memcoin

memcoin Price Prediction 2026

memcoin
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 5, 2026

3eWySqJE53dw6drotE1fDSVdmkAyoMiYZJtzxQogpump

$0.048008

+46.05%

FDV $78,659

LiveContract:3eWySqJE53dw6drotE1fDSVdmkAyoMiYZJtzxQogpumpChain:SolanaHolders:984Market cap:$78,659

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Report snapshotas of Aug 5, 02:16 PM
FDV

$78,659

Liquidity

$37,021

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

memcoin (MEMCOIN) is an unverified Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$76.96K and total liquidity of only $37.02K. The token has experienced a sharp 46% 24h price gain but is showing severe sell-side dominance (82.7% sell pressure) and a -25.46% price drop in the last 5 minutes, suggesting the pump is rapidly reversing. With no verified contract, unknown update authority, and extremely shallow liquidity, this token carries very high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme sell pressure: 82.7% of 24h volume is sells ($432K vs $90K buys)
Very shallow liquidity at $37.02K against $76.96K FDV — liquidity covers only ~48% of FDV
Sharp 5-minute price drop of -25.46% following a 46% 24h gain signals a pump-and-dump pattern
Unverified contract with unknown update authority adds significant rug risk
No sniper data available, limiting early-buyer intelligence

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token surged ~46% over 24h but is already reversing hard — down 25.46% in the last 5 minutes alone. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC) showed a massive wick from $0.0000281 to $0.000202 before closing at $0.000116, and candle [1] (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.000120 and closed at $0.0000789, confirming a bearish engulfing/reversal pattern. With 82.7% sell pressure and 2,191 sellers vs 427 buyers, further downside is highly probable in the near term.

Target low$0.000028
Target high$0.000120
Support: $0.0000768 (candle [1] low), $0.0000281 (candle [2] low / launch-area support)
Resistance: $0.000120 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.000202 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a meaningful catalyst, sustained buying interest, or improved liquidity depth, the token is likely to continue declining toward its pre-pump lows near $0.000028–$0.000030. The FDV of ~$77K with only $37K liquidity means any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media traction
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 46% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some community presence
  • Immutable metadata (mutable: false) reduces one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 82.7% sell pressure ($432K sells vs $90K buys in 24h)
  • -25.46% price drop in last 5 minutes signals active dump
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($37K) relative to FDV ($77K)
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • 7,324 sell transactions vs 1,666 buy transactions in 24h
  • No verified contract or audit
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly candles are available, no sniper data exists, holder data is unavailable, and the token is unverified. The directional bias (bearish) is supported by strong sell pressure and the 5-minute price collapse, but the exact price path is highly uncertain given meme coin volatility.

memcoin call history

Full track record →
Aug 5bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC) is a high-volatility candle: open $0.0000294, high $0.000202, low $0.0000281, close $0.000116 — a massive upper wick indicating a sharp pump followed by partial rejection. Volume was extremely high at $451K. Candle [1] (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.000120 (near candle [2]'s close), reached a high of $0.000125, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000768 and closed at $0.0000789 on $50.7K volume. This is a strong bearish engulfing/continuation candle confirming the reversal from the pump high.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 17%Sell 83%

The two-candle sequence shows a classic pump-and-dump pattern: explosive upward move with a long upper wick in candle [2], followed by a bearish candle [1] that closes near the session low. The 5-minute -25.46% move confirms the downtrend is accelerating.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000768 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000281 (candle [2] low — pre-pump base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000120 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area)
Major$0.000202 (candle [2] absolute high)

The pre-pump base around $0.0000281–$0.0000295 represents the major support zone. The candle [1] low of $0.0000768 is the nearest support. Resistance sits at the candle [1] open (~$0.000120) and the pump high of $0.000202. Given the sell pressure, a retest of the $0.000028–$0.000030 zone is plausible.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing: candle [1] opens at candle [2]'s close and closes well below it
  • Long upper wick on candle [2] indicating strong rejection at the $0.000202 high
  • Volume exhaustion: 89% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1]
  • Pump-and-dump price structure: parabolic spike followed by rapid reversal
  • 5-minute -25.46% collapse confirms accelerating downside momentum

Liquidity$37,020
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$90,540
Sell$432,230
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers427
Unique sellers2,191

Liquidity is critically shallow at $37.02K against a FDV of $76.96K — liquidity covers only ~48% of FDV, meaning the entire market cap cannot be exited without catastrophic slippage. The 24h net flow is heavily negative: $432.23K in sell volume vs $90.54K in buy volume, a 4.8:1 sell-to-buy ratio. There are 2,191 unique sellers vs only 427 unique buyers, confirming broad distribution. Any position of meaningful size will face severe slippage on exit. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair HabYLUiD9AaB76njxPc1Enawqw12iMGopcBxr5icU5qQ), which is a lower-liquidity venue. Market health is poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply982,259,126.31
FDV$76,960

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 982.26 million tokens with a FDV of ~$76.96K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, preventing a definitive assessment of mint/freeze authority status. The token metadata is marked as immutable (mutable: false), which is a mild positive — it reduces the risk of metadata manipulation post-launch. However, the contract is unverified and the authority status cannot be confirmed. The token was launched via PumpFun (pump suffix on mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism. Rug risk from authorities is classified as 'unknown' due to insufficient authority data. The description field is empty ('none'), and there is no verified contract, which are yellow flags.

Volatility
high

The token moved from $0.0000281 to $0.000202 and back to $0.0000789 within two hours — a 619% spike and ~61% retracement. The 5-minute -25.46% drop confirms extreme ongoing volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $37.02K. With $432K in 24h sell volume already processed, the remaining liquidity pool is extremely thin. Any significant sell order will cause severe price impact and slippage.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, but the 4.8:1 sell-to-buy ratio and the pattern of 2,191 sellers vs 427 buyers suggests broad distribution from a concentrated early holder base. Cannot be confirmed without holder data.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available. However, the extreme sell pressure (82.7% of volume) and rapid price reversal from the pump high strongly suggest early buyers or insiders are distributing aggressively.

Authority
high

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. These unknowns represent meaningful rug-pull vectors that cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (82.7%) with 4.8:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio indicates active distribution
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($37K) creates severe exit slippage risk
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — rug pull cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure confirmed by candle analysis
  • 5-minute -25.46% price drop signals accelerating downside
  • No holder data available to assess concentration or whale behavior
  • PumpFun-launched token with no description or verified identity

Mitigating factors

  • Immutable metadata (mutable: false) reduces post-launch metadata manipulation risk
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some level of community presence
  • Token has not been flagged as spam by the data provider
  • 24h price is still up 46% from 24h ago, meaning some buyers are still in profit
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear and immediate exit strategy. Given the active dump pattern, even experienced traders should exercise extreme caution.

memcoin (MEMCOIN) is a high-risk, unverified meme token on Solana that experienced a sharp pump within a 2-hour window but is now in active reversal. The data presents a textbook pump-and-dump pattern: parabolic price spike, long upper wick rejection, collapsing volume, and overwhelming sell pressure (82.7%). The investment case is almost entirely speculative with no fundamental value proposition, no verified contract, and critically shallow liquidity.

Bull case (low)

A viral social media moment or coordinated community push reignites buying interest, pushing the token back toward the $0.000120–$0.000202 range. New buyers absorb the sell pressure and liquidity deepens.

  • Viral Twitter/social media campaign drives new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifts all tokens
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Successful listing on a higher-liquidity venue

Base case

The token stabilizes somewhere between $0.000040–$0.000080 as the most aggressive sellers exit, but fails to recapture the pump high. It trades with low volume and gradually fades as attention moves to other tokens.

  • Sell pressure moderates as early sellers complete distribution
  • A small community of holders maintains minimal buying activity
  • No authority exploit occurs
  • Broader market conditions remain neutral

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to overwhelm buyers, liquidity is drained, and the price collapses back to pre-pump levels near $0.000028–$0.000030 or lower. A rug pull or authority exploit cannot be ruled out given unknown authority status.

  • Continued 82.7% sell pressure exhausts remaining liquidity
  • Unknown authority executes mint or freeze exploit
  • Early buyers complete distribution, removing all upward price support
  • No new catalysts emerge to attract fresh capital

GeneratedAug 5, 02:16 PM
Data freshnessPrice and analytics data reflects 24h window ending ~2026-08-05T14:00 UTC. Only 2 hourly candles available — historical context is extremely limited.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana mint account)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed (pair HabYLUiD9AaB76njxPc1Enawqw12iMGopcBxr5icU5qQ)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, 2026-08-05 13:00–14:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder count, growth, or distribution data available (endpoints retired)
  • No sniper data available — early buyer intelligence is absent
  • Update authority status is unknown — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Contract is unverified — no audit or source code review possible
  • FDV and price data may lag real-time on-chain state
  • Meme tokens are subject to extreme manipulation and social sentiment shifts that cannot be modeled from on-chain data alone

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. All data is sourced from on-chain and DEX feeds and may not reflect real-time market conditions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply982,259,126.31

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure (82.7%) with 4.8:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio indicates active distribution
Critically shallow liquidity ($37K) creates severe exit slippage risk
Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — rug pull cannot be ruled out
Unverified contract with no audit trail

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Early-buyer intelligence cannot be assessed. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token is too new, too small, or was not tracked at launch. Given the extreme sell pressure (82.7% of volume) and the rapid price reversal, it is plausible that early buyers are distributing, but this cannot be confirmed from available data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer data is available. The heavy sell-side dominance (7,324 sells vs 1,666 buys in 24h) suggests significant distribution is occurring, but the identity and PnL of early buyers cannot be determined.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for memcoin (memcoin)?

The token surged ~46% over 24h but is already reversing hard — down 25.46% in the last 5 minutes alone. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC) showed a massive wick from $0.0000281 to $0.000202 before closing at $0.000116, and candle [1] (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.000120 and closed at $0.0000789, confirming a bearish engulfing/reversal pattern. With 82.7% sell pressure and 2,191 sellers vs 427 buyers, further downside is highly probable in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000028 to $0.000120.

Is memcoin a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear and immediate exit strategy. Given the active dump pattern, even experienced traders should exercise extreme caution.

What does sniper activity look like for memcoin?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding memcoin?

Extreme sell pressure (82.7%) with 4.8:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio indicates active distribution • Critically shallow liquidity ($37K) creates severe exit slippage risk • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — rug pull cannot be ruled out

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