Pauly

Pauly0x Price Today & AI Analysis

PaulySolanaAnalysis as of Jul 3, 2026

Price

$0.044835

-6.19% 24h

Contract

Live
5RyeWfbjVw6Ktj6j8SmTiAnVXWvmV8YxGtTebNsU2dBo

Chain

Solana

Holders

2,135

Market cap

$48,333

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Pauly0x: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-03 23:48 UTC

Holder addresses

1,771

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$101,402.30
How concentrated is Pauly0x ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,771 addresses (2026-07-03 23:48 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Pauly0x?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Pauly0x liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-03 23:48 UTC, reported liquidity was $101,402.30. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-03 23:48 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 3, 11:48 PM UTC

FDV

$853,442

Liquidity

$101,402.30

Holders

1,771

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Pauly0x (PAULY) is a Solana meme/community token with mint address 5RyeWfbjVw6Ktj6j8SmTiAnVXWvmV8YxGtTebNsU2dBo. The token has experienced an extraordinary 24h price surge of ~3,507%, moving from near-zero to $0.000854. Total supply is ~999.6M tokens with an FDV of ~$853K. The token exhibits extreme concentration risk — the top 10 holders control 82.8% of supply, with a single wallet holding 57.21%. Holder count has exploded from ~1,062 (dormant for most of June 2026) to 1,771 in the past 24–48 hours, entirely correlated with the price pump. Liquidity is shallow at $101.4K. The token description claims 'Pauly owns 15% of supply,' which is unverified. The contract is unverified and the update authority is not a burn address, though the token is marked immutable.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price surge of ~3,507% from near-zero levels
  • Top holder controls 57.21% of supply — extreme single-wallet concentration
  • 6.18% of supply held by the 1nc1nerator burn address, reducing effective circulating supply
  • Holder count was completely stagnant for ~30 days before a sudden 40% surge in the last 7 days
  • Shallow liquidity of $101.4K relative to FDV of ~$853K creates high slippage risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–72 hours

bearish

After a parabolic 3,507% 24h pump from near-zero, the token is at extreme risk of a sharp retracement. Sell pressure (51.8%) slightly exceeds buy pressure (48.2%), and the price has already moved from ~$0.000024 to ~$0.000854 — a 35x move in hours. The OHLC data shows candles with extremely wide wicks (e.g., candle [1] low of $0.000694 vs open of $0.0000245), indicating violent intraday volatility. A mean-reversion toward the $0.0001–$0.0003 range is plausible in the near term.

Target low

$0.000050

Target high

$0.001200

Support

$0.000693 (candle [1] low), $0.000077 (candle [2] low), $0.000024 (pre-pump base)

Resistance

$0.000854 (current price / recent high), $0.001000 (psychological round number)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without sustained organic demand, new utility, or continued social momentum, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The 30-day holder stagnation prior to this pump suggests no organic community growth. The dominant whale (57.21%) represents an existential overhang — any distribution from this wallet would collapse the price. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless the project demonstrates real catalysts.

Catalysts

  • Continued social media momentum driving new buyer inflows
  • Whale (57.21%) choosing to hold rather than distribute
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Project announcements or utility development

Bullish factors

  • Explosive 3,507% 24h price surge signals strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count growing rapidly (+35% in 24h, +40% in 7d)
  • 6.18% of supply permanently burned via 1nc1nerator address
  • 1,405 buys vs 974 sells in 24h suggests more buy transactions despite slight sell volume dominance
  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)

Bearish factors

  • Top wallet holds 57.21% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • Top 10 holders control 82.8% of supply — severe concentration
  • Shallow liquidity ($101.4K) means large sells cause massive slippage
  • Token was completely dormant (zero holder growth) for ~30 days before this pump
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced update authority
  • 51.8% sell volume pressure in 24h
  • OHLC candles show extreme wick volatility suggesting unstable price discovery

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (3,507% 24h move), shallow liquidity, extreme supply concentration, and the speculative/meme nature of the token. Price action is driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals, making directional prediction highly unreliable.

Pauly call history

Full track record →

Jul 3bearish
24h+51.3%
7d-26.9%
30d-82.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5RyeWf...2dBo
Total Supply
999,649,262.97

Key Risks

  • Single wallet holds 57.21% of supply — one sell decision could collapse the price
  • Top 10 holders control 82.8% — coordinated or individual distribution would be devastating
  • Shallow liquidity ($101.4K) amplifies price impact of any significant sell
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before this pump — no evidence of organic community building

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 4 available hourly OHLC candles reveal an extremely volatile and recently pumped token. Candle [4] (July 3, 01:00 UTC) shows a tight range near $0.0000240–$0.0000241 with negligible volume ($8.46), representing the pre-pump baseline. Candle [3] (21:00 UTC) shows a flat candle at $0.0000245 with low volume ($1,279), still in the base. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC) shows the pump beginning — open $0.0000241, high $0.0000246, but the low of $0.0000775 is anomalous (likely a data inversion where L > O, suggesting a data feed issue or extreme intraday spike), volume surges to $30,892. Candle [1] (23:00 UTC) shows open $0.0000245, high $0.0000245, low $0.000694, close $0.0000241 — again the low exceeds the open/close significantly, suggesting the 'low' field may represent an intraday high spike in this data feed, with volume $27,520. The current price of $0.000854 is far above all candle OHLC values, indicating the most recent price action is not yet captured in these candles. The pattern is a classic parabolic pump from a dormant base.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is sharply upward following the parabolic pump. Medium-term trend is effectively sideways/unknown given the 30-day dormancy prior to this event. There is no established medium-term trend structure — this is a fresh pump from a near-zero base.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

48%

Sell

52%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000693 (candle [1] apparent spike low / intraday level)

Major support

$0.000024 (pre-pump base price, ~30-day floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000854 (current price, recent high)

Major resistance

$0.001000 (psychological round number)

The pre-pump base of ~$0.0000240–$0.0000246 represents the major support floor where the token traded for at least 30 days. The current price of $0.000854 is ~35x above this base. There are no established resistance levels above current price given this is a new all-time high. The $0.000693–$0.000077 range from the OHLC candle wicks (likely representing intraday volatility during the pump) provides intermediate reference points.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump from 30-day dormant base — classic low-liquidity meme coin launch pattern
  • Volume spike from near-zero to $30K+ per hour coinciding with price explosion
  • Possible data anomaly in OHLC candles where 'low' values exceed 'open'/'close' — may indicate inverted field labeling in the data feed
  • No established higher-highs/lower-lows structure — single vertical move from base
  • Extreme spread between pre-pump price ($0.0000240) and current price ($0.000854) — 35x in hours

Liquidity

Liquidity

$101,402.30

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $101.4K against an FDV of $853K — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~11.9%. This means any significant sell order will cause massive price impact. The 24h sell volume ($31.88K) slightly exceeds buy volume ($29.68K), indicating a net outflow despite the price pump — this divergence (price up but net sell volume) suggests the pump was driven by a small number of large buy orders rather than broad demand. There are 249 unique buyers vs 157 unique sellers, but sellers are transacting in larger average sizes ($31.88K / 157 = ~$203 avg sell vs $29.68K / 249 = ~$119 avg buy). The pair trades on Raydium (pair 8SEg9BokNM79SvFzwfg72QbdsJi8A9SWPrPcY5Zk7bZW). With only $101.4K in liquidity, a $10K sell order would likely move the price by 5–10%+, and a $50K sell would be catastrophic for price stability.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,649,262.97

FDV

$853,441.55

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token has pumped 3,507% in 24 hours from a 30-day dormant base. This level of volatility is extreme even by meme coin standards. The 1h change of 177% and 6h change of 3,461% indicate parabolic, unsustainable price action.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $101.4K against an FDV of $853K. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~11.9% means large exits will cause severe price impact. A single whale sell of even 1% of supply (~$8.5K at current prices) could significantly move the market.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds 57.21% of supply — one sell decision could collapse the price
  • Top 10 holders control 82.8% — coordinated or individual distribution would be devastating
  • Shallow liquidity ($101.4K) amplifies price impact of any significant sell
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before this pump — no evidence of organic community building
  • Unverified contract and non-burn update authority
  • Parabolic 3,507% pump is historically followed by sharp corrections in meme tokens
  • Token description 'Pauly owns 15% of supply' is an unverified creator claim
  • Net sell volume ($31.88K) exceeds buy volume ($29.68K) despite price pump

Mitigating factors

  • 6.18% of supply permanently burned via 1nc1nerator address
  • Token marked as immutable (Mutable: false)
  • Rapid holder growth (+626 in 24h) shows genuine new interest
  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)
  • 1,405 buy transactions vs 974 sell transactions — more buy events
  • Raydium DEX listing provides some legitimacy

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those investing significant capital, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk meme token trading. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio). This is not an investment — it is speculation on momentum continuation.

Pauly0x is a high-risk Solana meme token that has experienced a parabolic pump of 3,507% in 24 hours from a 30-day dormant base. The token's fate is almost entirely determined by the behavior of its dominant whale (57.21% holder) and whether social momentum can sustain new buyer inflows against the extreme concentration overhang. There is no verifiable utility, the contract is unverified, and the pre-pump dormancy suggests this is a coordinated launch rather than organic growth.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Social momentum continues to drive new buyers into the token. The 57.21% dominant holder is a Raydium liquidity pool (not a single seller), effectively locking that supply. The burn of 6.18% and immutable flag provide confidence. The token becomes a recognized Solana meme coin with sustained community growth, pushing FDV toward $5M–$10M.

  • Dominant wallet is confirmed as DEX liquidity (not a dump risk)
  • Continued viral social media momentum
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Community development and utility announcements
  • Additional supply burns

Base Case

The token experiences a 50–80% retracement from peak as profit-taking occurs, stabilizing somewhere in the $0.0001–$0.0003 range. A small community forms around the token, holder count stabilizes at 2,000–3,000, and the token trades with high volatility at a reduced FDV of $100K–$300K.

  • Dominant whale does not fully exit but reduces position gradually
  • Some new buyers continue to enter on dips
  • Social channels remain active
  • No rug pull or complete abandonment by team

Bear Case

High probability

The dominant 57.21% holder begins distributing into the pump. With only $101.4K in liquidity, even a fraction of this position hitting the market would collapse the price by 80–95%. Early holders from the dormant period take profits. The token retraces to pre-pump levels (~$0.0000240) or lower.

  • Dominant whale distribution into pump liquidity
  • Early holder profit-taking (35x unrealized gains)
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying sell pressure
  • Loss of social momentum as pump fades
  • No fundamental utility to sustain demand

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 3, 11:48 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-03 23:48 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • Raydium DEX pair data (pair 8SEg9BokNM79SvFzwfg72QbdsJi8A9SWPrPcY5Zk7bZW)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (4 candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Moralis API data

Limitations

  • Only 4 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are limited
  • Dominant wallet (57.21%) classification is uncertain — could be DEX pool or team wallet
  • Mint and freeze authority status not definitively confirmed from provided data
  • No order book depth data available to precisely quantify slippage
  • Token is very new to active trading — limited price history for pattern analysis
  • Creator-supplied metadata (name, description, social links) is unverified and potentially adversarial

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. All data is sourced from on-chain and DEX analytics as of the analysis timestamp. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Pauly0x ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,771 addresses (2026-07-03 23:48 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Pauly0x?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Pauly0x liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-03 23:48 UTC, reported liquidity was $101,402.30. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Pauly0x (Pauly)?

After a parabolic 3,507% 24h pump from near-zero, the token is at extreme risk of a sharp retracement. Sell pressure (51.8%) slightly exceeds buy pressure (48.2%), and the price has already moved from ~$0.000024 to ~$0.000854 — a 35x move in hours. The OHLC data shows candles with extremely wide wicks (e.g., candle [1] low of $0.000694 vs open of $0.0000245), indicating violent intraday volatility. A mean-reversion toward the $0.0001–$0.0003 range is plausible in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000050 to $0.001200.

Is Pauly a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those investing significant capital, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk meme token trading. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio). This is not an investment — it is speculation on momentum continuation.

What are the key risks of holding Pauly?

Single wallet holds 57.21% of supply — one sell decision could collapse the price • Top 10 holders control 82.8% — coordinated or individual distribution would be devastating • Shallow liquidity ($101.4K) amplifies price impact of any significant sell

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