xSOL

xSOL Price Today & AI Analysis

xSOLSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 12, 2026

Price

$0.0926

+13.80% 24h

Contract

Live
4sWNB8zGWHkh6UnmwiEtzNxL4XrN7uK9tosbESbJFfVs

Chain

Holders

30,284

Market cap

$14,914,275

More tokens on Solana

xSOL: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-12 01:19 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$1,005,185.34
How concentrated is xSOL ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling xSOL?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is xSOL liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-12 01:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,005,185.34. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-12 01:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 12, 01:19 AM UTC

FDV

$5,230,272

Liquidity

$1,005,185.34

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

xSOL (mint: 4sWNB8zGWHkh6UnmwiEtzNxL4XrN7uK9tosbESbJFfVs) is a Solana-based token described as 'tokenized leveraged long exposure to SOL,' trading at $0.0304 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$5.29M and total liquidity of ~$1.01M on a Meteora DLMM pair. The token is verified and not flagged as spam, but its update authority is a non-renounced external wallet (AqjVRKbksVmjftXgNYesou5uVHNvR9xvMneTrmA6sbLU) and the contract is mutable, introducing meaningful governance and rug risk. Trading activity over 24h shows a near-balanced buy/sell split (48.2% buys vs 51.8% sells) with moderate volume. Holder and whale data are unavailable. No sniper data was provided.

Key points

  • Described as leveraged long SOL exposure — a synthetic/derivative-style product on Solana
  • Verified contract with social links (Twitter, website), suggesting some project legitimacy
  • ~$1.01M liquidity on Meteora DLMM provides moderate depth for a ~$5.29M FDV token
  • Mutable contract with non-renounced update authority introduces elevated governance risk
  • Near-balanced buy/sell pressure (48.2%/51.8%) with 738 unique wallets in 24h

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 1–24 hours

neutral

Price has recovered from an intraday low of ~$0.02812 (candle 9) to the current $0.0304, forming a short-term recovery. However, the most recent high-volume candle (candle 2, ~$21.9K volume) and the large-range candle 3 (~$231.5K volume) show significant two-way volatility. With sell pressure marginally dominant (51.8%) and volume tapering sharply in candle 1 (only $89.75), the short-term outlook is neutral-to-cautious.

Target low

$0.02812

Target high

$0.03226

Support

$0.02812 (candle 9 low), $0.02863 (candle 10 low), $0.02884 (candle 3 low)

Resistance

$0.03077 (candle 1 high), $0.03130 (candle 2 high), $0.03226 (candle 3 high)

Medium term · 3–14 days

neutral

Medium-term direction is highly correlated with SOL price given xSOL's leveraged-long design. If SOL continues its broader uptrend, xSOL should outperform on the upside. However, the mutable contract, non-renounced authority, and lack of holder/whale transparency create persistent downside risk. Sustained volume above $500K/day and liquidity growth would be needed to confirm a bullish medium-term trend.

Catalysts

  • SOL price appreciation amplified by leveraged exposure mechanism
  • Liquidity pool deepening on Meteora DLMM
  • Community growth and social engagement (Twitter/website)
  • Potential protocol integrations or yield strategies

Bullish factors

  • 6h price change of +5.57% shows recent upward momentum
  • Recovery from intraday low of $0.02812 to $0.0304 (~8% bounce)
  • ~$1.01M liquidity relative to $5.29M FDV is a reasonable 19% liquidity ratio
  • Verified contract and social presence suggest active project
  • 738 unique wallets active in 24h indicates broad participation

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume ($722.69K) exceeds buy volume ($671.76K) over 24h
  • Mutable contract with non-renounced update authority (AqjVRKbksVmjftXgNYesou5uVHNvR9xvMneTrmA6sbLU)
  • Extreme volume spike in candle 3 ($231.5K) followed by near-zero volume in candle 4 ($99) suggests erratic trading
  • No holder or whale data available — distribution risk unknown
  • Leveraged long exposure amplifies downside if SOL declines

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no holder or whale distribution data available, (2) no sniper data, (3) only 17 hourly candles provided with highly variable volume, (4) mutable contract with non-renounced authority adds unpredictable governance risk, and (5) the leveraged-long mechanism is not fully described on-chain.

xSOL call history

Full track record →

Aug 12neutral
24h—
7d—
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4sWNB8...FfVs
Total Supply
172,226,111.835535

Key Risks

  • Mutable contract with non-renounced update authority — creator can modify token parameters
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Leveraged long SOL exposure amplifies downside during SOL price declines
  • No holder or whale distribution data — concentration risk is unquantifiable

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

17 hourly candles reviewed. Candles 5–16 show low-volume, narrow-range price action between ~$0.02812 and ~$0.02975, consistent with consolidation or thin liquidity. Candle 3 (23:00 UTC Aug 11) is the dominant candle: O:$0.03039, H:$0.03226, L:$0.02884, C:$0.02978 — a large bearish engulfing-style candle with $231.5K volume, the highest in the dataset, suggesting a significant sell event or liquidation. Candle 2 (00:00 UTC Aug 12) shows recovery: O:$0.02978, H:$0.03130, L:$0.02903, C:$0.03066 with $21.9K volume — a bullish recovery candle. Candle 1 (01:00 UTC Aug 12, most recent) is a small-bodied candle with only $89.75 volume, suggesting momentum has stalled post-recovery.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is mildly bullish following the recovery from the $0.02812 low, with price making a higher low (candle 2 low $0.02903 vs candle 3 low $0.02884) and closing above the prior candle's open. Medium-term trend is sideways, as price has oscillated between $0.02812 and $0.03226 without a clear directional breakout over the observed window.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

48%

Sell

52%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.02978 (candle 3 close / candle 2 open)

Major support

$0.02812 (candle 9 absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.03077 (candle 1 high)

Major resistance

$0.03226 (candle 3 high — session high)

Immediate support sits at the candle 3 close (~$0.02978), which also served as the candle 2 open, making it a key pivot. Major support is the session low of $0.02812 from candle 9. Immediate resistance is the candle 1 high of $0.03077; a break above this would target the candle 2 high of $0.03130 and ultimately the session high of $0.03226.

Notable patterns

  • Large bearish engulfing-style candle (candle 3) with $231.5K volume — highest volume event in dataset, suggesting a significant sell or liquidation event
  • Bullish recovery candle (candle 2) following the sell-off, closing above midpoint of candle 3's range
  • Doji-like low-volume candle (candle 1) at the top of the recovery — potential momentum exhaustion signal
  • Multiple single-tick candles (O=H=L=C) in candles 4, 6, 8, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 — indicative of very thin liquidity and sporadic trading during those hours
  • Higher low formation: candle 9 low ($0.02812) → candle 3 low ($0.02884) → candle 2 low ($0.02903) suggests short-term accumulation

Liquidity

Liquidity

$1,005,185.34

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of ~$1.01M on the Meteora DLMM pair (6t5fJwGxmTy2gWiq6CiLw2roZc93UanvANypMYQYHKGh) represents approximately 19% of the $5.29M FDV — a moderate liquidity ratio for a token of this size. The 24h sell volume ($722.69K) exceeds buy volume ($671.76K) by ~$51K, resulting in a net outflow. Unique sellers (643) slightly outnumber unique buyers (609), confirming mild net selling pressure. With 5,018 buys and 5,442 sells recorded, average trade sizes are small (~$134 per buy, ~$133 per sell), suggesting retail-dominated activity. Slippage risk is rated medium: while $1.01M liquidity is reasonable, the DLMM structure concentrates liquidity in price bins, and large trades could face meaningful slippage outside the active range. The extreme volume concentration in candle 3 ($231.5K in one hour) relative to other hours suggests the pool can experience sharp price impact during high-activity periods.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

172,226,111.835535

FDV

$5,290,000

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The 17-candle OHLC window shows a single-hour range of $0.02884–$0.03226 (candle 3, ~11.8% range) with $231.5K volume, demonstrating extreme intraday volatility. As a leveraged long SOL product, downside moves in SOL are amplified.

  • Liquiditymedium

    $1.01M total liquidity on a Meteora DLMM pair provides moderate depth. However, DLMM liquidity is concentrated in price bins, and the observed single-candle volume spike ($231.5K) caused a ~11% price swing, indicating meaningful slippage risk for larger positions.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Mutable contract with non-renounced update authority — creator can modify token parameters
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Leveraged long SOL exposure amplifies downside during SOL price declines
  • No holder or whale distribution data — concentration risk is unquantifiable
  • Extreme intraday volatility observed (11.8% single-candle range with $231.5K volume)
  • Net sell pressure over 24h ($722.69K sells vs $671.76K buys)
  • Thin liquidity in most hours (many candles under $300 volume) despite $1.01M pool

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract and not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Social presence (Twitter and website) suggests an active project team
  • ~$1.01M liquidity is a reasonable 19% of FDV for a token at this market cap tier
  • 738 unique wallets active in 24h indicates distributed participation
  • 6h price momentum is positive (+5.57%), suggesting recent buying interest

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi participants who understand leveraged synthetic token mechanics, Solana on-chain risks, and are prepared for potential total loss. Not suitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with Solana DeFi, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely.

xSOL presents as a leveraged long SOL exposure token on Solana with moderate liquidity (~$1.01M) and an FDV of ~$5.29M. The core thesis is a leveraged bet on SOL price appreciation. However, significant structural risks — mutable contract, non-renounced authority, unknown mint/freeze status, and absent holder data — make this a high-risk instrument. The near-balanced buy/sell pressure and moderate liquidity provide some stability, but the token's leveraged nature and governance risks demand caution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

SOL enters a sustained uptrend, and xSOL's leveraged mechanism delivers amplified returns. Liquidity deepens as more participants seek leveraged SOL exposure on-chain. The project team demonstrates transparency by revoking authorities and publishing audit results, driving confidence and holder growth.

  • Sustained SOL price appreciation amplified by leverage mechanism
  • Authority renouncement and smart contract audit publication
  • Liquidity pool growth on Meteora DLMM
  • Broader Solana DeFi ecosystem growth driving demand for leveraged products

Base Case

xSOL continues to trade in a range correlated with SOL price movements, with moderate daily volume (~$500K–$1.4M) and stable liquidity around $1M. The leveraged mechanism provides modest outperformance during SOL upswings but underperforms during flat or declining SOL periods. Governance risks remain unresolved but are not immediately exploited.

  • SOL price remains range-bound or mildly bullish over the next 30 days
  • Liquidity on Meteora DLMM remains at or above $800K
  • No adverse action taken by the update authority
  • Daily trading volume sustains at current levels (~$1.4M combined)

Bear Case

Medium probability

SOL price declines, amplifying losses for xSOL holders via the leverage mechanism. The mutable contract is exploited or modified adversarially by the update authority. Liquidity providers exit the pool, causing a liquidity crisis and extreme slippage. The token loses relevance as competitors offer safer leveraged SOL products.

  • SOL price decline amplified by leverage, triggering cascading sells
  • Adverse use of mutable contract / non-renounced update authority
  • Liquidity withdrawal from Meteora DLMM pool
  • Unknown mint authority enabling supply dilution

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 12, 01:19 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-12 01:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority, mutability)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 17 hourly OHLC candles (USD, Aug 11–12 2026)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buy/sell counts, unique wallets, liquidity)
  • Meteora DLMM pair data (pair address, liquidity depth)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder count, growth, or distribution data available — holder and whale sections contain placeholder zeros only
  • No sniper or early-buyer wallet data available — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Only 17 hourly candles provided — insufficient for robust technical analysis or trend confirmation
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • The leveraged mechanism of xSOL is described only in token metadata (untrusted) — on-chain verification of the leverage mechanism was not performed
  • FDV figures show minor discrepancy between metadata ($5,230,272) and trading analytics ($5,290,000) — likely due to price feed timing differences
  • Mutable contract means historical analysis may not reflect current token behavior

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from on-chain and market data providers and reflects conditions at the time of analysis. Token metadata, descriptions, and social claims are provided by the token creator and are unverified. Past price performance does not predict future results. Investing in small-cap Solana tokens carries extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is xSOL ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling xSOL?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is xSOL liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-12 01:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,005,185.34. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for xSOL (xSOL)?

Price has recovered from an intraday low of ~$0.02812 (candle 9) to the current $0.0304, forming a short-term recovery. However, the most recent high-volume candle (candle 2, ~$21.9K volume) and the large-range candle 3 (~$231.5K volume) show significant two-way volatility. With sell pressure marginally dominant (51.8%) and volume tapering sharply in candle 1 (only $89.75), the short-term outlook is neutral-to-cautious. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.02812 to $0.03226.

Is xSOL a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.2/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi participants who understand leveraged synthetic token mechanics, Solana on-chain risks, and are prepared for potential total loss. Not suitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with Solana DeFi, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely.

What are the key risks of holding xSOL?

Mutable contract with non-renounced update authority — creator can modify token parameters • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Leveraged long SOL exposure amplifies downside during SOL price declines

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