GEOM

GEOM Price Today & AI Analysis

GEOMSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 3, 2026

Price

$0.000821

+3.93% 24h · FDV $819,912

Contract

Live
6dX5M8DY6VTFtVRX5yzWn9RE4MkJTyoAVbAodk6cpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,114

Market cap

$819,912

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 3, 07:16 PM UTC

FDV

$965,604

Liquidity

$85,165

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

GEOM (mint: 6dX5M8DY6VTFtVRX5yzWn9RE4MkJTyoAVbAodk6cpump) is an unverified Solana token trading on PumpSwap at ~$0.000967. The token has a fully diluted valuation of ~$965K against $85.17K in total liquidity. The most striking on-chain signal is an extreme sell/buy imbalance: 98.1% of 24h volume is sell-side ($893.54K sells vs. $17.20K buys), with 2,415 sell transactions versus only 136 buys. This points to aggressive distribution and very high short-term risk.

Key points

  • Extreme sell pressure: 98.1% of 24h volume is sell-side ($893.54K vs $17.20K buys)
  • Very low liquidity ($85.17K) relative to sell volume, creating high slippage risk
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and no social links or description
  • Recent candle history shows a massive spike (high of $0.002387) followed by rapid collapse toward $0.000865, classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • No sniper data available, limiting smart money analysis

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The 1h price change of -47.75% and overwhelming sell pressure (98.1% of volume) strongly suggest continued downside in the near term. The token spiked to $0.002387 and has been collapsing; current price ~$0.000967 is still well above the recent low of $0.000451. Further selling toward the $0.000451–$0.000858 support zone is likely.

Target low

$0.000451

Target high

$0.001034

Support

$0.000865 (candle [1] low), $0.000858 (candle [2] low), $0.000451 (candle [3] low — absolute recent low)

Resistance

$0.001034 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.001128 (candle [3] open), $0.002020–$0.002387 (spike highs, candles [2] and [3])

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a verified contract, social presence, or fundamental catalyst, and given the post-spike distribution pattern, medium-term price recovery is unlikely unless new buying interest emerges. The FDV/liquidity ratio is already stretched and continued sell pressure could drain liquidity further.

Catalysts

  • Any new exchange listing or social media catalyst could temporarily reverse trend
  • Liquidity pool depletion could cause extreme volatility in either direction
  • Broader Solana market rally could provide temporary lift

Bullish factors

  • Price is up 8.2% over 24h per metadata (though intraday data shows -47.75% in the last hour, suggesting the 24h figure captures an earlier pump)
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with an active pair, indicating some market accessibility
  • Liquidity of $85.17K provides a minimal floor for small trades

Bearish factors

  • 98.1% sell pressure by volume ($893.54K sells vs $17.20K buys)
  • 2,415 sell transactions vs 136 buy transactions in 24h
  • 1h price drop of -47.75%
  • Spike-and-collapse candle pattern (high $0.002387 → current ~$0.000967)
  • Unverified contract, no description, no social links
  • Unknown update authority — cannot confirm minting or freeze authority status
  • FDV of $965K vs only $85.17K liquidity (11:1 ratio)

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles are available, the contract is unverified, no sniper or holder data exists, and the 24h % change fields show 0% for 5m/6h/24h timeframes (possibly a data anomaly), making reliable price modeling difficult. The directional bias is bearish based on volume structure alone.

GEOM call history

Full track record →

Aug 3bearish
24h-7.9%
7d-25.1%
30d-33.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
6dX5M8...pump
Total Supply
998,769,162.886309

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (98.1% of volume) indicates active distribution by early holders
  • Shallow liquidity ($85.17K) creates high slippage and potential for rapid price collapse
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • No social presence, description, or verified identity — anonymous and unaccountable team

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. The broader trading data does show 80 unique buyers vs 735 unique sellers in 24h, suggesting that early participants (if any snipers were present) have largely exited or are actively distributing. The 98.1% sell-side volume dominance is consistent with early holders offloading into any remaining buy liquidity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unable to assess — no sniper data provided. The extreme sell/buy ratio (2,415 sells vs 136 buys) suggests early buyers are distributing aggressively.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles reveal a classic pump-and-dump structure. Candle [3] (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.001128, spiked to a high of $0.002387 — a 111% intracandle move — then collapsed to close at $0.000907, forming a massive bearish shooting star / inverted hammer on enormous volume ($701K). Candle [2] (18:00 UTC) opened at $0.000913, briefly reclaimed $0.002020 before closing at $0.001035 on $202K volume — another bearish upper-wick candle. Candle [1] (19:00 UTC) opened at $0.001027, made a modest high of $0.001034, and closed at $0.000974 on dramatically reduced volume ($4.3K), confirming exhaustion of buying interest and continued drift lower.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The short-term trend is firmly down following the spike peak at $0.002387. Each successive candle closes lower with declining volume, indicating sellers are in control and buyers have largely exited.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

2%

Sell

98%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000865 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.000451 (candle [3] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.001034 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close)

Major resistance

$0.002020–$0.002387 (spike highs)

The $0.000858–$0.000865 zone represents the most recent tested support. A break below this level opens the path to the $0.000451 absolute low. Resistance at $0.001034 is the first meaningful overhead level; the $0.002020–$0.002387 spike zone is now heavy resistance from trapped buyers.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish inverted hammer on candle [3] — textbook pump exhaustion signal
  • Bearish upper-wick continuation on candle [2] — failed recovery attempt
  • Volume climax followed by rapid volume collapse (701K → 202K → 4.3K) — distribution complete
  • Lower highs and lower closes across all three candles — confirmed short-term downtrend
  • Price well below the spike high, suggesting trapped buyers at $0.001500–$0.002387 range

Liquidity

Liquidity

$85,170

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is severely impaired. Total liquidity of $85.17K is extremely shallow relative to 24h sell volume of $893.54K — sellers have moved more than 10x the available liquidity pool in a single day, indicating the pool is being actively drained. The net flow is heavily outbound. With 735 unique sellers versus only 80 unique buyers, the market is in a clear distribution phase. Slippage risk is high: any meaningful sell order against an $85K pool will move price significantly. The buy/sell transaction ratio (136 buys vs 2,415 sells) further confirms that this is not a healthy two-sided market.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$17,200

Sell volume

$893,540

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

80

Unique sellers

735

Supply & authorities

Total supply

998,769,162.886309

FDV

$965,604.45

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

GEOM has a total supply of ~998.77M tokens with an FDV of ~$965.6K at current prices. The token was launched via pump.fun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the provided metadata, and the contract is unverified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data, so rug risk from authorities is classified as unknown. The lack of any description, social links, or verified contract significantly elevates tokenomic risk.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token experienced a 111% intracandle spike followed by a -47.75% collapse within hours. Extreme intraday volatility makes position sizing and exit timing extremely difficult.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $85.17K in total liquidity against $893.54K in 24h sell volume. The pool is being rapidly drained. Large sell orders will face severe slippage.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Holder distribution data is unavailable, but the pump.fun launch mechanism and extreme sell pressure suggest early holders are concentrated and actively distributing. Default high risk applied per methodology.

  • Sniper Dumphigh

    No sniper data is available, but the trading pattern — massive spike followed by immediate collapse with 98.1% sell volume — is consistent with sniper/early-buyer dump behavior. Risk is elevated by inference from volume structure.

  • Authorityhigh

    Update authority is unknown, contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token has no social links or description, providing no accountability or transparency.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (98.1% of volume) indicates active distribution by early holders
  • Shallow liquidity ($85.17K) creates high slippage and potential for rapid price collapse
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • No social presence, description, or verified identity — anonymous and unaccountable team
  • Pump-and-dump candle pattern with volume exhaustion — buying interest has collapsed
  • FDV/liquidity ratio of ~11:1 means the market cap is highly inflated relative to actual tradeable liquidity

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is set to immutable (Mutable: false), preventing metadata changes
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with an active pair, providing some minimal market access
  • The 24h metadata price change of +8.2% suggests the token has not gone to zero yet
  • Pump.fun tokens have a defined bonding curve mechanism that provides some structural price floor

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the mechanics of pump.fun tokens and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics. Given the active distribution pattern, even experienced traders should approach with extreme caution.

GEOM presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile. The token has undergone a classic pump-and-dump cycle within the observed 3-hour window, with a spike to $0.002387 followed by a collapse to ~$0.000967. Sell pressure dominates at 98.1% of volume, liquidity is shallow, and the contract is unverified with no social presence. There is no fundamental investment thesis beyond short-term speculation.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Speculative bounce from oversold conditions

  • If the token gains viral social media attention, a secondary pump could occur
  • Oversold technical conditions could attract short-term bottom-fishers
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could temporarily lift all tokens

Base Case

Continued slow bleed with high volatility

  • Sell pressure moderates but remains dominant
  • Price drifts toward the $0.000451–$0.000858 support zone
  • Occasional volatility spikes occur but fail to establish new highs
  • Token remains tradeable on PumpSwap but with declining volume and liquidity

Bear Case

High probability

Continued distribution leading to near-zero price

  • 98.1% sell pressure continues to drain the liquidity pool
  • No buyers emerge to absorb ongoing sell pressure
  • Liquidity pool is fully drained, making the token untradeable
  • Unknown authority status allows potential rug pull action

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 3, 07:16 PM UTC

Data freshness

OHLC data current to 2026-08-03T19:00 UTC; trading analytics reflect 24h window ending approximately the same time

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair address: 9nHqVFew1awxmtMjaoeY5K6beH3xUwzPjGVWBHcoyxv7)
  • OHLC hourly candles (3 candles, 2026-08-03T17:00–19:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buy/sell counts, unique wallets)
  • Price feed (USD and native SOL pricing)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder or whale distribution data available (endpoints retired)
  • No sniper data available — smart money analysis is severely limited
  • Update authority status is unknown — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • 24h percentage change fields show 0% for 5m/6h/24h timeframes, which may indicate a data anomaly
  • No social links or project description provided — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no cross-venue price discovery

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially unverified memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed was provided by third-party sources and may contain inaccuracies. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. Past price action does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for GEOM (GEOM)?

The 1h price change of -47.75% and overwhelming sell pressure (98.1% of volume) strongly suggest continued downside in the near term. The token spiked to $0.002387 and has been collapsing; current price ~$0.000967 is still well above the recent low of $0.000451. Further selling toward the $0.000451–$0.000858 support zone is likely. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000451 to $0.001034.

Is GEOM a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the mechanics of pump.fun tokens and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics. Given the active distribution pattern, even experienced traders should approach with extreme caution.

What does sniper activity look like for GEOM?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding GEOM?

Extreme sell pressure (98.1% of volume) indicates active distribution by early holders • Shallow liquidity ($85.17K) creates high slippage and potential for rapid price collapse • Unverified contract with unknown authority status — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out

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