tod

smoltod Price Today & AI Analysis

todSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 10, 2026

Price

$0.053246

-2.62% 24h

Contract

Live
9w2nokGrjFACQaJaEJGafZgsxBePfDWdUav6ofSJpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

317

Market cap

$3,079

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smoltod: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-10 21:47 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$21,566.68
How concentrated is smoltod ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling smoltod?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is smoltod liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-10 21:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $21,566.68. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-10 21:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 10, 09:47 PM UTC

FDV

$4,543

Liquidity

$21,566.68

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

smoltod (tod) is a meme token on Solana launched via PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of only ~$4,543 and total liquidity of ~$21.57K. The token has experienced a catastrophic 24-hour price decline of approximately 77–80%, collapsing from a high near $0.0000291 to the current price of ~$0.00000479. Trading activity is heavily skewed toward selling (76% sell pressure, 608 sells vs. 256 buys), and the token exhibits all the hallmarks of a post-launch dump cycle. It is unverified, has unknown update authority, and carries very high risk.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price collapse of ~77-80% from peak near $0.0000291
  • Heavily sell-dominated market: 76% sell pressure, 608 sells vs. 256 buys in 24h
  • Very low FDV (~$4,543) and shallow liquidity (~$21.57K) indicating micro-cap meme token
  • Launched on PumpSwap — typical pump-and-dump launch venue
  • Minor short-term recovery (+16% in last 1h) after steep decline
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in a severe downtrend, having lost ~77-80% of its value in 24 hours. While there is a brief +16% bounce in the last 1 hour (candle [1] closing at $0.00000479 vs. open of $0.00000424), this appears to be a dead-cat bounce within a dominant downtrend. Sell pressure at 76% and 608 sells vs. 256 buys suggest continued distribution. The bounce may be short-lived without sustained buy volume.

Target low

$0.0000030

Target high

$0.0000060

Support

$0.00000411 (candle [1] low), $0.00000389 (candle [5] low), $0.00000277 (extrapolated from candle [24] low of $0.0000103 trend)

Resistance

$0.00000546 (candle [6] high), $0.00000741 (candle [9] open/high), $0.0000100 (candle [12] area)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

With FDV at only ~$4,543 and liquidity at $21.57K, the token has very limited fundamental support. The dominant sell pressure and post-pump structure suggest continued price erosion unless a new catalyst emerges. Meme tokens of this size rarely recover from 80% drawdowns without fresh community momentum.

Catalysts

  • Renewed social media attention or viral moment
  • New whale accumulation at depressed prices
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity addition to the PumpSwap pool

Bullish factors

  • Short-term +16% bounce in last 1 hour suggests some buying interest at lows
  • 5m and 1h price change both positive (+16%), indicating momentary buy pressure
  • Low absolute price ($0.00000479) may attract speculative micro-cap buyers
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community presence

Bearish factors

  • Catastrophic 24h decline of ~77-80% from peak
  • 76% sell pressure with 608 sells vs. 256 buys in 24h
  • 294 unique sellers vs. only 45 unique buyers — broad distribution
  • FDV of only $4,543 — extremely low market cap with minimal institutional interest
  • Candle [24] shows a massive wick from $0.0000291 high to $0.0000114 close — classic pump-and-dump candle
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Total liquidity of $21.57K is extremely shallow, amplifying slippage risk

Confidence: low. Price prediction confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (candle [24] shows a range from $0.0000103 to $0.0000291 in a single hour), very low liquidity ($21.57K total), and meme token nature where price is driven by social sentiment rather than fundamentals. The 24-hour OHLC data shows a clear pump-and-dump pattern but short-term bounces are unpredictable.

tod call history

Full track record →

Aug 10bearish
24h+67.3%
7d—
30d-38.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
9w2nok...pump
Total Supply
949,180,415.19

Key Risks

  • Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~77-80% — token is in active dump phase
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21,570) with high slippage risk on any exit
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 76% sell volume, 294 sellers vs. 45 buyers
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC data tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candle [24] (22:00 UTC Aug 9) is the defining candle: it opened at $0.0000285, reached a high of $0.0000291, but closed at only $0.0000114 — a massive bearish engulfing/shooting star with an enormous upper wick, signaling the peak and the beginning of the dump. Candles [23] through [9] show a sustained downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, declining from ~$0.0000116 to ~$0.0000051. Candles [8] through [1] show a slight stabilization and minor recovery, with candle [1] (most recent) closing at $0.00000479 — slightly above its open of $0.00000424, forming a small bullish candle. Volume peaked at 7,335 in candle [24] and has been declining sharply since, with candle [1] at only 115 — consistent with fading interest post-dump.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The medium-term (24h) trend is firmly bearish — a classic pump-and-dump pattern with price falling ~80% from the peak. The very short-term (last 1-2 hours) shows a minor recovery bounce, but this is within the context of a dominant downtrend. The short-term 'uptrend' label reflects only the last 1-2 candles and should not be interpreted as a trend reversal.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

24%

Sell

76%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00000411 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.00000389 (candle [5] low — recent multi-hour low)

Immediate resistance

$0.00000546 (candle [6] high)

Major resistance

$0.00000741 (candle [9] open, former support turned resistance)

Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.00000411. A break below $0.00000389 (candle [5] low) would signal continuation of the downtrend. On the upside, $0.00000546 (candle [6] high) is the first meaningful resistance, followed by the $0.00000741 area where candle [9] opened. The $0.0000100 level represents a major psychological and technical resistance from the prior consolidation zone (candles [10]-[13]).

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle [24]: open $0.0000285, high $0.0000291, close $0.0000114 — classic pump peak signal
  • Sustained lower highs and lower lows from candles [24] through [5] — confirmed downtrend
  • Volume climax at candle [24] ($7,335) followed by rapid volume decay — distribution complete
  • Minor bullish candle in candle [1]: close ($0.00000479) above open ($0.00000424) — potential dead-cat bounce
  • Candle [4] shows a recovery attempt: low $0.00000386, close $0.00000401 — possible short-term floor forming
  • Declining volume on the bounce (candle [1] volume only 115 vs. peak 7,335) — weak buying conviction

Liquidity

Liquidity

$21,566.68

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $21,570 is extremely shallow relative to the 24h trading volume of ~$22,390 — meaning the entire liquidity pool turns over roughly once per day, creating significant price impact for any meaningful trade. Slippage risk is high; even modest sell orders will move the price materially. The net flow is strongly negative: $17,020 in sell volume vs. $5,370 in buy volume represents a 3.17:1 sell-to-buy ratio. The seller count (294 unique wallets) dwarfs buyers (45 unique wallets), confirming broad distribution. The FDV of $4,543 is actually lower than the total liquidity ($21,570), which is an unusual and concerning inversion suggesting the liquidity pool itself may represent a significant portion of the token's implied value. The pair trades on PumpSwap (qRFdyN4MyCeL7CCtbiXKiZniuL5mZT28rbJ9hRnk8bB).

Supply & authorities

Total supply

949,180,415.19

FDV

$4,542.97

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token lost ~77-80% of its value in a single 24-hour period, with a peak-to-trough decline from $0.0000291 to ~$0.00000389 (~87% intraday drawdown). Hourly candles show extreme price swings. This is among the highest volatility profiles possible.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $21,570 on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The FDV ($4,543) is actually below the liquidity pool value, creating an unusual and risky market structure.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~77-80% — token is in active dump phase
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21,570) with high slippage risk on any exit
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 76% sell volume, 294 sellers vs. 45 buyers
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • FDV ($4,543) lower than pool liquidity ($21,570) — unusual and risky market structure
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be fully assessed
  • Meme token with no stated utility — value entirely dependent on social sentiment
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified market depth

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is set to immutable (mutable: false) — metadata cannot be changed
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community infrastructure
  • Minor short-term bounce (+16% in 1h) suggests some residual buying interest
  • Price has declined so severely that downside from current levels may be partially priced in

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those new to crypto, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The token exhibits a textbook pump-and-dump profile and should be approached with extreme caution.

smoltod (tod) is a micro-cap Solana meme token that has undergone a severe pump-and-dump cycle, losing ~77-80% of its value in 24 hours from a peak FDV that was likely in the range of $20,000-$25,000 down to $4,543. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and the market structure shows overwhelming sell pressure. The only potential bull case rests on meme virality and speculative re-accumulation at depressed prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Community-driven meme revival: The token finds a floor near current levels ($0.00000389-$0.00000479), social media attention reignites interest, and new buyers accumulate at the depressed price. A recovery to the $0.0000100 level would represent a ~2x from current prices.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer attention
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • New whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Community building around the meme identity

Base Case

Slow bleed with occasional volatility spikes: The token stabilizes at a very low price level ($0.000003-$0.000005) with minimal trading activity, occasional speculative pumps that quickly reverse, and gradual decline in liquidity and holder count over weeks.

  • No major new catalyst emerges to reignite interest
  • Remaining holders slowly exit over days/weeks
  • Liquidity remains thin, causing high volatility on low volume
  • Token persists on PumpSwap but with minimal activity

Bear Case

High probability

Continued distribution and abandonment: Remaining holders continue to sell, liquidity dries up further, and the token trends toward near-zero. With FDV already at $4,543 and liquidity at $21,570, the token could lose another 80-90% of remaining value.

  • Sustained 76% sell pressure with no sign of reversal
  • 294 unique sellers vs. only 45 buyers — broad distribution ongoing
  • No utility or fundamental value to anchor price
  • Extremely shallow liquidity amplifying downside moves
  • Post-pump tokens on PumpSwap rarely recover without new catalysts

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 10, 09:47 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-10 21:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, authority, social links)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 24-hour OHLC hourly candles (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap pair data (liquidity, FDV)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — whaleMap and holderTrends sections contain no real data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior cannot be quantitatively assessed
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Token is unverified — on-chain contract has not been audited or verified
  • FDV and price data for a $4,543 market cap token are highly susceptible to manipulation by small trades
  • 24-hour OHLC data only — no longer-term price history available for trend analysis
  • Meme token valuation is driven by social sentiment which is inherently unpredictable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed comes from on-chain sources and third-party providers which may contain errors or delays. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is smoltod ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling smoltod?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is smoltod liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-10 21:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $21,566.68. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for smoltod (tod)?

The token is in a severe downtrend, having lost ~77-80% of its value in 24 hours. While there is a brief +16% bounce in the last 1 hour (candle [1] closing at $0.00000479 vs. open of $0.00000424), this appears to be a dead-cat bounce within a dominant downtrend. Sell pressure at 76% and 608 sells vs. 256 buys suggest continued distribution. The bounce may be short-lived without sustained buy volume. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000030 to $0.0000060.

Is tod a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those new to crypto, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The token exhibits a textbook pump-and-dump profile and should be approached with extreme caution.

What are the key risks of holding tod?

Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~77-80% — token is in active dump phase • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21,570) with high slippage risk on any exit • Overwhelming sell pressure: 76% sell volume, 294 sellers vs. 45 buyers

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