ChadMogman

Chad Mogman Price Prediction 2026

ChadMogman
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 3, 2026

7BPfmU68tPicCx3a5WGMa1tLe1ahuJsJxdvqTt8Wpump

$0.051505

FDV $1,505

LiveContract:7BPfmU68tPicCx3a5WGMa1tLe1ahuJsJxdvqTt8WpumpChain:SolanaHolders:53Market cap:$1,505

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Ask Unhosted AI about ChadMogman

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 3, 12:47 AM
FDV

$212,321

Liquidity

$0

Holders

460

Snipers

43

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Chad Mogman (ChadMogman) is an ultra-early-stage Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with mint address 7BPfmU68tPicCx3a5WGMa1tLe1ahuJsJxdvqTt8Wpump. The token has experienced an explosive 557.7% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from near-zero to $0.000212. It has only 460 holders, all acquired within the last 24 hours (97% holder growth in 24h), and the token was dormant with just 13 holders for the entire prior month. Trading volume is modest (~$471K combined buy/sell in 24h), liquidity is reported at $0.00, and the contract is unverified. This is an extremely high-risk, speculative meme token in its very earliest stage.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bullish
Explosive 557.7% 24h price surge from near-zero base
Virtually all 460 holders acquired within the last 24 hours — token was dormant for ~30 days prior
Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9% buy vs 49.1% sell) suggesting genuine two-sided trading
Top 10 holders control only 24.09% of supply — relatively dispersed for a token this young
Launched on PumpSwap with a .pump mint address, indicating Pump.fun origin

Price Prediction

bullish

Short term

bullish
1–24 hours

The token is in a violent momentum spike with a 228.7% 1h gain and 17.8% 5m gain at time of analysis. Price is at $0.000212, far above the OHLC candle range of $0.000031–$0.000099 seen in the last 3 hourly candles. Short-term momentum is strongly bullish but extremely overextended relative to recent candle data, suggesting high reversal risk. Support is thin given $0.00 reported liquidity depth.

Target low$0.000035
Target high$0.000350
Support: $0.000035 (recent candle low / prior close), $0.000031 (hourly candle low, candle 3)
Resistance: $0.000099 (candle 1 low anomaly / upper wick zone), $0.000212 (current price / all-time high)

Medium term

neutral
3–14 days

Medium-term outlook is highly uncertain. If the token fails to build a sustained community and liquidity, it is likely to retrace sharply as early snipers and momentum traders take profits. Continued holder growth and social traction (Twitter presence noted) could sustain price, but the lack of utility, unverified contract, and zero reported liquidity are significant headwinds.

Catalysts
  • Continued viral social media traction on Twitter/Moralis
  • Sustained holder growth beyond 1,000 wallets
  • Liquidity pool deepening on PumpSwap
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 557.7% 24h price surge with momentum continuing (228.7% in last 1h, 17.8% in last 5m)
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9%/49.1%) — not a one-sided pump
  • 460 holders acquired in <24h shows rapid community formation
  • Top 10 concentration at 24.09% is relatively healthy for a new meme token
  • Several snipers showing strong realized profits (184.8%, 115.9%, 98.5%, 40.9%) indicating early buyers are rewarded

Bearish factors

  • Total liquidity reported at $0.00 — extreme slippage risk on any meaningful sell
  • Token was completely dormant (13 holders) for ~30 days before sudden activation — suspicious pre-launch behavior
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • No description or utility — pure speculative meme
  • Multiple snipers showing losses (-22%, -18.3%, -13.5%, -12.8%) and several have already sold out
  • Price of $0.000212 is far above the last 3 hourly candle range ($0.000031–$0.000099), suggesting the current price spike may not be reflected in candle data or is extremely recent
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 OHLC candles available for technical analysis, (2) $0.00 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (3) the token is less than 24 hours old in terms of active trading, and (4) sniper cost-basis data is largely unknown, making PnL assessment incomplete.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available (22:00–00:00 UTC on 2026-05-02/03). Candle 3 (22:00): O=$0.0000351, H=$0.0000467, L=$0.0000308, C=$0.0000407 — a bullish candle with moderate range and low volume ($35.6K). Candle 2 (23:00): O=$0.0000397, H=$0.0000397, L=$0.0000351, C=$0.0000351 — a bearish candle (close = low), suggesting selling pressure, volume $175.3K. Candle 1 (00:00): O=$0.0000351, H=$0.0000397, L=$0.0000982, C=$0.0000397 — NOTE: the Low ($0.0000982) is anomalously HIGHER than the High ($0.0000397), which indicates a data error in this candle. Treating this candle with caution. Volume spiked to $232.9K. The current live price of $0.000212 is approximately 5x above the highest candle value, suggesting the price spike occurred after the last recorded candle. Total candle volume: ~$443.8K over 3 hours.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Short-term trend is sharply bullish based on the 557.7% 24h price change and live price far exceeding candle highs. Medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown as the token was dormant for 30 days prior. There is no established medium-term trend to analyze.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000035 (recent candle open/close cluster)
Major$0.000031 (candle 3 low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000212 (current all-time high / live price)
Major$0.000350 (psychological 1.65x extension from current ATH)

Support levels are derived from the OHLC candle lows: $0.0000308 (candle 3 low) and the $0.0000351–$0.0000397 open/close cluster across all three candles. The current live price of $0.000212 serves as the only resistance reference as it is the all-time high. There is a large gap between candle-derived levels and current price, indicating the recent spike has no established technical support above $0.000047.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish close on candle 2 (close = low, doji-like bearish bar) followed by volume spike
  • Anomalous OHLC data in candle 1 (Low > High) suggests data feed issue — treat with caution
  • Massive price gap between last candle close (~$0.000040) and current price ($0.000212) — gap-up of ~430%
  • Volume acceleration across all 3 candles (increasing trend)
  • No established higher-highs pattern yet — only 3 candles available

Total holders460
24h Δ+97
7d Δ+97
30d Δ+97
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Extremely strong positive correlation: the token had exactly 13 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 3 to May 1, 2026, with zero growth. On May 2, holders surged by 281 (96% in one day) to 294, and within the subsequent hours grew to 460 total (+196 in the last hour alone, a 43% hourly gain). This holder explosion is perfectly correlated with the 557.7% price spike, suggesting the price pump is driving FOMO-based holder accumulation.

Holder growth is explosive but entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours. The token was effectively dormant with 13 holders (likely team/insiders) for approximately 30 days before activation. The sudden surge to 460 holders (+447, +97% in 24h) is a classic pump.fun launch pattern where a token is pre-minted and then launched with a coordinated push. Growth is accelerating: +281 on May 2 daily, then +196 in just the last hour. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (459/460 holders), confirming organic market buying rather than airdrops. The 'whale' classification dominates distribution (334 whales vs 27 sharks, 81 dolphins, 31 fish, 9 octopus), which for a token this small likely reflects the classification thresholds rather than true whale behavior.

Top 10 hold24.09%
Top 100 hold55.53%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

8F75L1XWYaBa317arZ51ecTKpbx2XNCAXtVDxBSm1xf7

DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data (Pair: 8F75L1XWYaBa317arZ51ecTKpbx2XNCAXtVDxBSm1xf7), confirming it is the AMM pool holding liquidity

8.98%

2UoU8NNf44YZeNnmkM1qJnokKwsLHqQWwdJm8BxTseHW

Individual whale — early accumulator, second largest non-pool holder at 2.26% (22.6M tokens)

2.26%

7vJFk9brX9XvrmVi9a6PJzApjQzQLz9sYmGDdCFMkSz4

Individual whale — third largest non-pool holder at 2.10% (21M tokens)

2.10%

bEtLU4cQdgwWygYFCFyP7SJGMph8ZhakbTh9ENFL8WF

Individual whale — 1.87% holder (18.7M tokens), possibly team or early buyer

1.87%

YQRvuAqrrdxnfPKmcVThez9sGvV5KzJrTiLG8Ny51Z8

Individual whale — 1.73% holder (17.3M tokens), part of a cluster of similarly-sized wallets (ranks 5–9 all hold 1.49–1.73%)

1.73%

The top 10 holders control 24.09% of supply and the top 100 control 55.53% — relatively healthy distribution for a token less than 24 hours old. The largest single holder (8.98%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool itself, which is expected and not a concern. Excluding the pool, the largest individual holder is 2.26%. Notably, holders ranked 5–9 all hold very similar amounts (1.49–1.73%), which could indicate coordinated wallets or simply similar buy sizes during the launch. The remaining 44.47% of supply outside the top 100 is distributed across 360 smaller holders. Sentiment is mixed — the pool is holding (providing liquidity), while individual whales' intentions are unknown. No obvious burn address or exchange cold wallet detected in the top 20.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported — likely a data feed issue or liquidity is entirely within the PumpSwap AMM pool and not captured by the analytics provider)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$240,130
Sell$231,380
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers886
Unique sellers795

The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is almost certainly a data feed anomaly, as the token is actively trading with $471K in 24h volume and the PumpSwap pair (8F75L1XWYaBa317arZ51ecTKpbx2XNCAXtVDxBSm1xf7) holds 8.98% of supply (~89.8M tokens). However, even accounting for this, liquidity is likely very shallow given the token's FDV of only ~$212K. With 1,580 buys and 1,727 sells in 24h from 886 buyers and 795 sellers, trading activity is genuine and two-sided. Net flow is slightly positive (inflow) with buy volume exceeding sell volume by ~$8.75K. The higher number of sell transactions (1,727) vs buy transactions (1,580) despite higher buy volume suggests buyers are making larger average purchases while sellers are making more frequent but smaller sells — a pattern consistent with retail FOMO buying and early holder distribution.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion tokens)
FDV$212,321.36

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens, a standard meme token supply. FDV is $212,321 at current price of $0.000212. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified — this prevents definitive assessment of mint and freeze authority status. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false' which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement. The .pump suffix in the mint address confirms Pump.fun origin, where mint authority is typically burned upon bonding curve graduation. However, since the token is on PumpSwap (graduated), mint authority should be renounced per Pump.fun's standard process — but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. No description or utility is provided, consistent with a pure meme/speculative token. Investors should verify authority status on-chain before committing capital.

Volatility
high

557.7% 24h price surge with 228.7% gain in the last hour alone. Extreme volatility typical of ultra-early meme tokens. Price is ~5x above the last recorded OHLC candle range, indicating parabolic and unsustainable short-term movement.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity reported at $0.00 by analytics provider. Even if this is a data error, the token's $212K FDV implies very thin liquidity. Any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. 1,727 sell transactions in 24h vs 1,580 buys suggests active selling pressure.

Concentration
low

Top 10 holders control 24.09% (including the 8.98% liquidity pool), and top 100 control 55.53%. For a token less than 24 hours old, this is relatively healthy distribution. No single non-pool wallet exceeds 2.26%.

SniperDump
medium

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Several have already taken profits (realized PnL of 24–185%), with total sniper sell volume of ~$2,167. Remaining sniper balances are largely unknown. The profitable snipers who haven't fully exited represent ongoing dump risk, though their total exposure appears modest relative to overall volume.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The Pump.fun origin suggests mint authority may be burned (standard for graduated tokens), but this is unverified. 'Mutable: false' metadata is a positive signal but insufficient for full authority clearance.

Key risks

  • Zero verified liquidity — extreme slippage risk on exits
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 13 holders before sudden activation — suggests coordinated launch
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — potential rug risk
  • No utility, description, or roadmap — pure speculative meme
  • Parabolic price action (557.7% in 24h) historically precedes sharp corrections
  • Only 460 holders — extremely thin community base
  • OHLC data anomaly (candle 1 Low > High) suggests potential data feed issues or price manipulation
  • Sniper activity in first 1,000 blocks with mixed PnL — some profitable snipers may still hold positions

Mitigating factors

  • Pump.fun origin typically means mint authority is burned upon graduation to PumpSwap
  • 'Mutable: false' metadata reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Relatively healthy holder distribution (top 10 at 24.09% including pool)
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9%/49.1%) suggests genuine two-sided market
  • Rapid holder growth (460 in <24h) shows real community interest
  • Social presence on Twitter noted in metadata
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. This token exhibits every characteristic of an ultra-high-risk meme token: <24h trading history, unverified contract, zero confirmed liquidity, no utility, and parabolic price action. Position sizing should be minimal (1–2% of portfolio maximum). Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics.

Chad Mogman is a pure speculative meme token on Solana's PumpSwap, less than 24 hours into active trading after a 30-day dormancy period. The investment thesis is entirely momentum and community-driven — there is no utility, verified contract, or fundamental value. The token has demonstrated explosive early traction (557.7% 24h gain, 460 holders in <24h) but carries extreme risks including zero confirmed liquidity, unknown authority status, and a suspicious pre-launch dormancy period.

Bull case (low)

The token achieves viral social media traction on Twitter/Crypto Twitter, holder count surpasses 2,000–5,000 within 48–72 hours, liquidity deepens on PumpSwap, and the meme narrative resonates with the broader Solana meme coin community. Price could reach $0.001–$0.005 (5x–25x from current) if it achieves top-100 Pump.fun trending status and attracts influencer attention.

  • Viral Twitter/CT campaign driving FOMO buying
  • Sustained holder growth beyond 1,000 wallets in next 24h
  • Influencer or KOL promotion
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Liquidity pool deepening reducing slippage risk

Base case

The token experiences a partial correction from current ATH ($0.000212) back to the $0.000050–$0.000100 range as initial momentum fades, then stabilizes with 500–1,000 holders. It trades in a volatile range for 1–2 weeks before either fading into obscurity or finding a second catalyst. FDV stabilizes in the $50K–$100K range.

  • Sniper and early buyer selling pressure is absorbed by new retail buyers
  • Liquidity pool maintains sufficient depth for small trades
  • No rug pull or authority exploit occurs
  • Token maintains social media presence without major viral catalyst

Bear case (high)

The pump exhausts itself within hours as early buyers and snipers distribute into retail FOMO. Liquidity remains thin, causing cascading sells and severe price impact. Token retraces 80–95% to the $0.000010–$0.000040 range (near pre-pump candle levels) within 24–72 hours. Holder count stagnates or declines as disappointed buyers exit.

  • Thin liquidity amplifying sell pressure
  • Sniper and early buyer profit-taking into the pump
  • No utility or narrative to sustain community beyond initial FOMO
  • 30-day pre-launch dormancy raises questions about coordinated manipulation
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status deterring serious investors

GeneratedMay 3, 12:47 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC candles cover 2026-05-02T22:00 to 2026-05-03T00:00 UTC (3 hours). Holder history covers 2026-04-03 to 2026-05-02 (30 days daily). Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: 8F75L1XWYaBa317arZ51ecTKpbx2XNCAXtVDxBSm1xf7)
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (3 candles available)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data feed error, actual liquidity unknown
  • Sniper cost basis (amount sniped in USD) is 'unknown' for all 20 snipers — prevents precise concentration and PnL analysis
  • Sniper token balances are 'unknown' for most wallets — cannot calculate remaining sniper supply overhang
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Contract is unverified — smart contract risk cannot be assessed
  • Token is <24 hours old in active trading — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • OHLC candle 1 contains anomalous data (Low > High) suggesting potential data feed issue
  • 6h and 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics despite 557.7% 24h change in price section — data inconsistency noted

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from on-chain and DEX analytics as of the analysis timestamp. Cryptocurrency investments, especially ultra-early meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion tokens)

Key Risks

•Zero verified liquidity — extreme slippage risk on exits
•Token was dormant for 30 days with only 13 holders before sudden activation — suggests coordinated launch
•Unverified contract with unknown authority status — potential rug risk
•No utility, description, or roadmap — pure speculative meme

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Medium risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. PnL data is mixed: 8 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +2.7% to +184.8%) and 6 show negative realized PnL (ranging from -1.6% to -22.0%), with 6 showing 0% (either held or no data). The highest-profit snipers (184.8%, 115.9%, 98.5%) have already sold significant amounts. The largest sellers by USD volume are snipers 19 ($432 sold), 16 ($390 sold), 17 ($342 sold), and 18 ($315 sold) — all with positive PnL of 24–37%, suggesting early buyers took profits into the pump. Total sniper sell volume is approximately $2,167 across all 20 snipers, which is modest relative to the $231K 24h sell volume, indicating snipers are not the dominant selling force. Sniped supply amounts are unknown, preventing precise concentration calculation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
medium

Sniper cost basis and balance data is largely 'unknown' in the dataset. Only 2 snipers have known remaining balances: CHJLsax4yLvGMxZ5BMdKdxz8ULeCSbCtCtLdWGc2vFGh ($38 balance) and 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY ($16 balance). Most snipers appear to have sold their positions.

Mixed — profitable snipers have been distributing into strength (realized gains of 24–185%), while loss-making snipers (-3% to -22%) likely sold early before the pump. A few snipers remain holding ($38 and $16 balances visible). Overall early buyer sentiment leans cautiously optimistic given the price has surged well above most sniper entry points.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Chad Mogman (ChadMogman)?

The token is in a violent momentum spike with a 228.7% 1h gain and 17.8% 5m gain at time of analysis. Price is at $0.000212, far above the OHLC candle range of $0.000031–$0.000099 seen in the last 3 hourly candles. Short-term momentum is strongly bullish but extremely overextended relative to recent candle data, suggesting high reversal risk. Support is thin given $0.00 reported liquidity depth. Short-term outlook is bullish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000035 to $0.000350.

Is ChadMogman a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. This token exhibits every characteristic of an ultra-high-risk meme token: <24h trading history, unverified contract, zero confirmed liquidity, no utility, and parabolic price action. Position sizing should be minimal (1–2% of portfolio maximum). Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics.

How are ChadMogman holders trending?

Chad Mogman currently has 460 holders and is growing (24h: 97, 7d: 97, 30d: 97). Holder growth is explosive but entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours. The token was effectively dormant with 13 holders (likely team/insiders) for approximately 30 days before activation. The sudden surge to 460 holders (+447, +97% in 24h) is a classic pump.fun launch pattern where a token is pre-minted and then launched with a coordinated push. Growth is accelerating: +281 on May 2 daily, then +196 in just the last hour. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (459/460 holders), confirming organic market buying rather than airdrops. The 'whale' classification dominates distribution (334 whales vs 27 sharks, 81 dolphins, 31 fish, 9 octopus), which for a token this small likely reflects the classification thresholds rather than true whale behavior.

What does sniper activity look like for ChadMogman?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding ChadMogman?

Zero verified liquidity — extreme slippage risk on exits • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 13 holders before sudden activation — suggests coordinated launch • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — potential rug risk

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