ELIEN

ELIEN MUSK Price Today & AI Analysis

ELIENSolanaAnalysis as of May 8, 2026

Price

$0.042003

+8.56% 24h · FDV $19,979

Contract

Live
5o61DgZrDGbCp5EBeyzLidUFXNVTtbfUGP3nY3s7pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,260

Market cap

$19,979

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ELIEN MUSK: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-08 19:20 UTC

Holder addresses

1,749

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$38,095.60
How concentrated is ELIEN MUSK ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,749 addresses (2026-05-08 19:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling ELIEN MUSK?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ELIEN MUSK liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-08 19:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $38,095.60. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-08 19:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 8, 07:20 PM UTC

FDV

$532,164

Liquidity

$38,095.60

Holders

1,749

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ELIEN (ELIEN MUSK) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with mint address 5o61DgZrDGbCp5EBeyzLidUFXNVTtbfUGP3nY3s7pump. The token is themed around an Elon Musk 'alien' quote and has experienced an extraordinary 1,100%+ price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a wave of new buyers (714 new holders in 24h). However, the token exhibits severe red flags: total liquidity is only $38.1K against a $532K FDV, sell pressure dominates at 64.9%, the holder base collapsed from ~35,523 in mid-April to a low of ~997 before the current pump, and the update authority has NOT been renounced. This is a high-risk, speculative meme token with classic pump-and-dump characteristics.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price appreciation of +1,102% driven by viral meme narrative around Elon Musk 'alien' quote
  • Rapid holder accumulation: +714 holders (+41%) in 24h and +320 (+18%) in just 1 hour
  • Critically low liquidity of $38.1K creates extreme slippage and exit risk for any meaningful position
  • Holder base previously collapsed from 35,523 to under 1,000 over ~2 weeks before current pump revival
  • Update authority not renounced — mutable metadata risk remains

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

After a +1,100% surge in 24h, the token is showing early signs of exhaustion. The most recent 5-minute change is -6.47%, sell pressure dominates at 64.9% of volume ($436.72K sells vs $236.08K buys), and liquidity is razor-thin at $38.1K. A sharp retracement is likely as early buyers and snipers take profits. Support near $0.000195 (candle [1] open) and $0.000143 (candle [6] low) are the nearest downside targets.

Target low

$0.000143

Target high

$0.000532

Support

$0.000195 (candle [1] open / recent base), $0.000143 (candle [6] low), $0.000083 (candle [9] close, pre-pump base)

Resistance

$0.000532 (current price / 24h high zone), $0.000513 (candle [1] low anomaly / intraday spike high), $0.000246 (candle [6] high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

The historical holder data shows this token previously had 35,523 holders in mid-April before a catastrophic collapse to under 1,000 over two weeks — a pattern consistent with a prior pump-and-dump cycle. The current pump is likely a second wave driven by renewed social media attention. Without sustained community growth, new utility, or significant liquidity injection, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels ($0.000043–$0.000083 range). Medium-term outlook is bearish unless the meme narrative gains significant traction.

Catalysts

  • Renewed Elon Musk social media activity referencing aliens could re-ignite interest
  • Broader Solana meme coin season could lift all boats temporarily
  • Liquidity injection or CEX listing (highly unlikely at this stage) could sustain price
  • Failure to hold $0.000195 support would accelerate sell-off toward $0.000083

Bullish factors

  • Explosive 24h price action (+1,102%) signals strong short-term momentum
  • Rapid holder growth: +714 in 24h, +320 in 1h — community is actively expanding
  • Meme narrative tied to Elon Musk has proven viral potential in crypto markets
  • 5,000 buys vs 4,332 sells in 24h shows more buy transactions despite lower buy volume
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible entry for retail traders

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume ($436.72K) nearly doubles buy volume ($236.08K) — 64.9% sell pressure
  • Total liquidity only $38.1K — any meaningful exit will cause severe slippage
  • Holder base previously collapsed from 35,523 to ~997 over 2 weeks — prior pump-and-dump evidence
  • Update authority not renounced — metadata can be changed by deployer
  • 5-minute price change already -6.47% suggesting momentum fading
  • Top 10 holders control 26.87% of supply with no clear lock-up mechanisms
  • Token is unverified contract with mutable metadata

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (+1,100% in 24h), very thin liquidity ($38.1K), absence of sniper data, and the token's history of a prior complete holder collapse. Meme token price action is driven by social sentiment which is inherently unpredictable. Technical levels are meaningful only in the context of such thin markets.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5o61Dg...pump
Total Supply
999,883,990.21

Key Risks

  • Catastrophic prior holder collapse: 35,523 → 997 holders in ~2 weeks proves this token has already completed one full pump-and-dump cycle
  • Critically thin liquidity ($38.1K) makes orderly exit impossible for any meaningful position
  • 64.9% sell pressure in 24h despite price being up +1,100% — whales are distributing into retail FOMO
  • Update authority not renounced — deployer retains some control over token metadata

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series reveals a textbook parabolic pump pattern. Candles [24]–[19] (May 7 20:00–May 8 01:00) show extremely low volume (147–840 USD/hr) and tight price action in the $0.000043–$0.000057 range — the base. Candles [18]–[15] show gradual accumulation with modest volume increases. Candle [14] (06:00) marks the breakout: price surged from $0.000066 to $0.000105 on $15.4K volume. Candles [13]–[8] show a staircase of higher highs and higher lows with accelerating volume. Candle [8] (12:00) is a strong bull candle: O:$0.0000865, H:$0.000160, C:$0.000148 on $36.9K volume. Candle [6] (14:00) shows a wide-range candle with H:$0.000246 on $26.9K volume. Candle [2] (18:00) is the highest-volume candle at $311.9K with a narrow body (doji-like), suggesting distribution at the top. Candle [1] (19:00) shows a confusing OHLC where L > O and L > C, likely a data anomaly, but the close at $0.000233 vs open $0.000195 suggests continued buying. Overall: clear parabolic pump with distribution signals at the top.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term trend is strongly up (+1,102% in 24h) but the medium-term context is a downtrend — the token collapsed from a prior peak in mid-April and is now in a second pump attempt. The medium-term trend remains down relative to the April peak holder count and likely price peak.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

35%

Sell

65%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000195 (candle [1] open, recent consolidation base)

Major support

$0.000083 (candle [9] close, pre-pump equilibrium zone)

Immediate resistance

$0.000532 (current price, 24h high zone)

Major resistance

$0.000513 (candle [1] low anomaly / intraday spike)

Immediate support at $0.000195 represents the open of the most recent candle and a natural pullback level. Major support at $0.000083 is the pre-pump equilibrium where the token traded for several hours before the breakout. On the upside, the current price near $0.000532 is itself the resistance zone given the parabolic nature of the move. A failure to hold $0.000195 on a retracement would likely see a rapid flush toward $0.000083.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump: 24-candle series shows classic exponential price acceleration from $0.000043 to $0.000532 (+1,100%+)
  • High-volume doji/narrow-body candle at 18:00 UTC ($311.9K volume) — classic distribution/exhaustion top signal
  • Staircase of higher highs and higher lows from candles [24] through [2] — textbook momentum pump
  • Volume climax: candle [2] volume ($311.9K) is ~370x the volume of candle [24] ($147) — blow-off top pattern
  • 5-minute price already -6.47% from peak — early reversal signal
  • Candle [1] OHLC anomaly (L > O) may indicate data irregularity or extreme volatility/wick behavior

Liquidity

Liquidity

$38,095.60

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $38.1K against a $532K FDV (per metadata) or $152.9K FDV (per analytics) represents a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 7.2%–25%, which is dangerously low. Any whale attempting to exit even a 1% position (~$1,529 at current FDV) would face severe slippage. The 24h sell volume of $436.72K is 11.5x the total liquidity — meaning the market has already processed enormous sell pressure relative to available liquidity, likely causing significant price impact on each trade. Net flow is clearly outflow: sell volume ($436.72K) is 85% higher than buy volume ($236.08K). Paradoxically, there are more unique buyers (2,932) than sellers (1,736), suggesting many small buyers are being overwhelmed by fewer but larger sellers. This is a classic pump dynamic where retail FOMO buyers absorb whale distribution. The PumpSwap pair (Bk7LaZV9G4wDP5Pf3fyFK6ufPFooTJHHzHZ5Sr977hnf) is the sole liquidity venue identified.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,883,990.21

FDV

$532,164.34 (metadata) / $152,940 (analytics — likely reflects current market cap at spot price)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +1,102% price move in 24 hours with -6.47% already in the last 5 minutes. Hourly candles show price ranging from $0.000043 to $0.000532 — a 12x range in a single day. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $38.1K. The 24h sell volume alone ($436.72K) is 11.5x the total liquidity pool. Any position larger than ~$1,000–$2,000 will face severe slippage on exit. This is a critical risk for any holder.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Catastrophic prior holder collapse: 35,523 → 997 holders in ~2 weeks proves this token has already completed one full pump-and-dump cycle
  • Critically thin liquidity ($38.1K) makes orderly exit impossible for any meaningful position
  • 64.9% sell pressure in 24h despite price being up +1,100% — whales are distributing into retail FOMO
  • Update authority not renounced — deployer retains some control over token metadata
  • No verified contract, no audit, no utility — pure speculative meme token
  • Meme tokens tied to celebrity names (Elon Musk) face legal/reputational risks and are frequently short-lived
  • Token supply of ~1B with no burn or lock mechanisms means full dilution is immediate

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked 'mutable: false' provides some protection against metadata manipulation
  • No single non-LP whale holds more than 3.08% — prevents single-actor rug pull via token dump
  • Pump.fun graduation to PumpSwap typically involves LP creation, providing some baseline liquidity structure
  • Active community growth (+714 holders in 24h) shows genuine short-term demand
  • Not flagged as spam by Moralis data providers
  • More unique buyers (2,932) than sellers (1,736) suggests broad retail participation

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme token dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (no more than 0.5–1% of portfolio), and have a clear exit strategy before entry. Completely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token mechanics.

ELIEN is a high-risk Solana meme token currently in the midst of a second pump cycle after a near-total collapse of its holder base. The token offers extreme short-term speculative upside driven by viral meme potential (Elon Musk alien narrative) but carries severe structural risks including razor-thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, a proven prior pump-and-dump history, and non-renounced update authority. Any investment thesis must be purely speculative and momentum-based with a very short time horizon.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Elon Musk 'alien' meme narrative goes viral on Twitter/X, driving a second wave of retail FOMO. Holder count surges past 5,000+, liquidity deepens as new LPs are added, and the token achieves a 3–5x from current levels before stabilizing. A broader Solana meme season amplifies the move.

  • Viral social media moment (Elon Musk tweet or alien-related news)
  • Continued rapid holder growth (current +320/hr pace sustained)
  • Liquidity injection from new market makers or LP providers
  • Broader Solana meme coin market momentum

Base Case

The token experiences a 40–70% retracement from current highs over the next 24–72 hours as initial FOMO fades, settling in the $0.000150–$0.000250 range with reduced volume. A small core community of 1,500–2,500 holders remains, and the token trades sideways with occasional volatility spikes tied to social media activity.

  • Sell pressure moderates but remains elevated as early buyers take profits
  • Holder count stabilizes around 1,500–2,000 after initial FOMO wave subsides
  • Liquidity remains thin but stable around $20K–$40K
  • No major viral catalyst emerges to sustain the pump
  • Price finds support near the $0.000195 level (candle [1] open)

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate (currently 64.9%), early holders and whales distribute into retail buyers, liquidity is drained, and the price retraces 80–95% back toward the pre-pump range of $0.000043–$0.000083. The token follows the exact same trajectory as its April pump-and-dump cycle.

  • Dominant sell pressure (64.9%) continues as whales exit into retail FOMO
  • Thin liquidity ($38.1K) accelerates price decline once selling intensifies
  • Historical precedent: prior cycle saw 97% holder loss in 2 weeks
  • No fundamental utility or sustainable demand drivers
  • 5-minute price already -6.47% suggesting momentum peak may be in

Analysis details

Generated

May 8, 07:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-08 19:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical daily holder count series (30 days)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Moralis token API

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — cannot assess smart money concentration or PnL
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed in provided data
  • OHLC candle [1] contains a data anomaly (L > O and L > C) which may indicate a data error
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Wallet classifications for top holders are inferred, not confirmed (no on-chain label data provided)
  • The 14-day period of exactly 35,523 holders (April 8–21) is anomalous and may reflect a data snapshot issue rather than true on-chain state
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($532K) and analytics ($152.9K) not fully resolved
  • No vesting, lock-up, or tokenomics documentation available beyond on-chain supply data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. The analyst holds no position in ELIEN.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is ELIEN MUSK ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,749 addresses (2026-05-08 19:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling ELIEN MUSK?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is ELIEN MUSK liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-08 19:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $38,095.60. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for ELIEN MUSK (ELIEN)?

After a +1,100% surge in 24h, the token is showing early signs of exhaustion. The most recent 5-minute change is -6.47%, sell pressure dominates at 64.9% of volume ($436.72K sells vs $236.08K buys), and liquidity is razor-thin at $38.1K. A sharp retracement is likely as early buyers and snipers take profits. Support near $0.000195 (candle [1] open) and $0.000143 (candle [6] low) are the nearest downside targets. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000143 to $0.000532.

Is ELIEN a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme token dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (no more than 0.5–1% of portfolio), and have a clear exit strategy before entry. Completely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token mechanics.

What are the key risks of holding ELIEN?

Catastrophic prior holder collapse: 35,523 → 997 holders in ~2 weeks proves this token has already completed one full pump-and-dump cycle • Critically thin liquidity ($38.1K) makes orderly exit impossible for any meaningful position • 64.9% sell pressure in 24h despite price being up +1,100% — whales are distributing into retail FOMO

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