sultan

sultan Price Prediction 2026

sultan
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 4, 2026

Bm5hU3iYP9syzZHte1Ubv5GjSkMjFsCqaVyWcBdpump

$0.055241

-16.67%

FDV $5,239

LiveContract:Bm5hU3iYP9syzZHte1Ubv5GjSkMjFsCqaVyWcBdpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,284Market cap:$5,239

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Report snapshotas of Jul 4, 10:17 AM
FDV

$254,312

Liquidity

$61,121

Holders

1,276

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Sultan (SULTAN) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: Bm5hU3iYP9syzZHte1Ubv5GjSkMjFsCqaVyWcBdpump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$254K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 499.8% price surge in 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a sudden burst of activity on July 4, 2026 — after sitting completely dormant at 55 holders for the entire prior 30-day period. This dormancy-then-explosion pattern, combined with overwhelming sell pressure (73.6%), shallow liquidity ($61K), missing top-holder data, and an unverified contract, raises serious red flags. The token has no description, no verified contract, and unknown update authority.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 499.8% 24h price spike after 30 days of complete dormancy at 55 holders
Severe sell pressure dominance: 73.6% sell vs 26.4% buy volume in 24h ($428.74K sells vs $153.77K buys)
Holder count exploded from 55 to 1,276 (+1,222 holders, +96%) entirely within the last 24 hours
Top holder data unavailable — supply concentration metrics show 0% for top 10 and top 100, which is anomalous and likely a data gap
Shallow liquidity of only $61.12K against $254K FDV creates extreme slippage risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Sell volume is 2.8x buy volume ($428.74K vs $153.77K), with 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buys and 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 buyers. The 5m and 1h price changes are sharply positive (+28.5% and +196% respectively), but the 6h and 24h figures show 0% net change, indicating the price has been violently oscillating. With only $61K in liquidity, any sustained selling will crater the price rapidly.

Target low$0.000028
Target high$0.000110
Support: $0.000028 (candle 3 low), $0.000034 (candle 2 close / candle 1 open)
Resistance: $0.000092 (candle 3 high), $0.000110 (candle 1 low — anomalous, likely data inversion)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the 30-day dormancy prior to this spike, the absence of any fundamental catalyst, no project description, unverified contract, and overwhelming sell pressure, the medium-term outlook is strongly bearish. Tokens exhibiting this pattern typically retrace 80–99% from peak within days to weeks as early holders distribute.

Catalysts
  • Any reduction in sell pressure or renewed buy interest could provide temporary relief
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could lift all boats briefly
  • Absence of any positive catalyst makes sustained recovery highly unlikely

Bullish factors

  • Explosive 499.8% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Rapid holder growth from 55 to 1,276 in 24h shows new market participants entering
  • 5m price change of +28.5% and 1h of +196% suggest momentum is still active in the very short term
  • Token is on PumpSwap, providing some baseline DEX accessibility

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume ($428.74K) is 2.8x buy volume ($153.77K) — strong distribution signal
  • 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buys — sellers outnumber buyers nearly 3:1
  • 30 days of complete dormancy at 55 holders before this spike is a classic pump setup signal
  • Only $61.12K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • No project description, unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — cannot assess insider distribution risk
  • OHLC candle data shows possible anomalies (L > H in candle 1), reducing data reliability
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to missing top-holder data (top 10/100 concentration shows 0% — anomalous), no sniper data, unknown update authority, and the extreme volatility of a newly-pumped micro-cap memecoin. The OHLC data also shows a possible data anomaly (candle 1 Low > High), reducing technical reliability.

sultan call history

Full track record →
Jul 4bearish
24h-62.5%
7d-96.3%
30d-97.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available for July 4, 2026. NOTE: Candle 1 (10:00 UTC) shows Low ($0.0001095) > High ($0.0000698), which is physically impossible and indicates a data feed anomaly or field swap for that candle — treat with caution. Candle 3 (08:00 UTC): O=$0.0000352, H=$0.0000925, L=$0.0000282, C=$0.0000714 — a bullish candle with a wide range and close in the upper half. Candle 2 (09:00 UTC): O=$0.0000698, H=$0.0000698, L=$0.0000338, C=$0.0000352 — a bearish candle, closing near the low, suggesting selling pressure after the initial pump. Candle 1 (10:00 UTC): data anomalous. Volume peaked at candle 2 ($303K) vs candle 3 ($126K) and candle 1 ($106K), suggesting the highest activity occurred during the sell-off hour.

Trend

Short-term
sideways
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

The short-term trend is highly volatile and effectively sideways given the 0% net 6h and 24h price change despite extreme intra-period swings. The medium-term trend is a downtrend from the pump peak, with candle 2 showing a clear bearish reversal (close near low after open near high). The 30-day dormancy prior to this event means there is no meaningful prior trend to reference.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000034 (candle 2 close, candle 1 open area)
Major$0.000028 (candle 3 low — lowest observed price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000092 (candle 3 high)
Major$0.000110 (candle 1 anomalous low field — may represent a wick high)

Support is thin given the shallow liquidity ($61K). The $0.000028 level represents the lowest observed price in the available data. Resistance at $0.000092 corresponds to the candle 3 high. Given the data anomaly in candle 1, resistance levels above $0.000092 are unreliable. A break below $0.000034 with continued sell pressure could rapidly push price toward the $0.000028 support or lower.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing pattern: Candle 2 opens at candle 3's close and closes near its own low, engulfing the prior bullish move
  • High-volume sell candle: Candle 2 has the highest volume ($303K) and is bearish — classic distribution candle
  • Dormancy-then-spike: 30 days at 55 holders followed by sudden explosion is a textbook pump pattern
  • Possible data anomaly in candle 1 (Low > High) — reduces technical reliability
  • Declining volume from candle 2 to candle 1 suggests fading momentum

Total holders1,276
24h Δ+96
7d Δ+96
30d Δ+96
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours, perfectly correlated with the 499.8% price spike. The token had exactly 55 holders every single day for the prior 30 days (June 4 – July 3, 2026), with zero net change on any day. This means 1,222 of the 1,276 current holders (95.8%) acquired their tokens within the last 24 hours, almost certainly chasing the price pump. This is not organic growth — it is FOMO-driven retail accumulation during a pump event.

The holder data reveals an extremely abnormal pattern: 30 consecutive days of exactly 55 holders with zero change, followed by an explosion to 1,276 holders (+1,222, +96%) in a single 24-hour window. This is a textbook pump pattern where a small group of insiders (the original 55 holders) hold a dormant token, then pump the price to attract retail buyers. The 1h holder change of +404 (+32%) indicates the buying frenzy was still ongoing at the time of analysis. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,267 of 1,276), confirming these are market buyers rather than airdrop recipients. The rapid holder growth is not a bullish signal in this context — it represents retail FOMO buying into a likely distribution event.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Data unavailable — top holders list not provided

0.00%

Top holder data is completely unavailable for this token — the API returned no top 20 holders, and supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is anomalous and almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine reflection of perfect distribution. This is a significant analytical limitation. Given the 30-day dormancy at 55 holders, it is highly probable that a small number of wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. The distribution health is classified as 'very_concentrated' based on the circumstantial evidence (55 original holders, no description, unverified contract), but this cannot be confirmed from the available data. The absence of top holder data itself is a risk factor, as it prevents assessment of insider concentration and potential dump risk.

Liquidity$61,120
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$153,770
Sell$428,740
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers882
Unique sellers2,241

Liquidity is critically shallow at $61.12K against a $254K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 24%, which is low for a memecoin. This means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $428.74K in sell volume vs $153.77K in buy volume represents a net outflow of approximately $275K. With 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buy transactions and 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 unique buyers, the market is in clear distribution mode. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair: 6iTqzwvs1yEXr7i9snUntNTTBiak2saTWc3Ek1r1aNT4), which provides basic DEX functionality but no additional liquidity depth. Any large holder attempting to exit will face severe slippage given the $61K liquidity pool.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$254,312.23

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a standard 1 billion supply with 6 decimals, consistent with PumpFun-launched memecoins. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data — these are critical unknowns for rug risk assessment. The token has no description, no verified contract, and only Twitter and Moralis listed as social links. The 'possible spam' flag is false per the data, but the overall profile (no description, unverified, unknown authority, dormancy pattern) is consistent with a low-effort speculative token. The FDV of $254K is micro-cap territory, amplifying all risks.

Volatility
high

499.8% price surge in 24h following 30 days of complete dormancy. Intra-hour swings of 100%+ observed in OHLC data. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing nearly impossible for retail participants.

Liquidity
high

Only $61.12K in total liquidity against $254K FDV. Sell volume alone in 24h ($428.74K) is 7x the total liquidity pool, indicating the pool is being rapidly drained. Large exits will face severe slippage.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable (anomalous 0% concentration figures). The 30-day dormancy at exactly 55 holders strongly implies high insider concentration. 95.8% of current holders acquired in the last 24h, meaning the original 55 holders likely control a disproportionate share of supply.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the trading pattern (73.6% sell pressure, 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 buyers, $428.74K sell volume) is consistent with early holders dumping into retail FOMO buying. The 30-day dormancy-then-pump pattern is a classic sniper/insider setup.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. Unverified contract. While 'mutable: false' is noted, the inability to confirm authority renouncement means rug risk from authorities cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 55 holders, then 499.8% spike with immediate heavy selling
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 73.6% of 24h volume is sells ($428.74K vs $153.77K buys)
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($61.12K) — insufficient to absorb any significant sell pressure
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing
  • No project description, no verified contract, no utility or roadmap
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess insider concentration or dump risk
  • 95.8% of holders acquired in last 24h — almost entirely FOMO buyers with no conviction
  • OHLC data anomaly (candle 1 Low > High) suggests possible data feed issues

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be changed
  • Listed on PumpSwap — provides basic DEX liquidity and price discovery
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Rapid holder growth (1,276 holders) provides some base of market participants
  • 5m price change of +28.5% suggests very short-term momentum still exists
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The risk profile is consistent with a potential pump-and-dump scheme. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

Sultan (SULTAN) is a high-risk micro-cap Solana memecoin exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 30 days of complete dormancy at 55 holders, followed by a 499.8% price spike with immediate overwhelming sell pressure (73.6%). The token has no utility, no description, an unverified contract, and unknown authority status. While the explosive price action and rapid holder growth could attract short-term speculators, the fundamental risk/reward is extremely unfavorable for most participants.

Bull case (low)

Short-term momentum continuation: The 5m (+28.5%) and 1h (+196%) price gains attract additional FOMO buyers, temporarily overwhelming sell pressure and pushing price to new highs. A broader Solana memecoin narrative or viral social media moment could sustain buying interest long enough for a second pump leg.

  • Continued retail FOMO buying driven by the 499.8% 24h gain narrative
  • Viral social media attention on Twitter (listed as a social link)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market momentum
  • Short-term momentum traders entering on the 5m/1h breakout signals

Base case

Continued high volatility with gradual price decay: The token experiences several more pump-and-dump cycles over the next 24–72 hours as traders attempt to scalp momentum, but the overall trend is downward as early holders complete their distribution. Price likely settles 60–85% below the pump peak within 1–2 weeks, with holder count declining as FOMO buyers exit at losses.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant (>60% of volume) over the next 24–48 hours
  • No major new catalyst or viral moment emerges to sustain buying
  • Original 55 holders continue gradual distribution
  • Liquidity remains shallow, amplifying price impact of each sell transaction

Bear case (high)

Rapid collapse: The original 55 insider holders continue distributing into retail buying. As buy pressure exhausts (currently only 26.4% of volume), price collapses back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000025–$0.000035). With only $61K in liquidity, a coordinated exit by even a few large holders could cause a 70–90% drawdown within hours.

  • Sell volume 2.8x buy volume with no signs of reversal
  • Original 55 holders likely sitting on 400–500% unrealized gains and actively distributing
  • Shallow $61K liquidity cannot absorb sustained selling
  • No fundamental value, utility, or catalyst to attract long-term holders
  • FOMO buyers from the last 24h likely to panic-sell on any significant price drop

GeneratedJul 4, 10:17 AM
Data freshnessOHLC data current to 2026-07-04T10:00:00 UTC. Holder metrics reflect data as of analysis time. Historical holder series covers June 4 – July 3, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token API (metadata, price, holder metrics, historical holders)
  • PumpSwap DEX (trading analytics, liquidity, OHLC candles)
  • On-chain holder distribution data

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data is completely unavailable — cannot assess insider concentration or whale behavior
  • Sniper analysis data is unavailable — cannot assess early buyer PnL or sell-through rates
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • OHLC candle 1 contains a data anomaly (Low > High) — technical analysis reliability is reduced
  • Only 3 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top 10 and top 100, which is anomalous and likely a data gap
  • The 6h and 24h price change figures show 0% despite obvious price movement — possible data feed issue
  • Token has no description or verified contract — fundamental analysis is severely limited

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed was provided by third-party sources and may contain errors or gaps as noted. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 55 holders, then 499.8% spike with immediate heavy selling
Overwhelming sell pressure: 73.6% of 24h volume is sells ($428.74K vs $153.77K buys)
Critically shallow liquidity ($61.12K) — insufficient to absorb any significant sell pressure
Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the broader trading data tells a concerning story: 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 unique buyers in 24h, with sell volume ($428.74K) nearly 3x buy volume ($153.77K). This strongly suggests early holders (possibly the original 55 wallets that held during the 30-day dormancy period) are actively distributing into the pump-driven retail buying. The pattern of 30 days of stasis followed by a sudden price explosion and immediate heavy selling is consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

The 55 wallets that held during the 30-day dormancy period are the most likely early buyers. Given the 499.8% price surge, these wallets are almost certainly in significant profit and the overwhelming sell pressure (73.6%) suggests they are actively taking profits. No on-chain sniper data is available to confirm this directly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for sultan (sultan)?

The token is in a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Sell volume is 2.8x buy volume ($428.74K vs $153.77K), with 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buys and 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 buyers. The 5m and 1h price changes are sharply positive (+28.5% and +196% respectively), but the 6h and 24h figures show 0% net change, indicating the price has been violently oscillating. With only $61K in liquidity, any sustained selling will crater the price rapidly. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000028 to $0.000110.

Is sultan a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The risk profile is consistent with a potential pump-and-dump scheme. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are sultan holders trending?

sultan currently has 1,276 holders and is growing (24h: 96, 7d: 96, 30d: 96). The holder data reveals an extremely abnormal pattern: 30 consecutive days of exactly 55 holders with zero change, followed by an explosion to 1,276 holders (+1,222, +96%) in a single 24-hour window. This is a textbook pump pattern where a small group of insiders (the original 55 holders) hold a dormant token, then pump the price to attract retail buyers. The 1h holder change of +404 (+32%) indicates the buying frenzy was still ongoing at the time of analysis. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,267 of 1,276), confirming these are market buyers rather than airdrop recipients. The rapid holder growth is not a bullish signal in this context — it represents retail FOMO buying into a likely distribution event.

What does sniper activity look like for sultan?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding sultan?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 55 holders, then 499.8% spike with immediate heavy selling • Overwhelming sell pressure: 73.6% of 24h volume is sells ($428.74K vs $153.77K buys) • Critically shallow liquidity ($61.12K) — insufficient to absorb any significant sell pressure

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