Moth

Mempool Moth Price Today & AI Analysis

MothSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 17, 2026

Price

$0.046395

+66.41% 24h · FDV $61,475

Contract

Live
4xd5GwBhRrkHdf5o5M1rrHwboQCsf8yoLxGDPj1SRD6V

Chain

Solana

Holders

566

Market cap

$61,475

More tokens on Solana

ANSEMANSEMThe Black Bull$0.1316+4.0%MC $131.22MxBTCxBTCHylo Leveraged BTC$1.76+2.2%MC $970.7Kpillpillpill$0.001994+361.2%MC $1.93MCHIPCHIPUSD.AI$0.0363-6.3%MC $470.8KPOTPOTGrok Pot$0.000252-9.4%MC $241.0KPAIDPAIDPaid$0.009146+22390.7%MC $8.90M
Loading price chart…

Ask Unhosted AI about Moth

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 17, 01:46 PM UTC

FDV

$61,475

Liquidity

$11,834

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

Mempool Moth (MOTH) is a micro-cap Solana meme token trading on PumpSwap with a current price of $0.0000640, a fully diluted valuation of ~$61.48K, and only $11.83K in total liquidity. The token experienced an explosive parabolic price spike (up to ~96x within the observed 13-hour candle window) followed by a sharp pullback and consolidation, accompanied by fading trading volume. No holder distribution, whale concentration, or sniper wallet data is available for verification, and mint/freeze authority status is unknown, leaving significant transparency gaps.

Key points

  • Extreme intra-session volatility with a spike to $0.000323 followed by a fade to $0.0000640
  • Very thin liquidity ($11.83K) relative to 24h trading volume (~$1.72M combined), implying a >140x volume/liquidity ratio
  • Nearly balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (50.4%/49.6%) despite the dramatic price swings
  • No holder, whale, or sniper data available — a notable transparency gap for risk assessment
  • Authority renouncement and contract verification status unknown, adding uncertainty around rug risk

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 1-24 hours

neutral

Price is consolidating in a tight range between roughly $0.0000387 and $0.0000994 after a parabolic spike to $0.000323 faded on declining volume. Near-term direction is unclear — a break of either boundary could trigger a fast move given the very thin $11.83K liquidity pool.

Target low

$0.0000350

Target high

$0.000100

Support

$0.0000387, $0.0000086

Resistance

$0.0000994, $0.000162, $0.000323

Medium term · 3-7 days

bearish

Absent a fresh volume catalyst or renewed social momentum, the classic pump-and-fade pattern already visible in the candle data (volume decay from 512K to ~25K per hour) suggests medium-term price decay is more likely than a sustained breakout, typical for PumpSwap/pump.fun-style meme tokens post-spike.

Catalysts

  • Renewed social media attention (Twitter) could reignite volume
  • Any liquidity injection or listing catalyst could support price
  • Continued lack of holder/authority transparency could accelerate a sell-off if confidence erodes

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($864.92K) marginally exceeds sell volume ($852.58K), a slight net inflow
  • High unique buyer count (4,002) shows continued retail interest
  • Medium-term price is still up massively versus the session's starting low

Bearish factors

  • Sharp rejection wicks at the $0.000162-$0.000323 highs indicate strong selling into strength
  • Volume has decayed significantly from the initial pump (512K down to ~25K per hour)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($11.83K) increases risk of a rapid downside cascade
  • Unknown authority/rug-risk status adds uncertainty that could trigger panic selling if negative news emerges

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely short 13-hour data window, absence of holder and sniper verification data, unknown authority/rug-risk status, and the inherently unpredictable nature of thinly-liquid meme-token price action.

Moth call history

Full track record →

Sep 17neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4xd5Gw...RD6V
Total Supply
961,255,504.64 MOTH

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($11.83K) relative to volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protections are in place
  • No holder distribution or sniper data available to verify concentration or early-buyer dumping risk
  • Parabolic price action (up to 96x intra-window) followed by sharp pullback suggests high risk of further violent swings in either direction

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper analysis data was made available for this token (the sniper endpoint returned no data). As a result, sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through behavior cannot be assessed and are reported as unknown rather than estimated.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unable to determine — no sniper/early-buyer wallet data supplied.

Deep Analysis

Over the most recent 13 hourly candles, MOTH staged an explosive parabolic move from an open near $0.0000033 (candle 1) to an intra-hour spike high of $0.000323 (candle 7), before pulling back and consolidating in the $0.000039–$0.000099 range over the last several hours, closing the most recent candle at $0.0000640.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term (13h window) trend is strongly up — price is roughly 19x off the candle-1 open of $0.00000334 — but the short-term (last 4-5 candles) trend is a cooling/downtrend as price has retraced from the $0.000162-$0.000323 peak zone (candles 6-8) down to the $0.0000387-$0.0000994 consolidation band (candles 10-13).

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000387 (candle 13 low)

Major support

$0.0000086 (candle 4 low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000994 (candle 12 high)

Major resistance

$0.000323 (candle 7 high, all-time spike)

Price is currently consolidating between the $0.0000387 immediate support and $0.0000994 immediate resistance band established over the last 4 candles. A break above ~$0.0001 could open a retest of the $0.000162-$0.000225 zone (candles 6, 8 highs), while a breakdown below $0.0000387 risks a retest of the deeper $0.0000086-$0.0000122 support zone seen earlier in the session (candles 3-4).

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic spike-and-fade: candle 1 shows a massive upper wick from $0.0000033 to $0.000112 within a single hour, indicating early extreme volatility/possible sniper or bot activity
  • Long upper wick / rejection candles at 6-8 (highs of $0.000162-$0.000323 vs closes far lower), suggesting strong selling pressure at highs
  • Volume climax followed by decay — classic pump-and-cool pattern typical of newly launched PumpSwap meme tokens
  • Recent tightening range (candles 10-13) with lower volume, suggesting a possible basing/accumulation phase or pre-continuation pause

Liquidity

Liquidity

$11.83K

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $11.83K is extremely thin relative to a 24h trading volume of roughly $1.72M combined (buy+sell), implying a volume-to-liquidity ratio above 140x — a strong sign of a highly reflexive, thinly-liquefied pool where even modest trade sizes can move price dramatically. Buy volume ($864.92K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($852.58K), producing a marginal net inflow (50.4% vs 49.6% pressure), but the difference is negligible and does not indicate strong directional conviction. With 4,002 unique buyers vs 3,752 unique sellers in 24h, participation is high and roughly balanced, consistent with a churning, high-velocity meme-coin pool rather than sustained accumulation. Given the shallow liquidity depth on a single PumpSwap pair, slippage risk for any meaningfully-sized trade is high.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$864.92K

Sell volume

$852.58K

Net flow

Inflow

Unique buyers

4,002

Unique sellers

3,752

Supply & authorities

Total supply

961,255,504.64 MOTH

FDV

$61.48K

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all listed as unknown in the provided metadata — verified contract status and mutability are also unknown. With an FDV of only ~$61.48K against ~961.26M tokens outstanding, this is a micro-cap token trading at a fraction of a cent ($0.0000640). Because authority renouncement cannot be confirmed, rug risk from authorities cannot be ruled out and is conservatively rated unknown/elevated caution is warranted until on-chain authority fields are verified directly.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved from an intra-window low near $0.0000034 to a spike high of $0.000323 (roughly 96x) and back down to $0.000064 within a 13-hour window — this is extreme, casino-like volatility typical of a freshly launched PumpSwap meme token.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $11.83K against a 24h combined trading volume near $1.72M, a volume/liquidity ratio over 140x, meaning the pool can be easily unbalanced by moderate-sized trades, and large exits could crash price severely.

  • Concentrationhigh

    No holder or whale distribution data is available, but given the tiny liquidity pool, micro FDV (~$61.48K), and early-stage nature of the pair, concentration risk is presumed elevated by default; this cannot be verified due to missing holder data, which itself is a risk flag.

  • Sniper Dumphigh

    No sniper data was available for direct verification, but the candle-1 wick from $0.0000033 to $0.000112 (a >30x intra-candle spike) combined with subsequent sharp rejections at highs (candles 6-8) is consistent with early-sniper buying and profit-taking dumping into retail demand.

  • Authoritymedium

    Mint/freeze authority renouncement status, verified-contract status, and mutability are all listed as unknown in the metadata. Without confirmation of renounced authorities, the possibility of further minting or freezing of accounts cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($11.83K) relative to volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protections are in place
  • No holder distribution or sniper data available to verify concentration or early-buyer dumping risk
  • Parabolic price action (up to 96x intra-window) followed by sharp pullback suggests high risk of further violent swings in either direction
  • Micro FDV (~$61.48K) and micro-cap status make the token highly susceptible to single-wallet price impact
  • Description field is 'none' and verification status is unknown, indicating minimal due-diligence material is publicly available

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy/sell volume is roughly balanced (50.4%/49.6%), suggesting no overwhelming one-sided sell pressure at this moment
  • High unique participant counts (4,002 buyers vs 3,752 sellers in 24h) indicate active two-sided market interest rather than a single whale dominating flow
  • Price has stabilized into a tighter consolidation range in the most recent candles versus the initial parabolic spike, suggesting some short-term stabilization

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital; unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors given the shallow liquidity, unverifiable authority settings, and absence of holder/sniper transparency data.

Mempool Moth (MOTH) is a micro-cap PumpSwap meme token that experienced an extreme parabolic pump (up to ~96x within a 13-hour candle window) followed by a sharp pullback and consolidation. With only $11.83K in liquidity, a $61.48K FDV, and no verifiable holder, whale, or sniper data, this is a highly speculative, high-risk trade rather than a fundamentals-driven investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If retail attention and social momentum (Twitter presence noted) continue, MOTH could see renewed buying interest pushing price back toward the $0.000162-$0.000323 zone tested earlier, especially if buy pressure (currently 50.4%) tips further positive and volume reaccelerates.

  • Renewed social/community momentum could reignite speculative buying
  • Balanced buyer/seller counts (4,002 vs 3,752) show active two-sided interest that could tip bullish
  • Tight recent consolidation range could resolve upward if new catalysts emerge

Base Case

Price likely continues to chop within the recently established $0.0000387-$0.0000994 range as the initial pump fully digests, with volatility remaining elevated but directionless until a clear volume/liquidity catalyst emerges.

  • Liquidity remains near current ~$11.83K levels without major new injections
  • No major holder/sniper dump or authority-related rug event occurs in the near term
  • Retail trading interest gradually normalizes toward typical meme-token decay patterns

Bear Case

High probability

Given the extremely thin liquidity, unknown authority status, and classic pump-and-fade candle pattern already visible (sharp rejection wicks at $0.000162-$0.000323), MOTH could continue grinding lower or collapse sharply if early holders/snipers exit, especially since sniper and holder data cannot be verified.

  • Shallow $11.83K liquidity makes the token vulnerable to cascading sell-offs
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority raises rug-pull possibility
  • Fading volume (from 512K down to ~25K in recent candles) shows waning buyer conviction
  • Typical pump.fun/PumpSwap style tokens often see terminal decline after initial spike

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 17, 01:46 PM UTC

Data freshness

Most recent candle timestamp 2026-09-17T13:00:00.000Z; price and analytics reflect same approximate window

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, FDV)
  • PumpSwap pair price feed
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (13 most recent hours)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution or holder growth data available — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are empty by necessity
  • No sniper wallet data available — smart money signals cannot be verified
  • Mint/freeze authority and contract verification status all listed as unknown, preventing a confident rug-risk assessment
  • Only 13 hourly candles provided, limiting the depth of technical trend analysis to a very short lookback window
  • Native token price change and 6h price change were marked unknown in source data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All conclusions are derived strictly from the limited on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (holder data, sniper data, authority status). The token exhibits characteristics of a highly speculative, newly-launched micro-cap meme asset with extreme volatility and shallow liquidity. Users should conduct independent due diligence and never invest more than they can afford to lose.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Mempool Moth (Moth)?

Price is consolidating in a tight range between roughly $0.0000387 and $0.0000994 after a parabolic spike to $0.000323 faded on declining volume. Near-term direction is unclear — a break of either boundary could trigger a fast move given the very thin $11.83K liquidity pool. Short-term outlook is neutral (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000350 to $0.000100.

Is Moth a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital; unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors given the shallow liquidity, unverifiable authority settings, and absence of holder/sniper transparency data.

What does sniper activity look like for Moth?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Moth?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($11.83K) relative to volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protections are in place • No holder distribution or sniper data available to verify concentration or early-buyer dumping risk

← Back to all predictions

Track Moth