Tilcayo

Leopardus tilcayo Price Today & AI Analysis

TilcayoSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 17, 2026

Price

$0.000220

+431.11% 24h · FDV $214,740

Contract

Live
AyYNfPtftg2zDP4ZbgcoQMggQtwLh4zpfVVmUJs2thto

Chain

Solana

Holders

2,022

Market cap

$214,740

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 17, 04:17 PM UTC

FDV

$214,740

Liquidity

$21,582

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Tilcayo (Leopardus tilcayo, mint AyYNfP...s2thto) is a newly launched Solana memecoin trading on PumpSwap that experienced an explosive +431.1% 24h price surge to $0.000219983844476, reaching a fully diluted valuation of $214.74K. However, total liquidity is only $21.58K, volume has decayed sharply (~93%) within the last two observed hourly candles, and critical data — holder distribution, whale concentration, sniper activity, and mint/freeze authority status — is entirely unavailable, leaving substantial unknowns around rug and dump risk.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price appreciation (+431.1%) typical of a fresh PumpSwap launch/pump
  • Very thin liquidity ($21.58K) relative to 24h trading volume (~$1.73M combined), implying high slippage risk
  • Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper data — an unusual transparency gap for risk assessment
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status, leaving rug risk unquantified
  • Near-even but slightly buyer-favored 24h flow (50.6% buy vs 49.4% sell; 4,978 buyers vs 3,959 sellers)
  • Rapid volume decay (~93%) between the two most recent hourly candles, suggesting fading initial pump momentum

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-48 hours

bearish

Given the sharp volume decay (~93% drop between the two available candles), the long lower wick on the latest candle, and the -14.7% 5-minute move, short-term price action is likely to remain highly volatile with a bearish tilt as the initial pump fades. A retest of the $0.000164 support is plausible; a break below could open further downside.

Target low

$0.000120

Target high

$0.000290

Support

$0.000164, $0.0000038 (extreme downside/pre-pump base)

Resistance

$0.000282, $0.000491 (all-time high from pump candle)

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

neutral

Without holder, whale, or sniper data, and given the token's very recent listing and thin liquidity, medium-term direction is highly uncertain. Sustainability will depend heavily on whether liquidity deepens, whether social/community traction persists, and whether authority/rug risks are clarified. Absent new catalysts, reversion toward pre-pump valuations is a real possibility.

Catalysts

  • Liquidity providers adding meaningful depth to the pool
  • Verification of mint/freeze authority status (positive if renounced, negative if not)
  • Continued or renewed social media/community engagement
  • Broader memecoin sector sentiment shifts on Solana/PumpSwap

Bullish factors

  • Unique buyers (4,978) exceed unique sellers (3,959) in the 24h window
  • Slight net-positive buy volume (50.6% vs 49.4%)
  • Active trading pair with meaningful (though thin) liquidity on PumpSwap
  • Existing social media presence (Twitter) suggesting some community formation

Bearish factors

  • Volume collapsed ~93% between the two most recent hourly candles
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.58K) magnifies downside volatility
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status raises rug risk
  • No holder/whale/sniper data available to confirm healthy distribution
  • Classic pump-and-fade candle pattern observed (huge wick then retrace)
  • 5-minute price move already negative (-14.7%), suggesting momentum is turning

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely limited dataset — only two hourly candles, no holder data, no sniper data, and unknown authority status. This token is very young with minimal historical price action to establish reliable trend or support/resistance levels, and key risk-clarifying data points are simply unavailable.

Tilcayo call history

Full track record →

Sep 17bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
AyYNfP...thto
Total Supply
976,163,121.15 Tilcayo

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.58K) relative to volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out rug/inflation risk
  • No holder or whale concentration data available to assess distribution risk
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dump risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data was available for this token. Sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be determined and are reported as unknown/zero per methodology, rather than fabricated. Profit-taking risk from early snipers is therefore rated low only because it is unmeasured, not because it is confirmed to be low — treat this as an information gap, not a clean signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unknown — no sniper or early-buyer wallet data provided to assess sentiment or behavior of early participants.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (15:00 UTC) shows an enormous range from open $0.0000038 to a high of $0.000491 before closing at $0.000224 — a massive intra-candle spike and pullback (long upper wick, effectively a blow-off/wick candle) on volume of $1.81M, indicative of an initial explosive pump likely at or near token launch/graduation on PumpSwap. Candle 2 (16:00 UTC) opened at $0.000224, pushed to a high of $0.000282, dropped to a low of $0.000164, and closed at $0.000220 — a wide-range doji-like candle with a long lower wick, suggesting sellers stepped in after the pump but buyers defended the level, closing roughly flat versus the open. Volume collapsed to $122K in candle 2 versus $1.81M in candle 1, showing rapidly fading momentum after the initial spike.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term price action (5m: -14.7%, 1h: +117.7%) shows extreme volatility with a sharp pullback in the most recent minutes after a massive 1-hour rally. The 24h change of +431.1% reflects the initial explosive launch/pump, but the medium-term picture (based on only two candles) looks more like consolidation/sideways churn between roughly $0.000164 and $0.000282 after the initial spike faded.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000164 (candle 2 low)

Major support

$0.0000038 (candle 1 open, pre-pump base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000282 (candle 2 high)

Major resistance

$0.000491 (candle 1 high, all-time spike)

With only two candles of data, support/resistance levels are provisional. The $0.000164–$0.000282 range from the most recent candle represents the immediate trading band. The $0.000491 high from the initial pump candle stands as major resistance/all-time high, while the pre-pump open near $0.0000038 marks a theoretical major support floor, though a retrace to that level would represent a near-total collapse from current pricing.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off spike with long upper wick on candle 1 (pump-and-partial-retrace)
  • Wide-range doji-like candle with long lower wick on candle 2 (seller rejection followed by buyer defense)
  • Sharp volume decay (~93%) between candle 1 and candle 2
  • Extreme short-term volatility (5m -14.7% vs 1h +117.7%)

Liquidity

Liquidity

$21.58K

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $21.58K is extremely thin relative to the 24h trading volume of over $1.7M combined (buy+sell), implying a volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeding 80x. This is a strong indicator of high slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade and suggests the pool could be easily manipulated or drained. Buy volume ($874.19K, 50.6%) modestly exceeds sell volume ($852.97K, 49.4%), producing a mild net inflow, but the balance is close to even. Unique buyers (4,978) outnumber unique sellers (3,959), a mildly bullish signal on participation breadth, but with such shallow liquidity, price action can be violently distorted by even modest capital flows.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$874.19K

Sell volume

$852.97K

Net flow

Inflow

Unique buyers

4,978

Unique sellers

3,959

Supply & authorities

Total supply

976,163,121.15 Tilcayo

FDV

$214.74K

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all marked 'unknown' in the provided metadata, as is verified contract status and mutability. This is a meaningful gap — without confirmation that mint/freeze authorities are renounced, there is an unquantified risk that the token supply could be inflated or accounts frozen by a privileged authority. The FDV of $214.74K against a total supply of ~976.16M tokens implies the current market price already reflects the fully diluted supply (decimals=6, small per-token price of ~$0.00022). Given the total absence of verification data, this token should be treated as high uncertainty on the tokenomics/authority front until confirmed independently on-chain.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +431.1%, 1h change of +117.7%, and 5m change of -14.7% demonstrate extreme volatility typical of a freshly launched memecoin. Intra-candle ranges spanning from $0.0000038 to $0.000491 in a single hour underscore the potential for rapid, severe price swings in either direction.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $21.58K against 24h trading volume exceeding $1.7M combined — a volume/liquidity ratio far above sustainable levels. This shallow liquidity means large trades will incur significant slippage and the pool is vulnerable to rapid drain or manipulation.

  • Concentrationhigh

    No holder/whale distribution data is available to verify concentration, which itself is a red flag. Absent verified data confirming a healthy, decentralized holder base, concentration risk must be assumed elevated by default for a token this young and this small in liquidity.

  • Sniper Dumphigh

    No sniper data is available to rule out early-buyer/sniper dumping. Combined with the observed rapid volume decay after the initial pump candle, there is meaningful unverified risk that early buyers/snipers could already be distributing into the current price strength.

  • Authorityhigh

    Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, verified contract status, and mutability are all marked unknown. Without confirmation that mint/freeze authorities are renounced, there remains a plausible risk of supply inflation or account freezing by a privileged party.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.58K) relative to volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out rug/inflation risk
  • No holder or whale concentration data available to assess distribution risk
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dump risk
  • Extreme volatility with a fading volume trend after an initial pump (>93% volume decay in one hour)
  • Token is a self-described 'memecoin' with no stated utility beyond speculation
  • Data source classifies verified contract status, spam status, and mutability as unknown, adding to due-diligence uncertainty

Mitigating factors

  • 24h unique buyers (4,978) exceed unique sellers (3,959), suggesting broader participation on the buy side
  • 24h buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume (50.6% vs 49.4%), a mild net-inflow signal
  • Token trades on PumpSwap, a known launch venue, which at least provides a transparent, on-chain trading venue

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. It exhibits classic high-risk memecoin characteristics: minimal liquidity, extreme volatility, unverified contract authorities, and no available holder/sniper data to corroborate healthy distribution. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking capital preservation.

Tilcayo (Leopardus tilcayo) appears to be a newly launched PumpSwap memecoin that experienced an explosive initial pump (+431.1% 24h) followed by rapid volume decay and continued extreme volatility. With only $21.58K in liquidity, a $214.74K FDV, and no verifiable holder, whale, or sniper data, this token carries substantial informational and structural risk alongside classic memecoin speculative upside potential.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If community/social momentum (leveraging the existing Twitter presence) continues to build and buy-side participation (4,978 unique buyers vs 3,959 sellers in 24h) persists, the token could see further speculative rallies typical of viral PumpSwap launches, especially if liquidity providers add depth to reduce slippage.

  • Sustained or growing social media traction
  • Continued net-positive buyer/seller ratio
  • New liquidity additions reducing slippage and attracting larger buyers
  • Broader memecoin market risk-on sentiment

Base Case

Given the data available, the most likely near-term outcome is continued high volatility and price discovery within a wide range (roughly $0.000164–$0.000282 based on the most recent candle), with a meaningful chance of further downside as initial pump momentum fades, absent new catalysts or liquidity injections.

  • No material change in liquidity depth in the near term
  • No new verified information on mint/freeze authority emerges
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders
  • Volume continues to normalize toward more moderate levels after the initial spike

Bear Case

High probability

The sharp ~93% volume decay between the first and second hourly candle, combined with a long lower wick and extreme volatility, suggests the initial pump is already fading. Unknown mint/freeze authority status and absent holder/sniper data raise the possibility of concentrated ownership or authority-based rug risk, which could lead to a rapid price collapse back toward pre-pump levels.

  • Rapid fading of trading volume post-launch spike
  • Extremely shallow liquidity enabling large price swings on modest capital
  • Unverified/unknown mint and freeze authorities
  • No transparency on holder concentration or sniper activity
  • Classic memecoin pump-and-dump pattern signatures (huge wick, fast volume decay)

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 17, 04:17 PM UTC

Data freshness

Price and analytics data reflect the most recent available snapshot as of the last OHLC candle (2026-09-17T16:00:00Z); holder and sniper endpoints were unavailable at time of analysis.

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, FDV)
  • PumpSwap pair price and 24h change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 most recent candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder data available — holderTrends and whaleMap sections contain only placeholder zero/empty values
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals could not be computed and are reported as unknown
  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles were provided, severely limiting technical analysis reliability and trend confirmation
  • Authority status (mint, freeze, update) and contract verification status are all unknown, preventing a definitive rug-risk determination
  • 6h price change data unavailable
  • Data is self-reported by the token's metadata/creator in part and may contain adversarial or misleading content per platform disclosure

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited, possibly incomplete or adversarial on-chain and market data provided at a single point in time. Cryptocurrency memecoins, especially newly launched, low-liquidity tokens, carry very high risk of total capital loss. Conduct independent due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Leopardus tilcayo (Tilcayo)?

Given the sharp volume decay (~93% drop between the two available candles), the long lower wick on the latest candle, and the -14.7% 5-minute move, short-term price action is likely to remain highly volatile with a bearish tilt as the initial pump fades. A retest of the $0.000164 support is plausible; a break below could open further downside. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.000120 to $0.000290.

Is Tilcayo a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. It exhibits classic high-risk memecoin characteristics: minimal liquidity, extreme volatility, unverified contract authorities, and no available holder/sniper data to corroborate healthy distribution. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking capital preservation.

What does sniper activity look like for Tilcayo?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Tilcayo?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.58K) relative to volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out rug/inflation risk • No holder or whale concentration data available to assess distribution risk

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