Alfe

Alfe Price Today & AI Analysis

AlfeSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 10, 2026

Price

$0.054493

-1.22% 24h

Contract

Live
72Jp8y5bhRSPUb54JiqFsVthA2PmqaxRQU1NAfJVpump

Chain

Holders

447

Market cap

$4,361

More tokens on Solana

Alfe: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-10 19:49 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$25,256.76
How concentrated is Alfe ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Alfe?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Alfe liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-10 19:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $25,256.76. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-10 19:49 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 10, 07:49 PM UTC

FDV

$9,747

Liquidity

$25,256.76

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Alfe (ALFE) is a Solana meme/community token launched via Discord (discord.gg/uxento) on the PumpSwap DEX. With a fully diluted valuation of only ~$9,747 and total liquidity of ~$25.26K, this is an extremely micro-cap token. The token has experienced a catastrophic 24-hour price decline of approximately -87%, with overwhelming sell pressure (76.2% sell volume) dominating trading activity. The token trades at $0.00001004 and shows all the hallmarks of a post-launch dump phase.

Key points

  • Launched via Discord community (discord.gg/uxento) — community-driven origin
  • Extremely micro-cap: FDV ~$9,747, liquidity ~$25.26K
  • Severe 24h price collapse of ~87% from peak near $0.000121
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Deployed on PumpSwap — typical pump-and-dump launchpad venue
  • Sell pressure overwhelmingly dominant: 76.2% of 24h volume is sells

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price has collapsed from an intraday high of ~$0.000121 (candle 24) to the current ~$0.00001004, a drop of over 91% from peak. The most recent candle (candle 1) closed at the low with no recovery, and sell pressure at 76.2% remains dominant. Immediate downside risk persists toward the $0.000008–$0.000010 range. Any bounce is likely a dead-cat given the structural sell dominance.

Target low

$0.000007

Target high

$0.000015

Support

$0.000010 (current close / recent low), $0.000008 (psychological floor)

Resistance

$0.000015 (candle 3 close / candle 7 open zone), $0.000020 (candle 9 high / candle 16 close zone), $0.000027 (candle 18 open / candle 2 high zone)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

With FDV below $10K, liquidity of only $25K, and a token that has already experienced its primary pump-and-dump cycle, sustained recovery is unlikely without a new catalyst. The token may stabilize at near-zero levels or become illiquid.

Catalysts

  • New community announcement or Discord campaign driving fresh buyers
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices (no evidence currently)

Bullish factors

  • Price has already dropped ~91% from peak — extreme oversold conditions could attract speculative buyers
  • Liquidity ($25.26K) exceeds FDV ($9,747), suggesting some residual market depth
  • Social links (Twitter, website) indicate some community infrastructure exists
  • 24h buy count of 1,270 transactions shows there are still active buyers

Bearish factors

  • Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~87% with no sign of stabilization
  • Sell pressure at 76.2% of 24h volume ($99.14K sells vs $30.93K buys)
  • 3,000 sell transactions vs 1,270 buy transactions in 24h
  • 1,132 unique sellers vs only 245 unique buyers
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • FDV of only ~$9,747 — near-zero valuation
  • Launched on PumpSwap — high-risk launchpad associated with pump-and-dump patterns
  • Most recent candle closed at its low with declining volume (553 vs 1,097 prior hour)

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's extreme micro-cap status, lack of verified contract, unknown authority status, absence of sniper data, no holder distribution data, and the highly speculative nature of PumpSwap-launched meme tokens. Price action is driven almost entirely by sentiment and liquidity flows rather than fundamentals.

Alfe call history

Full track record →

Aug 10bearish
24h-39.3%
7d—
30d-58.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
72Jp8y...pump
Total Supply
971,117,183.66

Key Risks

  • Catastrophic price collapse of ~87% in 24 hours with no recovery signal
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority — potential rug-pull vectors unconfirmed
  • Unverified contract on PumpSwap — high-risk launchpad
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($25.26K) — high slippage on any trade

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC data reveals a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Candle 24 (20:00 Aug 9) marked the peak with a high of $0.000121 and strong volume of $48,342. From there, price cascaded lower through candles 23–22 ($0.000079 high, then $0.000075), then accelerated downward through candles 21–1. Candle 21 (23:00 Aug 9) showed a massive bearish candle: opened at $0.000046, hit $0.000049, but closed at $0.000026 on $13,380 volume — a clear distribution candle. The subsequent 14 candles (00:00–13:00 Aug 10) show a grinding downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, ranging between $0.000012–$0.000033. Candle 6 (14:00) showed a brief spike to $0.000033 (likely a dead-cat bounce) before resuming the decline. The final two candles (18:00–19:00) show continued deterioration, with candle 1 closing at its low of $0.000010.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token has made consistent lower highs and lower lows across all 24 hourly candles. The peak at $0.000121 (candle 24) has not been retested, and each attempted recovery has been sold into aggressively.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

24%

Sell

76%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000010 (current price / candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.000008 (psychological round-number floor below current price)

Immediate resistance

$0.000015 (candle 3 close / candle 7 open area)

Major resistance

$0.000027–$0.000033 (candle 18 open / candle 6 high — dead-cat bounce zone)

The $0.000010 level is the current price and recent low — a break below this opens the door to $0.000008 or lower. Resistance at $0.000015 aligns with multiple candle closes and opens in the 15:00–17:00 range. The $0.000027–$0.000033 zone represents the dead-cat bounce high from candle 6 and is a major overhead resistance. The all-time high of $0.000121 (candle 24) is extremely distant and unlikely to be revisited without a fundamental catalyst.

Notable patterns

  • Classic pump-and-dump: single massive volume candle (candle 24, $48K) followed by cascading lower highs and lower lows
  • Dead-cat bounce: candle 6 (14:00) spiked to $0.000033 on $4,868 volume before resuming downtrend
  • Bearish engulfing: candle 21 (23:00) opened above prior close and closed well below — strong distribution signal
  • Declining volume on downtrend: volume shrinking from $48K to $554 over 24 hours — liquidity exhaustion
  • Candle 1 closes at its low with no wick — continued bearish momentum, no buyer absorption
  • Lower highs sequence: $0.000121 → $0.000079 → $0.000049 → $0.000033 → $0.000021 → $0.000015 — textbook downtrend structure

Liquidity

Liquidity

$25,256.76

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is severely impaired. Total liquidity of $25,260 is extremely shallow for a token with $130K+ in 24h trading volume — this creates significant slippage risk for any meaningful position. The net flow is heavily negative: $99,140 in sell volume vs $30,930 in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$68,210 in 24 hours. The ratio of unique sellers (1,132) to unique buyers (245) is approximately 4.6:1, indicating mass exit behavior. With FDV ($9,747) now below total liquidity ($25,260), the token is in a deeply distressed state. The PumpSwap pair (5mL2gwM6Xb6qjh1F4i7V9whNrXZv15XQJtsJd9CD7i72) provides the only trading venue, concentrating all liquidity risk in a single pool.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

971,117,183.66

FDV

$9,747.34

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price has collapsed ~91% from its 24h high of $0.000121 to $0.000010. The token exhibits extreme volatility characteristic of micro-cap meme tokens on PumpSwap. 24h price change of -87.3% confirms extreme volatility.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $25,260 in a single PumpSwap pool creates severe slippage risk. Any sell order of meaningful size will move the price significantly. FDV ($9,747) is now below liquidity, indicating the token is in distress.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Catastrophic price collapse of ~87% in 24 hours with no recovery signal
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority — potential rug-pull vectors unconfirmed
  • Unverified contract on PumpSwap — high-risk launchpad
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($25.26K) — high slippage on any trade
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 76.2% of volume is sells, 4.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • FDV ($9,747) below total liquidity ($25,260) — token in distressed valuation
  • No holder distribution data available — concentration risk unquantifiable
  • Single liquidity pool — no alternative trading venues
  • Minimal project transparency: only Discord link in description, no whitepaper or tokenomics

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'mutable: false' — a mild positive for metadata immutability
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist — some community infrastructure
  • Possible spam flag is 'false' — not flagged by automated spam detection
  • Price has already collapsed ~91% from peak — downside may be partially priced in
  • Liquidity ($25.26K) exceeds FDV ($9,747) — some residual pool depth exists

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, conservative portfolios, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be treated as a lottery ticket — assume total loss is the base case.

Alfe (ALFE) is a high-risk micro-cap meme token that has completed what appears to be a full pump-and-dump cycle within 24 hours. Launched on PumpSwap via a Discord community, the token peaked at ~$0.000121 before collapsing ~91% to $0.000010. With FDV of ~$9,747, liquidity of $25.26K, unverified contract, unknown authorities, and overwhelming sell pressure, the risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for new entrants. The only speculative case rests on a potential community-driven recovery, which has no current on-chain evidence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Community-driven recovery: The Discord community (discord.gg/uxento) organizes a coordinated buying campaign or announces a new utility/partnership, attracting fresh capital. Price recovers to the $0.000025–$0.000033 dead-cat bounce zone, representing a 2.5–3.3x return from current levels.

  • Active Discord community mobilizes new buyers
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifts micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices creates a new price floor
  • Token listing on additional venues increases liquidity and visibility

Base Case

Slow bleed to near-zero: The token stabilizes at extremely low prices ($0.000005–$0.000010) with minimal trading activity. It becomes a zombie token — technically tradeable but with no meaningful price appreciation or community activity.

  • No new major catalysts emerge from the Discord community
  • Sell pressure gradually subsides as remaining holders capitulate
  • Liquidity pool remains intact but sees minimal new inflows
  • Token avoids an outright rug pull but fails to recover meaningfully

Bear Case

High probability

Complete collapse: Remaining liquidity is withdrawn or drained, the token becomes untradeable, and price approaches zero. Early holders complete their distribution, leaving late buyers with total losses.

  • Continued dominant sell pressure (76.2%) exhausts remaining buy-side liquidity
  • Unknown authorities execute a rug pull or freeze tokens
  • Community abandonment as Discord activity fades post-launch
  • FDV already below liquidity — further price decline makes the pool economically unviable

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 10, 07:49 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-10 19:49 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: 72Jp8y5bhRSPUb54JiqFsVthA2PmqaxRQU1NAfJVpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (5mL2gwM6Xb6qjh1F4i7V9whNrXZv15XQJtsJd9CD7i72)
  • 24-hour hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is unavailable — whale concentration and holder growth cannot be assessed
  • Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be quantified
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Contract is unverified — source code and tokenomics cannot be independently validated
  • No historical data beyond 24 hours — longer-term trend analysis is not possible
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — price discovery is limited to one venue
  • Token description references only a Discord server — no whitepaper, roadmap, or team information available
  • FDV and liquidity figures are highly volatile given the micro-cap nature of the token

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in ALFE. All data is sourced from on-chain evidence and should be independently verified before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Alfe ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Alfe?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Alfe liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-10 19:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $25,256.76. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Alfe (Alfe)?

Price has collapsed from an intraday high of ~$0.000121 (candle 24) to the current ~$0.00001004, a drop of over 91% from peak. The most recent candle (candle 1) closed at the low with no recovery, and sell pressure at 76.2% remains dominant. Immediate downside risk persists toward the $0.000008–$0.000010 range. Any bounce is likely a dead-cat given the structural sell dominance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000007 to $0.000015.

Is Alfe a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, conservative portfolios, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be treated as a lottery ticket — assume total loss is the base case.

What are the key risks of holding Alfe?

Catastrophic price collapse of ~87% in 24 hours with no recovery signal • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority — potential rug-pull vectors unconfirmed • Unverified contract on PumpSwap — high-risk launchpad

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