Tatesjail

Tates arrested Price Today & AI Analysis

Tatesjail
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 19, 2026

B3ctTEb4HgzhSiTPpHAKd2nxNu7VHkqBi7C4uC9Zpump

$0.054924

FDV $4,922

LiveContract:B3ctTEb4HgzhSiTPpHAKd2nxNu7VHkqBi7C4uC9ZpumpChain:SolanaHolders:766Market cap:$4,922

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Report snapshotas of Jul 19, 07:17 AM
FDV

$189,674

Liquidity

$48,352

Holders

781

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Tatesjail (TATESJAIL) is a meme/narrative token on Solana launched on PumpSwap, themed around the arrest of Andrew Tate. The token has a total supply of 1 billion and a current FDV of ~$189K. It is extremely new — holder count was flat at 34 for the entire 30-day historical window, then exploded to 781 holders within the last 24 hours (+747, +96%), coinciding with a 348% price surge. Trading activity is dominated by sell pressure (61.2% sell volume vs 38.8% buy volume), liquidity is shallow at $48.35K, and top holder/whale data is unavailable. The contract is unverified and update authority is unknown, raising meaningful rug/manipulation risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price surge of +348% driven by a real-world news narrative (Tate arrest)
Holder base grew from 34 to 781 (+96%) in a single day — almost entirely via swaps (777/781)
Sell pressure significantly outweighs buy pressure (61.2% vs 38.8%) despite the price spike
Liquidity is very shallow at $48.35K against a $189K FDV — high slippage risk
No top holder data available, making concentration risk impossible to quantify directly
Update authority unknown and contract unverified — elevated rug risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already surged +348% in 24h and is showing heavy sell pressure (61.2% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (07:00 UTC) shows a modest +3.9% gain but on sharply declining volume ($3,779 vs $14,017 in the 02:00 candle), suggesting momentum is fading. A mean-reversion pullback is the most probable short-term outcome. Support is near the $0.000136 level (candle [2] low) and $0.000089 (candle [3] open). Resistance sits at the candle [2] high of $0.000200.

Target low$0.000089
Target high$0.000200
Support: $0.000136 (candle [2] low), $0.000089 (candle [3] open/low), $0.000045 (candle [5] low)
Resistance: $0.000200 (candle [2] high), $0.000176 (candle [1] high / current area), $0.000150 (candle [3] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Narrative-driven meme tokens tied to real-world events typically fade rapidly once the news cycle moves on. With shallow liquidity ($48.35K), no verified contract, unknown update authority, and dominant sell pressure, the medium-term outlook is bearish unless a sustained new catalyst emerges. The token sat dormant at 34 holders for 30 days prior to this event, suggesting no organic community base.

Catalysts
  • Renewed mainstream media coverage of the Tate arrest narrative
  • Significant liquidity addition deepening the pool
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (unlikely given current metrics)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price momentum (+348%) driven by real-world news narrative
  • Rapid holder acquisition — 747 new holders in 24h, all via organic swaps
  • 1,217 buy transactions in 24h from 890 unique buyers shows broad retail interest
  • 5m price change of +3.16% and 1h change of +27.9% suggest short-term momentum still present

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume ($37.51K) significantly exceeds buy volume ($23.74K) — 61.2% sell pressure
  • Sellers (407) have much higher average sell size than buyers (890), indicating larger holders are exiting
  • Volume is declining sharply across recent hourly candles ($14K → $7.8K → $3.8K)
  • Liquidity is very shallow at $48.35K — large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 34 holders before this spike
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • No top holder data — concentration risk cannot be ruled out
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no top holder data to assess distribution, (2) unknown update authority preventing full rug risk assessment, (3) extremely short price history (only 6 hourly candles available), (4) meme/narrative tokens are inherently unpredictable, and (5) the 6h and 24h % change fields both show 0% in the analytics data, which may indicate a data lag or snapshot timing issue.

Tatesjail call history

Full track record →
Jul 19bearish
24h-95.4%
7d-98.1%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Six hourly candles are available, all from 2026-07-19 02:00–07:00 UTC. The price has made consistent higher lows and higher highs across all six candles: Low of $0.0000240 (candle [6]) rising to $0.0001694 (candle [1]), and highs from $0.0000519 to $0.0002001. This is a textbook parabolic uptrend over 6 hours. However, volume is declining sharply: $14,018 → $9,792 → $12,557 → $7,816 → $7,972 → $3,779, with the most recent candle showing the lowest volume of the series. Candle [6] (02:00) is a strong bull candle closing at its high. Candle [2] (06:00) shows a large upper wick (high $0.000200, close $0.000171), a potential shooting star / bearish reversal signal at the top. Candle [1] (07:00) is a small-bodied candle with a narrow range, suggesting indecision/exhaustion.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 39%Sell 61%

Short-term trend is a sharp uptrend over the past 6 hours with consistent higher highs and higher lows. However, the medium-term context (30 days of dormancy at 34 holders) is effectively sideways/flat. The current spike is a short-term event-driven move with no established medium-term trend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000136 (candle [2] low)
Major$0.000045 (candle [5] low — near launch base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000176 (candle [1] high / current price area)
Major$0.000200 (candle [2] high — intraday peak)

Immediate support at $0.000136 corresponds to the candle [2] low, which was the base of the most recent consolidation. Major support at $0.000045 represents the early-session low before the main pump. Immediate resistance is the candle [1] high at $0.000176, with major resistance at the intraday peak of $0.000200 from candle [2]. A failure to hold $0.000136 would open a path back toward $0.000089–$0.000067.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic higher-highs / higher-lows across all 6 hourly candles
  • Shooting star / large upper wick on candle [2] (06:00 UTC) — potential bearish reversal signal at intraday high
  • Bearish volume divergence: price rising while volume declining across candles [4]→[1]
  • Candle [1] (most recent) is a narrow-range doji-like candle suggesting exhaustion/indecision
  • Candle [6] (02:00 UTC) is a strong bull engulfing candle closing at its high — the launch candle

Total holders781
24h Δ+747
7d Δ+747
30d Δ+747
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is perfectly correlated with the price spike — both occurred simultaneously within the last 24 hours. The token had exactly 34 holders for every single day in the 30-day historical series (June 19 – July 18, 2026), with zero net change. Then in a single day, 747 new holders joined (+96%), all via swap transactions (777 of 781 total holders acquired via swap). This is a textbook news-driven FOMO event, not organic community growth.

The holder history is stark: 34 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero growth, followed by an explosion to 781 holders (+747, +96%) in a single 24-hour window. This pattern is characteristic of a narrative/meme token that was dormant and then triggered by a real-world news event. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth happened in the last day. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (777/781), with only 4 transfers, indicating organic market buying rather than airdrop farming. However, the rapid holder acquisition during a price spike raises concerns about sustainability — many of these new holders may exit quickly if price momentum fades.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — no top 20 holders were returned, and supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which likely reflects a data gap rather than true uniform distribution. The distribution breakdown (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) further confirms the holder classification data is missing or not yet indexed. Given the token is only ~1 day old in terms of active trading, on-chain distribution data may not yet be fully populated. The absence of this data is itself a risk factor — concentration risk cannot be ruled out, and the 34 original holders who sat dormant for 30+ days may hold significant supply and are likely distributing into the current pump.

Liquidity$48,350
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$23,740
Sell$37,510
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers890
Unique sellers407

Liquidity is very shallow at $48.35K against a FDV of $189K — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 25.5%. This means any moderately sized sell order will cause significant price impact. The 24h net flow is clearly negative: $37.51K in sell volume vs $23.74K in buy volume, a $13.77K net outflow. Despite having more unique buyers (890) than sellers (407), the sell side is generating far more dollar volume per transaction (~$92/seller vs ~$27/buyer), indicating that larger holders are distributing while retail is buying in small amounts. The pair trades on PumpSwap (77WcHUDbA8ATQSj2eTUBmEMpVQkbZfrWLAW8V3KrfQRJ), which is a permissionless AMM with no guaranteed liquidity floor. The 6h and 24h price change fields showing 0% in the analytics snapshot may indicate a data timing artifact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$189,674

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a standard 1 billion supply with 6 decimals, consistent with PumpFun/PumpSwap launch templates. The FDV is $189,674 at current price. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified (verified=false). The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, with mint and freeze authority status unknown, the risk of supply inflation or account freezing cannot be ruled out. The token was launched on PumpSwap (a PumpFun derivative), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism — this may mean the token has already graduated from the bonding curve given it has a PumpSwap pair. No information on team allocations, vesting, or treasury is available. The 'possible spam' flag is false per the data.

Volatility
high

The token surged +348% in 24 hours from a dormant base. Six hourly candles show a parabolic move from $0.0000240 to $0.0001761 — a 7.3x move in 6 hours. This level of volatility is extreme and typical of pump-and-dump dynamics.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $48.35K on PumpSwap. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~25.5%. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity for larger positions is effectively non-existent.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable. The token had only 34 holders for 30+ days before the pump, meaning those early holders likely hold a disproportionate share of supply and are positioned to dump into current demand. Supply concentration metrics show 0% which reflects a data gap, not actual distribution.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. However, the presence of 34 dormant early holders who have been holding for 30+ days represents a significant latent dump risk. These wallets are now sitting on large unrealized gains and the sell-side dominance (61.2% of volume) suggests distribution is already underway.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown', mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. The contract is unverified. These factors mean the token creator may retain the ability to mint new supply or freeze holder accounts, representing a direct rug risk.

Key risks

  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug pull vector
  • Unverified smart contract
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($48.35K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • 34 dormant early holders likely sitting on large gains and distributing
  • Sell pressure dominates (61.2% of 24h volume is sells)
  • Narrative-driven token with no fundamental value — dependent entirely on news cycle
  • No top holder data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days — no organic community
  • Declining volume on rising price — classic exhaustion signal

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as mutable=false — metadata cannot be changed
  • Real-world news catalyst (Tate arrest) provides short-term narrative momentum
  • 747 new holders in 24h shows genuine retail interest
  • 1,217 buy transactions from 890 unique buyers — not a single-wallet pump
  • Listed on PumpSwap with an active trading pair
  • Possible spam flag is false
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme coin dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative position. The combination of unknown authorities, shallow liquidity, dormant early holders, and dominant sell pressure makes this an extremely high-risk asset.

Tatesjail is a pure narrative/meme token with no intrinsic value, launched on PumpSwap and triggered by the real-world arrest of Andrew Tate. It experienced a 348% price surge and 96% holder growth in a single day after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The investment case is entirely speculative and momentum-dependent. The dominant sell pressure, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and dormant early holder base create a very high-risk profile. Any thesis must be treated as a short-term trade, not an investment.

Bull case (low)

The Tate arrest narrative continues to dominate social media and crypto Twitter, driving sustained FOMO buying. New liquidity is added to the pool, reducing slippage risk. The token gains traction on meme coin aggregators and influencer channels, pushing FDV toward $500K–$1M. Early holders who haven't sold continue to hold, reducing sell pressure.

  • Sustained mainstream media coverage of the Tate arrest
  • Influencer/KOL promotion on crypto social media
  • Liquidity deepening via new LP providers
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Early holders choosing to hold rather than distribute

Base case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 40–60% from current highs over the next 24–72 hours as early holders distribute and FOMO buying slows. Price stabilizes in the $0.000080–$0.000120 range with reduced volume. The token persists as a low-liquidity meme coin but fails to establish a sustained community or utility, gradually fading to near-zero over weeks.

  • News narrative provides 1–3 days of residual interest before fading
  • Early holders distribute gradually rather than in a single dump
  • Retail buyers continue to absorb some sell pressure in the short term
  • No additional liquidity is added to the pool
  • No rug pull event occurs in the immediate term

Bear case (high)

The news cycle moves on within hours/days. The 34 dormant early holders continue distributing into retail demand, draining liquidity. Volume collapses as FOMO fades. Price retraces 80–95% from current levels back toward the pre-pump range ($0.000023–$0.000050). Liquidity is withdrawn, effectively making the token untradeable.

  • News narrative fades rapidly — no sustained catalyst
  • Early holders (30+ days dormant) aggressively dumping into pump
  • Sell pressure already at 61.2% of volume despite price being near highs
  • Declining volume on recent candles signals exhaustion
  • Shallow liquidity amplifies downside moves
  • Unknown authority risk — potential rug pull

GeneratedJul 19, 07:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-07-19T07:00 UTC. OHLC data covers the most recent 6 hourly candles. Holder history covers 30 days. Top holder data was unavailable at time of analysis.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: B3ctTEb4HgzhSiTPpHAKd2nxNu7VHkqBi7C4uC9Zpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (77WcHUDbA8ATQSj2eTUBmEMpVQkbZfrWLAW8V3KrfQRJ)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (6 candles, 2026-07-19 02:00–07:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and acquisition breakdown
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Moralis token analytics API

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Mint and freeze authority status is unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • No sniper data available — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate cannot be determined
  • Only 6 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data gaps, not actual distribution
  • The 6h and 24h price change fields show 0% in analytics, which may be a data snapshot timing artifact
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in terms of active trading — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • Holder distribution breakdown (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus all = 0) appears to be a data indexing gap

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. All data is sourced from on-chain and third-party APIs and may contain errors or gaps. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug pull vector
Unverified smart contract
Extremely shallow liquidity ($48.35K) — high slippage and exit risk
34 dormant early holders likely sitting on large gains and distributing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, indirect signals from trading analytics are notable: 407 sellers generated $37.51K in sell volume vs 890 buyers generating only $23.74K in buy volume. This means the average seller transacted ~$92 vs the average buyer at ~$27 — suggesting larger, more sophisticated wallets are on the sell side while retail buyers are accumulating in smaller amounts. This is a classic distribution pattern.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown from sniper data. Indirectly, the token was dormant for 30+ days with only 34 holders, suggesting early holders have been sitting on positions for an extended period and may be aggressively distributing into the current news-driven pump.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Tates arrested (Tatesjail)?

The token has already surged +348% in 24h and is showing heavy sell pressure (61.2% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (07:00 UTC) shows a modest +3.9% gain but on sharply declining volume ($3,779 vs $14,017 in the 02:00 candle), suggesting momentum is fading. A mean-reversion pullback is the most probable short-term outcome. Support is near the $0.000136 level (candle [2] low) and $0.000089 (candle [3] open). Resistance sits at the candle [2] high of $0.000200. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000089 to $0.000200.

Is Tatesjail a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme coin dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative position. The combination of unknown authorities, shallow liquidity, dormant early holders, and dominant sell pressure makes this an extremely high-risk asset.

How are Tatesjail holders trending?

Tates arrested currently has 781 holders and is growing (24h: 747, 7d: 747, 30d: 747). The holder history is stark: 34 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero growth, followed by an explosion to 781 holders (+747, +96%) in a single 24-hour window. This pattern is characteristic of a narrative/meme token that was dormant and then triggered by a real-world news event. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth happened in the last day. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (777/781), with only 4 transfers, indicating organic market buying rather than airdrop farming. However, the rapid holder acquisition during a price spike raises concerns about sustainability — many of these new holders may exit quickly if price momentum fades.

What does sniper activity look like for Tatesjail?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Tatesjail?

Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug pull vector • Unverified smart contract • Extremely shallow liquidity ($48.35K) — high slippage and exit risk

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