MUSEBOOK (ER5Mk4jK2gpLSTneD14hHczodi3rsVU4mEGFaa9rQMjw) is a micro-cap Solana token trading on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of only ~$31.57K and total liquidity of just $7.84K. The token has exhibited extreme intra-hour volatility, including a wick to $0.000299 followed by a collapse, and is currently down ~19.99% over the last hour/24h at a price of $0.0000323. Critical data gaps exist: no holder distribution data, no sniper data, and unknown mint/freeze authority status, all of which limit the depth of this analysis and add to the overall risk profile.

Risk: Very High

Sentiment: Bearish

Extremely low liquidity ($7.84K) relative to 24h trading volume (~$870K combined), implying very high turnover and slippage risk

Violent intra-hour candle wicks (open $0.00000294 to high $0.000299 in one hour) atypical even for meme-token volatility

Nearly balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (50.2%/49.8%) despite the sharp price decline

No holder, sniper, or authority-verification data available, creating significant transparency gaps

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish

1-24 hours

Following a sharp -19.99% decline over the past hour and a spike-and-fade candle pattern, near-term price action is likely to remain highly volatile with a bearish tilt unless fresh buying volume emerges to defend the $0.0000246 support level.

Target low$0.0000200

Target high$0.0000450

Support: $0.0000246, $0.00000294
Resistance: $0.0000701, $0.000299 (outlier wick, low reliability)

Medium term

neutral

3-7 days

With only two hourly candles of history and no holder/authority verification, medium-term direction is highly uncertain. The token's trajectory will likely hinge on whether liquidity deepens and whether the current balanced buy/sell flow tips decisively in either direction.

Catalysts

Any change in liquidity depth (additions or removals from the $7.84K pool)
Clarification of mint/freeze authority status, which could reduce or increase perceived risk
Sustained shift in buy vs. sell pressure away from the current near-50/50 balance
Broader Solana meme-token market sentiment given the PumpSwap listing

Bullish factors

Balanced 24h buy/sell volume (50.2% buy vs 49.8% sell) shows two-sided market participation rather than pure capitulation
Broad participation with 2,498 unique buyers and 2,083 unique sellers in 24h suggests more than a handful of actors are involved
Very low FDV (~$31.57K) means small capital inflows could produce large percentage price gains

Bearish factors

Sharp -19.99% price decline over the last 1h/24h period
Extreme spike-and-fade candle pattern suggesting rejection of higher prices and potential manipulation
Extremely shallow liquidity ($7.84K) creates high slippage and fragility to further sell pressure
Unknown authority status leaves open dilution/freeze risk that could trigger further selling if resolved unfavorably

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely limited data set: only two OHLC candles, no holder data, no sniper data, and unknown tokenomics/authority status. The extreme volatility already observed (a >100x intra-candle wick) further undermines the reliability of any short-term price projection.

MUSEBOOK call history

Full track record →

Sep 16bearish@ $0.0000323

24hpending

7dpending

30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (05:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000294, spiked intra-candle to a high of $0.000299 (a massive wick, ~100x the open), then closed near $0.0000340 — indicating an extreme, likely bot-driven or illiquid-pool price spike that was almost entirely rejected. Candle 2 (06:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000340, ran up to $0.0000701 before collapsing to a low of $0.0000246, closing at $0.0000323 — another large wick-and-fade pattern. Both candles show huge high-to-close reversals, a classic sign of a thinly-traded pool with erratic, low-liquidity price discovery rather than organic trend formation.

Trend

Short-term

downtrend

Medium-term

sideways

Momentum

Status

neutral

Volume

Trendincreasing

Buy 50%Sell 50%

The most recent candle closed down significantly from its intra-period high, and the 1h/24h change of -19.99% signals a sharp short-term pullback after a volatile spike. With only two candles of data, a medium-term trend cannot be reliably established, so it is characterized as sideways/uncertain pending more data.

Key Price Levels

Support

Immediate$0.0000246 (candle 2 low)

Major$0.00000294 (candle 1 open/low)

Resistance

Immediate$0.0000701 (candle 2 high)

Major$0.000299 (candle 1 high, likely an anomalous wick)

Given only two candles, support/resistance levels are provisional. The candle 1 high of $0.000299 appears to be an extreme outlier wick unlikely to be quickly retested and should be treated as a low-reliability resistance ceiling. More realistic near-term resistance sits near the candle 2 high of $0.0000701, while immediate support is the candle 2 low of $0.0000246. A breakdown below this level could expose the token to a retest of the deeper candle 1 zone near $0.00000294.

Notable patterns

Large upper-wick rejection candles on both bars (spike-and-fade)
Sharp intra-hour volatility spike (candle 1 high ~10x the close)
Recent -19.99% pullback after a local high, suggesting short-term exhaustion

Liquidity$7.84K

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

high

Volume (24h)

Buy$436.88K

Sell$433.25K

Net flow

balanced

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,498

Unique sellers2,083

Total liquidity of just $7.84K against a 24h trading volume of over $870K combined (buy+sell) is extremely thin — implying volume-to-liquidity ratio above 100x, a hallmark of a highly speculative, low-depth micro-cap pool on PumpSwap. Buy volume ($436.88K, 50.2%) and sell volume ($433.25K, 49.8%) are nearly balanced, suggesting no strong directional flow despite the price collapse. With only $7.84K in liquidity, even modest trade sizes will cause significant price impact/slippage in either direction. The gap between buyers (2,498) and sellers (2,083) and between buys (7,694) and sells (6,104) suggests more numerous but likely smaller buy transactions, consistent with retail-driven, low-conviction trading.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply978,520,899.38

FDV$31,565

Authorities

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Metadata fields for update authority, mutability, verified contract status, and master edition are all listed as 'unknown' in the provided data, making it impossible to confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. This is a meaningful gap: an active mint authority could allow supply inflation/dilution, and an active freeze authority could allow wallets to be frozen. Given the very low FDV (~$31.57K) and shallow liquidity, this token bears the typical profile of a freshly launched PumpSwap micro-cap where authority status has not been independently verified — treat with caution until confirmed on-chain.

Volatility

medium