merci

merci Price Today & AI Analysis

merciSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$0.048702

+74.39% 24h

Contract

Live
9NPmnDgL39NmoivaE1XfiFWm7o61repcfkVyvyv9pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,059

Market cap

$83,919

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merci: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 22:16 UTC

Holder addresses

1,059

Top 10 supply share

17.98%

Reported liquidity

$14,599.00
How concentrated is merci ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 22:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 17.98% of supply. It reports 1,059 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling merci?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 22:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $724,745.00 in buys and $714,475.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is merci liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -44.03%, from $26,751.41 (2026-09-25 20:00 UTC) to $14,973.71 (2026-09-25 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 22:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-25 20:00 UTC$26,751.41
2026-09-25 21:00 UTC$17,926.65
2026-09-25 22:00 UTC$14,973.71

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 25, 10:17 PM UTC

FDV

$83,919

Liquidity

$14,599.00

Holders

1,059

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

merci (MERCI) is a PumpSwap-listed Solana token with a fully diluted valuation of ~$83.9K and extremely thin liquidity of ~$14.6K. The token experienced a violent hourly candle sequence — a spike to $0.000457 followed by a crash to $0.0000755 — before settling at $0.0000870, and short-term momentum (5m -28%, 1h -59%) is sharply negative even as the 24h change shows +74% due to the earlier spike. Data on holder history, wallet classification, sniper activity, and mint/freeze authority status is not available, which materially limits confidence in this assessment.

Key points

  • Extremely thin liquidity (~$14.6K) relative to $83.9K FDV, implying high slippage and fragility
  • Massive single-hour price spike (to $0.000457) followed by an 85%+ collapse within two hours — classic pump-and-dump candle shape
  • 24h volume (~$1.44M combined buy+sell) is many multiples of total liquidity, indicating high turnover/churn rather than organic depth
  • No verifiable mint/freeze authority status, no sniper data, and only a current-snapshot holder count (1,059 addresses) with no history

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · next 1-6 hours

bearish

Momentum is sharply negative in the immediate term (5m -28%, 1h -59%), following a blow-off top and rapid mean reversion. Given the extremely thin $14.6K liquidity pool, price is likely to remain highly volatile with continued downside risk unless fresh buy volume emerges.

Target low

$0.0000400

Target high

$0.000124

Support

$0.0000755 (hour-3 low), $0.0000403 (hour-2 low)

Resistance

$0.000138 (hour-3 high), $0.000348 (hour-2 high), $0.000457 (hour-1 high, likely a wick/anomaly)

Medium term · next 1-7 days

neutral

With no historical holder trend data and only three hourly candles available, medium-term direction cannot be reliably projected. The token's fate will likely hinge on whether new liquidity and sustained buyer interest return after the sharp pump-and-dump, or whether it fades further as is typical for low-liquidity PumpSwap launches.

Catalysts

  • Potential renewed social/marketing push (twitter/website links present)
  • Liquidity additions or removals on PumpSwap
  • Continued high sell pressure eroding remaining buyer confidence

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($724.75K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($714.48K), a marginally positive net flow signal
  • 24h buyer count (4,444) exceeds seller count (3,804), suggesting somewhat broader buy-side participation
  • 24h change remains net positive (+74%) despite the recent pullback

Bearish factors

  • Extreme intra-day volatility with an 85%+ drawdown from the hour-1 high to the hour-3 close
  • Very thin liquidity ($14.6K) makes the token highly susceptible to further sharp moves and slippage
  • Immediate short-term momentum (5m, 1h) is strongly negative
  • Volume-to-liquidity ratio is very high (~$1.44M turnover vs $14.6K liquidity), consistent with speculative churn rather than durable demand

Confidence: low. Only three hourly candles are available, liquidity is extremely shallow, sniper and holder-history data are entirely absent, and authority/rug-risk status is unverifiable — all of which severely constrain the reliability of any forward-looking price view.

merci call history

Full track record →

Sep 25bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
9NPmnD...pump
Total Supply
964,353,384.46 MERCI

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($14.6K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Demonstrated pump-and-dump candle pattern within the last three hours (spike then ~85% drawdown)
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status means the possibility of further token minting or freezing of accounts cannot be ruled out
  • No sniper or holder-history data available, obscuring visibility into early-buyer behavior and potential coordinated dumping

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Across the three most recent hourly candles: Candle 1 opened at $0.00000375 and spiked to a high of $0.000457 before closing at $0.000295 — a massive green candle with a long upper structure suggesting a rapid pump. Candle 2 opened at $0.000295, ranged between $0.0000403 and $0.000348, and closed lower at $0.000125 — a large bearish candle giving back most of candle 1's gains. Candle 3 opened at $0.000125, ranged between $0.0000755 and $0.000138, and closed at $0.0000870 — another bearish candle, continuing the downtrend. The overall shape is a blow-off top followed by two consecutive sharp down-candles, a classic pump-and-dump pattern.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term price action shows a clear downtrend after an initial vertical spike; each subsequent candle has printed lower highs and lower closes. With only three candles of data, the 'medium-term' trend is effectively the same downward move — insufficient history exists to assess a true multi-day trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000755

Major support

$0.00000375

Immediate resistance

$0.000138

Major resistance

$0.000457

Immediate support sits at the hour-3 low of $0.0000755; a break below could retest the hour-1 open near $0.00000375, which represents an extreme low. Immediate resistance is the hour-3 high of $0.000138, with major resistance at the hour-1 spike high of $0.000457, which appears to be an outlier/wick unlikely to be retested without a fresh catalyst.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top / pump-and-dump: vertical spike in candle 1 followed by two consecutive lower closes
  • Lower highs and lower closes across all three candles, indicating sustained bearish follow-through
  • Sharply declining volume per candle, suggesting fading trading interest after the initial spike

Liquidity

Liquidity

$14,599.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $14.6K against 24h combined trading volume of roughly $1.44M represents a turnover ratio near 100x, indicating that the pool is extremely shallow relative to trading activity — any moderately sized order could cause significant price impact, consistent with the observed 85%+ intra-day price swings. Buy volume ($724.75K) marginally exceeds sell volume ($714.48K), producing a slight net inflow (50.4% vs 49.6%), and unique buyers (4,444) modestly outnumber unique sellers (3,804). However, given the shallow liquidity, this balance can shift very quickly and should not be read as a strong bullish signal.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

964,353,384.46 MERCI

FDV

$83.92K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Observed hourly candles show a spike to $0.000457 followed by an ~85% collapse to $0.0000870 within two hours, and 1h price change stands at -58.9%. This level of volatility is extreme even by memecoin standards.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $14.6K against $83.9K FDV and ~$1.44M in 24h trading volume creates a highly fragile market where large trades can cause severe slippage and price dislocation.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders control 17.98% of supply, a moderate concentration. Top-100 concentration and any wallet classification/history data are unavailable, so the full concentration picture (including whether top-10 holders are insiders, team, or organic buyers) cannot be confirmed.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($14.6K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Demonstrated pump-and-dump candle pattern within the last three hours (spike then ~85% drawdown)
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status means the possibility of further token minting or freezing of accounts cannot be ruled out
  • No sniper or holder-history data available, obscuring visibility into early-buyer behavior and potential coordinated dumping
  • Sharp negative short-term momentum (5m -28%, 1h -59%) suggests the token may still be in a distribution/decline phase

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($724.75K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($714.48K), a marginal positive net flow signal, though not sufficient to offset structural liquidity risk
  • Unique buyer count (4,444) modestly exceeds unique seller count (3,804) over 24h
  • Top-10 concentration (17.98%) is not at extreme levels seen in some rug-prone tokens, though this alone does not resolve other unknowns

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. Given the shallow liquidity, extreme volatility, unknown authority controls, and absence of sniper/holder-history data, this token is not appropriate for risk-averse investors or those seeking any degree of capital preservation.

merci is a newly-active, extremely low-liquidity PumpSwap memecoin that has just undergone a violent pump-and-dump within a three-hour window. While 24h buy/sell flow is roughly balanced with a slight buyer edge, the combination of shallow liquidity ($14.6K), unknown authority/rug-risk status, and missing sniper/holder-history data makes this a highly speculative, high-uncertainty position rather than a data-supported investment case.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If renewed social momentum (leveraging its twitter/website presence) or fresh liquidity injections attract sustained buy volume, price could stabilize above recent lows and attempt to reclaim part of the hour-1 spike range.

  • 24h buyer count (4,444) exceeds seller count (3,804)
  • Marginal net positive volume flow (50.4% buy vs 49.6% sell)
  • Existing social presence (twitter, website) could support renewed promotional activity

Base Case

The token likely continues to trade with high volatility and thin liquidity, oscillating within the recent range ($0.0000755–$0.000138) absent a major new catalyst, with elevated risk of further sharp moves in either direction.

  • No material liquidity additions occur in the near term
  • No verified information emerges on mint/freeze authority status
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculative flow rather than long-term holders

Bear Case

High probability

Given the shallow liquidity pool and the clear pump-and-dump candle structure already observed, the token continues to bleed value as early spike buyers exit and volume continues its sharp decline (969.7K -> 504.4K -> 34.8K across the last three candles).

  • Strong negative short-term momentum (5m -28%, 1h -59%)
  • Rapidly declining per-candle volume signaling fading interest
  • Extremely thin liquidity amplifying any further sell pressure
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of adverse supply-side actions

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 25, 10:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 22:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, description, social links)
  • USD price and 24h/1h/5m price change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 most recent candles) from PumpSwap pair
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity, FDV)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count, top-10 concentration)

Limitations

  • No sniper wallet data available ('No sniper data available'), preventing assessment of sniper concentration, PnL, or dump risk
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) available — only a single current snapshot of holder count and top-10 concentration
  • No wallet classification/labeling data available, preventing identification of notable holders or accumulation/distribution sentiment
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and contract verification status are all unknown — no on-chain authority check was performed
  • Only 3 hourly candles were provided, severely limiting technical trend and pattern analysis to a very short window
  • Top-100 holder concentration figure was not provided by the source

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, partially incomplete on-chain and market data as of the stated timestamp and may not reflect current conditions. Token data was treated as untrusted evidence, not instructions. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in low-liquidity tokens, carries substantial risk of total loss. Conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is merci ownership?

As of 2026-09-25 22:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 17.98% of supply. It reports 1,059 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling merci?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 22:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $724,745.00 in buys and $714,475.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is merci liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -44.03%, from $26,751.41 (2026-09-25 20:00 UTC) to $14,973.71 (2026-09-25 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for merci (merci)?

Momentum is sharply negative in the immediate term (5m -28%, 1h -59%), following a blow-off top and rapid mean reversion. Given the extremely thin $14.6K liquidity pool, price is likely to remain highly volatile with continued downside risk unless fresh buy volume emerges. Short-term outlook is bearish (next 1-6 hours), with a target range of $0.0000400 to $0.000124.

Is merci a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. Given the shallow liquidity, extreme volatility, unknown authority controls, and absence of sniper/holder-history data, this token is not appropriate for risk-averse investors or those seeking any degree of capital preservation.

What are the key risks of holding merci?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($14.6K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential • Demonstrated pump-and-dump candle pattern within the last three hours (spike then ~85% drawdown) • Unknown mint/freeze authority status means the possibility of further token minting or freezing of accounts cannot be ruled out

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