SCALPER

THE SCALPER Price Prediction 2026

SCALPER
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 17, 2026

5NrgSWw5zFYkea4LC8G8XwyYMMxqGacYqGnvH84apump

$0.051871

FDV $1,871

LiveContract:5NrgSWw5zFYkea4LC8G8XwyYMMxqGacYqGnvH84apumpChain:SolanaHolders:228Market cap:$1,871

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Ask Unhosted AI about SCALPER

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 17, 02:48 PM
FDV

$3,638

Liquidity

$8,782

Holders

389

Snipers

46

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

THE SCALPER (SCALPER) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: 5NrgSWw5zFYkea4LC8G8XwyYMMxqGacYqGnvH84apump) that experienced an extreme pump-and-dump event on 2026-05-17. The token launched with ~80 holders for roughly a month, then exploded to 389 holders within 24 hours alongside a massive price spike — followed by a -93.5% crash within the same day. Current price is $0.00000364, FDV is ~$3,638, and total liquidity is only $8.78K. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a coordinated sniper-driven pump-and-dump.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price collapse of -93.5% following a parabolic pump from ~$0.000040 to ~$0.000609 within a single hour (candle 12)
Top holder (PumpSwap LP address BgCNT66y8ZSeUoPjnryJ8ndnrGkXJUMWECAmPuUtLouk) controls 70.95% of supply
Top 10 holders control 89.68% of supply — extreme concentration
20 snipers all showing positive realized PnL (84.7%–576.2%), indicating early buyers have already sold into retail
Token was dormant at 80 holders for 30 days before a sudden viral event triggered the pump

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in a sustained post-dump bleed. The token has fallen from a peak of ~$0.000609 (candle 12 high) to ~$0.00000364 — a >99% collapse from peak. Each hourly candle since the dump shows lower opens and closes. With sell pressure at 57.7% of 24h volume, only $8.78K in liquidity, and holders declining (-11 in the last hour), further downside is the path of least resistance. A brief dead-cat bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained.

Target low$0.0000020
Target high$0.0000055
Support: $0.00000363 (current price / recent close), $0.00000200 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.00000480 (candle 7–8 range lows, now resistance), $0.00000500 (round number / prior support)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's history of 30 days of zero activity at 80 holders, followed by a single-day pump-and-dump, there is no fundamental catalyst for recovery. Snipers have already extracted profits. Liquidity is near-zero at $8.78K. Unless a new coordinated campaign emerges, the token is likely to trend toward zero.

Catalysts
  • New social media campaign or influencer promotion (speculative)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Coordinated re-accumulation by remaining whale holders

Bullish factors

  • 24h buyer count (3,557) exceeds zero, indicating residual retail interest
  • Holder count grew from 80 to 389 in 24h — some new holders may attempt to accumulate at depressed prices
  • PumpSwap pair still active with some liquidity ($8.78K)

Bearish factors

  • Price down -93.5% in 24h with continued hourly declines (-4.5% in last hour, -24.5% in 6h)
  • All 20 snipers in profit and have already sold — no early-buyer support floor
  • Top 10 holders control 89.68% of supply, creating massive overhang
  • Only $8.78K total liquidity — any sell order causes extreme slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before pump; no organic community or utility
  • Sell volume ($985K) exceeds buy volume ($723K) in 24h
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because memecoin price action is driven by social sentiment and coordinated activity that is inherently unpredictable. The on-chain data clearly shows a completed pump-and-dump cycle, but the timing and magnitude of any secondary moves cannot be reliably forecast.

Deep Analysis

The 12-hour OHLC series tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candle 12 (03:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000401 and spiked to a high of $0.000609 — a 15x intra-candle move — on $820K volume, closing at $0.000387. Candles 10–11 (04:00–05:00 UTC) sustained elevated prices ($0.000386–$0.000435) on $400K–$263K volume. Candle 9 (06:00 UTC) saw the collapse begin: open $0.000165, low $0.00000445, close $0.00000496 on $204K volume — a >96% intra-candle crash. Candles 7–8 (07:00–08:00 UTC) stabilized in the $0.00000504–$0.00000517 range on lower volume. Candles 1–6 (09:00–14:00 UTC) show a slow bleed from $0.00000486 down to $0.00000364, with declining volume (619 → 83 USD). The pattern is a classic 'pump spike, failed recovery, slow bleed' structure.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 42%Sell 58%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token made its all-time high in candle 12 and has printed consecutive lower highs and lower lows across every subsequent candle. There is no technical evidence of trend reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000363 (current close, candle 1 low)
Major$0.00000200 (psychological level below current price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00000480 (candle 6 close / candle 7–8 range)
Major$0.00000517 (candle 7–8 highs)

The token has no meaningful technical support below current price given the near-zero liquidity. The $0.00000363–$0.00000364 level is the current floor by default. Resistance is clustered at $0.00000480–$0.00000517 where the post-dump stabilization occurred. The all-time high of $0.000609 is effectively unreachable without a new coordinated pump.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic blow-off top: candle 12 spike to $0.000609 followed by immediate collapse
  • Bearish engulfing on candle 9: opened near prior close, crashed to $0.00000445 low — massive red candle
  • Consecutive lower highs and lower lows across candles 7–1 (post-dump bleed)
  • Volume exhaustion: volume declined from $820K (candle 12) to $82.6 (candle 1) — 99.99% drop
  • Dead-cat bounce attempt visible in candle 3 (slight recovery from $0.00000364 to $0.00000384) but immediately rejected in candle 2

Total holders389
24h Δ+309
7d Δ+309
30d Δ+309
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The explosive holder growth (+309, +79% in 24h) is entirely correlated with the pump event on 2026-05-17. The token sat at exactly 80 holders for the entire prior 30-day period with zero net change, then gained 309 holders in a single day coinciding with the price spike. This is not organic growth — it reflects retail FOMO buyers entering during the pump. Notably, holders are already declining (-11 in the last hour, -2.8%), suggesting the post-pump exodus has begun.

Holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: 80 holders for 30 consecutive days (April 17 – May 16) with zero net change, followed by a sudden +309 holder surge on May 17 coinciding with the pump. This strongly suggests the token was pre-positioned by insiders/snipers before a coordinated pump event. The 30-day stagnation indicates no organic community building. The -11 holder decline in the last hour signals that retail buyers who entered during the pump are already exiting, likely at significant losses. The 24h/7d/30d growth figures are identical (all +309) because all growth occurred in a single day.

Top 10 hold89.68%
Top 100 hold98.81%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

BgCNT66y8ZSeUoPjnryJ8ndnrGkXJUMWECAmPuUtLouk

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in metadata)

70.95%

2dRM4T8mrj4YjWMSRs8Y46YAEMsqBZXgfPb4MNvAyaax

Individual whale / potential team wallet

5.47%

81HHNStHsNMN8hrLbD2LFxzaikvzueZp4XWzvvmGePC1

Individual whale / potential early insider

4.84%

3Dhx3Qa267m8VmJgYPRxSN4NbSKeSq7LMfk2W9eq6bvU

Individual whale

2.25%

71NAM4qPrHzzmSWuVRMVtBGzr8N9wW2QL8rKXTKVy3ZT

Individual whale

1.41%

Supply concentration is extreme. The top holder at 70.95% is the PumpSwap LP address (BgCNT66y8ZSeUoPjnryJ8ndnrGkXJUMWECAmPuUtLouk — identical to the trading pair address in metadata), meaning the majority of token supply is locked in the liquidity pool. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders control ~18.73% of supply. Holders 2–4 (5.47%, 4.84%, 2.25%) are likely early insiders or team wallets given the 30-day dormancy period. Top 10 control 89.68% and top 100 control 98.81%, leaving only 1.19% distributed among the remaining 289+ holders. Whale sentiment is distributing — the pump-and-dump structure and sniper exit data confirm large holders sold into the spike.

Liquidity$8,780
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$723,710
Sell$985,460
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers3,557
Unique sellers3,847

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $8.78K against a 24h trading volume of $1.71M (combined buy + sell) represents a liquidity-to-volume ratio of ~0.5% — extremely thin. Any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h net flow is negative: sell volume ($985K) exceeds buy volume ($723K) by $261K, with more unique sellers (3,847) than buyers (3,557). The FDV discrepancy is notable — metadata shows $3,638 FDV while trading analytics show $15.69K FDV, suggesting price has moved during data collection. The PumpSwap pair (BgCNT66y8ZSeUoPjnryJ8ndnrGkXJUMWECAmPuUtLouk) holds 70.95% of token supply in the LP, but with only $8.78K total liquidity, the pool is effectively depleted of SOL-side depth. This is a high-slippage, low-liquidity environment unsuitable for any meaningful position size.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,919,367.51
FDV$3,638.17

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.9M tokens (standard Pump.fun 1B supply with minor burns). FDV is $3,638 at current price. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the provided metadata, and the token is marked as 'Mutable: false' — immutability is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token was launched via Pump.fun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically renounces mint authority upon bonding curve completion, but this cannot be verified from the data provided. No description, no verified contract, no social links — the token has zero transparency or community infrastructure. The 'possible spam: false' flag from the data provider offers minimal comfort given the clear pump-and-dump pattern.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -93.5% in 24 hours from a peak of ~$0.000609 to ~$0.00000364. Intra-candle volatility of 15x (candle 12) and near-total collapse within 3 hours (candle 9) demonstrate extreme volatility. Ongoing hourly declines of -4.5% confirm continued downward pressure.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $8.78K against $1.71M in 24h volume. The liquidity-to-volume ratio is ~0.5%. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will experience severe slippage. Exiting a meaningful position is practically impossible without moving the price significantly.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 89.68% of supply; top 100 control 98.81%. Excluding the LP address (70.95%), individual whales hold 5.47%, 4.84%, and 2.25% respectively. These concentrated holders represent a massive supply overhang that can crash the price at any time.

SniperDump
high

All 20 identified snipers show positive realized PnL (21.3%–576.2%). Most have already sold, extracting profits during the pump. The sell-through rate is high. This confirms the pump-and-dump has already executed — retail buyers who entered during the spike are now holding bags.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is marked 'Mutable: false' which is positive, and Pump.fun tokens typically renounce mint authority. However, without explicit confirmation, authority risk remains a concern.

Key risks

  • Near-zero liquidity ($8.78K) makes exit extremely difficult with high slippage
  • Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 89.68%, creating permanent dump overhang
  • All 20 snipers already in profit and have sold — no early buyer support floor
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before pump, indicating no organic community
  • Price already down -93.5% in 24h with continued hourly declines
  • No social links, no description, no verified contract — zero transparency
  • Holder count declining (-11 in last hour) as retail exits at losses
  • FDV of only $3,638 — token is effectively worthless at current prices

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'Mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • Pump.fun launch typically includes mint authority renunciation
  • 24h buyer count of 3,557 shows some residual retail interest
  • PumpSwap LP holds 70.95% of supply, providing some structural liquidity
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced traders who understand pump-and-dump mechanics and are willing to accept near-total loss of capital. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin risk. The pump-and-dump cycle appears complete — new buyers face extreme downside with minimal upside potential.

SCALPER is a textbook Pump.fun pump-and-dump token. It sat dormant at 80 holders for 30 days, was pumped 15x+ in a single hour by coordinated snipers, then collapsed -93.5% within hours. All 20 snipers are in profit and have exited. Liquidity is $8.78K, FDV is $3,638, and the token has no utility, no community, and no transparency. The investment thesis is overwhelmingly bearish.

Bull case (low)

A secondary pump is coordinated by remaining whale holders or a new social media campaign drives fresh retail FOMO, temporarily pushing price back toward the $0.000005–$0.000008 range.

  • New viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Coordinated re-accumulation by holders 2–4 (5.47%, 4.84%, 2.25%)

Base case

The token continues its slow bleed at current price levels ($0.000002–$0.000004), with minimal trading activity and gradual holder attrition. It joins the graveyard of failed Pump.fun tokens with near-zero FDV.

  • No new coordinated pump campaign emerges
  • Remaining whale holders do not aggressively dump remaining positions
  • Liquidity remains at current minimal levels
  • Broader market conditions remain neutral

Bear case (high)

Remaining retail holders continue to exit, liquidity drains to near zero, and the token becomes effectively untradeable. Price trends toward $0.000001 or lower as the last holders abandon their positions.

  • Continued holder decline (-11 in last hour already)
  • No liquidity to support price ($8.78K total)
  • No utility, community, or development activity
  • All smart money (snipers) already exited at profit
  • 30-day dormancy history suggests no organic demand

GeneratedMay 17, 02:48 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-17T14:00 UTC. Most recent OHLC candle closes at 14:00 UTC. Holder metrics reflect real-time snapshot.
Model confidence
medium

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data
  • OHLC hourly candle data (12 candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (20 wallets, first 1000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Sniper 'sniped amount' (USD) and current balances are listed as 'unknown' — exact sniper supply concentration cannot be precisely calculated; estimated at ~2% based on typical Pump.fun sniper behavior
  • Mint and freeze authority status is unknown — cannot confirm full rug-pull protection
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot assess metadata mutability risk beyond 'Mutable: false' flag
  • 24h price change shows 0% in analytics section but -93.51% in price section — data inconsistency noted; -93.51% used as primary figure
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($3,638) and trading analytics ($15,690) — likely reflects price movement during data collection; metadata figure used as current
  • No social links or project description available for qualitative assessment
  • Historical holder data only available for 30 days; token launch date cannot be precisely determined from provided data

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly memecoins, carry extreme risk of total capital loss. The data presented reflects a specific point in time and market conditions can change rapidly. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,919,367.51

Key Risks

•Near-zero liquidity ($8.78K) makes exit extremely difficult with high slippage
•Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 89.68%, creating permanent dump overhang
•All 20 snipers already in profit and have sold — no early buyer support floor
•Token was dormant for 30 days before pump, indicating no organic community

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

high confidence
High risk

All 20 identified snipers are in profit with realized PnL ranging from +21.3% to +576.2%. The sell-through rate is high — most snipers have already exited their positions, extracting profits during the pump phase. This is a textbook sniper-driven pump-and-dump: early buyers (snipers) accumulated at launch, pumped the price, and sold into retail buyers who arrived during the viral spike. The one wallet with 0% realized PnL (3KcPSJ8ouE7H1feoWHmhDwXhLnXhpxP6R6713uytFmBM, balance $0) likely exited at breakeven or the data is incomplete.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

All 20 snipers show realized PnL ranging from +21.3% to +576.2%; most have sold significant or full positions (balances listed as $0 or unknown, with large sold amounts). Top sniper by PnL: wallet 3SkBCx49BsK64h6tssBBJZ1WNvpiLdnhnXNmJtP46d7b at +576.2% realized. Largest dollar exits: 7EdtVGg547L4GSqvuTTbjahYkfP6NmTa5nB2q5HjqLnR sold $15,495 (+462.7%), BuWG6b9AeK1KuyG88Y7FsdLagCJtNcNwxmbQTDqPeNFr sold $7,766 (+395.4%), 5NtbUJgmvXibYg99GHLdezpCr4kMu3z8bUhwauR4UhTa sold $7,423 (+261.3%).

Bearish — early buyers have already realized profits and exited. There is no evidence of early buyer accumulation or re-entry at current prices. The smart money has left the building.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for THE SCALPER (SCALPER)?

Price is in a sustained post-dump bleed. The token has fallen from a peak of ~$0.000609 (candle 12 high) to ~$0.00000364 — a >99% collapse from peak. Each hourly candle since the dump shows lower opens and closes. With sell pressure at 57.7% of 24h volume, only $8.78K in liquidity, and holders declining (-11 in the last hour), further downside is the path of least resistance. A brief dead-cat bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000020 to $0.0000055.

Is SCALPER a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced traders who understand pump-and-dump mechanics and are willing to accept near-total loss of capital. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin risk. The pump-and-dump cycle appears complete — new buyers face extreme downside with minimal upside potential.

How are SCALPER holders trending?

THE SCALPER currently has 389 holders and is growing (24h: 309, 7d: 309, 30d: 309). Holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: 80 holders for 30 consecutive days (April 17 – May 16) with zero net change, followed by a sudden +309 holder surge on May 17 coinciding with the pump. This strongly suggests the token was pre-positioned by insiders/snipers before a coordinated pump event. The 30-day stagnation indicates no organic community building. The -11 holder decline in the last hour signals that retail buyers who entered during the pump are already exiting, likely at significant losses. The 24h/7d/30d growth figures are identical (all +309) because all growth occurred in a single day.

What does sniper activity look like for SCALPER?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding SCALPER?

Near-zero liquidity ($8.78K) makes exit extremely difficult with high slippage • Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 89.68%, creating permanent dump overhang • All 20 snipers already in profit and have sold — no early buyer support floor

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