sultan

sultan Price Today & AI Analysis

sultanSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 4, 2026

Price

$0.056728

-1.51% 24h

Contract

Live
Bm5hU3iYP9syzZHte1Ubv5GjSkMjFsCqaVyWcBdpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,150

Market cap

$6,726

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sultan: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-04 10:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,276

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$61,120.89
How concentrated is sultan ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,276 addresses (2026-07-04 10:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling sultan?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is sultan liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-04 10:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $61,120.89. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-04 10:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 4, 10:17 AM UTC

FDV

$254,312

Liquidity

$61,120.89

Holders

1,276

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Sultan (SULTAN) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: Bm5hU3iYP9syzZHte1Ubv5GjSkMjFsCqaVyWcBdpump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$254K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 499.8% price surge in 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a sudden burst of activity on July 4, 2026 — after sitting completely dormant at 55 holders for the entire prior 30-day period. This dormancy-then-explosion pattern, combined with overwhelming sell pressure (73.6%), shallow liquidity ($61K), missing top-holder data, and an unverified contract, raises serious red flags. The token has no description, no verified contract, and unknown update authority.

Key points

  • Extreme 499.8% 24h price spike after 30 days of complete dormancy at 55 holders
  • Severe sell pressure dominance: 73.6% sell vs 26.4% buy volume in 24h ($428.74K sells vs $153.77K buys)
  • Holder count exploded from 55 to 1,276 (+1,222 holders, +96%) entirely within the last 24 hours
  • Top holder data unavailable — supply concentration metrics show 0% for top 10 and top 100, which is anomalous and likely a data gap
  • Shallow liquidity of only $61.12K against $254K FDV creates extreme slippage risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Sell volume is 2.8x buy volume ($428.74K vs $153.77K), with 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buys and 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 buyers. The 5m and 1h price changes are sharply positive (+28.5% and +196% respectively), but the 6h and 24h figures show 0% net change, indicating the price has been violently oscillating. With only $61K in liquidity, any sustained selling will crater the price rapidly.

Target low

$0.000028

Target high

$0.000110

Support

$0.000028 (candle 3 low), $0.000034 (candle 2 close / candle 1 open)

Resistance

$0.000092 (candle 3 high), $0.000110 (candle 1 low — anomalous, likely data inversion)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the 30-day dormancy prior to this spike, the absence of any fundamental catalyst, no project description, unverified contract, and overwhelming sell pressure, the medium-term outlook is strongly bearish. Tokens exhibiting this pattern typically retrace 80–99% from peak within days to weeks as early holders distribute.

Catalysts

  • Any reduction in sell pressure or renewed buy interest could provide temporary relief
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could lift all boats briefly
  • Absence of any positive catalyst makes sustained recovery highly unlikely

Bullish factors

  • Explosive 499.8% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Rapid holder growth from 55 to 1,276 in 24h shows new market participants entering
  • 5m price change of +28.5% and 1h of +196% suggest momentum is still active in the very short term
  • Token is on PumpSwap, providing some baseline DEX accessibility

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume ($428.74K) is 2.8x buy volume ($153.77K) — strong distribution signal
  • 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buys — sellers outnumber buyers nearly 3:1
  • 30 days of complete dormancy at 55 holders before this spike is a classic pump setup signal
  • Only $61.12K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • No project description, unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — cannot assess insider distribution risk
  • OHLC candle data shows possible anomalies (L > H in candle 1), reducing data reliability

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to missing top-holder data (top 10/100 concentration shows 0% — anomalous), no sniper data, unknown update authority, and the extreme volatility of a newly-pumped micro-cap memecoin. The OHLC data also shows a possible data anomaly (candle 1 Low > High), reducing technical reliability.

sultan call history

Full track record →

Jul 4bearish
24h-62.5%
7d-96.3%
30d-97.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Bm5hU3...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 55 holders, then 499.8% spike with immediate heavy selling
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 73.6% of 24h volume is sells ($428.74K vs $153.77K buys)
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($61.12K) — insufficient to absorb any significant sell pressure
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available for July 4, 2026. NOTE: Candle 1 (10:00 UTC) shows Low ($0.0001095) > High ($0.0000698), which is physically impossible and indicates a data feed anomaly or field swap for that candle — treat with caution. Candle 3 (08:00 UTC): O=$0.0000352, H=$0.0000925, L=$0.0000282, C=$0.0000714 — a bullish candle with a wide range and close in the upper half. Candle 2 (09:00 UTC): O=$0.0000698, H=$0.0000698, L=$0.0000338, C=$0.0000352 — a bearish candle, closing near the low, suggesting selling pressure after the initial pump. Candle 1 (10:00 UTC): data anomalous. Volume peaked at candle 2 ($303K) vs candle 3 ($126K) and candle 1 ($106K), suggesting the highest activity occurred during the sell-off hour.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Downtrend

The short-term trend is highly volatile and effectively sideways given the 0% net 6h and 24h price change despite extreme intra-period swings. The medium-term trend is a downtrend from the pump peak, with candle 2 showing a clear bearish reversal (close near low after open near high). The 30-day dormancy prior to this event means there is no meaningful prior trend to reference.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

26%

Sell

74%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000034 (candle 2 close, candle 1 open area)

Major support

$0.000028 (candle 3 low — lowest observed price)

Immediate resistance

$0.000092 (candle 3 high)

Major resistance

$0.000110 (candle 1 anomalous low field — may represent a wick high)

Support is thin given the shallow liquidity ($61K). The $0.000028 level represents the lowest observed price in the available data. Resistance at $0.000092 corresponds to the candle 3 high. Given the data anomaly in candle 1, resistance levels above $0.000092 are unreliable. A break below $0.000034 with continued sell pressure could rapidly push price toward the $0.000028 support or lower.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing pattern: Candle 2 opens at candle 3's close and closes near its own low, engulfing the prior bullish move
  • High-volume sell candle: Candle 2 has the highest volume ($303K) and is bearish — classic distribution candle
  • Dormancy-then-spike: 30 days at 55 holders followed by sudden explosion is a textbook pump pattern
  • Possible data anomaly in candle 1 (Low > High) — reduces technical reliability
  • Declining volume from candle 2 to candle 1 suggests fading momentum

Liquidity

Liquidity

$61,120.89

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $61.12K against a $254K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 24%, which is low for a memecoin. This means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $428.74K in sell volume vs $153.77K in buy volume represents a net outflow of approximately $275K. With 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buy transactions and 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 unique buyers, the market is in clear distribution mode. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair: 6iTqzwvs1yEXr7i9snUntNTTBiak2saTWc3Ek1r1aNT4), which provides basic DEX functionality but no additional liquidity depth. Any large holder attempting to exit will face severe slippage given the $61K liquidity pool.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$254,312.23

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    499.8% price surge in 24h following 30 days of complete dormancy. Intra-hour swings of 100%+ observed in OHLC data. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing nearly impossible for retail participants.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $61.12K in total liquidity against $254K FDV. Sell volume alone in 24h ($428.74K) is 7x the total liquidity pool, indicating the pool is being rapidly drained. Large exits will face severe slippage.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 55 holders, then 499.8% spike with immediate heavy selling
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 73.6% of 24h volume is sells ($428.74K vs $153.77K buys)
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($61.12K) — insufficient to absorb any significant sell pressure
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing
  • No project description, no verified contract, no utility or roadmap
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess insider concentration or dump risk
  • 95.8% of holders acquired in last 24h — almost entirely FOMO buyers with no conviction
  • OHLC data anomaly (candle 1 Low > High) suggests possible data feed issues

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be changed
  • Listed on PumpSwap — provides basic DEX liquidity and price discovery
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Rapid holder growth (1,276 holders) provides some base of market participants
  • 5m price change of +28.5% suggests very short-term momentum still exists

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The risk profile is consistent with a potential pump-and-dump scheme. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

Sultan (SULTAN) is a high-risk micro-cap Solana memecoin exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 30 days of complete dormancy at 55 holders, followed by a 499.8% price spike with immediate overwhelming sell pressure (73.6%). The token has no utility, no description, an unverified contract, and unknown authority status. While the explosive price action and rapid holder growth could attract short-term speculators, the fundamental risk/reward is extremely unfavorable for most participants.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Short-term momentum continuation: The 5m (+28.5%) and 1h (+196%) price gains attract additional FOMO buyers, temporarily overwhelming sell pressure and pushing price to new highs. A broader Solana memecoin narrative or viral social media moment could sustain buying interest long enough for a second pump leg.

  • Continued retail FOMO buying driven by the 499.8% 24h gain narrative
  • Viral social media attention on Twitter (listed as a social link)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market momentum
  • Short-term momentum traders entering on the 5m/1h breakout signals

Base Case

Continued high volatility with gradual price decay: The token experiences several more pump-and-dump cycles over the next 24–72 hours as traders attempt to scalp momentum, but the overall trend is downward as early holders complete their distribution. Price likely settles 60–85% below the pump peak within 1–2 weeks, with holder count declining as FOMO buyers exit at losses.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant (>60% of volume) over the next 24–48 hours
  • No major new catalyst or viral moment emerges to sustain buying
  • Original 55 holders continue gradual distribution
  • Liquidity remains shallow, amplifying price impact of each sell transaction

Bear Case

High probability

Rapid collapse: The original 55 insider holders continue distributing into retail buying. As buy pressure exhausts (currently only 26.4% of volume), price collapses back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000025–$0.000035). With only $61K in liquidity, a coordinated exit by even a few large holders could cause a 70–90% drawdown within hours.

  • Sell volume 2.8x buy volume with no signs of reversal
  • Original 55 holders likely sitting on 400–500% unrealized gains and actively distributing
  • Shallow $61K liquidity cannot absorb sustained selling
  • No fundamental value, utility, or catalyst to attract long-term holders
  • FOMO buyers from the last 24h likely to panic-sell on any significant price drop

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 4, 10:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-04 10:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token API (metadata, price, holder metrics, historical holders)
  • PumpSwap DEX (trading analytics, liquidity, OHLC candles)
  • On-chain holder distribution data

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data is completely unavailable — cannot assess insider concentration or whale behavior
  • Sniper analysis data is unavailable — cannot assess early buyer PnL or sell-through rates
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • OHLC candle 1 contains a data anomaly (Low > High) — technical analysis reliability is reduced
  • Only 3 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top 10 and top 100, which is anomalous and likely a data gap
  • The 6h and 24h price change figures show 0% despite obvious price movement — possible data feed issue
  • Token has no description or verified contract — fundamental analysis is severely limited

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed was provided by third-party sources and may contain errors or gaps as noted. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is sultan ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,276 addresses (2026-07-04 10:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling sultan?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is sultan liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-04 10:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $61,120.89. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for sultan (sultan)?

The token is in a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Sell volume is 2.8x buy volume ($428.74K vs $153.77K), with 8,701 sell transactions vs 2,988 buys and 2,241 unique sellers vs 882 buyers. The 5m and 1h price changes are sharply positive (+28.5% and +196% respectively), but the 6h and 24h figures show 0% net change, indicating the price has been violently oscillating. With only $61K in liquidity, any sustained selling will crater the price rapidly. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000028 to $0.000110.

Is sultan a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The risk profile is consistent with a potential pump-and-dump scheme. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding sultan?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 55 holders, then 499.8% spike with immediate heavy selling • Overwhelming sell pressure: 73.6% of 24h volume is sells ($428.74K vs $153.77K buys) • Critically shallow liquidity ($61.12K) — insufficient to absorb any significant sell pressure

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