SCALPER

THE SCALPER Prediction

SCALPER
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 17, 2026

5NrgSWw5zFYkea4LC8G8XwyYMMxqGacYqGnvH84apump

$0.053638

-93.52%

FDV $3,638

LiveContract:5NrgSWw5zFYkea4LC8G8XwyYMMxqGacYqGnvH84apumpChain:SolanaHolders:389Market cap:$3,638

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Report snapshotas of May 17, 02:48 PM
FDV

$3,638

Liquidity

$8,782

Holders

389

Snipers

46

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

THE SCALPER (SCALPER) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: 5NrgSWw5zFYkea4LC8G8XwyYMMxqGacYqGnvH84apump) that experienced an extreme pump-and-dump event on 2026-05-17. The token launched with ~80 holders for roughly a month, then exploded to 389 holders within 24 hours alongside a massive price spike — followed by a -93.5% crash within the same day. Current price is $0.00000364, FDV is ~$3,638, and total liquidity is only $8.78K. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a coordinated sniper-driven pump-and-dump.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price collapse of -93.5% following a parabolic pump from ~$0.000040 to ~$0.000609 within a single hour (candle 12)
Top holder (PumpSwap LP address BgCNT66y8ZSeUoPjnryJ8ndnrGkXJUMWECAmPuUtLouk) controls 70.95% of supply
Top 10 holders control 89.68% of supply — extreme concentration
20 snipers all showing positive realized PnL (84.7%–576.2%), indicating early buyers have already sold into retail
Token was dormant at 80 holders for 30 days before a sudden viral event triggered the pump

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in a sustained post-dump bleed. The token has fallen from a peak of ~$0.000609 (candle 12 high) to ~$0.00000364 — a >99% collapse from peak. Each hourly candle since the dump shows lower opens and closes. With sell pressure at 57.7% of 24h volume, only $8.78K in liquidity, and holders declining (-11 in the last hour), further downside is the path of least resistance. A brief dead-cat bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained.

Target low$0.0000020
Target high$0.0000055
Support: $0.00000363 (current price / recent close), $0.00000200 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.00000480 (candle 7–8 range lows, now resistance), $0.00000500 (round number / prior support)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's history of 30 days of zero activity at 80 holders, followed by a single-day pump-and-dump, there is no fundamental catalyst for recovery. Snipers have already extracted profits. Liquidity is near-zero at $8.78K. Unless a new coordinated campaign emerges, the token is likely to trend toward zero.

Catalysts
  • New social media campaign or influencer promotion (speculative)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Coordinated re-accumulation by remaining whale holders

Bullish factors

  • 24h buyer count (3,557) exceeds zero, indicating residual retail interest
  • Holder count grew from 80 to 389 in 24h — some new holders may attempt to accumulate at depressed prices
  • PumpSwap pair still active with some liquidity ($8.78K)

Bearish factors

  • Price down -93.5% in 24h with continued hourly declines (-4.5% in last hour, -24.5% in 6h)
  • All 20 snipers in profit and have already sold — no early-buyer support floor
  • Top 10 holders control 89.68% of supply, creating massive overhang
  • Only $8.78K total liquidity — any sell order causes extreme slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before pump; no organic community or utility
  • Sell volume ($985K) exceeds buy volume ($723K) in 24h
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because memecoin price action is driven by social sentiment and coordinated activity that is inherently unpredictable. The on-chain data clearly shows a completed pump-and-dump cycle, but the timing and magnitude of any secondary moves cannot be reliably forecast.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,919,367.51

Key Risks

Near-zero liquidity ($8.78K) makes exit extremely difficult with high slippage
Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 89.68%, creating permanent dump overhang
All 20 snipers already in profit and have sold — no early buyer support floor
Token was dormant for 30 days before pump, indicating no organic community

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

high confidence
High risk

All 20 identified snipers are in profit with realized PnL ranging from +21.3% to +576.2%. The sell-through rate is high — most snipers have already exited their positions, extracting profits during the pump phase. This is a textbook sniper-driven pump-and-dump: early buyers (snipers) accumulated at launch, pumped the price, and sold into retail buyers who arrived during the viral spike. The one wallet with 0% realized PnL (3KcPSJ8ouE7H1feoWHmhDwXhLnXhpxP6R6713uytFmBM, balance $0) likely exited at breakeven or the data is incomplete.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

All 20 snipers show realized PnL ranging from +21.3% to +576.2%; most have sold significant or full positions (balances listed as $0 or unknown, with large sold amounts). Top sniper by PnL: wallet 3SkBCx49BsK64h6tssBBJZ1WNvpiLdnhnXNmJtP46d7b at +576.2% realized. Largest dollar exits: 7EdtVGg547L4GSqvuTTbjahYkfP6NmTa5nB2q5HjqLnR sold $15,495 (+462.7%), BuWG6b9AeK1KuyG88Y7FsdLagCJtNcNwxmbQTDqPeNFr sold $7,766 (+395.4%), 5NtbUJgmvXibYg99GHLdezpCr4kMu3z8bUhwauR4UhTa sold $7,423 (+261.3%).

Bearish — early buyers have already realized profits and exited. There is no evidence of early buyer accumulation or re-entry at current prices. The smart money has left the building.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for THE SCALPER (SCALPER)?

Price is in a sustained post-dump bleed. The token has fallen from a peak of ~$0.000609 (candle 12 high) to ~$0.00000364 — a >99% collapse from peak. Each hourly candle since the dump shows lower opens and closes. With sell pressure at 57.7% of 24h volume, only $8.78K in liquidity, and holders declining (-11 in the last hour), further downside is the path of least resistance. A brief dead-cat bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000020 to $0.0000055.

Is SCALPER a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced traders who understand pump-and-dump mechanics and are willing to accept near-total loss of capital. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin risk. The pump-and-dump cycle appears complete — new buyers face extreme downside with minimal upside potential.

How are SCALPER holders trending?

THE SCALPER currently has 389 holders and is growing (24h: 309, 7d: 309, 30d: 309). Holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: 80 holders for 30 consecutive days (April 17 – May 16) with zero net change, followed by a sudden +309 holder surge on May 17 coinciding with the pump. This strongly suggests the token was pre-positioned by insiders/snipers before a coordinated pump event. The 30-day stagnation indicates no organic community building. The -11 holder decline in the last hour signals that retail buyers who entered during the pump are already exiting, likely at significant losses. The 24h/7d/30d growth figures are identical (all +309) because all growth occurred in a single day.

What does sniper activity look like for SCALPER?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding SCALPER?

Near-zero liquidity ($8.78K) makes exit extremely difficult with high slippage • Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 89.68%, creating permanent dump overhang • All 20 snipers already in profit and have sold — no early buyer support floor

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