ETCH

Etch Price Today & AI Analysis

ETCHSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$0.049137

+84.45% 24h

Contract

Live
9N9tAT19ncQvxtjpQNevrGP3zmWRNrAZZtonTygMpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,261

Market cap

$86,269

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Etch: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 19:16 UTC

Holder addresses

1,261

Top 10 supply share

15.26%

Reported liquidity

$15,010.00
How concentrated is Etch ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 19:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 15.26% of supply. It reports 1,261 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Etch?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 19:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $595,596.00 in buys and $585,721.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Etch liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +457.22%, from $2,695.95 (2026-09-25 17:00 UTC) to $15,022.45 (2026-09-25 19:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 19:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-25 17:00 UTC$2,695.95
2026-09-25 18:00 UTC$20,337.03
2026-09-25 19:00 UTC$15,022.45

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Ask Unhosted AI about ETCH

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 25, 07:17 PM UTC

FDV

$86,269

Liquidity

$15,010.00

Holders

1,261

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ETCH is a newly launched Solana token on PumpSwap with a tiny fully diluted valuation of ~$86.27K and only $15.01K in total liquidity. Available hourly candle data shows a violent parabolic pump (from ~$0.0000036 to a high of $0.000248) followed by a sharp ~63% retracement to the current price of $0.0000914, all within a 3-hour window. 24h buy/sell volume and buyer/seller counts are roughly balanced. Critical risk inputs — mint/freeze authority status, sniper wallet activity, and full holder distribution beyond the top 10 (15.26% of supply) — are all unavailable, leaving significant unresolved uncertainty.

Key points

  • Extreme, freshly-observed pump-and-dump price pattern within a 3-hour candle window
  • Very thin liquidity ($15.01K) relative to 24h trading volume (~$1.18M combined), implying high slippage risk
  • Multiple critical data gaps: mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, and full holder distribution are all unknown

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1-24 hours

bearish

Short-term momentum is negative, with price down -36.87% over the last hour and -1.64% over the last 5 minutes following a blow-off top at $0.000248. Given thin liquidity, further downside toward the $0.0000447 candle-3 low or even the $0.0000036 origin is plausible, though sharp reversals are equally possible given the token's demonstrated volatility.

Target low

$0.0000300

Target high

$0.000150

Support

$0.0000447, $0.0000036

Resistance

$0.000169, $0.000248

Medium term · 3-14 days

neutral

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given the extremely limited data window (only 3 hourly candles observed). The token could either build a new base above its origin price or fully retrace the recent spike if speculative interest fades, especially given the very low liquidity base that could be a magnet for both continued speculation and rapid abandonment.

Catalysts

  • Whether liquidity providers add depth to the PumpSwap pool beyond the current $15.01K
  • Continued social/community engagement via Twitter and website
  • Resolution of unknown mint/freeze authority status, which could materially change risk perception if confirmed favorably or unfavorably
  • Sustained or renewed buy-side volume versus a drop-off in unique buyers

Bullish factors

  • 24h price change still strongly positive at +84.45%
  • Roughly balanced 24h buy/sell volume and buyer/seller counts (50.4%/49.6%; 4,723 vs 4,012)
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website) that could sustain speculative interest

Bearish factors

  • Sharp -36.87% 1h decline following a parabolic spike to $0.000248
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($15.01K) relative to 24h volume (~$1.18M combined), amplifying downside risk
  • Classic blow-off top candle pattern with long upper wick and steep reversal
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and no sniper data, leaving structural risks unresolved

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to an extremely limited data set (only 3 hourly candles), no sniper data, no historical holder trend data, and unknown token authority status. Predictions are based on a very short and highly volatile price history that may not be representative of longer-term behavior.

ETCH call history

Full track record →

Sep 25bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
9N9tAT...pump
Total Supply
944,172,845.98 ETCH

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($15.01K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Parabolic pump-and-dump price action observed within a 3-hour candle window, with a ~63% drawdown from the recent high of $0.000248 to current $0.0000914
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm supply cannot be inflated or accounts frozen
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dump risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available, all within the same hour window on 2026-09-25. Candle 1 (17:00) opened at $0.00000364 and rallied to close at $0.0000269 (a ~638% intra-candle move) on volume of $22.7K. Candle 2 (18:00) extended the rally, opening at $0.0000269, spiking to a high of $0.000248 before collapsing to close at $0.000169, on a huge volume spike of $1.12M — indicating a violent pump followed by heavy selling into the high. Candle 3 (19:00) opened at $0.000169 and fell sharply to a low of $0.0000447 before closing at $0.0000914, roughly a 46% decline from open, on volume of $91.2K. This is a classic parabolic pump-and-dump pattern within a 3-hour window.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term (3-candle window) the token is still up massively from its starting point (~$0.0000036 to ~$0.0000914, roughly 25x), but short-term momentum has clearly reversed — the most recent candle shows a sharp decline from a high of $0.000248 down to $0.0000914, and the 1h price change of -36.87% confirms an active short-term downtrend following the initial spike.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000447 (candle 3 low)

Major support

$0.0000036 (candle 1 open/low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000169 (candle 3 open / candle 2 close)

Major resistance

$0.000248 (candle 2 high, all-time high in observed window)

With only 3 hourly candles available, support/resistance levels are tentative. The candle-3 low of $0.0000447 is the nearest support; a break below could open a retest of the candle-1 origin near $0.0000036. On the upside, $0.000169 (former open/close level) is immediate resistance, with the candle-2 spike high of $0.000248 as the major resistance/ATH in this dataset.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump candle (candle 1 into candle 2) with over 600% and additional gains within two hours
  • Long upper wick on candle 2 (high $0.000248 vs close $0.000169) indicating rejection at highs
  • Large bearish reversal candle (candle 3) with wide range (high $0.000169 to low $0.0000447), suggesting sharp profit-taking/dump
  • Volume climax on candle 2 followed by volume fade on candle 3, typical of exhaustion after a blow-off top

Liquidity

Liquidity

$15,010.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity is extremely thin at just $15.01K against a 24h trading volume of over $1.18M combined (buy+sell), implying a volume-to-liquidity ratio near 79x — a strong indicator of high slippage risk and a market highly susceptible to sharp price swings on relatively small trade sizes. Buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced ($595.60K vs $585.72K, 50.4%/49.6%), and buyer/seller counts are similarly close (4,723 buyers vs 4,012 sellers), suggesting no dominant directional flow over the full 24h window despite the extreme intra-hour volatility seen in the candle data. This combination of massive volume against tiny liquidity is a hallmark of a highly speculative, likely low-cap pump.fun-style token where price can be moved dramatically by modest capital.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

944,172,845.98 ETCH

FDV

$86,269

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved from ~$0.0000036 to a high of $0.000248 and back down to $0.0000914 within a 3-hour window (24h change +84.45%, but 1h change -36.87%), demonstrating extreme, exchange-defining volatility typical of a very recently launched, thinly traded token.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $15.01K against 24h volumes exceeding $1.18M combined, a volume/liquidity ratio near 79x, meaning even modest trade sizes could cause severe slippage and price impact in either direction.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Only top-10 concentration (15.26%) is available; top-100 concentration and any wallet classification/history are unavailable, so true concentration risk (e.g., insider wallets, team allocations) cannot be fully assessed.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($15.01K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Parabolic pump-and-dump price action observed within a 3-hour candle window, with a ~63% drawdown from the recent high of $0.000248 to current $0.0000914
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm supply cannot be inflated or accounts frozen
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dump risk
  • Only partial holder concentration data (top-10 only); true distribution across all holders unknown
  • Very low absolute FDV ($86.27K) typical of an early-stage, highly speculative pump.fun-style launch with limited track record

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy/sell volume and buyer/seller counts are fairly balanced (50.4%/49.6%; 4,723 buyers vs 4,012 sellers), suggesting no single overwhelming directional dump in the full 24h window
  • 1,261 distinct holder addresses suggests some degree of distribution beyond a handful of wallets, though this cannot be confirmed as genuine unique investors

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total capital loss, extreme volatility, and thin-liquidity execution risk. It is not suitable for investors seeking capital preservation, income, or lower-volatility exposure. Given multiple unknown risk factors (authorities, sniper activity, full holder distribution), a cautious, small-position approach (if any) is warranted.

ETCH is a newly-launched, extremely low-liquidity pump.fun-style Solana token (FDV ~$86.27K) that has already exhibited a violent pump-and-dump pattern within a 3-hour candle window, rallying over 60x from its origin before retracing roughly 63% from its peak. Multiple key risk inputs (mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, full holder distribution) are unavailable, making this a high-uncertainty, high-risk speculative bet rather than a fundamentally analyzable investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If community/social momentum (twitter, website presence) sustains renewed buying interest and liquidity grows, ETCH could stabilize and attempt another leg up, especially if buy pressure (currently 50.4% of 24h volume) tips further positive and new holders continue to onboard beyond the current 1,261 addresses.

  • 24h price change remains strongly positive (+84.45%) despite the recent pullback
  • Buy/sell volumes and buyer/seller counts are roughly balanced, not showing an outright capitulation
  • Social presence (Twitter, website) exists, which can support renewed speculative interest in pump.fun-style tokens

Base Case

Given the extreme volatility already observed in just 3 hours of data, the most probable near-term outcome is continued high volatility and price discovery with no stable trend, as thin liquidity amplifies both up and down moves until (and unless) liquidity depth or holder base meaningfully increases.

  • Liquidity remains thin (~$15K) in the near term without a significant new capital injection
  • No confirmation yet on mint/freeze authority status, keeping structural risk elevated
  • Holder base of 1,261 addresses is a snapshot only; trend direction is unknown

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic pump-and-dump pattern (candle 2 spike to $0.000248 followed by a sharp fall to $0.0000914) suggests exhaustion, and with liquidity so thin ($15.01K) relative to volume, further sharp downside moves or an inability to exit positions without heavy slippage is likely. Unknown authority status adds tail risk of supply dilution or account freezes.

  • Clear blow-off top pattern with long upper wick and subsequent ~63% retracement from high
  • Extremely thin liquidity relative to volume increases downside slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of adverse token-level actions
  • No sniper data available to rule out early-buyer dumping, a common risk in freshly launched tokens

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 25, 07:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 19:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • OHLC hourly price candles (3 most recent)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell counts, price % changes)
  • Holder aggregate snapshot (Codex) — holder count and top-10 concentration only
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles were available, providing a very narrow window into price behavior and preventing robust trend/pattern analysis
  • No sniper data was available, preventing assessment of early-buyer concentration or dump risk
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was available, only a single current snapshot of holder count and top-10 concentration
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and contract verification status were all unknown, preventing a full rug-risk assessment
  • Top-100 holder concentration and wallet classification data were unavailable, limiting whale/distribution analysis to the top-10 figure only

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (authority status, sniper activity, holder history). Cryptocurrency investments, particularly in newly launched, low-liquidity tokens, carry a very high risk of substantial or total loss. Conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Etch ownership?

As of 2026-09-25 19:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 15.26% of supply. It reports 1,261 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Etch?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 19:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $595,596.00 in buys and $585,721.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Etch liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +457.22%, from $2,695.95 (2026-09-25 17:00 UTC) to $15,022.45 (2026-09-25 19:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Etch (ETCH)?

Short-term momentum is negative, with price down -36.87% over the last hour and -1.64% over the last 5 minutes following a blow-off top at $0.000248. Given thin liquidity, further downside toward the $0.0000447 candle-3 low or even the $0.0000036 origin is plausible, though sharp reversals are equally possible given the token's demonstrated volatility. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000300 to $0.000150.

Is ETCH a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total capital loss, extreme volatility, and thin-liquidity execution risk. It is not suitable for investors seeking capital preservation, income, or lower-volatility exposure. Given multiple unknown risk factors (authorities, sniper activity, full holder distribution), a cautious, small-position approach (if any) is warranted.

What are the key risks of holding ETCH?

Extremely thin liquidity ($15.01K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Parabolic pump-and-dump price action observed within a 3-hour candle window, with a ~63% drawdown from the recent high of $0.000248 to current $0.0000914 • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm supply cannot be inflated or accounts frozen

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