AverageGuy

Average Guy Price Today & AI Analysis

AverageGuySolanaAnalysis as of May 4, 2026

Price

$0.054071

+6.92% 24h · FDV $3,756

Contract

Live
9LQ3ruKXhXoMJk5334bunknq1kUErXJjdFkAJXrapump

Chain

Solana

Holders

322

Market cap

$3,756

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Average Guy: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-04 10:47 UTC

Holder addresses

430

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Average Guy ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 430 addresses (2026-05-04 10:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Average Guy?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Average Guy liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-04 10:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 4, 10:47 AM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

430

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Average Guy (AverageGuy) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (pair EnDa99cEWeFAW6n4236wkGbabFsJ6xYs38xcLsFTjov9) with a current price of ~$0.0001049. The token is extremely new — holder counts were flat at 12 for the entire prior 30-day window and only exploded to 430 in the last 24 hours (+418 holders, +97%). Total reported liquidity is $0.00, the FDV is effectively $0.00, and the metadata supply reads as '1' with 0 decimals, suggesting the on-chain supply figures are in raw integer units and the percentage displays in the holder table are artifacts of that. Sell pressure dominates at 67.1% of 24h volume ($89.53K sells vs $43.89K buys). The token is unverified, mutable, and update authority is unknown — all significant red flags.

Key points

  • Explosive holder growth from 12 to 430 in under 24 hours — entirely a brand-new launch event
  • Severe sell-side dominance: 67.1% sell pressure ($89.53K) vs 32.9% buy pressure ($43.89K) in 24h
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) despite active trading on PumpSwap — extreme slippage risk
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug/upgrade risk cannot be ruled out
  • 20 identified snipers active in first 1,000 blocks; mixed PnL with several in profit suggesting early buyers may still be distributing

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The most recent 5-minute price change is -15.1%, and the last completed hourly candle (09:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001267 high back down to $0.0001054 close — a bearish engulfing/shooting-star structure. Sell pressure at 67.1% of 24h volume and zero reported liquidity create a high-risk environment for further downside. The current price of $0.0001049 is near the lower bound of the recent range.

Target low

$0.000031 (candle [3] open / launch-area low)

Target high

$0.0001267 (candle [2] high — recent peak resistance)

Support

$0.0001039 (candle [1] open/low), $0.0000314 (candle [3] open — launch-day low)

Resistance

$0.0001127 (candle [3] close / candle [2] close area), $0.0001267 (candle [2] high — session peak), $0.0001231 (candle [3] high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without meaningful liquidity depth, a verified contract, or renounced authorities, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The token was dormant for 30 days before this spike, suggesting the launch event is the primary catalyst. If sniper and early-buyer distribution continues, price could retrace toward launch levels. A reversal would require significant new buyer inflows and liquidity provision.

Catalysts

  • New exchange listings or liquidity pool deepening
  • Viral social media momentum (token has Telegram, Twitter, Website)
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation from current depressed levels

Bullish factors

  • 18.4% 24h price gain despite heavy sell pressure
  • Rapid holder growth: 12 → 430 in 24h (+97%)
  • High transaction count: 5,438 buys and 1,415 sells in 24h — significant retail interest
  • Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, Website) suggests some community infrastructure
  • Several snipers in profit (e.g., DZbgq3yE3r41EFszV3XastvyS8j8QnmNT37nsq7sxR66 at +52%, 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY at +24.3%) indicating early price appreciation

Bearish factors

  • 67.1% sell pressure ($89.53K) vs 32.9% buy pressure ($43.89K) in 24h
  • Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) — any sell order faces extreme slippage
  • 5-minute price change of -15.1% at time of analysis
  • Token was completely dormant (12 holders, zero activity) for 30+ days before this event
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority
  • Unverified contract
  • Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Multiple snipers at a loss may dump remaining holdings

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles of OHLC data are available, liquidity is reported as $0.00, the supply/percentage data in the holder table appears corrupted, and the token is less than 24 hours old in its active trading phase. Predictions are highly speculative.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
9LQ3ru...pump
Total Supply
1 (raw: ~1,000,000,000,000,000+ base units given holder balances in the quadrillions — the formatted supply of '1' with 0 decimals appears to be a metadata anomaly)

Key Risks

  • Zero reported liquidity — extreme slippage on any exit
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authorities on a mutable token
  • Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — suspicious launch pattern

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (08:00–10:00 UTC on 2026-05-04). Candle [3] (08:00): massive bullish launch candle — open $0.0000315, high $0.0001231, close $0.0001139, volume $20,649. This is a strong bullish impulse candle representing the token's initial price discovery. Candle [2] (09:00): open $0.0001126, high $0.0001267 (new session high), close $0.0001054, volume $41,595. This is a bearish engulfing/shooting-star candle — price made a higher high but closed near the low of the range, signaling distribution and rejection at the top. Candle [1] (10:00): open $0.0001039, high $0.0001049, close $0.0001049, volume $29,573. A small-bodied doji/spinning top near the lows — indecision after the sell-off, with very tight range suggesting consolidation or exhaustion.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

After the initial launch spike (candle [3]), price formed a lower close in candle [2] and an even lower open in candle [1]. The short-term trend is down from the $0.0001267 peak. Medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of history.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

33%

Sell

67%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0001039 (candle [1] open = candle [2] close area)

Major support

$0.0000315 (candle [3] open — launch-day low / last resort support)

Immediate resistance

$0.0001127 (candle [3] close / candle [2] open area)

Major resistance

$0.0001267 (candle [2] high — session peak)

The $0.0001039–$0.0001049 zone is acting as immediate support (candle [1] range). A break below this opens a path to the $0.0000314 launch-area low. On the upside, $0.0001127 is the first resistance (prior close), with $0.0001267 as the major session high. Given zero liquidity depth, these levels are highly susceptible to gap-through moves.

Notable patterns

  • Bullish impulse launch candle (candle [3]): open equals low, wide range, strong close — classic pump initiation
  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing (candle [2]): new high followed by close near low on highest volume — distribution signal
  • Doji / spinning top (candle [1]): tight range, indecision after sell-off — potential short-term exhaustion
  • Higher high then lower close sequence across candles [3]→[2]→[1]: bearish price structure forming

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (raw: ~1,000,000,000,000,000+ base units given holder balances in the quadrillions — the formatted supply of '1' with 0 decimals appears to be a metadata anomaly)

FDV

$0.00 (as reported — likely a data artifact from the supply metadata anomaly)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved from $0.0000315 to $0.0001267 and back to $0.0001049 within 3 hours — a 302% intraday range. The 5-minute change of -15.1% at analysis time confirms extreme volatility. Zero liquidity depth amplifies all price moves.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity — extreme slippage on any exit
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authorities on a mutable token
  • Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — suspicious launch pattern
  • 67.1% sell pressure with whales selling into retail buyers
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • Metadata supply anomaly (supply shows '1' with 0 decimals) suggests data integrity issues
  • 5-minute price drop of -15.1% at time of analysis — acute selling pressure

Mitigating factors

  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, Website) suggests some community effort
  • High buyer count (4,958 unique buyers in 24h) shows genuine retail interest
  • 18.4% 24h price gain despite heavy sell pressure — some demand absorption
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Some snipers already exited, reducing future sniper dump overhang

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking store of value, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk meme launch: unknown authorities, zero liquidity, extreme concentration, and dominant sell pressure.

Average Guy (AverageGuy) is a brand-new Solana meme token that launched on PumpSwap within the last 24 hours. It exhibits the classic profile of a pump-phase meme coin: explosive holder growth, high transaction counts, viral social presence, but dominated by sell pressure, zero reported liquidity, unknown authorities, and extreme supply concentration. The investment case is purely speculative momentum — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no fundamental value anchor.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum drives continued retail FOMO, new liquidity is added to the PumpSwap pool, and the token achieves a sustained price above $0.0001267 (session high). Community growth accelerates beyond 1,000 holders, social media traction grows, and whale holders choose to hold rather than distribute.

  • Viral social media spread on Twitter/Telegram
  • New liquidity provision deepening the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market tailwind
  • Whale holders coordinating to hold and promote rather than dump

Base Case

The token experiences a typical meme-coin lifecycle: initial pump phase (already occurring), followed by gradual price decay as early holders distribute. Price stabilizes at a level 50–80% below the session high ($0.0000250–$0.0000630) with a small residual holder base of 100–200 long-term holders. No rug occurs but no sustained value creation either.

  • No authority-based rug pull occurs
  • Retail buying gradually diminishes over 48–72 hours
  • Whale holders distribute in an orderly fashion rather than a single coordinated dump
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap

Bear Case

High probability

Whale and sniper distribution overwhelms retail buying, liquidity drains to zero, and price collapses back toward the $0.0000315 launch-area low or lower. Unknown authorities execute a rug pull via metadata update or mint authority abuse.

  • Continued 67.1% sell pressure draining thin liquidity
  • Coordinated exit by top 10–20 whale wallets (controlling ~20%+ of supply)
  • Unknown authority executes rug via mint inflation or metadata manipulation
  • Retail interest fades as price momentum stalls
  • Token returns to dormancy as seen in prior 30-day flat period

Analysis details

Generated

May 4, 10:47 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-04 10:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 9LQ3ruKXhXoMJk5334bunknq1kUErXJjdFkAJXrapump)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (pair: EnDa99cEWeFAW6n4236wkGbabFsJ6xYs38xcLsFTjov9)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed issue with PumpSwap integration
  • Total supply metadata shows '1' with 0 decimals, inconsistent with holder balances in the quadrillions — FDV and market cap calculations are unreliable
  • Sniper sniped amounts in USD are unknown — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Mint, freeze, and update authority status are unknown — cannot confirm or deny rug risk from authorities
  • Holder percentage figures in the top-holder table appear to be raw balance values misformatted as percentages — actual percentage holdings were estimated from relative balance sizes
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in its active phase — all trend analysis is based on extremely limited data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Average Guy ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 430 addresses (2026-05-04 10:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Average Guy?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Average Guy liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Average Guy (AverageGuy)?

The most recent 5-minute price change is -15.1%, and the last completed hourly candle (09:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001267 high back down to $0.0001054 close — a bearish engulfing/shooting-star structure. Sell pressure at 67.1% of 24h volume and zero reported liquidity create a high-risk environment for further downside. The current price of $0.0001049 is near the lower bound of the recent range. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000031 (candle [3] open / launch-area low) to $0.0001267 (candle [2] high — recent peak resistance).

Is AverageGuy a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking store of value, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk meme launch: unknown authorities, zero liquidity, extreme concentration, and dominant sell pressure.

What are the key risks of holding AverageGuy?

Zero reported liquidity — extreme slippage on any exit • Unknown mint/freeze/update authorities on a mutable token • Top 100 holders control 96.22% of supply — extreme concentration

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