AverageGuy

Average Guy Price Prediction 2026

AverageGuy
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 4, 2026

9LQ3ruKXhXoMJk5334bunknq1kUErXJjdFkAJXrapump

$0.052765

-1.09%

FDV $2,551

LiveContract:9LQ3ruKXhXoMJk5334bunknq1kUErXJjdFkAJXrapumpChain:SolanaHolders:337Market cap:$2,551

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Ask Unhosted AI about AverageGuy

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 4, 10:47 AM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$0

Holders

430

Snipers

25

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Average Guy (AverageGuy) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (pair EnDa99cEWeFAW6n4236wkGbabFsJ6xYs38xcLsFTjov9) with a current price of ~$0.0001049. The token is extremely new — holder counts were flat at 12 for the entire prior 30-day window and only exploded to 430 in the last 24 hours (+418 holders, +97%). Total reported liquidity is $0.00, the FDV is effectively $0.00, and the metadata supply reads as '1' with 0 decimals, suggesting the on-chain supply figures are in raw integer units and the percentage displays in the holder table are artifacts of that. Sell pressure dominates at 67.1% of 24h volume ($89.53K sells vs $43.89K buys). The token is unverified, mutable, and update authority is unknown — all significant red flags.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive holder growth from 12 to 430 in under 24 hours — entirely a brand-new launch event
Severe sell-side dominance: 67.1% sell pressure ($89.53K) vs 32.9% buy pressure ($43.89K) in 24h
Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) despite active trading on PumpSwap — extreme slippage risk
Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug/upgrade risk cannot be ruled out
20 identified snipers active in first 1,000 blocks; mixed PnL with several in profit suggesting early buyers may still be distributing

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent 5-minute price change is -15.1%, and the last completed hourly candle (09:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001267 high back down to $0.0001054 close — a bearish engulfing/shooting-star structure. Sell pressure at 67.1% of 24h volume and zero reported liquidity create a high-risk environment for further downside. The current price of $0.0001049 is near the lower bound of the recent range.

Target low$0.000031 (candle [3] open / launch-area low)
Target high$0.0001267 (candle [2] high — recent peak resistance)
Support: $0.0001039 (candle [1] open/low), $0.0000314 (candle [3] open — launch-day low)
Resistance: $0.0001127 (candle [3] close / candle [2] close area), $0.0001267 (candle [2] high — session peak), $0.0001231 (candle [3] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without meaningful liquidity depth, a verified contract, or renounced authorities, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The token was dormant for 30 days before this spike, suggesting the launch event is the primary catalyst. If sniper and early-buyer distribution continues, price could retrace toward launch levels. A reversal would require significant new buyer inflows and liquidity provision.

Catalysts
  • New exchange listings or liquidity pool deepening
  • Viral social media momentum (token has Telegram, Twitter, Website)
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation from current depressed levels

Bullish factors

  • 18.4% 24h price gain despite heavy sell pressure
  • Rapid holder growth: 12 → 430 in 24h (+97%)
  • High transaction count: 5,438 buys and 1,415 sells in 24h — significant retail interest
  • Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, Website) suggests some community infrastructure
  • Several snipers in profit (e.g., DZbgq3yE3r41EFszV3XastvyS8j8QnmNT37nsq7sxR66 at +52%, 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY at +24.3%) indicating early price appreciation

Bearish factors

  • 67.1% sell pressure ($89.53K) vs 32.9% buy pressure ($43.89K) in 24h
  • Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) — any sell order faces extreme slippage
  • 5-minute price change of -15.1% at time of analysis
  • Token was completely dormant (12 holders, zero activity) for 30+ days before this event
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority
  • Unverified contract
  • Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Multiple snipers at a loss may dump remaining holdings
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles of OHLC data are available, liquidity is reported as $0.00, the supply/percentage data in the holder table appears corrupted, and the token is less than 24 hours old in its active trading phase. Predictions are highly speculative.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (08:00–10:00 UTC on 2026-05-04). Candle [3] (08:00): massive bullish launch candle — open $0.0000315, high $0.0001231, close $0.0001139, volume $20,649. This is a strong bullish impulse candle representing the token's initial price discovery. Candle [2] (09:00): open $0.0001126, high $0.0001267 (new session high), close $0.0001054, volume $41,595. This is a bearish engulfing/shooting-star candle — price made a higher high but closed near the low of the range, signaling distribution and rejection at the top. Candle [1] (10:00): open $0.0001039, high $0.0001049, close $0.0001049, volume $29,573. A small-bodied doji/spinning top near the lows — indecision after the sell-off, with very tight range suggesting consolidation or exhaustion.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 33%Sell 67%

After the initial launch spike (candle [3]), price formed a lower close in candle [2] and an even lower open in candle [1]. The short-term trend is down from the $0.0001267 peak. Medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of history.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0001039 (candle [1] open = candle [2] close area)
Major$0.0000315 (candle [3] open — launch-day low / last resort support)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001127 (candle [3] close / candle [2] open area)
Major$0.0001267 (candle [2] high — session peak)

The $0.0001039–$0.0001049 zone is acting as immediate support (candle [1] range). A break below this opens a path to the $0.0000314 launch-area low. On the upside, $0.0001127 is the first resistance (prior close), with $0.0001267 as the major session high. Given zero liquidity depth, these levels are highly susceptible to gap-through moves.

Notable patterns

  • Bullish impulse launch candle (candle [3]): open equals low, wide range, strong close — classic pump initiation
  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing (candle [2]): new high followed by close near low on highest volume — distribution signal
  • Doji / spinning top (candle [1]): tight range, indecision after sell-off — potential short-term exhaustion
  • Higher high then lower close sequence across candles [3]→[2]→[1]: bearish price structure forming

Total holders430
24h Δ+418
7d Δ+418
30d Δ+418
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder explosion from 12 to 430 (+97% in 24h) coincides precisely with the token's price discovery event on 2026-05-04. Prior to this, the token sat dormant at exactly 12 holders for the entire 30-day historical window (April 4 – May 3, 2026) with zero net change. The price spike and holder surge are clearly correlated — the launch event drove both simultaneously. However, the 67.1% sell pressure suggests many new holders may be short-term traders rather than long-term holders.

Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' in the sense that it went from 0 net new holders per day for 30 days to +418 in a single day. However, this is entirely attributable to the token's initial launch/listing event rather than organic community growth. The 1-hour change of +103 holders (+24%) suggests the influx is still ongoing at time of analysis. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (422 of 430 holders), confirming these are market buyers. The distribution breakdown shows 101 whales, 23 sharks, 95 dolphins, 47 fish, and 16 octopus — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a brand-new token, which may reflect the highly concentrated supply (top 10 hold 26.58%, top 100 hold 96.22%).

Top 10 hold26.58%
Top 100 hold96.22%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

EnDa99cEWeFAW6n4236wkGbabFsJ6xYs38xcLsFTjov9

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — this is the trading pair contract itself, holding the largest token balance as LP reserves)

10.89%

AUySNJrG7zCLp4j2WrbeeEFfcSVftUAPn6yLuH15SwYr

Individual whale / early holder — large balance, no contract indicators

1.70%

9kT9dpNtxihXYAzBttdt5KxqZcRdTX2TbcFrQfrSFih1

Individual whale / early holder

1.65%

6M75ywss5Ebhzz9Dj9eDggKnwGd2umPkGgtJbk9SbaLZ

Individual whale / early holder

1.59%

G9js3whHoGDAMoasMsM2bZ9xe8xHpxdEqfK8ejSomWie

Individual whale / early holder

1.58%

The top 10 holders control 26.58% of supply and the top 100 control 96.22% — an extremely concentrated distribution leaving only ~3.78% of supply among the remaining 330+ holders. The #1 holder (EnDa99cEWeFAW6n4236wkGbabFsJ6xYs38xcLsFTjov9) is the PumpSwap trading pair address, holding ~10.89% as liquidity pool reserves. Holders #2–#10 each hold approximately 1.45%–1.70% of supply and appear to be individual whales or early buyers. The near-uniform sizing of holders #2–#20 (all between ~1.1% and ~1.7%) is unusual and may suggest coordinated wallet distribution or a structured pre-launch allocation. This concentration pattern is a significant red flag — a coordinated exit by the top non-LP holders could devastate the price.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$43,890
Sell$89,530
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers4,958
Unique sellers1,030

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00, which is an extreme red flag — it may indicate the liquidity pool is effectively empty or the data feed is not capturing PumpSwap LP depth correctly. Despite this, $133,420 in combined 24h volume has traded, suggesting some liquidity exists but is very thin. The net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($89.53K) is more than double buy volume ($43.89K), representing a 2.04:1 sell-to-buy ratio by dollar value. Paradoxically, there are far more unique buyers (4,958) than sellers (1,030), meaning individual sellers are moving much larger average amounts ($86.92 avg sell) vs buyers ($8.85 avg buy) — a classic distribution pattern where whales/early holders sell into retail buying pressure. The 5-minute price change of -15.1% at analysis time confirms the market is under acute selling pressure. Slippage risk is rated high given zero reported liquidity depth.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (raw: ~1,000,000,000,000,000+ base units given holder balances in the quadrillions — the formatted supply of '1' with 0 decimals appears to be a metadata anomaly)
FDV$0.00 (as reported — likely a data artifact from the supply metadata anomaly)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token metadata shows a total supply of '1' with 0 decimals, yet holder balances are in the hundreds of trillions (e.g., holder #1 balance: 108,918,337,790,739). This is a significant metadata inconsistency — either the supply field is incorrectly formatted or the decimals field is wrong. This makes the FDV calculation of $0.00 meaningless. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the token is marked as mutable, meaning the metadata (including name, symbol, and URI) can be changed by whoever holds the update authority. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — this is a critical gap. Without confirmed renouncement of mint authority, there is a theoretical risk of unlimited token minting. The combination of mutable metadata, unknown authorities, and unverified contract status places this token in the highest risk category for authority-related rug vectors. Social links (Telegram, Twitter, Website) exist but do not mitigate on-chain authority risks.

Volatility
high

Price moved from $0.0000315 to $0.0001267 and back to $0.0001049 within 3 hours — a 302% intraday range. The 5-minute change of -15.1% at analysis time confirms extreme volatility. Zero liquidity depth amplifies all price moves.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity reported as $0.00. Even if this is a data artifact, the thin PumpSwap pool means any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 2:1 sell-to-buy dollar ratio is draining whatever liquidity exists.

Concentration
high

Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply. Top 10 control 26.58%. Holders #2–#20 each hold ~1.1%–1.7% with suspiciously uniform sizing. A coordinated exit by even 5–10 of these wallets could collapse the price.

SniperDump
medium

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks. Mixed PnL — 10 in profit, 8 at loss, 2 flat. Several profitable snipers have already sold (e.g., +52%, +24.3%, +15.8% realized). Remaining sniper balances (at least $44 confirmed) represent ongoing dump risk, though total sniper exposure is unknown.

Authority
high

Update authority is unknown, token is mutable, contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority renouncement status are unknown. This creates risk of metadata manipulation, supply inflation, or account freezing. Cannot be rated lower than high without confirmed authority renouncement.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity — extreme slippage on any exit
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authorities on a mutable token
  • Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — suspicious launch pattern
  • 67.1% sell pressure with whales selling into retail buyers
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • Metadata supply anomaly (supply shows '1' with 0 decimals) suggests data integrity issues
  • 5-minute price drop of -15.1% at time of analysis — acute selling pressure

Mitigating factors

  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, Website) suggests some community effort
  • High buyer count (4,958 unique buyers in 24h) shows genuine retail interest
  • 18.4% 24h price gain despite heavy sell pressure — some demand absorption
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Some snipers already exited, reducing future sniper dump overhang
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking store of value, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk meme launch: unknown authorities, zero liquidity, extreme concentration, and dominant sell pressure.

Average Guy (AverageGuy) is a brand-new Solana meme token that launched on PumpSwap within the last 24 hours. It exhibits the classic profile of a pump-phase meme coin: explosive holder growth, high transaction counts, viral social presence, but dominated by sell pressure, zero reported liquidity, unknown authorities, and extreme supply concentration. The investment case is purely speculative momentum — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no fundamental value anchor.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum drives continued retail FOMO, new liquidity is added to the PumpSwap pool, and the token achieves a sustained price above $0.0001267 (session high). Community growth accelerates beyond 1,000 holders, social media traction grows, and whale holders choose to hold rather than distribute.

  • Viral social media spread on Twitter/Telegram
  • New liquidity provision deepening the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market tailwind
  • Whale holders coordinating to hold and promote rather than dump

Base case

The token experiences a typical meme-coin lifecycle: initial pump phase (already occurring), followed by gradual price decay as early holders distribute. Price stabilizes at a level 50–80% below the session high ($0.0000250–$0.0000630) with a small residual holder base of 100–200 long-term holders. No rug occurs but no sustained value creation either.

  • No authority-based rug pull occurs
  • Retail buying gradually diminishes over 48–72 hours
  • Whale holders distribute in an orderly fashion rather than a single coordinated dump
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap

Bear case (high)

Whale and sniper distribution overwhelms retail buying, liquidity drains to zero, and price collapses back toward the $0.0000315 launch-area low or lower. Unknown authorities execute a rug pull via metadata update or mint authority abuse.

  • Continued 67.1% sell pressure draining thin liquidity
  • Coordinated exit by top 10–20 whale wallets (controlling ~20%+ of supply)
  • Unknown authority executes rug via mint inflation or metadata manipulation
  • Retail interest fades as price momentum stalls
  • Token returns to dormancy as seen in prior 30-day flat period

GeneratedMay 4, 10:47 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of candle close 2026-05-04T10:00 UTC. Holder data reflects snapshot at time of query. Historical holder series covers 2026-04-04 to 2026-05-03.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 9LQ3ruKXhXoMJk5334bunknq1kUErXJjdFkAJXrapump)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (pair: EnDa99cEWeFAW6n4236wkGbabFsJ6xYs38xcLsFTjov9)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed issue with PumpSwap integration
  • Total supply metadata shows '1' with 0 decimals, inconsistent with holder balances in the quadrillions — FDV and market cap calculations are unreliable
  • Sniper sniped amounts in USD are unknown — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Mint, freeze, and update authority status are unknown — cannot confirm or deny rug risk from authorities
  • Holder percentage figures in the top-holder table appear to be raw balance values misformatted as percentages — actual percentage holdings were estimated from relative balance sizes
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in its active phase — all trend analysis is based on extremely limited data

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (raw: ~1,000,000,000,000,000+ base units given holder balances in the quadrillions — the formatted supply of '1' with 0 decimals appears to be a metadata anomaly)

Key Risks

•Zero reported liquidity — extreme slippage on any exit
•Unknown mint/freeze/update authorities on a mutable token
•Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration
•Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — suspicious launch pattern

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. PnL is mixed: 10 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +7.0% to +52.0%) and 8 show negative realized PnL (ranging from -0.3% to -12.9%), with 2 at 0.0%. The top performer (DZbgq3yE3r41EFszV3XastvyS8j8QnmNT37nsq7sxR66) is up +52.0% realized. Several snipers with positive PnL have already sold (e.g., CBoKT2eteDiokehKuRfWfE7Caf7A4GBtn3YFEbDfu3DM sold $355 at +15.8%, ARqJ18xaBLrEJYARaYHxfRKSi1pB7dZjwq1NW6Fiuieb sold $337 at +13.3%). The exact sniped supply amounts are unknown, making precise concentration calculation impossible — the 0.5% estimate is a conservative placeholder. Sell-through rate is moderate: most snipers have sold some or all of their position, but a few retain balances.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.50%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks. Individual sniped amounts in USD are unknown; sold amounts range from $0 to $355 per sniper. Several snipers retain balances (eKKm1zAyHpiL3CsL99VjMRUiYSxo6GgRT55A873soW3: $36, B4biMoj7JawbMEUHFz3D5RbgbFN7fUtXKrNi3gn9HR5T: $8). Total sniper sell activity across visible snipers sums to ~$1,873 in realized sales.

Mixed-to-negative. While some early buyers captured gains (+52%, +24.3%, +24.1%), the majority of snipers with known PnL are either at a loss or have already exited. The presence of remaining balances in a few sniper wallets suggests residual sell pressure. The broader 24h sell dominance (67.1%) aligns with early buyers distributing into retail demand.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Average Guy (AverageGuy)?

The most recent 5-minute price change is -15.1%, and the last completed hourly candle (09:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001267 high back down to $0.0001054 close — a bearish engulfing/shooting-star structure. Sell pressure at 67.1% of 24h volume and zero reported liquidity create a high-risk environment for further downside. The current price of $0.0001049 is near the lower bound of the recent range. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000031 (candle [3] open / launch-area low) to $0.0001267 (candle [2] high — recent peak resistance).

Is AverageGuy a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking store of value, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk meme launch: unknown authorities, zero liquidity, extreme concentration, and dominant sell pressure.

How are AverageGuy holders trending?

Average Guy currently has 430 holders and is growing (24h: 418, 7d: 418, 30d: 418). Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' in the sense that it went from 0 net new holders per day for 30 days to +418 in a single day. However, this is entirely attributable to the token's initial launch/listing event rather than organic community growth. The 1-hour change of +103 holders (+24%) suggests the influx is still ongoing at time of analysis. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (422 of 430 holders), confirming these are market buyers. The distribution breakdown shows 101 whales, 23 sharks, 95 dolphins, 47 fish, and 16 octopus — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a brand-new token, which may reflect the highly concentrated supply (top 10 hold 26.58%, top 100 hold 96.22%).

What does sniper activity look like for AverageGuy?

Snipers hold roughly 0.50% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding AverageGuy?

Zero reported liquidity — extreme slippage on any exit • Unknown mint/freeze/update authorities on a mutable token • Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration

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