ChadMogman

Chad Mogman Price Today & AI Analysis

ChadMogmanSolanaAnalysis as of May 3, 2026

Price

$0.052113

Contract

Live
7BPfmU68tPicCx3a5WGMa1tLe1ahuJsJxdvqTt8Wpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

48

Market cap

$2,112

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Chad Mogman: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-03 00:47 UTC

Holder addresses

460

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Chad Mogman ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 460 addresses (2026-05-03 00:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Chad Mogman?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Chad Mogman liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-03 00:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 3, 12:47 AM UTC

FDV

$212,321

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

460

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bullish

Chad Mogman (ChadMogman) is an ultra-early-stage Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with mint address 7BPfmU68tPicCx3a5WGMa1tLe1ahuJsJxdvqTt8Wpump. The token has experienced an explosive 557.7% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from near-zero to $0.000212. It has only 460 holders, all acquired within the last 24 hours (97% holder growth in 24h), and the token was dormant with just 13 holders for the entire prior month. Trading volume is modest (~$471K combined buy/sell in 24h), liquidity is reported at $0.00, and the contract is unverified. This is an extremely high-risk, speculative meme token in its very earliest stage.

Key points

  • Explosive 557.7% 24h price surge from near-zero base
  • Virtually all 460 holders acquired within the last 24 hours — token was dormant for ~30 days prior
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9% buy vs 49.1% sell) suggesting genuine two-sided trading
  • Top 10 holders control only 24.09% of supply — relatively dispersed for a token this young
  • Launched on PumpSwap with a .pump mint address, indicating Pump.fun origin

AI Price Analysis

bullish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bullish

The token is in a violent momentum spike with a 228.7% 1h gain and 17.8% 5m gain at time of analysis. Price is at $0.000212, far above the OHLC candle range of $0.000031–$0.000099 seen in the last 3 hourly candles. Short-term momentum is strongly bullish but extremely overextended relative to recent candle data, suggesting high reversal risk. Support is thin given $0.00 reported liquidity depth.

Target low

$0.000035

Target high

$0.000350

Support

$0.000035 (recent candle low / prior close), $0.000031 (hourly candle low, candle 3)

Resistance

$0.000099 (candle 1 low anomaly / upper wick zone), $0.000212 (current price / all-time high)

Medium term · 3–14 days

neutral

Medium-term outlook is highly uncertain. If the token fails to build a sustained community and liquidity, it is likely to retrace sharply as early snipers and momentum traders take profits. Continued holder growth and social traction (Twitter presence noted) could sustain price, but the lack of utility, unverified contract, and zero reported liquidity are significant headwinds.

Catalysts

  • Continued viral social media traction on Twitter/Moralis
  • Sustained holder growth beyond 1,000 wallets
  • Liquidity pool deepening on PumpSwap
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 557.7% 24h price surge with momentum continuing (228.7% in last 1h, 17.8% in last 5m)
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9%/49.1%) — not a one-sided pump
  • 460 holders acquired in <24h shows rapid community formation
  • Top 10 concentration at 24.09% is relatively healthy for a new meme token
  • Several snipers showing strong realized profits (184.8%, 115.9%, 98.5%, 40.9%) indicating early buyers are rewarded

Bearish factors

  • Total liquidity reported at $0.00 — extreme slippage risk on any meaningful sell
  • Token was completely dormant (13 holders) for ~30 days before sudden activation — suspicious pre-launch behavior
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • No description or utility — pure speculative meme
  • Multiple snipers showing losses (-22%, -18.3%, -13.5%, -12.8%) and several have already sold out
  • Price of $0.000212 is far above the last 3 hourly candle range ($0.000031–$0.000099), suggesting the current price spike may not be reflected in candle data or is extremely recent

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 OHLC candles available for technical analysis, (2) $0.00 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (3) the token is less than 24 hours old in terms of active trading, and (4) sniper cost-basis data is largely unknown, making PnL assessment incomplete.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
7BPfmU...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion tokens)

Key Risks

  • Zero verified liquidity — extreme slippage risk on exits
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 13 holders before sudden activation — suggests coordinated launch
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — potential rug risk
  • No utility, description, or roadmap — pure speculative meme

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available (22:00–00:00 UTC on 2026-05-02/03). Candle 3 (22:00): O=$0.0000351, H=$0.0000467, L=$0.0000308, C=$0.0000407 — a bullish candle with moderate range and low volume ($35.6K). Candle 2 (23:00): O=$0.0000397, H=$0.0000397, L=$0.0000351, C=$0.0000351 — a bearish candle (close = low), suggesting selling pressure, volume $175.3K. Candle 1 (00:00): O=$0.0000351, H=$0.0000397, L=$0.0000982, C=$0.0000397 — NOTE: the Low ($0.0000982) is anomalously HIGHER than the High ($0.0000397), which indicates a data error in this candle. Treating this candle with caution. Volume spiked to $232.9K. The current live price of $0.000212 is approximately 5x above the highest candle value, suggesting the price spike occurred after the last recorded candle. Total candle volume: ~$443.8K over 3 hours.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is sharply bullish based on the 557.7% 24h price change and live price far exceeding candle highs. Medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown as the token was dormant for 30 days prior. There is no established medium-term trend to analyze.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000035 (recent candle open/close cluster)

Major support

$0.000031 (candle 3 low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000212 (current all-time high / live price)

Major resistance

$0.000350 (psychological 1.65x extension from current ATH)

Support levels are derived from the OHLC candle lows: $0.0000308 (candle 3 low) and the $0.0000351–$0.0000397 open/close cluster across all three candles. The current live price of $0.000212 serves as the only resistance reference as it is the all-time high. There is a large gap between candle-derived levels and current price, indicating the recent spike has no established technical support above $0.000047.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish close on candle 2 (close = low, doji-like bearish bar) followed by volume spike
  • Anomalous OHLC data in candle 1 (Low > High) suggests data feed issue — treat with caution
  • Massive price gap between last candle close (~$0.000040) and current price ($0.000212) — gap-up of ~430%
  • Volume acceleration across all 3 candles (increasing trend)
  • No established higher-highs pattern yet — only 3 candles available

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion tokens)

FDV

$212,321.36

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    557.7% 24h price surge with 228.7% gain in the last hour alone. Extreme volatility typical of ultra-early meme tokens. Price is ~5x above the last recorded OHLC candle range, indicating parabolic and unsustainable short-term movement.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero verified liquidity — extreme slippage risk on exits
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 13 holders before sudden activation — suggests coordinated launch
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — potential rug risk
  • No utility, description, or roadmap — pure speculative meme
  • Parabolic price action (557.7% in 24h) historically precedes sharp corrections
  • Only 460 holders — extremely thin community base
  • OHLC data anomaly (candle 1 Low > High) suggests potential data feed issues or price manipulation
  • Sniper activity in first 1,000 blocks with mixed PnL — some profitable snipers may still hold positions

Mitigating factors

  • Pump.fun origin typically means mint authority is burned upon graduation to PumpSwap
  • 'Mutable: false' metadata reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Relatively healthy holder distribution (top 10 at 24.09% including pool)
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9%/49.1%) suggests genuine two-sided market
  • Rapid holder growth (460 in <24h) shows real community interest
  • Social presence on Twitter noted in metadata

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. This token exhibits every characteristic of an ultra-high-risk meme token: <24h trading history, unverified contract, zero confirmed liquidity, no utility, and parabolic price action. Position sizing should be minimal (1–2% of portfolio maximum). Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics.

Chad Mogman is a pure speculative meme token on Solana's PumpSwap, less than 24 hours into active trading after a 30-day dormancy period. The investment thesis is entirely momentum and community-driven — there is no utility, verified contract, or fundamental value. The token has demonstrated explosive early traction (557.7% 24h gain, 460 holders in <24h) but carries extreme risks including zero confirmed liquidity, unknown authority status, and a suspicious pre-launch dormancy period.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The token achieves viral social media traction on Twitter/Crypto Twitter, holder count surpasses 2,000–5,000 within 48–72 hours, liquidity deepens on PumpSwap, and the meme narrative resonates with the broader Solana meme coin community. Price could reach $0.001–$0.005 (5x–25x from current) if it achieves top-100 Pump.fun trending status and attracts influencer attention.

  • Viral Twitter/CT campaign driving FOMO buying
  • Sustained holder growth beyond 1,000 wallets in next 24h
  • Influencer or KOL promotion
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Liquidity pool deepening reducing slippage risk

Base Case

The token experiences a partial correction from current ATH ($0.000212) back to the $0.000050–$0.000100 range as initial momentum fades, then stabilizes with 500–1,000 holders. It trades in a volatile range for 1–2 weeks before either fading into obscurity or finding a second catalyst. FDV stabilizes in the $50K–$100K range.

  • Sniper and early buyer selling pressure is absorbed by new retail buyers
  • Liquidity pool maintains sufficient depth for small trades
  • No rug pull or authority exploit occurs
  • Token maintains social media presence without major viral catalyst

Bear Case

High probability

The pump exhausts itself within hours as early buyers and snipers distribute into retail FOMO. Liquidity remains thin, causing cascading sells and severe price impact. Token retraces 80–95% to the $0.000010–$0.000040 range (near pre-pump candle levels) within 24–72 hours. Holder count stagnates or declines as disappointed buyers exit.

  • Thin liquidity amplifying sell pressure
  • Sniper and early buyer profit-taking into the pump
  • No utility or narrative to sustain community beyond initial FOMO
  • 30-day pre-launch dormancy raises questions about coordinated manipulation
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status deterring serious investors

Analysis details

Generated

May 3, 12:47 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-03 00:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: 8F75L1XWYaBa317arZ51ecTKpbx2XNCAXtVDxBSm1xf7)
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (3 candles available)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data feed error, actual liquidity unknown
  • Sniper cost basis (amount sniped in USD) is 'unknown' for all 20 snipers — prevents precise concentration and PnL analysis
  • Sniper token balances are 'unknown' for most wallets — cannot calculate remaining sniper supply overhang
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Contract is unverified — smart contract risk cannot be assessed
  • Token is <24 hours old in active trading — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • OHLC candle 1 contains anomalous data (Low > High) suggesting potential data feed issue
  • 6h and 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics despite 557.7% 24h change in price section — data inconsistency noted

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from on-chain and DEX analytics as of the analysis timestamp. Cryptocurrency investments, especially ultra-early meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Chad Mogman ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 460 addresses (2026-05-03 00:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Chad Mogman?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Chad Mogman liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Chad Mogman (ChadMogman)?

The token is in a violent momentum spike with a 228.7% 1h gain and 17.8% 5m gain at time of analysis. Price is at $0.000212, far above the OHLC candle range of $0.000031–$0.000099 seen in the last 3 hourly candles. Short-term momentum is strongly bullish but extremely overextended relative to recent candle data, suggesting high reversal risk. Support is thin given $0.00 reported liquidity depth. Short-term outlook is bullish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000035 to $0.000350.

Is ChadMogman a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. This token exhibits every characteristic of an ultra-high-risk meme token: <24h trading history, unverified contract, zero confirmed liquidity, no utility, and parabolic price action. Position sizing should be minimal (1–2% of portfolio maximum). Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics.

What are the key risks of holding ChadMogman?

Zero verified liquidity — extreme slippage risk on exits • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 13 holders before sudden activation — suggests coordinated launch • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — potential rug risk

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