unstable coin Price Today & AI Analysis

Short-term trend is strongly bullish following the breakout in candles [3]–[1], but the medium-term (prior 21 candles) was essentially sideways with a slight downward drift from ~$0.00224 to ~$0.00215. The breakout is sharp but potentially exhausted given the doji-like candle [1] at the top.

The immediate support zone is the $0.00257–$0.00307 range (candles [3]–[2] close area). A break below $0.00257 would signal the pump is fully retracing. Major support at $0.00203 represents the lowest point in the 24h series. Resistance is thin above current price given the lack of prior trading history at these levels.

The 30-day holder history shows a persistent and consistent decline. From a peak of ~11,309 on Apr 11, holders have fallen to 10,821 — a net loss of 488 holders over ~25 days. The decline was most severe on Apr 24 (-98 in one day) and Apr 28 (-49). The 7-day trend is -60 (-0.55%) and the 24h shows a small recovery of +44 (+0.41%), likely attributable to the price pump attracting new buyers. However, the 1h figure of +31 suggests some new wallets are entering during the pump. The 30-day trend is clearly declining and not accelerating to the upside. Acquisition is dominated by swaps (8,319 wallets), with transfers (2,139) and airdrops (363) as secondary channels. Distribution shows 116 whales, 77 sharks, 508 dolphins, 734 fish, and 871 octopus-classified holders.

Supply concentration is extreme. The top 10 wallets hold 49.73% of supply, and the top 100 hold 82.46%. Excluding the DEX LP (wallet #3, 6.18%), the top 10 non-LP wallets hold ~43.55% of supply. Wallet #1 alone holds 21.35% — a single dump from this wallet could be catastrophic for price. Wallet #5 holds exactly 26,000,000 tokens, suggesting a pre-allocated position. The DEX LP wallet (#3) holding 6.18% is normal and represents protocol liquidity. Sentiment is mixed: the LP presence is healthy, but the extreme individual concentration creates significant dump risk. No clear accumulation or distribution signal is available without transaction history for these wallets.

Total liquidity of $414K on PumpSwap (pair BAX9M9a5FVy5cNiewwnuwkVDzhSg9psZnb4fJ9r677tN) is moderate for a meme token with a $3.19M FDV — representing roughly 13% of FDV in liquidity, which is reasonable. However, the 24h net flow is clearly negative: $59.09K in sell volume vs $37.74K in buy volume, a 61%/39% sell/buy split. There were 218 unique sellers vs 156 unique buyers, and 1,088 sell transactions vs 688 buy transactions. This persistent sell pressure despite the price pump suggests the price rise was driven by a smaller number of large buy orders overwhelming thin order book depth, rather than broad-based demand. Slippage risk is medium — $414K liquidity can absorb moderate trades but large whale exits (e.g., wallet #1 at 21.35%) would cause severe slippage. The 5m price change of +0.64% and 1h of +10.19% suggest momentum is still present but decelerating.

Total supply is ~999.89M tokens (effectively 1 billion), with 6 decimals. The FDV is $3.19M at current price. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111... or a known renounced address), meaning the update authority has NOT been renounced. However, the metadata field 'Mutable: false' indicates the token metadata itself cannot be changed, which mitigates one vector of manipulation. Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the metadata — classified as 'unknown'. The token is launched via pump.fun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically burns mint authority at launch, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. Rug risk from authorities is rated 'medium' — mutable=false is positive, but the non-renounced update authority and unknown mint/freeze authority status introduce residual risk. The token is verified (verified contract: true) and not flagged as spam.