tod

smoltod Price Prediction 2026

tod
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 10, 2026

9w2nokGrjFACQaJaEJGafZgsxBePfDWdUav6ofSJpump

$0.054786

-77.01%

FDV $4,543

LiveContract:9w2nokGrjFACQaJaEJGafZgsxBePfDWdUav6ofSJpumpChain:SolanaHolders:913Market cap:$4,543

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Ask Unhosted AI about tod

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Aug 10, 09:47 PM
FDV

$4,543

Liquidity

$21,567

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

smoltod (tod) is a meme token on Solana launched via PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of only ~$4,543 and total liquidity of ~$21.57K. The token has experienced a catastrophic 24-hour price decline of approximately 77–80%, collapsing from a high near $0.0000291 to the current price of ~$0.00000479. Trading activity is heavily skewed toward selling (76% sell pressure, 608 sells vs. 256 buys), and the token exhibits all the hallmarks of a post-launch dump cycle. It is unverified, has unknown update authority, and carries very high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price collapse of ~77-80% from peak near $0.0000291
Heavily sell-dominated market: 76% sell pressure, 608 sells vs. 256 buys in 24h
Very low FDV (~$4,543) and shallow liquidity (~$21.57K) indicating micro-cap meme token
Launched on PumpSwap — typical pump-and-dump launch venue
Minor short-term recovery (+16% in last 1h) after steep decline
No verified contract, unknown update authority

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a severe downtrend, having lost ~77-80% of its value in 24 hours. While there is a brief +16% bounce in the last 1 hour (candle [1] closing at $0.00000479 vs. open of $0.00000424), this appears to be a dead-cat bounce within a dominant downtrend. Sell pressure at 76% and 608 sells vs. 256 buys suggest continued distribution. The bounce may be short-lived without sustained buy volume.

Target low$0.0000030
Target high$0.0000060
Support: $0.00000411 (candle [1] low), $0.00000389 (candle [5] low), $0.00000277 (extrapolated from candle [24] low of $0.0000103 trend)
Resistance: $0.00000546 (candle [6] high), $0.00000741 (candle [9] open/high), $0.0000100 (candle [12] area)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

With FDV at only ~$4,543 and liquidity at $21.57K, the token has very limited fundamental support. The dominant sell pressure and post-pump structure suggest continued price erosion unless a new catalyst emerges. Meme tokens of this size rarely recover from 80% drawdowns without fresh community momentum.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or viral moment
  • New whale accumulation at depressed prices
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity addition to the PumpSwap pool

Bullish factors

  • Short-term +16% bounce in last 1 hour suggests some buying interest at lows
  • 5m and 1h price change both positive (+16%), indicating momentary buy pressure
  • Low absolute price ($0.00000479) may attract speculative micro-cap buyers
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community presence

Bearish factors

  • Catastrophic 24h decline of ~77-80% from peak
  • 76% sell pressure with 608 sells vs. 256 buys in 24h
  • 294 unique sellers vs. only 45 unique buyers — broad distribution
  • FDV of only $4,543 — extremely low market cap with minimal institutional interest
  • Candle [24] shows a massive wick from $0.0000291 high to $0.0000114 close — classic pump-and-dump candle
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Total liquidity of $21.57K is extremely shallow, amplifying slippage risk
Confidence: low. Price prediction confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (candle [24] shows a range from $0.0000103 to $0.0000291 in a single hour), very low liquidity ($21.57K total), and meme token nature where price is driven by social sentiment rather than fundamentals. The 24-hour OHLC data shows a clear pump-and-dump pattern but short-term bounces are unpredictable.

tod call history

Full track record →
Aug 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC data tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candle [24] (22:00 UTC Aug 9) is the defining candle: it opened at $0.0000285, reached a high of $0.0000291, but closed at only $0.0000114 — a massive bearish engulfing/shooting star with an enormous upper wick, signaling the peak and the beginning of the dump. Candles [23] through [9] show a sustained downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, declining from ~$0.0000116 to ~$0.0000051. Candles [8] through [1] show a slight stabilization and minor recovery, with candle [1] (most recent) closing at $0.00000479 — slightly above its open of $0.00000424, forming a small bullish candle. Volume peaked at 7,335 in candle [24] and has been declining sharply since, with candle [1] at only 115 — consistent with fading interest post-dump.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 24%Sell 76%

The medium-term (24h) trend is firmly bearish — a classic pump-and-dump pattern with price falling ~80% from the peak. The very short-term (last 1-2 hours) shows a minor recovery bounce, but this is within the context of a dominant downtrend. The short-term 'uptrend' label reflects only the last 1-2 candles and should not be interpreted as a trend reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000411 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.00000389 (candle [5] low — recent multi-hour low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00000546 (candle [6] high)
Major$0.00000741 (candle [9] open, former support turned resistance)

Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.00000411. A break below $0.00000389 (candle [5] low) would signal continuation of the downtrend. On the upside, $0.00000546 (candle [6] high) is the first meaningful resistance, followed by the $0.00000741 area where candle [9] opened. The $0.0000100 level represents a major psychological and technical resistance from the prior consolidation zone (candles [10]-[13]).

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle [24]: open $0.0000285, high $0.0000291, close $0.0000114 — classic pump peak signal
  • Sustained lower highs and lower lows from candles [24] through [5] — confirmed downtrend
  • Volume climax at candle [24] ($7,335) followed by rapid volume decay — distribution complete
  • Minor bullish candle in candle [1]: close ($0.00000479) above open ($0.00000424) — potential dead-cat bounce
  • Candle [4] shows a recovery attempt: low $0.00000386, close $0.00000401 — possible short-term floor forming
  • Declining volume on the bounce (candle [1] volume only 115 vs. peak 7,335) — weak buying conviction

Liquidity$21,570
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$5,370
Sell$17,020
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers45
Unique sellers294

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $21,570 is extremely shallow relative to the 24h trading volume of ~$22,390 — meaning the entire liquidity pool turns over roughly once per day, creating significant price impact for any meaningful trade. Slippage risk is high; even modest sell orders will move the price materially. The net flow is strongly negative: $17,020 in sell volume vs. $5,370 in buy volume represents a 3.17:1 sell-to-buy ratio. The seller count (294 unique wallets) dwarfs buyers (45 unique wallets), confirming broad distribution. The FDV of $4,543 is actually lower than the total liquidity ($21,570), which is an unusual and concerning inversion suggesting the liquidity pool itself may represent a significant portion of the token's implied value. The pair trades on PumpSwap (qRFdyN4MyCeL7CCtbiXKiZniuL5mZT28rbJ9hRnk8bB).

Supply & Valuation

Total supply949,180,415.19
FDV$4,542.97

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

smoltod has a total supply of ~949.18 million tokens with a fully diluted valuation of only $4,543 at current prices — an extremely low market cap typical of newly launched meme tokens on PumpSwap. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting the metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data, so rug risk from authorities is marked unknown. The token is unverified (verified contract: false) and not flagged as spam. With a PumpSwap launch and no verified contract, investors should exercise extreme caution regarding authority risks. The description ('I am small. I am damp. I am in love with everyone in this room.') is a meme-style description with no utility claims.

Volatility
high

The token lost ~77-80% of its value in a single 24-hour period, with a peak-to-trough decline from $0.0000291 to ~$0.00000389 (~87% intraday drawdown). Hourly candles show extreme price swings. This is among the highest volatility profiles possible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $21,570 on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The FDV ($4,543) is actually below the liquidity pool value, creating an unusual and risky market structure.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, but the trading pattern (294 sellers vs. 45 buyers, 608 sells vs. 256 buys) strongly implies concentrated early ownership being distributed. PumpSwap launches typically feature high concentration among snipers and early buyers.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. However, the classic pump-and-dump candle pattern (candle [24]: high $0.0000291, close $0.0000114 on $7,335 volume) is consistent with coordinated early-buyer exit. The risk is assessed as medium rather than high only because sniper data cannot confirm specific sniper activity.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The unknown authority status prevents a definitive assessment but warrants caution.

Key risks

  • Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~77-80% — token is in active dump phase
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21,570) with high slippage risk on any exit
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 76% sell volume, 294 sellers vs. 45 buyers
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • FDV ($4,543) lower than pool liquidity ($21,570) — unusual and risky market structure
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be fully assessed
  • Meme token with no stated utility — value entirely dependent on social sentiment
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified market depth

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is set to immutable (mutable: false) — metadata cannot be changed
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community infrastructure
  • Minor short-term bounce (+16% in 1h) suggests some residual buying interest
  • Price has declined so severely that downside from current levels may be partially priced in
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those new to crypto, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The token exhibits a textbook pump-and-dump profile and should be approached with extreme caution.

smoltod (tod) is a micro-cap Solana meme token that has undergone a severe pump-and-dump cycle, losing ~77-80% of its value in 24 hours from a peak FDV that was likely in the range of $20,000-$25,000 down to $4,543. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and the market structure shows overwhelming sell pressure. The only potential bull case rests on meme virality and speculative re-accumulation at depressed prices.

Bull case (low)

Community-driven meme revival: The token finds a floor near current levels ($0.00000389-$0.00000479), social media attention reignites interest, and new buyers accumulate at the depressed price. A recovery to the $0.0000100 level would represent a ~2x from current prices.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer attention
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • New whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Community building around the meme identity

Base case

Slow bleed with occasional volatility spikes: The token stabilizes at a very low price level ($0.000003-$0.000005) with minimal trading activity, occasional speculative pumps that quickly reverse, and gradual decline in liquidity and holder count over weeks.

  • No major new catalyst emerges to reignite interest
  • Remaining holders slowly exit over days/weeks
  • Liquidity remains thin, causing high volatility on low volume
  • Token persists on PumpSwap but with minimal activity

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution and abandonment: Remaining holders continue to sell, liquidity dries up further, and the token trends toward near-zero. With FDV already at $4,543 and liquidity at $21,570, the token could lose another 80-90% of remaining value.

  • Sustained 76% sell pressure with no sign of reversal
  • 294 unique sellers vs. only 45 buyers — broad distribution ongoing
  • No utility or fundamental value to anchor price
  • Extremely shallow liquidity amplifying downside moves
  • Post-pump tokens on PumpSwap rarely recover without new catalysts

GeneratedAug 10, 09:47 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-10T21:00 UTC, based on the most recent OHLC candle timestamp.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, authority, social links)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 24-hour OHLC hourly candles (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap pair data (liquidity, FDV)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — whaleMap and holderTrends sections contain no real data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior cannot be quantitatively assessed
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Token is unverified — on-chain contract has not been audited or verified
  • FDV and price data for a $4,543 market cap token are highly susceptible to manipulation by small trades
  • 24-hour OHLC data only — no longer-term price history available for trend analysis
  • Meme token valuation is driven by social sentiment which is inherently unpredictable

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed comes from on-chain sources and third-party providers which may contain errors or delays. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply949,180,415.19

Key Risks

•Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~77-80% — token is in active dump phase
•Extremely shallow liquidity ($21,570) with high slippage risk on any exit
•Overwhelming sell pressure: 76% sell volume, 294 sellers vs. 45 buyers
•Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for smoltod (tod). Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the on-chain trading analytics paint a concerning picture: 294 unique sellers vs. only 45 unique buyers in 24 hours, with 608 sell transactions vs. 256 buy transactions. This ratio strongly suggests early buyers and insiders are distributing their holdings to a much smaller pool of buyers. The pump-and-dump candle pattern in candle [24] (peak volume of $7,335, massive upper wick) is consistent with coordinated early-buyer exit.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Early buyers who entered at or near the candle [24] peak (~$0.0000291) are deeply underwater at current prices (~$0.00000479), representing an ~84% loss from peak. Those who bought in the $0.0000100-$0.0000140 range (candles [8]-[17]) are also significantly underwater. Only buyers who entered in the last 1-2 hours near current lows may be near breakeven.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for smoltod (tod)?

The token is in a severe downtrend, having lost ~77-80% of its value in 24 hours. While there is a brief +16% bounce in the last 1 hour (candle [1] closing at $0.00000479 vs. open of $0.00000424), this appears to be a dead-cat bounce within a dominant downtrend. Sell pressure at 76% and 608 sells vs. 256 buys suggest continued distribution. The bounce may be short-lived without sustained buy volume. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000030 to $0.0000060.

Is tod a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those new to crypto, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The token exhibits a textbook pump-and-dump profile and should be approached with extreme caution.

What does sniper activity look like for tod?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding tod?

Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~77-80% — token is in active dump phase • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21,570) with high slippage risk on any exit • Overwhelming sell pressure: 76% sell volume, 294 sellers vs. 45 buyers

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