Low $0.0000206, Close $0.000156 — a massive wick-heavy candle with a high-to-close ratio of ~18x, indicating a violent pump followed by near-total retracement within the same hour. Volume was $482K. Candle [1] (06:00 UTC) opened at $0.000153 (near candle [2] close), made a lower high of $0.000184, and closed at $0.000109 on $58K volume — a bearish candle confirming continued selling pressure and distribution after the spike.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 30%Sell 70%

The price action shows a classic pump-and-dump pattern: a single explosive spike candle followed by a lower-high, lower-close continuation candle. The short and medium-term trend is down from the spike high. The 6h and 24h % change showing 0% in analytics (likely a data artifact from the extreme move) while 1h shows +95% reflects the volatility of the spike candle still being within the measurement window.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000099 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000021 (candle [2] absolute low — pre-pump baseline)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000152 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area)
Major$0.000184 (candle [1] high)

The $0.000099 level (candle [1] low) is the nearest support. A break below this opens the path toward the pre-pump zone of $0.000021–$0.000030. Resistance sits at $0.000152–$0.000184, the range of candle [1]. The $0.002804 spike high is an extreme outlier and not a realistic near-term resistance target.

Notable patterns

  • Extreme spike-and-reversal candle (candle [2]): massive upper wick covering ~99% of the candle range — classic pump-and-dump signature
  • Bearish continuation candle (candle [1]): lower high ($0.000184) and lower close ($0.000109) vs candle [2] close ($0.000156) — confirms downtrend
  • Volume exhaustion: 88% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1] — buying interest rapidly dissipating
  • Price trading below candle [1] open — bearish momentum intact

Liquidity$40,840
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$178,490
Sell$412,640
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers663
Unique sellers1,991

Liquidity is critically shallow at $40.84K against a $105–109K FDV — a ratio of roughly 0.37x, meaning the entire market cap is nearly 2.7x the available liquidity. Any moderately sized sell order will cause severe price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $412.64K in sell volume vs $178.49K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$234K. Sellers outnumber buyers 3:1 by unique wallet count (1,991 vs 663). The pair trades on PumpSwap (HF4FUJ8fC3qLBtAczcUTXFKknS9jAzDoCDoAjN7z6x7). Market health is poor — dominated by distribution activity following the spike.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$105,550–$109,265 (range from analytics vs price data)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of 1 billion with 6 decimals, standard for Solana meme tokens launched via pump.fun/PumpSwap infrastructure. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, so mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. Mutable=false is a positive signal — the metadata cannot be changed — but this does not confirm authority renouncement. The contract is unverified. The FDV of ~$105–109K is very small, making the token highly susceptible to price manipulation. No token description was provided by the creator, which reduces transparency. The token is not flagged as spam but is also not verified.

Volatility
high

The token experienced a ~136x intraday price range (low $0.0000206 to high $0.002804) within a single hour. This is extreme volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump event. Current price has already retraced ~96% from the spike high.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $40.84K against a ~$105K FDV. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~0.37x means large trades will cause catastrophic slippage. Exiting a position of even a few thousand dollars could move the price significantly.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, preventing direct measurement. However, the extreme spike-and-dump pattern, combined with 1,991 sellers vs 663 buyers, is consistent with concentrated early holders distributing to retail. Default high risk applied per methodology.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available. The violent pump-and-dump price pattern (spike to $0.002804 followed by 96% retracement) is a strong behavioral signal of coordinated early buyer distribution, even without confirmed sniper wallet data.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. While mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk, the unknown authority status leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation or account freezing.

Key risks

  • Extreme pump-and-dump price pattern — 96% retracement from spike high within 2 hours
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 69.8% of 24h volume is sells, sellers outnumber buyers 3:1
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($40.84K) — high slippage on any meaningful position
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — rug pull vector cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified contract with no token description — minimal transparency
  • Very small FDV (~$105K) makes price easily manipulated by large holders
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of post-launch metadata manipulation
  • Social links (Twitter + website) suggest some project infrastructure exists
  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • 24h buy count of 4,673 transactions shows some genuine retail interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides a degree of on-chain transparency
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The risk profile is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase.

Falcão (falcão) is a high-risk Solana meme token that has already experienced its primary pump event — a ~136x intraday spike followed by a ~96% retracement. The current price of $0.000109 represents a post-pump distribution phase with overwhelming sell pressure. The investment case is speculative at best, and the risk of further significant losses is high. Any bullish thesis depends entirely on a second wave of viral/social momentum, which is unpredictable.

Bull case (low)

A second viral social media moment or influencer promotion triggers renewed retail FOMO, driving another wave of buying. The token establishes a higher low above $0.000099 and builds toward $0.000184–$0.000200 resistance.

  • New viral social media catalyst (Twitter/TikTok)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity additions stabilizing the price floor
  • Community building around the 'Não grita' / falcão brand

Base case

The token stabilizes in the $0.000060–$0.000110 range as the most aggressive sellers exit and a small community of holders remains. Volume declines significantly from the spike levels. The token trades as a low-liquidity meme coin with occasional volatility spikes.

  • Sell pressure moderates as the most motivated sellers have already exited
  • A small but persistent community maintains some buying interest
  • No rug pull or authority-based attack occurs
  • Broader Solana meme market remains active

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues as early buyers and pump participants fully distribute their holdings. Price drifts back toward pre-pump levels of $0.000021–$0.000030, representing an additional 70–80% loss from current levels. Liquidity dries up further.

  • Continued 3:1 seller-to-buyer wallet ratio
  • Shallow $40.84K liquidity unable to absorb sell pressure
  • No fundamental value or utility to attract long-term holders
  • Unknown authority status discouraging institutional or sophisticated buyers

GeneratedAug 1, 06:16 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-01T07:00 UTC. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles were provided, limiting technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Mint: CsmPN87BHt79sLnvr9TGrqjiceSzVvGh1UZMnfaapump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (HF4FUJ8fC3qLBtAczcUTXFKknS9jAzDoCDoAjN7z6x7)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, 2026-08-01 05:00–07:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper or early buyer wallet data available
  • Holder distribution data unavailable (endpoint retired)
  • Whale concentration data unavailable
  • Update authority status unknown — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Token has extremely short price history, making trend analysis unreliable
  • 6h and 24h % change showing 0% in analytics may be a data artifact from the extreme spike event

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from on-chain activity and third-party analytics providers and may contain errors or gaps. Past price performance (including the 97.6% 24h gain) is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Extreme pump-and-dump price pattern — 96% retracement from spike high within 2 hours
Overwhelming sell pressure: 69.8% of 24h volume is sells, sellers outnumber buyers 3:1
Critically shallow liquidity ($40.84K) — high slippage on any meaningful position
Unknown mint/freeze authority — rug pull vector cannot be ruled out

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The overall trading pattern — a violent spike followed by heavy sell-side dominance (69.8% sell volume, 1,991 sellers vs 663 buyers) — is consistent with early holders or insiders distributing into retail buying interest, but this cannot be confirmed without sniper/wallet-level data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer wallet data is available. The extreme intraday spike and subsequent heavy selling suggests early buyers may be taking profits, but this is inferred from aggregate volume data only.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Não grita (falcão)?

The token pumped ~94x intraday (from $0.0000206 low to $0.002804 high) before collapsing back to $0.000109. The current price is well below the spike high and sell pressure is overwhelming (69.8%). Short-term outlook is bearish as profit-takers continue to exit and liquidity is thin. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000055 to $0.000184.

Is falcão a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The risk profile is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase.

What does sniper activity look like for falcão?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding falcão?

Extreme pump-and-dump price pattern — 96% retracement from spike high within 2 hours • Overwhelming sell pressure: 69.8% of 24h volume is sells, sellers outnumber buyers 3:1 • Critically shallow liquidity ($40.84K) — high slippage on any meaningful position

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