PUNK

THE FROG Price Today & AI Analysis

PUNKSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 4, 2026

Price

$0.053029

Contract

Live
5NgaVXHoikb9e326MSCwo44DXKGuPiKVt9q9Tm51pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

432

Market cap

$3,029

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THE FROG: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-04 06:47 UTC

Holder addresses

731

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$88,216.06
How concentrated is THE FROG ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 731 addresses (2026-07-04 06:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling THE FROG?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is THE FROG liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-04 06:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $88,216.06. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-04 06:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 4, 06:47 AM UTC

FDV

$713,005

Liquidity

$88,216.06

Holders

731

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

THE FROG (PUNK) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$713K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 342% price surge in 24 hours, but this is accompanied by severe red flags: 78.5% sell pressure, extremely shallow liquidity ($88.22K), a dramatic intra-candle collapse visible in OHLC data, zero top-holder data, and a 30-day holder base that was completely flat at 46 wallets before an explosive +685 holder spike in the last 24 hours. The token has no verified contract, no social links, no description, and unknown update authority. This profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump or coordinated manipulation event.

Key points

  • Explosive 342% 24h price gain on a PumpSwap pair
  • Holder base was frozen at exactly 46 for 30 consecutive days before a sudden +685 spike in 24h
  • 78.5% sell pressure with 4,039 sells vs 1,429 buys in 24h
  • Only $88.22K total liquidity against $713K FDV — extreme slippage risk
  • No top holder data, no social links, no description, unverified contract

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The OHLC data reveals a catastrophic intra-candle collapse: candle [1] opened at $0.000540, spiked to a high of $0.001005, then crashed to a close of $0.0000427 — a ~96% intra-candle drop. Candle [2] then recovered from $0.0000427 open to $0.000540 close. The current price of $0.000713 sits above the recent open but well below the candle [1] high. With 78.5% sell pressure and only $88K liquidity, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low

$0.000042

Target high

$0.001005

Support

$0.000427 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open — recent floor), $0.000491 (candle [1] low)

Resistance

$0.000713 (current price), $0.001005 (candle [1] all-time high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

The token showed zero organic growth for 30 days (stuck at 46 holders) before a sudden coordinated spike. Without sustained community development, verified contract, social presence, or utility, medium-term price appreciation is unlikely. The sell pressure dominance and shallow liquidity suggest the token will struggle to maintain current levels.

Catalysts

  • Any new viral meme narrative picking up the PUNK/FROG theme
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (no evidence this is imminent)
  • Liquidity injection by a whale or market maker

Bullish factors

  • 342% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative momentum exists
  • Holder count grew +685 in 24h, indicating new market participants entering
  • 1-hour price change of +90.8% shows very recent buying activity
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

  • 78.5% sell pressure (4,039 sells vs 1,429 buys in 24h)
  • Intra-candle collapse of ~96% from high to close in candle [1]
  • Only $88.22K liquidity — any meaningful sell order will crater the price
  • 30 days of zero holder growth before sudden spike is a manipulation signal
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — zero fundamentals
  • Unknown update authority and mutable=false provides no authority transparency
  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is entirely missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token's 30-day history shows artificial stagnation followed by a sudden spike. These data gaps and anomalies severely limit predictive confidence.

PUNK call history

Full track record →

Jul 4bearish
24h-38.5%
7d-87.0%
30d-95.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5NgaVX...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 PUNK

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 78.5% of 24h volume is sells ($373.28K vs $102.14K buys)
  • 30-day artificial dormancy at exactly 46 holders followed by sudden pump — strong manipulation signal
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($88.22K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description, no project identity

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (05:00 UTC): O=$0.0000427, H=$0.000606, L=$0.0000427, C=$0.000540 — a strong bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting a recovery from extreme lows. Candle [1] (06:00 UTC): O=$0.000540, H=$0.001005, L=$0.000491, C=$0.0000427 — a catastrophic bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern where price spiked to $0.001005 then collapsed ~96% to close at $0.0000427. This two-candle sequence (pump then dump) is a classic manipulation signature. The current price of $0.000713 appears to be a secondary recovery bounce above the candle [1] open.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term is highly volatile and directionless — the two candles show a full pump-and-dump cycle. Medium-term trend is bearish given the 30-day stagnation, the intra-candle collapse, and dominant sell pressure.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

22%

Sell

79%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000491 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000427 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open — extreme low)

Immediate resistance

$0.001005 (candle [1] all-time high)

Major resistance

$0.001005 (only significant high in available data)

Support is thin given shallow liquidity. The $0.0000427 level represents the most recent capitulation floor. Resistance at $0.001005 is the only meaningful high. With only 2 candles of data, these levels carry very low reliability.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle [1]: price spiked to $0.001005 then collapsed to $0.0000427 close — classic pump-and-dump candle
  • Bullish recovery candle [2]: strong close relative to open, but from an extremely depressed base
  • Two-candle pump-and-dump cycle: textbook manipulation signature
  • Current price ($0.000713) is a secondary bounce above candle [1] open, potentially a dead-cat bounce

Liquidity

Liquidity

$88,216.06

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $88.22K against a $713K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~12.4%. This means any moderately sized sell order will cause severe price impact. The 24h trading profile is deeply bearish: sell volume ($373.28K) is 3.65x buy volume ($102.14K), with 1,300 unique sellers vs only 369 unique buyers. There are 4,039 sell transactions vs 1,429 buy transactions. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The PumpSwap pair (HRfDQge1tAXCf6iZX7PRMBzDmoWeCa7CjSdRmeGTTqCx) is the sole liquidity venue, creating single-point-of-failure risk. Market health is poor.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 PUNK

FDV

$713,004.93

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    342% 24h price gain followed by a ~96% intra-candle collapse (candle [1]: H=$0.001005 to C=$0.0000427) demonstrates extreme volatility. The 1h change of +90.8% confirms ongoing violent price swings.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $88.22K against $713K FDV (12.4% ratio) means large trades will cause catastrophic slippage. Single PumpSwap pair with no alternative venues.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 78.5% of 24h volume is sells ($373.28K vs $102.14K buys)
  • 30-day artificial dormancy at exactly 46 holders followed by sudden pump — strong manipulation signal
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($88.22K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description, no project identity
  • Top holder data entirely missing — concentration risk unquantifiable
  • Intra-candle 96% collapse already occurred once — can repeat
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, preventing metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap listing provides some baseline on-chain transparency
  • Not flagged as possible spam by the data provider
  • 1,429 buy transactions in 24h shows some genuine market interest

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

THE FROG (PUNK) is a high-risk PumpFun meme token exhibiting multiple red flags consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump: 30 days of artificial dormancy at 46 holders, a sudden +685 holder spike coinciding with a 342% price pump, 78.5% sell pressure, critically shallow liquidity, and missing top holder/sniper data. There is no fundamental value proposition — no description, no social links, no verified contract. Any investment thesis is purely speculative momentum-based.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum continues to attract new buyers faster than sellers can exit, driving price toward or beyond the $0.001005 candle high. A broader Solana meme season could amplify gains.

  • Continued viral spread of the FROG/PUNK meme narrative on social media
  • New whale or influencer accumulation driving price discovery above $0.001005
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all tokens

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000300–$0.000600 range with declining volume as the initial pump excitement fades. Holder count stabilizes but sell pressure keeps price suppressed. Token gradually loses relevance without social/community development.

  • Some residual speculative interest maintains minimal trading activity
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels

Bear Case

High probability

The original 46 dormant holders complete their distribution into the new 685 retail entrants. Liquidity drains, price collapses back toward the $0.0000427 candle low or lower, and the token becomes illiquid.

  • Dominant sell pressure (78.5%) continues as early holders exit
  • Shallow liquidity ($88.22K) cannot absorb sustained selling
  • No fundamental catalyst to attract new buyers once momentum fades
  • Potential rug or coordinated exit by original wallet cluster

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 4, 06:47 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-04 06:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap pair price feed (HRfDQge1tAXCf6iZX7PRMBzDmoWeCa7CjSdRmeGTTqCx)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallets)
  • OHLC hourly candles (2 candles available)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — whale concentration cannot be quantified
  • Sniper data unavailable — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate unknown
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • No social links or project description — fundamental analysis impossible
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts
  • 30-day holder history shows anomalous flat-line that may indicate data collection issues or genuine dormancy

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in unverified meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain metrics and may be incomplete or subject to manipulation. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is THE FROG ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 731 addresses (2026-07-04 06:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling THE FROG?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is THE FROG liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-04 06:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $88,216.06. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for THE FROG (PUNK)?

The OHLC data reveals a catastrophic intra-candle collapse: candle [1] opened at $0.000540, spiked to a high of $0.001005, then crashed to a close of $0.0000427 — a ~96% intra-candle drop. Candle [2] then recovered from $0.0000427 open to $0.000540 close. The current price of $0.000713 sits above the recent open but well below the candle [1] high. With 78.5% sell pressure and only $88K liquidity, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000042 to $0.001005.

Is PUNK a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding PUNK?

Extreme sell pressure: 78.5% of 24h volume is sells ($373.28K vs $102.14K buys) • 30-day artificial dormancy at exactly 46 holders followed by sudden pump — strong manipulation signal • Critically shallow liquidity ($88.22K) — high slippage and exit risk

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