Aliun

Aliun Price Today & AI Analysis

AliunSolanaAnalysis as of May 9, 2026

Price

$0.052096

FDV $2,094

Contract

Live
8nESVCYcPuuf6nRZeSHWEKonimQdyzmzneY7FPeUpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

93

Market cap

$2,094

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Aliun: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-09 06:50 UTC

Holder addresses

597

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Aliun ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 597 addresses (2026-05-09 06:50 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Aliun?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Aliun liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-09 06:50 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 9, 06:50 AM UTC

FDV

$68,623

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

597

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Aliun (ALIUN) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens, currently trading at $0.0000686 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$68,623. The token launched very recently — holder count was flat at 29 for the entire 30-day historical window before exploding to 597 holders within the last 24 hours, indicating this is effectively a brand-new launch experiencing its initial pump. Trading activity shows heavy sell pressure (69.3% sell volume vs 30.7% buy volume) despite a 22.55% 24h price gain, and reported liquidity is $0.00 on the analytics feed — a significant red flag. The token is unverified, has minimal description, and update authority is unknown.

Key points

  • Explosive holder growth from 29 to 597 in under 24 hours (+95%), indicating a very fresh launch pump
  • Heavy sell-side dominance: 69.3% sell volume ($216.96K) vs 30.7% buy volume ($95.94K) despite price appreciation
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 on analytics feed — extremely shallow or unmeasured liquidity on PumpSwap
  • Top 10 holders control 34.28% of supply; top 100 control 75.82%, indicating moderate-to-high concentration
  • 20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; majority are in profit, raising dump risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in the midst of a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Price surged from ~$0.0000309 to a high of ~$0.0000958 in candle [2] before retracing. Current price of $0.0000686 is near the close of candle [1]. With 69.3% sell pressure, 4,646 sells vs 2,406 buys, and most snipers in profit, short-term price action is likely to face significant downward pressure. A retest of the $0.0000309–$0.0000539 support zone is plausible.

Target low

$0.0000200

Target high

$0.0000958

Support

$0.0000539 (candle [1] low), $0.0000309 (candle [2] low), $0.0000207 (candle [3] low)

Resistance

$0.0000729 (candle [4] high / candle [3] high zone), $0.0000958 (candle [2] all-time high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a verified contract, meaningful utility, or sustained buy-side demand, medium-term price trajectory is bearish. The token spent 30 days dormant with only 29 holders before this pump, suggesting artificial or coordinated launch activity. Unless new catalysts emerge (viral social media, influencer promotion), price is likely to bleed back toward launch levels.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media campaign driving new buyer inflow
  • Influencer or KOL promotion on Twitter/X
  • Listing on a DEX aggregator or minor CEX
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price gain of +22.55% and +89.43% in the last hour
  • Rapid holder accumulation from 29 to 597 (+95%) in 24 hours
  • Active trading with 1,679 unique wallets in 24 hours
  • Some snipers showing strong realized profits (up to +86.3%), indicating early momentum

Bearish factors

  • 69.3% sell volume dominance ($216.96K sells vs $95.94K buys)
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 29 holders before this pump
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, minimal project description
  • Top 10 holders control 34.28%; top 100 control 75.82% — high dump risk
  • Most snipers are in profit and likely to sell remaining positions

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of this newly launched memecoin, $0.00 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, missing sniper cost-basis data, and the highly speculative nature of PumpFun tokens. Price can move 50–200% in either direction within hours.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
8nESVC...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 ALIUN

Key Risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — suggests coordinated launch
  • 69.3% sell volume dominance indicates active distribution by early holders
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit with high sell-through rate — ongoing dump pressure

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Four hourly candles analyzed (03:00–06:00 UTC, May 9 2026). Candle [4] (03:00): O:$0.0000391 H:$0.0000729 L:$0.0000324 C:$0.0000634 — bullish candle with long upper wick, moderate volume ($36.96K). Candle [3] (04:00): O:$0.0000595 H:$0.0000751 L:$0.0000207 C:$0.0000298 — large bearish candle with massive lower wick, highest volume ($139.13K), indicating a sharp sell-off and capitulation. Candle [2] (05:00): O:$0.0000318 H:$0.0000958 L:$0.0000309 C:$0.0000595 — strong bullish recovery with a new high of $0.0000958, significant upper wick suggesting rejection at highs, volume $35.40K. Candle [1] (06:00): O:$0.0000595 H:$0.0000686 L:$0.0000539 C:$0.0000686 — bullish close at the high, tightening range, volume $44.34K. Overall pattern: extreme volatility with a V-shaped recovery after the candle [3] crash.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward from the candle [3] low of $0.0000207 to current $0.0000686, but the medium-term picture is sideways-to-bearish given the token's dormancy for 30 days and the rejection at $0.0000958. The recovery from the crash low is encouraging but faces heavy sell pressure.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

31%

Sell

69%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000539 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000207 (candle [3] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000729 (candle [3] high / candle [4] high zone)

Major resistance

$0.0000958 (candle [2] all-time high)

The $0.0000539 level is the nearest support, representing the base of the most recent consolidation candle. A break below this opens a path to $0.0000309 (candle [2] low) and ultimately $0.0000207 (candle [3] wick low). On the upside, $0.0000729 is the first resistance cluster from candles [3] and [4] highs, with $0.0000958 as the all-time high resistance.

Notable patterns

  • V-shaped recovery from candle [3] crash low ($0.0000207) to candle [2] high ($0.0000958)
  • Long upper wick on candle [2] at $0.0000958 — rejection / shooting star signal
  • Candle [3] has a massive lower wick indicating capitulation and potential buyer absorption
  • Candle [1] closes at its high ($0.0000686) — short-term bullish momentum
  • Decreasing volume on recovery candles vs peak volume on sell-off candle — bearish divergence

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 ALIUN

FDV

$68,622.60

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price swung from $0.0000207 to $0.0000958 within a 2-hour window — a 363% range. The 89.43% 1-hour gain and extreme candle wicks confirm hyper-volatile conditions typical of newly launched PumpFun memecoins.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — suggests coordinated launch
  • 69.3% sell volume dominance indicates active distribution by early holders
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit with high sell-through rate — ongoing dump pressure
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Micro-cap FDV of ~$68,623 — extremely susceptible to price manipulation
  • No clear utility, roadmap, or team information provided
  • 2:1 seller-to-buyer wallet ratio in 24 hours

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (mutable: false), reducing rug-via-metadata-change risk
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Active trading with 1,679 unique wallets suggests genuine market interest
  • Some snipers showing modest profits rather than extreme gains, suggesting not all early buyers are whales
  • PumpFun launch mechanism provides some standardization and transparency
  • Holder count growing rapidly, indicating community interest

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders with high risk tolerance who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme: dormant pre-launch period, explosive holder growth, heavy sell pressure, near-zero liquidity, and active sniper distribution. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation.

Aliun (ALIUN) is a high-risk PumpFun memecoin in the early stages of a launch pump. The token exhibits classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 30 days of dormancy followed by explosive activity, heavy sell-side dominance, near-zero liquidity, and active sniper distribution. While short-term momentum traders may find opportunities in the volatility, the risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for most investors.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral momentum continuation: If Aliun gains traction on Twitter/X and attracts a broader retail audience, the holder count could continue growing rapidly, driving price toward and potentially beyond the $0.0000958 all-time high. A successful meme narrative could sustain buying pressure long enough to overcome current sell-side dominance.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter generating FOMO
  • KOL or influencer promotion driving new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Rapid holder growth continuing beyond 1,000+ holders creating network effect

Base Case

Volatile consolidation followed by gradual decline: Price oscillates in the $0.0000309–$0.0000729 range for 24–72 hours as momentum traders play the volatility. Holder count stabilizes around 600–800. Without sustained catalysts, price gradually bleeds lower over the following week as early buyers exit and new buyer inflow slows.

  • Buy pressure remains insufficient to absorb ongoing sell-side distribution
  • No major viral catalyst emerges in the next 48–72 hours
  • Liquidity remains shallow, limiting large position entries and exits
  • Sniper sell-through continues at current pace

Bear Case

High probability

Pump collapse: Sell pressure overwhelms buy demand as snipers and early holders continue distributing. Price retraces to the $0.0000207 candle [3] low or lower. With $0.00 reported liquidity, a cascade of sells could push price to near-zero. The token returns to dormancy with a small bag-holder community.

  • Continued 69.3% sell volume dominance exhausting buy-side demand
  • Remaining snipers exiting profitable positions
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying downward price moves
  • No fundamental catalyst or utility to sustain interest
  • Whale holders (positions 2–10, each 1.29%–3.52%) beginning to distribute

Analysis details

Generated

May 9, 06:50 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-09 06:50 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed (pair BLfvQCGTovES523qVSovstkqajT6SDvgvAswjgV65vQ3)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (4 candles, May 9 2026 03:00–06:00 UTC)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed limitation for PumpSwap, actual liquidity depth unknown
  • Sniper cost basis (total sniped USD) is unknown for all 20 snipers, preventing full PnL calculation
  • Sniper current balances are unknown for 18 of 20 snipers, preventing concentration calculation
  • Only 4 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available metadata
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot assess rug risk from authorities definitively
  • No team, roadmap, or utility information available for fundamental analysis
  • The 30-day historical holder series shows only 29 holders until the analysis date, suggesting the token launched very recently and historical data is limited

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in ALIUN. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Aliun ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 597 addresses (2026-05-09 06:50 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Aliun?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Aliun liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Aliun (Aliun)?

The token is in the midst of a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Price surged from ~$0.0000309 to a high of ~$0.0000958 in candle [2] before retracing. Current price of $0.0000686 is near the close of candle [1]. With 69.3% sell pressure, 4,646 sells vs 2,406 buys, and most snipers in profit, short-term price action is likely to face significant downward pressure. A retest of the $0.0000309–$0.0000539 support zone is plausible. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000200 to $0.0000958.

Is Aliun a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders with high risk tolerance who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme: dormant pre-launch period, explosive holder growth, heavy sell pressure, near-zero liquidity, and active sniper distribution. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation.

What are the key risks of holding Aliun?

$0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — suggests coordinated launch • 69.3% sell volume dominance indicates active distribution by early holders

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