BLACKSHEEP

The Black Sheep Price Prediction 2026

BLACKSHEEP
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 10, 2026

8J3XmCiLTHbp8VixkKSBBAd5Tc3h6FeUkhqdiJ9jpump

$0.052333

-94.80%

FDV $2,263

LiveContract:8J3XmCiLTHbp8VixkKSBBAd5Tc3h6FeUkhqdiJ9jpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,370Market cap:$2,263

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Report snapshotas of Aug 10, 06:48 PM
FDV

$2,263

Liquidity

$19,851

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

The Black Sheep (BLACKSHEEP) is a Solana memecoin launched via rapidlaunch.io, trading on PumpSwap at $0.00000233. The token has experienced a catastrophic -94.8% price decline in 24 hours, collapsing from a peak near $0.000166 (candle [23] high) to current levels. Volume has dried up dramatically from $466K+ in the launch hour to under $75 in the most recent candle, signaling a classic pump-and-dump lifecycle. Total liquidity stands at only $19.85K against a fully diluted valuation of just $2.26K — a deeply distressed market structure.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched via rapidlaunch.io — a rapid-launch launchpad associated with speculative memecoins
Price collapsed ~98.6% from all-time high of $0.000166 to current $0.00000233 within ~22 hours
Extreme sell pressure: 74.1% sell volume vs 25.9% buy volume; 10,668 sells vs 4,223 buys in 24h
Liquidity ($19.85K) exceeds FDV ($2.26K) — highly anomalous and indicative of near-zero market confidence
Mutable flag is false and update authority is unknown — authority status unclear

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in a sustained downtrend with no sign of reversal. The most recent candle [1] closed at $0.00000233, matching the session low, with volume collapsing to $73. Sell pressure dominates at 74.1%. Immediate support is the current price floor; any bounce is likely to be sold into aggressively.

Target low$0.0000010
Target high$0.0000035
Support: $0.00000233 (current close / session low), $0.00000196 (estimated 50% extension below recent base)
Resistance: $0.00000305 (candle [6]–[7] cluster), $0.00000398 (candle [15] open), $0.00000534 (candle [18] close)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

With FDV at $2.26K and liquidity at $19.85K, the token has effectively lost its market. Volume has collapsed from $466K at launch to near zero. Without a new catalyst or community revival, continued price erosion toward near-zero is the most probable outcome.

Catalysts
  • Any renewed social media attention or influencer promotion (low probability)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Liquidity removal by LPs would further crush price

Bullish factors

  • Token still has active trading (4,223 buys in 24h, 853 unique buyers)
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some community infrastructure
  • Current price near all-time low could attract speculative bottom-fishers
  • Mutable=false reduces one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • Price down -94.8% in 24 hours — catastrophic collapse
  • All-time high of $0.000166 vs current $0.00000233 = ~98.6% drawdown from peak
  • Volume collapsed from $466K (launch hour) to $73 (most recent hour) — 99.98% volume decline
  • 74.1% sell pressure with 3,218 sellers vs 853 buyers
  • FDV ($2.26K) is far below total liquidity ($19.85K) — market assigns near-zero intrinsic value
  • Launched on rapidlaunch.io — associated with speculative, short-lived tokens
  • No verified contract; update authority unknown
Confidence: medium. The directional call (bearish) is high-confidence given the data — 94.8% 24h decline, collapsing volume, 74.1% sell pressure, and FDV below liquidity. The specific price targets carry medium confidence due to thin liquidity making exact levels unpredictable.

BLACKSHEEP call history

Full track record →
Aug 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

23 hourly candles analyzed. The token launched with explosive volume in candle [23] ($466K, high $0.000166) and candle [22] ($123K, high $0.000124), then entered a relentless downtrend. Each subsequent candle printed lower highs and lower lows without exception. By candle [1] (most recent), price closed at $0.00000233 — the lowest close in the dataset — on just $73 volume. The pattern is a textbook post-pump capitulation with no consolidation or reversal signals.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

Unambiguous downtrend across all timeframes. The token made its all-time high in candle [23] at $0.000166 and has printed 22 consecutive lower-high candles. No bullish structure has formed.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000233 (current close, candle [1] low)
Major$0.00000196 (estimated — no historical support below current price in dataset)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00000305 (candle [6]–[7] cluster, multiple closes near this level)
Major$0.00000534 (candle [18] close / candle [17] low area)

The entire candle range from $0.00000305 to $0.000166 represents overhead resistance. Any recovery attempt will face heavy sell pressure from trapped buyers at every level. The current price at $0.00000233 is at the absolute bottom of the 23-candle dataset.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top: Candle [23] printed an extreme wick high of $0.000166 on $466K volume — classic pump exhaustion
  • 22 consecutive lower-high candles: Unbroken downtrend with no relief rallies
  • Volume exhaustion: 99.98% volume decline from peak ($466K) to most recent candle ($73)
  • Candle [22] bearish engulfing: Opened at $0.000104, closed at $0.0000087 — massive bearish body
  • Candle [1] doji/close at low: Opened $0.00000242, closed at session low $0.00000233 — continued bearish pressure
  • Candle [14] high-volume rejection: $438 volume with wick to $0.00000356 then close at $0.00000317 — failed recovery attempt

Liquidity$19,850
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$162,180
Sell$463,680
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers853
Unique sellers3,218

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $19.85K is extremely shallow for any meaningful position. Critically, the fully diluted valuation ($2.26K) is far below total liquidity ($19.85K) — an anomalous inversion indicating the market assigns near-zero value to the token itself. Sell volume ($463.68K) is 2.86x buy volume ($162.18K), and sellers (3,218) outnumber buyers (853) by nearly 4:1. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). Slippage risk is high — any sell of meaningful size will move the price significantly given the shallow liquidity pool. The PumpSwap pair (6Jpf3i1kU4EhsWe6HAoBMCWBaTEktsKPtRrSGE73KXr7) is the sole liquidity venue.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply970,210,146.624352
FDV$2,263.17

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~970.2 million tokens with 6 decimals. The fully diluted valuation of $2,263 is extremely low, reflecting near-total market confidence collapse. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified — mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but without confirmed authority renouncement, rug risk from authorities remains unknown. The token was created on rapidlaunch.io, a rapid-launch platform. No vesting, allocation, or tokenomics documentation is referenced beyond the basic supply data.

Volatility
high

Price declined -94.8% in 24 hours and -98.6% from all-time high. Extreme volatility with no stabilization signals. The token went from $0.000166 to $0.00000233 in approximately 22 hours.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $19.85K, which is actually higher than the FDV ($2.26K). Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without catastrophic slippage. The sole liquidity venue is a single PumpSwap pool.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. As a rapidlaunch.io memecoin with a classic pump-and-dump price pattern, concentration risk is assumed high by default. The 3,218 sellers vs 853 buyers ratio suggests a small group of early holders distributed to a larger retail base.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, but the price action — a 98.6% collapse from ATH within 22 hours on massive early volume — is entirely consistent with sniper/insider dumping into retail buyers. The sell-through pattern is characteristic of coordinated early-exit behavior.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'; mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. Mutable=false provides some protection against metadata changes, but the overall authority picture is opaque.

Key risks

  • Near-total capital loss already realized: -94.8% in 24h, -98.6% from ATH
  • Liquidity ($19.85K) exceeds FDV ($2.26K) — market assigns near-zero value to token
  • Extreme sell pressure: 74.1% sell volume, 3,218 sellers vs 853 buyers
  • Volume collapsed 99.98% from launch peak — token is in terminal phase
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified liquidity
  • Launched on rapidlaunch.io — platform associated with speculative short-lived tokens
  • No holder distribution data available to assess concentration risk

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist — some community infrastructure present
  • 853 unique buyers in 24h suggests residual interest
  • Price at near-zero reduces absolute downside from current levels (though % losses can still be severe)
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of any capital deployed. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative position. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump cycle.

BLACKSHEEP is a rapidlaunch.io memecoin that has completed a classic pump-and-dump cycle within approximately 22 hours of launch. The token peaked at $0.000166, collapsed 98.6% to $0.00000233, and now trades with a FDV of $2.26K against $19.85K in liquidity — an inverted ratio that signals near-total market confidence loss. The investment thesis is overwhelmingly negative; the only speculative case rests on the possibility of a secondary pump driven by social media attention.

Bull case (low)

Secondary pump / dead-cat bounce: A renewed social media campaign or influencer promotion drives a short-term speculative rally. Given the near-zero FDV, even modest buying pressure could produce large percentage gains from current levels.

  • Viral social media attention or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana memecoin market euphoria lifting speculative tokens
  • Community-driven buyback or burn campaign
  • Current price near absolute zero creating asymmetric upside for micro-speculators

Base case

Token continues to trade at near-zero levels with minimal volume, slowly drifting lower as remaining holders exit and liquidity gradually thins. No recovery to previous price levels.

  • No new significant catalysts emerge
  • Sell pressure continues to outpace buy pressure
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels or decreases
  • Volume remains in the $50–$200/hour range seen in recent candles
  • Price drifts toward $0.0000010–$0.0000020 range over the next 24–72 hours

Bear case (high)

Continued price erosion toward zero: Remaining holders continue to exit, liquidity is withdrawn by LPs, and the token becomes effectively untradeable. FDV approaches zero.

  • Volume has collapsed 99.98% from launch peak — no organic demand
  • FDV already below liquidity — market has effectively priced in failure
  • 3,218 sellers vs 853 buyers — continued distribution pressure
  • No utility, no verified contract, unknown authority status
  • Rapidlaunch.io tokens historically have very short lifecycles

GeneratedAug 10, 06:48 PM
Data freshnessData reflects state as of candle [1] close at 2026-08-10T18:00Z. Most recent price: $0.00000233.
Model confidence
medium

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, authority, social links)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 23 hourly OHLC candles (2026-08-09T20:00Z to 2026-08-10T18:00Z)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap liquidity pool data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is unavailable — whaleMap and holderTrends sections contain no real data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — smart money signals are inferred from trading analytics only
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • Only 23 hourly candles available — longer-term technical analysis is not possible
  • FDV/liquidity inversion ($2.26K FDV vs $19.85K liquidity) may reflect data timing discrepancies
  • Token name, description, and metadata are supplied by the token creator and treated as untrusted evidence only

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk of total capital loss. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply970,210,146.624352

Key Risks

Near-total capital loss already realized: -94.8% in 24h, -98.6% from ATH
Liquidity ($19.85K) exceeds FDV ($2.26K) — market assigns near-zero value to token
Extreme sell pressure: 74.1% sell volume, 3,218 sellers vs 853 buyers
Volume collapsed 99.98% from launch peak — token is in terminal phase

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for BLACKSHEEP. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper metrics. However, the trading analytics paint a clear picture: 3,218 sellers vs 853 buyers in 24h, with $463.68K in sell volume vs $162.18K in buy volume. The overwhelming sell-side dominance suggests early buyers (likely including insiders or snipers) have been aggressively distributing. The collapse from $0.000166 to $0.00000233 in ~22 hours is consistent with coordinated early-buyer exit.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Early buyers who entered at or near the $0.000166 peak are deeply underwater. Any buyers from candles [22]–[23] face losses of 97–99%. Buyers from candles [15]–[21] are also significantly in the red. Only buyers from the absolute launch moment at the lowest prices may retain any profit, but the sell pressure suggests most have already exited.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for The Black Sheep (BLACKSHEEP)?

Price is in a sustained downtrend with no sign of reversal. The most recent candle [1] closed at $0.00000233, matching the session low, with volume collapsing to $73. Sell pressure dominates at 74.1%. Immediate support is the current price floor; any bounce is likely to be sold into aggressively. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000010 to $0.0000035.

Is BLACKSHEEP a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of any capital deployed. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative position. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump cycle.

What does sniper activity look like for BLACKSHEEP?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding BLACKSHEEP?

Near-total capital loss already realized: -94.8% in 24h, -98.6% from ATH • Liquidity ($19.85K) exceeds FDV ($2.26K) — market assigns near-zero value to token • Extreme sell pressure: 74.1% sell volume, 3,218 sellers vs 853 buyers

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