Firework

This Will Explode Up Price Today & AI Analysis

FireworkSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 2, 2026

Price

$0.052608

-1.62% 24h

Contract

Live
86WQZC9cW2YQyVcTjpNGqq56YN87TwP8bhm3NnrVpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

244

Market cap

$2,606

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This Will Explode Up: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-02 22:19 UTC

Holder addresses

748

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$43,459.55
How concentrated is This Will Explode Up ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 748 addresses (2026-07-02 22:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling This Will Explode Up?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is This Will Explode Up liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-02 22:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $43,459.55. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-02 22:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 2, 10:19 PM UTC

FDV

$81,157

Liquidity

$43,459.55

Holders

748

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Firework (symbol: Firework, mint: 86WQZC9cW2YQyVcTjpNGqq56YN87TwP8bhm3NnrVpump) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin currently priced at ~$0.0000812 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$83K. The token experienced a massive 226% price spike in the last 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single explosive candle in the 21:00 UTC hour. However, the data reveals severe red flags: sell pressure dominates at 70.5% of volume, the sell-to-buy transaction ratio is ~13:1 (15,101 sells vs 1,158 buys), top holder concentration data is unavailable, and the historical holder base was flat at 48 for 30 consecutive days before a sudden +700 holder surge in the last hour — a pattern consistent with bot activity or a coordinated pump. Total liquidity is only $43.46K, making this extremely susceptible to slippage and manipulation.

Key points

  • Extreme 226% 24h price pump followed by immediate sell-off dominance (70.5% sell pressure)
  • Suspicious holder data: flat at 48 for 30 days, then +700 in 1 hour — possible bot/wash activity
  • Sell transactions outnumber buys ~13:1 (15,101 sells vs 1,158 buys)
  • Very low liquidity of $43.46K on PumpSwap — high slippage risk
  • Token name 'This Will Explode Up' is a classic pump-and-dump marketing signal

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already experienced its explosive pump candle (21:00 UTC: O:$0.0000319, H:$0.000170, C:$0.0000894). The most recent candle (22:00 UTC) shows a lower high and lower close ($0.0000830), confirming the pump peak has passed. With 70.5% sell pressure, 15,101 sell transactions vs 1,158 buys, and only $43.46K in liquidity, further downside is highly probable in the near term.

Target low

$0.000015

Target high

$0.000090

Support

$0.0000830 (22:00 UTC candle low), $0.0000153 (21:00 UTC candle absolute low)

Resistance

$0.0000894 (22:00 UTC open / 21:00 UTC close), $0.000170 (21:00 UTC all-time high wick)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, genuine community growth, or a credible use case, the token is likely to retrace toward or below pre-pump levels (~$0.0000152–$0.0000319). The 30-day flat holder history and suspicious +700 holder spike suggest no organic community. Liquidity is too thin to support price recovery.

Catalysts

  • Any renewed coordinated buying could temporarily spike price again
  • Listing on a larger DEX or aggregator could attract attention
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could lift all boats temporarily

Bullish factors

  • 226% 24h price gain demonstrates the token can attract speculative interest
  • 5-minute price change of +21.6% suggests some residual buying momentum
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible entry/exit

Bearish factors

  • 70.5% sell pressure with 15,101 sell transactions vs 1,158 buys
  • Sell volume ($144.49K) nearly 2.4x buy volume ($60.44K)
  • Only $43.46K total liquidity — extremely thin
  • Holder base was flat at 48 for 30 days — no organic growth
  • Token name is a classic pump-and-dump marketing phrase
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — concentration risk unknown

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing minimal technical data. The holder data is anomalous and likely unreliable. No sniper data is available. The extreme volatility and thin liquidity make any price target highly uncertain.

Firework call history

Full track record →

Jul 2bearish
24h-55.2%
7d-97.7%
30d-98.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
86WQZC...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 226% spike with 70.5% sell pressure and 13:1 sell/buy transaction ratio
  • Critically thin liquidity ($43.46K) — high slippage on any meaningful position
  • Suspicious holder spike: flat at 48 for 30 days, +700 in 1 hour — likely artificial
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — rug pull risk cannot be excluded

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (21:00 UTC) is an extremely wide-range candle: O:$0.0000319, H:$0.000170, L:$0.0000153, C:$0.0000894 — a massive 'spike and partial reversal' candle with a long upper wick, indicating a violent pump followed by significant selling. Volume was $172,255. Candle [1] (22:00 UTC) is a bearish candle: O:$0.0000894, H:$0.0000894 (no new high), L:$0.0000830, C:$0.0000830 — a full bearish candle with no upper wick, closing at its low. Volume dropped sharply to $25,734, confirming fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The two available candles show a clear short-term downtrend: the pump candle peaked at $0.000170 and the subsequent candle made a lower high and lower close at $0.0000830. The trend is bearish from the pump peak. Insufficient data exists for a reliable medium-term trend assessment, but the 30-day flat holder history and sudden spike suggest this is a pump-and-dump pattern.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

30%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000830 (22:00 UTC candle low/close)

Major support

$0.0000153 (21:00 UTC candle absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000894 (22:00 UTC open = 21:00 UTC close)

Major resistance

$0.000170 (21:00 UTC all-time high wick)

The $0.0000830 level is the most recent close and acts as immediate support. A break below this opens the path to the $0.0000153 pre-pump low. On the upside, $0.0000894 is the first resistance (prior close), and $0.000170 is the pump high — an extremely unlikely reclaim given current sell pressure.

Notable patterns

  • Spike-and-reversal pump candle (21:00 UTC): extremely wide range with long upper wick — classic pump-and-dump signature
  • Bearish follow-through candle (22:00 UTC): opens at prior close, closes at low with no recovery — bearish engulfing continuation
  • Volume exhaustion: 85% volume drop from pump candle to next candle
  • No higher highs established — pump high was a one-candle wick, not sustained

Liquidity

Liquidity

$43,459.55

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $43.46K on PumpSwap (pair: 4qEu6L6756Fa46zfB9hk6rFKPJXFbvCzdoVy3gRjqcbr). The FDV-to-liquidity ratio is approximately 1.9:1, meaning the entire market cap is barely backed by liquidity — any significant sell order will cause severe slippage. Net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($144.49K) is 2.39x buy volume ($60.44K). Unique sellers (1,079) outnumber unique buyers (520) by 2:1, and sell transactions (15,101) outnumber buy transactions (1,158) by ~13:1. This extreme imbalance indicates the market is in active distribution mode. The 24h volume of ~$204.9K is nearly 5x the total liquidity, indicating extremely high turnover relative to pool depth — a hallmark of pump-and-dump activity.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$83,020

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    226% price spike in 24 hours followed by immediate reversal. The pump candle (21:00 UTC) had a range from $0.0000153 to $0.000170 — an 11x intracandle range. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing nearly impossible.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $43.46K on PumpSwap. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will experience significant slippage. The 24h volume of ~$205K is nearly 5x the liquidity pool, indicating the pool is being rapidly drained and refilled.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 226% spike with 70.5% sell pressure and 13:1 sell/buy transaction ratio
  • Critically thin liquidity ($43.46K) — high slippage on any meaningful position
  • Suspicious holder spike: flat at 48 for 30 days, +700 in 1 hour — likely artificial
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — rug pull risk cannot be excluded
  • No verified contract, no project description, no on-chain transparency
  • Token name 'This Will Explode Up' is a textbook pump-and-dump marketing signal
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — true distribution unknown

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable:false, suggesting metadata cannot be altered
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Has social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggesting some minimal project presence
  • PumpSwap listing provides at least some exit liquidity

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis does NOT constitute financial advice.

Firework (Firework) exhibits nearly every hallmark of a pump-and-dump scheme: a token name designed to attract FOMO buyers, a 30-day dormant holder base that suddenly spiked, overwhelming sell pressure post-pump, critically thin liquidity, and no verifiable project fundamentals. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Renewed speculative interest drives a second pump wave, temporarily pushing price back toward the $0.000170 pump high or beyond.

  • Viral social media attention on the token name/symbol
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Coordinated second pump by insiders with remaining supply

Base Case

Price gradually bleeds down from current ~$0.0000812 toward the $0.0000300–$0.0000500 range as the pump fades, with occasional small bounces. Token eventually becomes illiquid and abandoned.

  • No major new catalyst or viral moment emerges
  • Sell pressure continues to outpace buying interest
  • Liquidity pool slowly depletes as LPs withdraw
  • The +700 holder spike does not represent genuine long-term holders

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity is drained, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.0000153–$0.0000319, representing an 60–80% loss from current price.

  • 15,101 sell transactions vs 1,158 buys — distribution is already underway
  • Thin $43.46K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling
  • No organic community or use case to sustain demand
  • Suspicious holder data undermines confidence in genuine adoption

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 2, 10:19 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-02 22:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (2 candles available)
  • Historical daily holder metrics (30-day series)
  • 24h trading volume and wallet analytics
  • Top holder distribution API (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be precisely quantified
  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred from trading analytics only
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Holder distribution categories (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) all report 0 — likely a data anomaly
  • Top 10 and top 100 concentration reported as 0% — almost certainly a data error, not genuine equal distribution
  • The +700 holder spike in 1 hour is anomalous and may reflect data artifacts or bot activity
  • No project description or whitepaper available for fundamental analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or omissions. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is This Will Explode Up ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 748 addresses (2026-07-02 22:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling This Will Explode Up?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is This Will Explode Up liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-02 22:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $43,459.55. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for This Will Explode Up (Firework)?

The token has already experienced its explosive pump candle (21:00 UTC: O:$0.0000319, H:$0.000170, C:$0.0000894). The most recent candle (22:00 UTC) shows a lower high and lower close ($0.0000830), confirming the pump peak has passed. With 70.5% sell pressure, 15,101 sell transactions vs 1,158 buys, and only $43.46K in liquidity, further downside is highly probable in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000015 to $0.000090.

Is Firework a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis does NOT constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding Firework?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 226% spike with 70.5% sell pressure and 13:1 sell/buy transaction ratio • Critically thin liquidity ($43.46K) — high slippage on any meaningful position • Suspicious holder spike: flat at 48 for 30 days, +700 in 1 hour — likely artificial

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