WATER

Water Price Today & AI Analysis

WATER
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 16, 2026

8JA24MGvHPbMUZViqjEm1oMNseiitfbth7en4rfApump

$0.053819

-1.00%

FDV $3,816

LiveContract:8JA24MGvHPbMUZViqjEm1oMNseiitfbth7en4rfApumpChain:SolanaHolders:274Market cap:$3,816

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Ask Unhosted AI about WATER

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 16, 12:34 PM
FDV

$14,441

Liquidity

$29,844

Holders

243

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

WATER (mint: 8JA24MGvHPbMUZViqjEm1oMNseiitfbth7en4rfApump) is a micro-cap Solana meme/utility token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of only $14.44K and total liquidity of $29.84K. The token experienced a dramatic 183% price spike on July 15, 2026, followed by a sharp retracement of ~18% from peak, with current price at $0.00001445. Supply concentration is extreme: the top holder (the PumpSwap liquidity pool) controls 71.80%, and the top 10 wallets collectively hold 91.47% of supply. Holder count is tiny at 243, with 77.7% sell pressure in the last 24h. The token is extremely high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme supply concentration — top 10 wallets hold 91.47% of supply
Tiny market cap (~$14.44K FDV) with very shallow liquidity ($29.84K)
Massive 183% 24h price spike followed by rapid retracement — classic pump pattern
Overwhelming sell pressure: 77.7% of 24h volume is sells (240 sell txns vs 103 buys)
Only 243 total holders — extremely nascent and illiquid token

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price has been declining steadily from the July 15 peak of ~$0.0000235 (candle [19] high) down to the current $0.00001445. Sell pressure dominates at 77.7% of 24h volume. The most recent candle (candle [1]) shows a bearish close at the low of the range. Short-term outlook is bearish unless buy pressure reverses sharply.

Target low$0.0000120
Target high$0.0000165
Support: $0.0000122 (candle [16] low), $0.0000127 (candle [14] low), $0.0000145 (current price / candle [1] close)
Resistance: $0.0000157 (candle [3] open/high), $0.0000175 (candle [10] open), $0.0000235 (candle [19] spike high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The token spent most of June and early July 2026 in a slow holder decline (200 → 188 holders), suggesting organic interest was fading before the July 15 pump. Without sustained buying catalysts, the medium-term trajectory is likely continued price erosion back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000007–$0.000009).

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Significant new holder accumulation reversing the sell trend
  • Any utility or partnership announcement from the project

Bullish factors

  • 24h holder count grew +45 (+19%) suggesting new interest post-pump
  • Liquidity ($29.84K) exceeds FDV ($14.44K), providing some depth relative to market cap
  • Price is still ~116% above the pre-pump open of candle [21] (~$0.0000068)

Bearish factors

  • 77.7% sell pressure in 24h (240 sells vs 103 buys)
  • Price down ~38% from the July 15 spike high of $0.0000235
  • Top 10 holders control 91.47% — extreme dump risk
  • Only 243 total holders — very thin market
  • Holder count was declining for weeks before the pump (200 → 188 from June 16 to July 14)
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, unrenounced status unclear
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's extremely small size, very limited trading history, no verified contract, unknown update authority, and the highly speculative nature of micro-cap meme tokens. Price action is dominated by a single large pump event with insufficient data to establish reliable trend continuity.

WATER call history

Full track record →
Jul 16bearish
24h+45.0%
7d-46.4%
30d-60.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 21-candle hourly series reveals a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Candles [21]–[20] (July 15, 13:00–14:00 UTC) show the token trading at $0.0000068–$0.0000088 with negligible volume (0.48 and 252 USD). Candle [19] (15:00 UTC) is the explosive pump candle: open $0.0000090, high $0.0000235, close $0.0000140 on massive $4,479 volume — a massive upper wick indicating strong selling into the spike. Candles [10]–[12] (22:00–00:00 UTC) show a secondary bounce to $0.0000178 before renewed selling. Candles [1]–[9] (July 16, 01:00–11:00 UTC) show a consistent downtrend from $0.0000154 to $0.0000145, with lower highs and lower closes. The most recent candle [1] closes at its low ($0.0000145), a bearish signal.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 22%Sell 78%

Short-term: clear lower highs and lower lows from the July 15 peak ($0.0000235) to current $0.0000145. Medium-term: the token was in a slow decline from ~$0.0000200+ before the pump, and the post-pump retracement is accelerating. No established uptrend structure.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000145 (current price / candle [1] close)
Major$0.0000122 (candle [16] low, July 15 18:00 UTC)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000157 (candle [3] open/high, July 16 09:00 UTC)
Major$0.0000235 (candle [19] spike high, July 15 15:00 UTC)

The $0.0000122–$0.0000127 zone (candles [14] and [16] lows) represents the first major support cluster. A break below this would expose the pre-pump range of $0.0000068–$0.0000088. Resistance at $0.0000157 (recent hourly high) and $0.0000175 (candle [10] open) must be reclaimed for any bullish reversal.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump candle structure: explosive candle [19] with massive upper wick (open $0.0000090, high $0.0000235, close $0.0000140) signals strong selling into the spike
  • Consistent lower highs across candles [9]–[1] on July 16 — established short-term downtrend
  • Volume exhaustion: volume collapsed from $4,479 (candle [19]) to under $200 in recent candles, typical of post-pump distribution phase
  • Candle [10] (00:00 UTC July 16): bearish engulfing-style close — opened at the high ($0.0000173) and closed near the low ($0.0000151) on $717 volume
  • Candle [2] and [3] show brief consolidation/doji-like behavior before renewed selling in candle [1]

Total holders243
24h Δ+19
7d Δ+21
30d Δ+17
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The dramatic holder surge of +58 on July 15 (from 188 to 246) directly coincides with the price pump candle [19], confirming that the price spike attracted new buyers. Prior to July 15, holders had been slowly declining from ~200 (June 16) to 188 (July 14) over ~4 weeks, indicating stagnant organic interest. The sudden +24% holder jump on July 15 is entirely pump-driven.

Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' due to the July 15 pump event, but this is misleading — the prior 30-day trend was flat-to-declining (200 → 188 holders from June 16 to July 14, a net loss of 12 holders). The +58 holder spike on July 15 is almost certainly pump-driven FOMO buying. With 77.7% sell pressure currently, some of these new holders may already be exiting. The holder base of 243 is extremely small for any sustainable token. Distribution breakdown: 33 whales, 10 sharks, 72 dolphins, 47 fish, 26 octopus — the whale-heavy distribution reflects the extreme supply concentration.

Top 10 hold91.47%
Top 100 hold99.81%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

GZcH7JUtpnUr3StHWw3y6JuxFmWNko3gzE81HWkYhb8D

DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the PRICE section, confirming it is the LP pool holding 71.80% of supply

71.80%

8UcgqFCrMASdQGxwqzigcwXgMFtjnH4g8osW7hsjM1EJ

Individual whale — holds 3.67% (~36.7M tokens); no contract or exchange indicators, likely an early buyer or insider

3.67%

APUnpSv4HDpNPfed4dPqAnz75REWYbM5vTHaTnApLe1P

Individual whale — holds 3.10% (~31M tokens); unclassified wallet, likely early accumulator

3.10%

BH8ityWLcLvDPqC9EUQrT3hS9P3Wg79QNCYfyzM7BfSQ

Individual whale — holds 2.51% (~25.1M tokens)

2.51%

6GVCUDkw1dhMdKFo9xLp9ZKYqqnFpeuaBfaHSppA5CAD

Individual whale — holds 2.37% (~23.7M tokens)

2.37%

Excluding the PumpSwap LP pool (holder #1, 71.80%), the remaining top 9 non-LP wallets hold a combined ~19.67% of supply. These wallets (holders #2–#10) each hold between 0.98% and 3.67%, representing significant individual concentration. With 77.7% sell pressure and 119 unique sellers in 24h, the whale cohort appears to be in distribution mode. The top 100 holders control 99.81% of supply, leaving only 0.19% distributed among the remaining 143+ holders — an extremely unhealthy distribution profile. The LP pool's 71.80% holding is standard for AMM pools but means effective circulating supply outside the pool is only ~28.2% (~282M tokens).

Liquidity$29,840
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$1,830
Sell$6,390
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers71
Unique sellers119

Liquidity of $29.84K on PumpSwap (pair GZcH7JUtpnUr3StHWw3y6JuxFmWNko3gzE81HWkYhb8D) is extremely shallow relative to any meaningful trade size. The FDV of $14.44K is actually lower than the liquidity pool value, which is unusual and suggests the LP is overcollateralized relative to the token's market cap — a common feature of newly launched PumpSwap tokens. Slippage risk is high: any trade above a few hundred dollars will move the price significantly. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $6,390 in sells vs $1,830 in buys (a 3.5:1 sell-to-buy ratio). 240 sell transactions from 119 unique sellers vs 103 buy transactions from 71 unique buyers confirms broad distribution pressure. Market health is poor — this is a post-pump distribution environment.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,403,864.68
FDV$14,441.47

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.4M tokens (just under 1 billion), consistent with a PumpFun/PumpSwap launch template. The FDV of $14,441 is extremely low. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. The 'Mutable: false' flag suggests token metadata cannot be changed, which is a minor positive. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data — these are listed as unknown. The token description ('100% creator fees direct to @water') suggests creator fee routing, which warrants scrutiny as it may indicate ongoing fee extraction by the creator. The pump address suffix ('pump') in the mint address confirms this was launched via PumpFun infrastructure. Rug risk from authorities is unknown due to insufficient on-chain authority data.

Volatility
high

Price moved from $0.0000068 to $0.0000235 (+246%) and back to $0.0000145 (-38% from peak) within ~22 hours. Extreme intraday volatility is characteristic of micro-cap meme tokens with thin liquidity.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $29.84K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any trade above ~$500 will cause significant slippage. Exit liquidity for larger holders is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Top 10 wallets hold 91.47% of supply; top 100 hold 99.81%. Excluding the LP pool, the top 9 individual wallets hold ~19.67% combined. A coordinated sell by even 2–3 top holders could collapse the price.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available, so sniper-specific dump risk cannot be quantified. Risk is set to low by default per methodology, not because snipers are confirmed absent.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown', mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. 'Mutable: false' is a positive signal but insufficient to fully mitigate authority risk. Creator fee routing described in the token description adds additional concern.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 91.47%) creates massive dump risk
  • Shallow liquidity ($29.84K) means large trades cause severe slippage
  • Post-pump distribution phase: 77.7% sell pressure, 3.5:1 sell-to-buy ratio
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Only 243 holders — extremely thin and illiquid market
  • Prior to the pump, holders were declining for 4+ weeks (200 → 188)
  • Creator fee extraction mechanism described in token description
  • PumpFun-launched token with no disclosed utility or roadmap

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is set to 'Mutable: false', preventing metadata changes
  • Liquidity ($29.84K) exceeds FDV ($14.44K), providing some relative depth
  • 24h holder count grew +45 (+19%), showing some new interest post-pump
  • Token has been active for at least 30 days (data goes back to June 16)
  • Price is still significantly above pre-pump levels, meaning early buyers retain gains
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand micro-cap meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi and PumpSwap mechanics.

WATER is a micro-cap PumpFun/PumpSwap meme token that experienced a classic pump-and-dump pattern on July 15, 2026. The token has no verified utility, an extremely small holder base (243), extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 91.47%), and is currently in a post-pump distribution phase with 77.7% sell pressure. The investment case is almost entirely speculative momentum-based, with significant downside risk back to pre-pump levels.

Bull case (low)

A second wave of social media attention (via the linked Twitter/website) drives renewed buying interest, pushing the holder count above 500 and price back toward the $0.0000235 spike high or beyond. The 'creator fees to @water' mechanism could attract a community if the project gains traction.

  • Viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Sustained new holder accumulation reversing current sell pressure
  • Any announced utility or partnership

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.0000120–$0.0000160 range over the next 1–2 weeks as post-pump selling exhausts itself. Holder count stabilizes around 200–250. The token remains a low-liquidity micro-cap with occasional speculative spikes but no sustained trend.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes toward 50/50 buy-sell ratio
  • No major new catalysts emerge (positive or negative)
  • Whale wallets hold rather than dump aggressively
  • Liquidity pool remains intact on PumpSwap

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues as post-pump holders exit, price retraces to pre-pump levels of $0.0000068–$0.0000090 (a further 38–53% decline from current price). Holder count stabilizes or declines as FOMO buyers exit at a loss.

  • Continued 77.7% sell pressure with no catalyst for reversal
  • Whale wallets (#2–#10) beginning to distribute their combined ~19.67% non-LP holdings
  • No verified utility or roadmap to sustain organic demand
  • Thin liquidity amplifying downward price moves
  • Historical pattern: holders declined from 200 to 188 over 4 weeks before the pump

GeneratedJul 16, 12:34 PM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of candle close 2026-07-16T11:00:00Z. Holder data reflects snapshot at time of query. Historical holder series covers 2026-06-16 to 2026-07-15.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, update authority, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (hourly, 21 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price change intervals)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, concentration stats)
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No sniper data available — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be assessed
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • Only 21 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or trend confirmation
  • Token description references a Twitter account (@water) but social sentiment data was not analyzed
  • FDV and liquidity figures are point-in-time snapshots and can change rapidly for micro-cap tokens
  • Holder classifications (whale, shark, dolphin, etc.) are based on balance thresholds, not behavioral analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. WATER is an extremely high-risk micro-cap token. Past price performance (including the 183% 24h gain) is not indicative of future results. The token exhibits multiple characteristics associated with pump-and-dump schemes. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,403,864.68

Key Risks

•Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 91.47%) creates massive dump risk
•Shallow liquidity ($29.84K) means large trades cause severe slippage
•Post-pump distribution phase: 77.7% sell pressure, 3.5:1 sell-to-buy ratio
•Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for WATER. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The broader on-chain picture shows overwhelming sell pressure (77.7% of 24h volume), 240 sell transactions vs 103 buys, and 119 unique sellers vs 71 unique buyers in 24h — suggesting early participants and/or whales are distributing into the post-pump price. The top 10 holders (excluding the LP) control ~19.67% of supply and represent significant overhang.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Cannot be determined from sniper data. However, the 24h price is still +183% above 24h-ago levels, meaning early buyers from the pump candle (candle [19], open ~$0.0000090) who have not yet sold are still in profit at current prices (~$0.0000145). The heavy sell pressure suggests many are actively taking profits.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Water (WATER)?

Price has been declining steadily from the July 15 peak of ~$0.0000235 (candle [19] high) down to the current $0.00001445. Sell pressure dominates at 77.7% of 24h volume. The most recent candle (candle [1]) shows a bearish close at the low of the range. Short-term outlook is bearish unless buy pressure reverses sharply. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000120 to $0.0000165.

Is WATER a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand micro-cap meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi and PumpSwap mechanics.

How are WATER holders trending?

Water currently has 243 holders and is growing (24h: 19, 7d: 21, 30d: 17). Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' due to the July 15 pump event, but this is misleading — the prior 30-day trend was flat-to-declining (200 → 188 holders from June 16 to July 14, a net loss of 12 holders). The +58 holder spike on July 15 is almost certainly pump-driven FOMO buying. With 77.7% sell pressure currently, some of these new holders may already be exiting. The holder base of 243 is extremely small for any sustainable token. Distribution breakdown: 33 whales, 10 sharks, 72 dolphins, 47 fish, 26 octopus — the whale-heavy distribution reflects the extreme supply concentration.

What does sniper activity look like for WATER?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding WATER?

Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 91.47%) creates massive dump risk • Shallow liquidity ($29.84K) means large trades cause severe slippage • Post-pump distribution phase: 77.7% sell pressure, 3.5:1 sell-to-buy ratio

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