EMBERCAT

Ember Cat Price Today & AI Analysis

EMBERCAT
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 11, 2026

8iYPW781jBDu8zkC6PFY8WpvtbHxSVMgBX8aPnNmRY3z

$0.000761

+3615.24%

FDV $761,200

LiveContract:8iYPW781jBDu8zkC6PFY8WpvtbHxSVMgBX8aPnNmRY3zChain:SolanaHolders:1,120Market cap:$761,200

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Report snapshotas of Sep 11, 04:46 PM
FDV

$761,200

Liquidity

$48,092

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Ember Cat (EMBERCAT) is a micro-cap Solana memecoin trading on Meteora DAMM against a paired asset. The token experienced an explosive ~3615% 24h price spike driven by a parabolic move between hours 15-19 of the candle series (price jumped from ~$0.0000314 to a high of ~$0.00247 before retracing sharply to $0.000761). Liquidity is thin at just $48.09K against a $761.2K FDV, and the most recent hourly candles show the rally losing steam with a -35.2% pullback in the last hour and a further -1.7% in the last 5 minutes. This profile is consistent with a fresh, highly volatile launchpad token in the early/violent price-discovery phase rather than an established asset.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price appreciation (+3615%) followed by sharp intra-hour reversal (-35% in the last 1h), indicating a pump-and-retrace pattern typical of new launchpad tokens
Very thin liquidity ($48.09K) relative to FDV ($761.2K), creating high slippage risk for any meaningful trade size
Roughly balanced 24h buy/sell volume (50.5%/49.5%) despite the price collapse from highs, suggesting active two-sided trading rather than a one-sided dump
No holder distribution or sniper data available, which is a material transparency gap for risk assessment

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1-6 hours

Price has already retraced roughly 69% from the intraday high of $0.00247 to the current $0.000761, with the most recent hourly candle down -35.2% and 5m momentum still negative (-1.7%). This looks like a blow-off top from the h15-h19 parabolic move now unwinding. Absent fresh buy-side catalysts, further downside toward prior consolidation levels is likely before any stabilization.

Target low$0.00045
Target high$0.00110
Support: $0.000706 (candle 22 low), $0.000536 (candle 18 open/low zone), $0.0000900-0.000192 (pre-pump base, candles 15-16)
Resistance: $0.00117 (candle 24 high), $0.00151 (candle 23 high), $0.00247 (24h high / candle 19)

Medium term

neutral
1-7 days

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given the token's very short observable history (24 hourly candles) and lack of holder/sniper data. Sustainability depends on whether new liquidity and holders continue entering post-pump or whether early buyers from the parabolic move exit en masse. With only $48K liquidity, even moderate sell pressure could crater price further; conversely continued social momentum (Twitter/website links present) could sustain interest.

Catalysts
  • Potential continued launchpad/community promotion via listed Twitter and website
  • Liquidity additions or migration events on Meteora DAMM
  • Broader memecoin market sentiment on Solana
  • Risk of early buyers/insiders distributing into retail demand

Bullish factors

  • 24h price still up massively (+3615%) versus 24h ago despite the pullback
  • Buy volume ($1.91M) slightly exceeds sell volume ($1.87M) over 24h, and buyer count (4,868) exceeds seller count (3,782)
  • Active two-sided market with high trade counts (13,252 buys vs 10,047 sells) suggesting genuine trading interest, not just a single wash-traded event

Bearish factors

  • Sharp -35.2% decline in the most recent 1h candle signals the pump is actively reversing
  • Price has fallen roughly 69% from the intraday high already
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($48.09K) makes the token vulnerable to further violent moves in either direction
  • No holder or sniper data to confirm distribution health, raising concentration/rug risk concerns
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely short price history (only 24 hourly candles covering roughly one day), absence of holder and sniper data, thin liquidity that can distort price signals, and the token's apparent very recent launch/pump phase which makes historical patterns unreliable predictors of near-term behavior.

EMBERCAT call history

Full track record →
Sep 11bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour hourly candle sequence shows a long consolidation phase between roughly $0.0000123 and $0.0000313 from hours 1-14, followed by an explosive parabolic breakout starting at candle 15 (open $0.0000314) that accelerated through candles 16-19, peaking at a high of $0.00247 in candle 19. Since that peak, price has been in a steady downtrend/retracement across candles 20-24, closing the most recent hour at $0.000764, down sharply from the highs but still vastly above the pre-pump base.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 51%Sell 50%

Short-term (last several hours) price action is a clear downtrend/retracement from the $0.00247 peak, with lower highs and lower closes in candles 20-24. Medium-term (24h view) the trend remains a massive uptrend versus the starting base near $0.0000232, but the trajectory is now curving over, suggesting the initial impulsive move is exhausting.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000706 (candle 22 intraday low)
Major$0.000536 (candle 18 low/open zone, pre-breakout consolidation floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00117 (candle 24 recent high)
Major$0.00247 (24h absolute high, candle 19)

The token carved out a clear low base under $0.0000313 for roughly 14 hours before breaking out violently. Since peaking near $0.00247, price has been making lower highs, with the most recent candle's high of $0.00129 and close of $0.000764 sitting well below the $0.00117-$0.00151 resistance band formed in candles 23-24. A break below $0.000706 would open the door to a deeper retracement toward $0.000536, while reclaiming $0.00117-$0.00151 would be needed to challenge the $0.00247 high again.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic breakout candle at hour 15 (range from $0.0000314 to $0.000156 intrahour) signaling a sudden demand shock
  • Extended upper wicks in candles 17-19 (highs well above closes) indicating rejection at higher prices and profit-taking
  • Series of lower highs and lower closes in candles 20-24 forming a descending pattern typical of post-pump distribution
  • High-volume blow-off top at candle 19 followed by declining but still-elevated volume, consistent with a classic pump-and-fade pattern

Liquidity$48.09K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$1.91M
Sell$1.87M
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers4,868
Unique sellers3,782

Total liquidity of just $48.09K is extremely shallow relative to the $761.2K fully diluted valuation and the enormous 24h trading volume (~$3.78M combined buy+sell). This mismatch between reported volume and available liquidity is typical of new launchpad tokens where volume is driven by many small, rapid trades rather than deep order book depth, and it means larger trades will incur significant slippage in either direction. Buy volume ($1.91M, 50.5%) narrowly exceeds sell volume ($1.87M, 49.5%), and unique buyers (4,868) outnumber unique sellers (3,782), pointing to a modest net inflow bias over the 24h window, though the most recent price action shows this flow reversing on shorter timeframes.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,970,393.04 EMBERCAT
FDV$761.20K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Metadata for update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status was not conclusively provided (all listed as 'unknown'), and verified contract / mutable metadata status is also unknown. Total supply is approximately 999.97M tokens with a fully diluted valuation of $761.2K at the current price of $0.000761222. Without confirmation that mint and freeze authorities have been renounced, there remains an unquantified risk that the token contract could allow further minting or account freezing; this should be treated as an open risk until verified on-chain via explorer tools.

Volatility
high

The token moved from a low base near $0.0000123 to a high of $0.00247 (a ~200x intrahour range) and has since retraced ~69% from that peak within a few hours, including a -35.2% single-hour move. This level of volatility implies extreme risk of rapid, large capital loss.

Liquidity
high

Only $48.09K in total liquidity against a $761.2K FDV and multi-million-dollar 24h volume means large trades will face substantial slippage, and the pool could be vulnerable to being drained or manipulated with relatively modest capital.

Concentration
high

No holder or whale distribution data is available to verify concentration; given the token's brand-new parabolic profile, concentration risk is assumed elevated as a precaution, though this cannot be confirmed with current data.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper wallet data was available to quantify sniper concentration or PnL, but the pattern of a sudden 100x+ intrahour breakout followed by a sharp multi-hour retracement is consistent with early buyers/snipers taking profit into retail demand, even though this cannot be directly confirmed.

Authority
medium

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and mutability status are all listed as unknown in the provided metadata. Until these are verified as renounced, there is an unquantified risk of supply inflation or account freezing controlled by the token creator.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($48.09K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Parabolic pump-and-fade price pattern already reversing sharply (-35.2% in the last hour, -69% from intraday high)
  • Complete absence of holder distribution and sniper wallet data, preventing verification of concentration or insider activity
  • Unknown/unverified mint and freeze authority status, leaving open the possibility of supply inflation or account restrictions
  • Very short trading history (only 24 hourly candles) limits confidence in any technical or trend-based conclusions
  • Memecoin category with no clear utility beyond community/branding narrative ('first cat on embercurve'), making value highly sentiment-dependent

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy and sell volumes are closely balanced (50.5%/49.5%) with buyers outnumbering sellers, suggesting the move is not purely a single-wallet dump
  • Active, high-frequency trading (13,252 buys, 10,047 sells) indicates genuine market interest rather than a dead or illiquid token
  • Project has visible social presence (Twitter, website) which provides at least a minimal community/communication channel
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders comfortable with extreme volatility and total loss of capital; not appropriate for conservative investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to actively monitor rapidly changing on-chain conditions. Position sizing should be minimal given the shallow liquidity and unresolved authority/holder data gaps.

EMBERCAT is a brand-new, highly volatile Solana memecoin that just experienced a violent parabolic pump (+3615% 24h) followed by an equally sharp retracement (-35.2% in the last hour, -69% from intraday highs). With only $48.09K in liquidity, no verifiable holder or authority data, and a one-day-old trading history, this token sits firmly in speculative, high-risk territory typical of fresh launchpad memecoins. Any position should be sized accordingly and treated as a short-term speculative trade rather than a fundamentals-driven investment.

Bull case (low)

If community/social momentum (leveraging the listed Twitter and website) continues to attract new buyers and liquidity providers, the token could stabilize at a higher plateau than its pre-pump base, with buy pressure (currently 50.5% of volume, 4,868 buyers vs 3,782 sellers) sustaining price above key support near $0.000706-$0.000536.

  • Sustained or renewed social media/community promotion
  • Net positive buyer/seller ratio persisting in subsequent trading sessions
  • Additional liquidity being added to the Meteora DAMM pool to reduce slippage risk
  • Broader Solana memecoin market strength providing tailwind

Base case

Price continues to cool off from the blow-off top, consolidating somewhere between the recent low ($0.000706) and the post-pump resistance zone ($0.00117-$0.00151), with continued high volatility and two-sided volume as the market searches for a new equilibrium price well above the pre-pump base but below the euphoric peak.

  • Trading activity (volume, buyer/seller counts) remains roughly balanced as observed in the 24h data
  • No major new liquidity shock or authority-related incident occurs
  • General memecoin market conditions remain stable rather than sharply risk-off

Bear case (medium)

The parabolic move fully unwinds as early buyers and any undisclosed large holders continue taking profit, pushing price back toward or below the pre-pump consolidation range (roughly $0.0000123-$0.0000313), especially given the shallow liquidity that offers little buffer against sell pressure.

  • Continuation of the already-observed downtrend (lower highs/lower closes across candles 20-24)
  • Thin $48.09K liquidity unable to absorb sustained selling
  • Lack of verified mint/freeze authority renouncement raising creator-risk concerns
  • No holder data to rule out concentrated ownership that could dump on retail

GeneratedSep 11, 04:46 PM
Data freshnessOHLC data current through 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z (most recent hourly candle); price/analytics snapshot as of query time
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata
  • Meteora DAMM pair price and OHLC candle data (24 hourly candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution data available (holder endpoints retired) — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are empty by necessity
  • No sniper wallet data available — smartMoneySignals sniper metrics could not be computed and are set to unknown/zero per methodology
  • Token metadata fields for verified contract, mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and mutability are all listed as unknown, preventing a full rug-risk assessment from authorities
  • Only 24 hourly candles (~1 day) of price history available, limiting the reliability of trend and pattern analysis
  • Total liquidity figure is a point-in-time snapshot and may fluctuate significantly given the token's high volatility

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (no holder data, no sniper data, unverified authority status). Cryptocurrency, and memecoins in particular, carry extremely high risk including total loss of capital. Conduct your own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,970,393.04 EMBERCAT

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($48.09K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
Parabolic pump-and-fade price pattern already reversing sharply (-35.2% in the last hour, -69% from intraday high)
Complete absence of holder distribution and sniper wallet data, preventing verification of concentration or insider activity
Unknown/unverified mint and freeze authority status, leaving open the possibility of supply inflation or account restrictions

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper wallet data was provided for this token, so sniper-specific concentration, PnL state, and sell-through behavior cannot be assessed. This is a data gap rather than a confirmed absence of sniper activity, and should be treated as an unknown risk factor rather than a positive signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown - no sniper data available

Unable to determine early buyer sentiment directly from sniper data; however, 24h trading analytics show buyers (4,868) outnumbering sellers (3,782) and buy volume ($1.91M) marginally exceeding sell volume ($1.87M), suggesting net positive but closely contested sentiment among traders broadly, not specifically early/sniper wallets.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Ember Cat (EMBERCAT)?

Price has already retraced roughly 69% from the intraday high of $0.00247 to the current $0.000761, with the most recent hourly candle down -35.2% and 5m momentum still negative (-1.7%). This looks like a blow-off top from the h15-h19 parabolic move now unwinding. Absent fresh buy-side catalysts, further downside toward prior consolidation levels is likely before any stabilization. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-6 hours), with a target range of $0.00045 to $0.00110.

Is EMBERCAT a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 85/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders comfortable with extreme volatility and total loss of capital; not appropriate for conservative investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to actively monitor rapidly changing on-chain conditions. Position sizing should be minimal given the shallow liquidity and unresolved authority/holder data gaps.

What does sniper activity look like for EMBERCAT?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding EMBERCAT?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($48.09K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Parabolic pump-and-fade price pattern already reversing sharply (-35.2% in the last hour, -69% from intraday high) • Complete absence of holder distribution and sniper wallet data, preventing verification of concentration or insider activity

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