ALX

Alx Price Today & AI Analysis

ALX
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 17, 2026

A7iQ8N5jKDrg1YUxJ7v8aN5AtkwJaUTNhq1jZ8YLFrAJ

$0.047736

+89.17%

FDV $76,302

LiveContract:A7iQ8N5jKDrg1YUxJ7v8aN5AtkwJaUTNhq1jZ8YLFrAJChain:SolanaHolders:1,090Market cap:$76,302

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Ask Unhosted AI about ALX

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Sep 17, 06:16 AM
FDV

$76,302

Liquidity

$12,360

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

ALX is a micro-cap token trading on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of just $76.3K and extremely thin liquidity of $12.36K. The token experienced an extraordinary intraday move, spiking from roughly $0.0000054 to a high of $0.000219 (~40x) within the final hours of the 24h candle window before retracing to $0.0000774, still up 89% on the day. Volume exploded from negligible levels to over $547K in a single hour, coinciding with the price spike, then began cooling. No holder distribution, whale, or sniper data is available from upstream sources, which severely limits verification of who is behind this volatility.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Massive 24h price spike (+89%) with an intraday peak move of roughly 40x from the daily low
Very low liquidity ($12.36K) relative to daily volume (~$887K combined), indicating high volatility and manipulation potential
No holder or sniper data available, creating significant transparency gaps
Balanced but very high buy/sell volume and transaction counts (6,729 buys vs 5,683 sells) suggest active two-sided speculative trading rather than one-directional dumping

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1-6 hours

After a parabolic spike to $0.000219 and retracement to $0.0000774, the most recent 5-minute move is already -13.16%, suggesting the blow-off top may be exhausting. With such thin liquidity, further sharp downside swings are likely as early spike buyers take profit.

Target low$0.000045
Target high$0.000095
Support: $0.0000507 (candle 23 low), $0.0000684 (candle 18 low area)
Resistance: $0.000131 (candle 24 high), $0.000219 (candle 22 high, all-time intraday high)

Medium term

neutral
1-3 days

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given the lack of holder and sniper data plus extremely low liquidity. If buy pressure (currently 50.5%) persists near parity with sell pressure, price could stabilize in a lower range well below the spike high, but a break of the $12.36K liquidity pool could cause dramatic moves in either direction.

Catalysts
  • Continued social media attention/promotion around the token
  • Potential liquidity additions or removals from the PumpSwap pool
  • Any large holder distribution (unknown currently) exiting positions

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($448.32K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($439.42K), a modestly positive net flow
  • Unique buyers (3,080) outnumber unique sellers (2,382) in the past 24h
  • Recent 1h price change is positive (+23.1%), showing some renewed buying interest despite the 5m dip

Bearish factors

  • 5-minute price change is sharply negative (-13.16%), indicating imminent momentum loss after the spike
  • Extremely low liquidity ($12.36K) cannot support sustained buying without significant slippage
  • The pattern of a rapid ~40x spike followed by a fast retracement is characteristic of pump-and-dump behavior on new PumpSwap pairs
  • No holder or sniper data to confirm distribution health, adding uncertainty to any bullish thesis
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the absence of holder concentration data, sniper wallet data, and verified authority status, combined with extremely thin liquidity that makes price action highly unpredictable and susceptible to manipulation.

ALX call history

Full track record →
Sep 17bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour hourly candle series shows a long consolidation phase between roughly $0.0000053 and $0.0000081 from hours 1-19, followed by an explosive breakout starting at hour 20-21 where price surged from $0.0000072 to an intraday high of $0.000219 at hour 22, accompanied by volume spiking from near-zero to $547K. The move then partially reversed, closing the most recent candle at $0.0000774, roughly 65% below the spike high but still far above the pre-breakout base.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 51%Sell 50%

Short-term (last few candles) price is retracing sharply from the spike high, forming a downtrend within the last 2-3 hours. Medium-term (24h), the trend remains an uptrend given the massive net gain of +89% versus the start of the window, but this is dominated entirely by one anomalous spike candle rather than sustained buying.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000684 (hour 23 intra-candle low before recovery)
Major$0.0000507 (hour 23 candle low, near pre-spike base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000131 (hour 24 candle high)
Major$0.000219 (hour 22 all-time high in the observed window)

The token built a base between $0.0000053-$0.0000081 for roughly 19 hours before an explosive breakout. Key support now sits near $0.00005-0.00007 (pre-spike/retracement zone) while resistance is defined by the spike highs of $0.000131-$0.000219. A sustained close below $0.00007 would signal the breakout has fully failed, while reclaiming $0.00013 would suggest renewed bullish momentum.

Notable patterns

  • Long basing/consolidation range (hours 1-19) followed by a sharp breakout candle (hour 21-22) — classic low-liquidity pump pattern
  • Extreme wick on hour 22 candle (open $0.0000074, high $0.000219, close $0.000147) indicating a blow-off top with heavy intra-candle rejection
  • Two zero-volume candles (hours 13 and 19) suggesting periods of no trading activity, consistent with a thinly traded, illiquid pair
  • Sharp red retracement candle at hour 23 (high $0.000210 down to low $0.0000507) confirming a fast unwind of the spike

Liquidity$12.36K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$448.32K
Sell$439.42K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers3,080
Unique sellers2,382

Total liquidity of just $12.36K is extremely shallow relative to the ~$887.7K combined 24h trading volume — a volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeding 70x, which is a strong indicator of high volatility and slippage risk. Despite this, 24h buy volume ($448.32K) modestly exceeds sell volume ($439.42K), and unique buyers (3,080) outnumber unique sellers (2,382), pointing to a mild net inflow bias. However, with liquidity this thin, even the observed volumes imply the pool is being recycled many times over, and large single trades could cause severe price impact in either direction.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply986,352,784.48 ALX
FDV$76,302

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is approximately 986.35 million ALX tokens with a fully diluted valuation of only $76.3K, reflecting a very low per-token price ($0.0000774) typical of a pump.fun-style launch on PumpSwap. Metadata fields for update authority, mutability, verified contract status, and mint/freeze authority are all listed as 'unknown,' meaning it cannot be confirmed whether the contract has renounced mint or freeze authority. This lack of transparency is itself a risk factor — investors cannot verify whether supply can be increased or accounts frozen at the contract level.

Volatility
high

Price moved from ~$0.0000054 to a spike high of ~$0.000219 within the 24h window, then retraced to $0.0000774 — an intraday range exceeding 40x. The 24h change is +89% but 5m change is -13%, showing violent whipsaws typical of a low-cap PumpSwap pair in a parabolic/blow-off phase.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $12.36K against a $76.3K FDV and ~$800K+ combined 24h volume. This thin liquidity pool means even moderate-sized trades can move price significantly and large holders could drain the pool with limited slippage protection.

Concentration
high

No holder distribution data is available for this token, so concentration cannot be verified from on-chain holder endpoints. Given the extremely low liquidity ($12.36K) relative to volume, it is reasonable to assume a small number of wallets can materially influence price, but this is an inference, not a confirmed on-chain metric.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available from the upstream endpoint, so sniper concentration and PnL cannot be quantified. However, the huge volume/candle spike at hours 21-24 (volume jumping from ~$600 to $547K then $353K) is consistent with sniper/bot entry followed by partial exit, though this cannot be confirmed without sniper wallet data.

Authority
medium

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all listed as 'unknown' in the metadata. Verified contract status and mutability are also unknown. Without confirmation that mint/freeze authorities are renounced, there is residual risk that supply could be altered or accounts frozen.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($12.36K) relative to 24h volume (~$887K combined), making the pair highly susceptible to slippage and manipulation
  • Parabolic price spike of ~40x intraday followed by a sharp pullback (-13% in the most recent 5 minutes) suggests a pump-and-dump pattern
  • No holder distribution data available — concentration risk cannot be verified, which is itself a red flag for transparency
  • No sniper wallet data available to assess early-buyer dumping risk
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown — cannot confirm rug-pull protections are in place
  • Token description ('Fees to @alx') is minimal and unverified; verified contract status is unknown

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy/sell volume is roughly balanced (50.5% buy vs 49.5% sell), suggesting no overwhelming one-sided dumping at the aggregate level
  • Buyer count (3,080) exceeds seller count (2,382) in the last 24h, indicating some net new demand
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) which provide minimal community verification surface
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. This token exhibits classic micro-cap/low-liquidity pump characteristics on PumpSwap with no verifiable holder or authority data — it is unsuitable for conservative or medium-risk investors.

ALX is a sub-$100K FDV token that just underwent a violent ~40x intraday spike and partial retracement on very thin liquidity ($12.36K). The setup is characteristic of speculative pump.fun/PumpSwap micro-caps: extreme volatility, balanced but massive two-sided volume, and critical data gaps (no holder, whale, sniper, or authority data) that prevent a full risk picture. This is a highly speculative, short-term trading vehicle at best, not a fundamentals-based investment.

Bull case (low)

If the recent breakout attracts sustained social/community attention and new buyers continue to outpace sellers (as seen with 3,080 buyers vs 2,382 sellers in 24h), price could stabilize at a level well above the pre-spike base (~$0.000053) and build a new higher range, rewarding early re-entries near current levels (~$0.0000774).

  • Continued buyer count exceeding seller count
  • Social media/community momentum sustaining attention on the token
  • Possible liquidity additions strengthening the trading pool

Base case

Price likely continues to be highly volatile and range-bound between the pre-spike base (~$0.00005-0.00007) and the spike highs (~$0.00013-0.00022) as speculative traders continue two-sided churn, with volume gradually declining from the spike-hour peaks as observed in the last candle ($18.3K vs $547K at peak).

  • No major new liquidity events occur
  • Buy/sell volumes remain roughly balanced near the current 50.5%/49.5% split
  • No confirmed rug event via mint/freeze authority exploitation

Bear case (high)

The parabolic spike (40x within hours) was a classic pump that is already unwinding, as shown by the -13.16% move in the most recent 5 minutes. With only $12.36K in liquidity, sellers could rapidly drive price back toward or below the pre-spike base of ~$0.0000053-$0.0000081, resulting in a near-total loss for late buyers.

  • Extremely thin liquidity unable to absorb sustained selling
  • Rapid negative momentum in the most recent minutes
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status raising rug-pull concerns
  • No verifiable holder distribution data to rule out concentrated dumping

GeneratedSep 17, 06:16 AM
Data freshnessOHLC and trading analytics data current as of 2026-09-17T06:00:00.000Z (most recent hourly candle close)
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Token metadata endpoint
  • OHLC hourly candle data (24 candles) from PumpSwap pair HEvXUg2aX6C8pLWxsycb9pMjG7U8QwVsywo3PMPxHQXS
  • Trading analytics endpoint (24h volume, buy/sell counts, price % changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution or holder growth data available — upstream holder endpoints retired
  • No whale/top-holder wallet data available
  • No sniper wallet data available — sniper concentration and PnL cannot be computed
  • Metadata fields for verified contract, mutability, update authority, and mint/freeze authority status are all 'unknown', preventing full rug-risk verification
  • Analysis relies on only 24 hourly candles, limiting longer-term trend validation
  • Token data originates from an untrusted, potentially adversarial source (creator-supplied name/description/links) and has been treated strictly as evidence, not instruction

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and low-cap token trading carries substantial risk of loss, including total loss of capital. The data underlying this report has significant gaps (holder, whale, sniper, and authority information are unavailable) and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Conduct independent due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply986,352,784.48 ALX

Key Risks

•Extremely thin liquidity ($12.36K) relative to 24h volume (~$887K combined), making the pair highly susceptible to slippage and manipulation
•Parabolic price spike of ~40x intraday followed by a sharp pullback (-13% in the most recent 5 minutes) suggests a pump-and-dump pattern
•No holder distribution data available — concentration risk cannot be verified, which is itself a red flag for transparency
•No sniper wallet data available to assess early-buyer dumping risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper wallet data was available from the upstream endpoint for this token. As a result, sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be determined and are reported as unknown/zero per methodology rules rather than estimated.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown - no sniper data available

Cannot be determined without sniper/early-buyer wallet data. The observed volume spike at hours 21-22 (from near-zero to $547K) is circumstantially consistent with bot or early-buyer activity, but this is speculative and not confirmed by actual wallet-level data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Alx (ALX)?

After a parabolic spike to $0.000219 and retracement to $0.0000774, the most recent 5-minute move is already -13.16%, suggesting the blow-off top may be exhausting. With such thin liquidity, further sharp downside swings are likely as early spike buyers take profit. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-6 hours), with a target range of $0.000045 to $0.000095.

Is ALX a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. This token exhibits classic micro-cap/low-liquidity pump characteristics on PumpSwap with no verifiable holder or authority data — it is unsuitable for conservative or medium-risk investors.

What does sniper activity look like for ALX?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding ALX?

Extremely thin liquidity ($12.36K) relative to 24h volume (~$887K combined), making the pair highly susceptible to slippage and manipulation • Parabolic price spike of ~40x intraday followed by a sharp pullback (-13% in the most recent 5 minutes) suggests a pump-and-dump pattern • No holder distribution data available — concentration risk cannot be verified, which is itself a red flag for transparency

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