PREDICT

predictionXBT Price Today & AI Analysis

PREDICTSolanaAnalysis as of May 14, 2026

Price

$0.041915

+1.24% 24h

Contract

Live
5GTRGGnmbMCjCUnc3xMweCgVqDEtSDxTdvVdwutcpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

956

Market cap

$19,123

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predictionXBT: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-14 16:47 UTC

Holder addresses

1,130

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$46,441.13
How concentrated is predictionXBT ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,130 addresses (2026-05-14 16:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling predictionXBT?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is predictionXBT liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-14 16:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,441.13. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-14 16:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 14, 04:47 PM UTC

FDV

$119,925

Liquidity

$46,441.13

Holders

1,130

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

predictionXBT (PREDICT) is a Solana-based meme/utility token positioned as 'The AIXBT for Prediction Markets,' leveraging Kalshi and Polymarket branding. With a total supply of ~998.8M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$119.9K–$164.6K, it is a micro-cap token trading on PumpSwap. The token has experienced an extraordinary 182% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a spike in buy activity, though sell pressure dominates heavily at 83.2% of volume. Holder count stands at 1,130 but has been in a declining trend over the past 30 days, with a recent 24h uptick of +65 likely correlated with the price pump.

Key points

  • Positioned as an AI-driven prediction market token referencing Kalshi and Polymarket integrations
  • Extraordinary 182% 24h price surge from a very low base (~$0.000042 to ~$0.000120)
  • Zero snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks — no sniper concentration risk
  • Mutable metadata is false, reducing certain manipulation vectors
  • Micro-cap with $46.44K total liquidity — extremely high slippage and exit risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

After a 182% pump, the token is showing early signs of exhaustion. Candle [1] (most recent) shows a bearish close well below the hourly high ($0.000144 high vs $0.000116 close), forming a shooting-star-like pattern. Sell pressure is 83.2% of 24h volume ($133.61K sells vs $27.05K buys), and holders dropped -70 in the last hour (-6.2%). A retracement toward the $0.000082–$0.000087 range is likely in the near term.

Target low

$0.000082

Target high

$0.000138

Support

$0.000109 (candle [1] low), $0.000082 (candle [2] open/low), $0.000049–$0.000050 (pre-pump base, candles [6]–[8])

Resistance

$0.000138–$0.000144 (candle [1]–[2] highs), $0.000145 (all-time high in dataset)

Medium term · 7–30 days

neutral

The 30-day holder trend has been consistently declining (from 1,244 on Apr 14 to 1,062 on May 13), suggesting organic interest has been waning. Unless the prediction market narrative gains traction or a major catalyst emerges, the token is likely to retrace and consolidate at lower levels. A sustained move above $0.000144 would be needed to confirm a new uptrend.

Catalysts

  • Genuine Kalshi/Polymarket integration announcement
  • Broader Solana meme/AI token market rally
  • Influencer or community-driven attention sustaining buy pressure
  • Reduction in sell-side pressure from current large holders

Bullish factors

  • 182% 24h price surge demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Zero snipers detected — no early sniper dump overhang
  • Narrative alignment with AI and prediction market trends (Kalshi, Polymarket)
  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • 24h holder count increased +65 (5.8%), suggesting new entrants attracted by the pump

Bearish factors

  • 83.2% sell pressure ($133.61K sells vs $27.05K buys) in 24h
  • Holders dropped -70 in the last hour alone (-6.2%), indicating rapid exit
  • 30-day holder trend is net declining (1,244 → 1,062)
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($46.44K) — large orders will cause severe slippage
  • Top 10 holders control 40.83% of supply; top 100 control 85.66%
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • FDV of only ~$120K–$165K limits upside narrative credibility

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's micro-cap nature, extreme volatility (182% in 24h), thin liquidity ($46.44K), and the absence of verified contract or on-chain utility data. Price action is highly susceptible to single-wallet moves.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5GTRGG...pump
Total Supply
998,819,265.34

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (83.2%) suggests the pump may be a distribution event
  • Thin liquidity ($46.44K) creates severe exit risk for any position of meaningful size
  • 30-day holder decline (-14.6%) indicates waning organic interest
  • -70 holder drop in the last hour signals rapid post-pump exit

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 14-hour OHLC dataset reveals a dramatic pump beginning around candle [4] (13:00 UTC May 14). Candles [14]–[10] show flat, low-volume price action in the $0.000040–$0.000043 range — a consolidation base. Candle [4] breaks out sharply from $0.000049 to a high of $0.000078 on elevated volume ($5.2K). Candle [3] continues higher ($0.000082–$0.000087, $26.4K volume). Candle [2] is the explosive move: open $0.000084, high $0.000138, close $0.000138 on massive $121.2K volume — a strong bullish candle. Candle [1] (most recent) opens at $0.000142, hits $0.000144, but closes at $0.000116 — a bearish shooting star / gravestone doji pattern on sharply reduced volume ($8.3K), signaling potential exhaustion of the pump.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 182% 24h move, but the most recent candle shows a bearish reversal signal. Medium-term (30-day) trend is sideways-to-down based on holder attrition and flat pre-pump price action around $0.000040–$0.000043.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

17%

Sell

83%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000109 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.000049–$0.000050 (pre-pump base, candles [6]–[8])

Immediate resistance

$0.000138–$0.000139 (candle [2] high / close)

Major resistance

$0.000144–$0.000145 (candle [1] high — dataset all-time high)

The $0.000109 level (candle [1] low) is the first line of defense. A break below this opens a path to $0.000082–$0.000087 (candle [3] range). Major support sits at the pre-pump base of $0.000049–$0.000050. On the upside, $0.000138–$0.000144 is a strong resistance zone formed by the pump candle highs.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / gravestone doji on candle [1] — bearish reversal signal at the top
  • Explosive bullish engulfing on candle [2] — the pump candle with 14x normal volume
  • Flat base consolidation (candles [10]–[14]) prior to breakout — classic pump setup
  • Volume climax followed by sharp volume collapse — distribution signal
  • Higher highs and higher lows from candles [9]–[2], broken by candle [1] bearish close

Liquidity

Liquidity

$46,441.13

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $46.44K is extremely thin for a token with a 24h volume of ~$160.66K — the volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeds 3x, indicating the pool is being heavily traded relative to its depth. Slippage risk is high; any order above a few hundred dollars will move the price materially. The net flow is strongly negative: $133.61K in sell volume vs $27.05K in buy volume (83.2% sell pressure). There are 535 unique sellers vs only 173 unique buyers, a 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio. This strongly suggests the 182% pump was a distribution event where early holders sold into retail buying interest. The FDV of $164.64K (per trading analytics) vs $119.9K (per metadata) discrepancy may reflect the price movement during data collection.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

998,819,265.34

FDV

$119,925.36

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    182% price surge in 24 hours followed by a bearish shooting star candle. 5m change: +0.69%, 1h change: -2.26%. Extreme intraday volatility makes position sizing and exit timing extremely difficult.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $46.44K on PumpSwap. Any sell order above ~$1,000–$2,000 will cause significant slippage. The pool can be drained rapidly in a panic sell scenario.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (83.2%) suggests the pump may be a distribution event
  • Thin liquidity ($46.44K) creates severe exit risk for any position of meaningful size
  • 30-day holder decline (-14.6%) indicates waning organic interest
  • -70 holder drop in the last hour signals rapid post-pump exit
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug vector
  • Unverified contract with no on-chain proof of Kalshi/Polymarket integration
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$120K) makes the token highly susceptible to manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Zero snipers in first 1,000 blocks — no sniper dump overhang
  • Mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered
  • PumpFun launch mechanism provides some transparency on initial distribution
  • Narrative alignment with growing AI and prediction market sector
  • No spam flag from data provider

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders with a high risk tolerance who can afford to lose their entire investment. Position sizes should be minimal relative to portfolio. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active monitoring capability. This is a speculative micro-cap token with very high manipulation and liquidity risk.

PREDICT is a high-risk, micro-cap Solana token that has experienced a dramatic 182% pump in 24 hours. The bull case rests on narrative momentum around AI-driven prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket), while the bear case is supported by overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, declining holder trends, and an unverified contract. This is a speculative trade, not an investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The prediction market narrative gains traction, attracting sustained buying interest from the AI/crypto community. Volume remains elevated, new holders continue to accumulate, and the token breaks above $0.000144 resistance to establish a new higher base. A genuine Kalshi or Polymarket integration announcement could serve as a major catalyst.

  • Sustained narrative momentum around AI prediction markets
  • Genuine protocol integration with Kalshi or Polymarket announced on-chain
  • Broader Solana meme/AI token market rally lifting all boats
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new buyer inflows
  • Zero sniper overhang means no forced selling from early snipers

Base Case

The token retraces 40–60% from its pump high over the next 24–72 hours, settling in the $0.000060–$0.000090 range. It then trades sideways with low volume, maintaining a small but stable holder base of ~1,000–1,100 wallets. Without a major catalyst, it remains a speculative micro-cap with occasional volatility spikes.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes as weak hands exit
  • Core holder base of ~1,000 wallets remains stable
  • No major negative events (rug, authority exploit) occur
  • Liquidity pool remains intact at current or slightly reduced levels
  • No confirmed utility integration in the near term

Bear Case

High probability

The 182% pump was a coordinated distribution event. Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity drains further, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels ($0.000040–$0.000050). Holder count continues its 30-day declining trend, and the token fades into obscurity without a catalyst.

  • 83.2% sell pressure in 24h — overwhelming distribution signal
  • -70 holder drop in last hour indicates rapid post-pump exit
  • 30-day holder decline of -14.6% shows no organic growth
  • Thin $46.44K liquidity cannot support sustained price levels
  • No verified contract or confirmed utility integrations
  • Top 10 holders (ex-LP) hold significant supply and may continue selling

Analysis details

Generated

May 14, 04:47 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-14 16:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (hourly candles, 14 periods)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, holder history 30 days)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Historical holder time series (daily, 30 days)

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot confirm rug risk from authorities
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot assess renouncement
  • No sniper data available (0 snipers) — limits smart money analysis
  • Contract is unverified — no source code review possible
  • No on-chain evidence of Kalshi/Polymarket integration provided
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($119.9K) and trading analytics ($164.6K) suggests price moved during data collection
  • Holder classification (whale/shark/dolphin) thresholds not defined in source data
  • Only 14 hourly candles provided — insufficient for robust multi-timeframe technical analysis
  • Top holder wallet classifications are inferred, not confirmed on-chain

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is predictionXBT ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,130 addresses (2026-05-14 16:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling predictionXBT?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is predictionXBT liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-14 16:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,441.13. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for predictionXBT (PREDICT)?

After a 182% pump, the token is showing early signs of exhaustion. Candle [1] (most recent) shows a bearish close well below the hourly high ($0.000144 high vs $0.000116 close), forming a shooting-star-like pattern. Sell pressure is 83.2% of 24h volume ($133.61K sells vs $27.05K buys), and holders dropped -70 in the last hour (-6.2%). A retracement toward the $0.000082–$0.000087 range is likely in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000082 to $0.000138.

Is PREDICT a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders with a high risk tolerance who can afford to lose their entire investment. Position sizes should be minimal relative to portfolio. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active monitoring capability. This is a speculative micro-cap token with very high manipulation and liquidity risk.

What are the key risks of holding PREDICT?

Extreme sell pressure (83.2%) suggests the pump may be a distribution event • Thin liquidity ($46.44K) creates severe exit risk for any position of meaningful size • 30-day holder decline (-14.6%) indicates waning organic interest

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