Project

Group Project Price Today & AI Analysis

ProjectSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$0.042389

-60.49% 24h · FDV $23,636

Contract

Live
5Cw3aUR8NMrQ1xpka537zR4WDpBfqQfKEZdyXwAdB7na

Chain

Solana

Holders

3,161

Market cap

$23,636

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Group Project: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 23:45 UTC

Holder addresses

3,161

Top 10 supply share

11.71%

Reported liquidity

$9,648.00
How concentrated is Group Project ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 23:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 11.71% of supply. It reports 3,161 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Group Project?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 23:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $4,244,506.00 in buys and $4,210,834.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Group Project liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +153.76%, from $4,027.08 (2026-09-22 15:00 UTC) to $10,219.16 (2026-09-22 23:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 23:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-22 15:00 UTC$4,027.08
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC$67,444.40
2026-09-22 17:00 UTC$26,507.64
2026-09-22 18:00 UTC$16,747.77
2026-09-22 19:00 UTC$13,329.28
2026-09-22 20:00 UTC$14,193.17
2026-09-22 21:00 UTC$12,597.45
2026-09-22 22:00 UTC$10,430.54
2026-09-22 23:00 UTC$10,219.16

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 22, 11:46 PM UTC

FDV

$23,636

Liquidity

$9,648.00

Holders

3,161

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Group Project (Project) is a micro-cap Solana token trading on PumpSwap with a $23.64K fully diluted valuation and just $9.65K in total liquidity. The token experienced an extreme parabolic spike (roughly 185x intra-hour move in candle [2]) followed by a sharp -60.49% 24h price collapse, a pattern typical of pump-and-dump dynamics on newly launched PumpSwap pairs. Key due-diligence data — mint/freeze authority status, sniper activity, and holder history — are all unavailable, leaving significant blind spots.

Key points

  • Extreme single-session volatility with a ~185x spike followed by a -60% retracement, unusual even for micro-cap tokens
  • Very low total liquidity ($9.65K) relative to reported 24h trading volume (~$8.45M combined), a stark liquidity-to-volume mismatch
  • Nearly balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (50.2%/49.8%) despite the steep price decline, suggesting broad two-sided participation rather than one-sided dumping
  • Almost all authority, sniper, and holder-history data is unavailable, limiting confidence in this assessment

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-48 hours

bearish

Price has been in a steep downtrend since the candle [2] spike, falling from a high of $0.00177 to $0.0000239, a decline of roughly 98.7% off the peak. The most recent candle [9] shows a modest bounce (5m +0.10%, 1h +7.96%) but this sits within a broader downtrend with lower highs and lower lows across candles [4]-[9]. Given the thin $9.65K liquidity, short-term price action is likely to remain highly volatile and vulnerable to sharp swings on small trade sizes.

Target low

0.0000180

Target high

0.0000320

Support

0.0000226 (candle [9] low), 0.0000219 (candle [8] low)

Resistance

0.0000420 (candle [7] open), 0.0000548 (candle [5] high), 0.000126 (candle [4] high)

Medium term · 7-14 days

bearish

Absent new catalysts, the token's medium-term trajectory is likely to continue reflecting the aftermath of the initial spike-and-dump: gradual price decay toward a new equilibrium unless sustained buy volume returns. The very low liquidity base ($9.65K) means the token could remain highly reactive to both organic and coordinated trading activity in either direction.

Catalysts

  • Potential liquidity additions or migrations that could stabilize or further destabilize the pair
  • Any clarification on mint/freeze authority status, which could materially change risk perception if authorities turn out to be non-renounced
  • Continued retail/bot trading activity given still-high 24h transaction counts (44,594 buys / 40,411 sells)
  • Social media activity via the token's Twitter/website links, which could reignite speculative interest or accelerate exit selling

Bullish factors

  • Near 1h bounce of +7.96% and flat 5m change suggest some stabilization after the crash
  • Buy/sell volume is nearly balanced (50.2%/49.8%), indicating continued two-sided market interest rather than one-directional capitulation
  • Large number of unique participants (13,821 buyers, 12,573 sellers in 24h) suggests the token has not been fully abandoned

Bearish factors

  • -60.49% 24h decline with a clear pattern of lower highs/lower lows since the candle [2] peak
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($9.65K) relative to volume, raising slippage and further downside risk on any large sell
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and lack of verified contract status add uncertainty that could resolve negatively
  • Classic pump-and-dump-style candle shape (huge spike then multi-hour bleed) increases probability of continued distribution by early holders

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because only 9 hourly candles are available (a very short observation window), sniper and holder-history data are entirely absent, and mint/freeze authority status is unknown. The extreme volatility already observed makes any short-term price target highly uncertain.

Project call history

Full track record →

Sep 22bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5Cw3aU...B7na
Total Supply
989,500,843.47 (formatted)

Key Risks

  • 24h price collapse of -60.49% following an extreme parabolic spike in candle [2] (low $0.0000048 to high $0.00177), suggesting a pump-and-dump or highly manipulated launch event
  • Very thin total liquidity ($9.65K) relative to reported 24h volume (~$8.45M combined buy/sell), creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Mint/freeze authority status entirely unknown — cannot rule out ability to mint additional supply or freeze accounts
  • Sniper positioning and PnL entirely unknown, despite the price action pattern being consistent with sniper/bot-driven volatility

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Across the 9 available hourly candles, price opened near $0.0000048, spiked violently in candle [2] to a high of $0.00177 (roughly 185x the candle's open) before closing that hour at $0.00067, then entered a sustained multi-hour decline through candles [3]-[9], closing at $0.0000239 — down roughly 98.7% from the peak high. The most recent candle [9] shows a small recovery from its low of $0.0000226 to close at $0.0000239.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term (last few hours) and medium-term (full 9-candle window) trends are firmly down since the candle [2] spike, characterized by consecutive lower highs and lower lows from candle [3] through candle [9], with only a minor uptick in the final candle.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

0.0000226 (candle [9] low)

Major support

0.0000219 (candle [8] low)

Immediate resistance

0.0000420 (candle [7] open/high area)

Major resistance

0.000126 (candle [4] high)

Support has formed in the $0.0000219-$0.0000226 range over the last two candles, suggesting a potential short-term floor. Resistance sits at progressively higher levels tied to the unwind path from the spike: $0.0000420, then $0.0000548, then $0.000126, with the extreme candle [2] high of $0.00177 essentially unreachable under current conditions and best regarded as an outlier rather than a realistic near-term target.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic spike-and-crash: candle [2] shows an extreme wick from open $0.0000090 to high $0.00177 before closing at $0.00067, a classic blow-off top signature
  • Descending sequence of lower highs and lower lows from candle [3] through candle [9], indicating persistent distribution
  • Volume climax followed by rapid volume decay (from ~$9.41M in candle [2] to ~$3.37K in candle [9]), typical of exhausted speculative interest after an initial pump
  • Minor bullish reversal candle at [9] (low $0.0000226, close $0.0000239) within an otherwise bearish structure, not yet confirmed as a trend change

Liquidity

Liquidity

$9,648.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $9.65K is extremely shallow relative to the reported 24h combined buy/sell volume of roughly $8.45M, an over 875x liquidity-to-volume mismatch that implies either substantial multi-hop wash trading/high-frequency turnover within thin liquidity, or that the volume figures reflect a large number of comparatively small trades relative to available depth. Either way, any single trade of meaningful size relative to the $9.65K pool would likely cause significant slippage. 24h buy volume ($4.24M, 50.2%) and sell volume ($4.21M, 49.8%) are nearly balanced, as are buyer (13,821) and seller (12,573) counts, indicating broad-based two-sided participation rather than one whale-driven move, despite the sharp net price decline concentrated in the early spike-and-crash candles.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

989,500,843.47 (formatted)

FDV

$23,636 (also reported as $23.64K in trading analytics)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price fell -60.49% in 24h after a massive parabolic spike (candle [2] went from ~$0.000009 to a high of $0.00177, a ~185x intra-candle move) followed by a sustained collapse across candles [3]-[9]. This pattern is consistent with an extreme pump-and-dump or a bonding-curve migration event on PumpSwap. Realized volatility is among the most extreme observable in OHLC data.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $9.65K against a $23.64K FDV, implying very thin market depth relative to daily traded volume ($4.24M buy + $4.21M sell = ~$8.45M 24h volume). This mismatch between liquidity and volume suggests high slippage on any meaningfully sized order and elevated risk of liquidity being pulled.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Only a current snapshot is available: top-10 holders control 11.71% of supply across 3,161 holder addresses. No historical trend, wallet classification (team/exchange/bot), or distribution-over-time data is available, so whether this 11.71% figure is improving, worsening, or represents genuine distributed ownership cannot be assessed. Treating the current snapshot alone as reassuring would be misleading.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • 24h price collapse of -60.49% following an extreme parabolic spike in candle [2] (low $0.0000048 to high $0.00177), suggesting a pump-and-dump or highly manipulated launch event
  • Very thin total liquidity ($9.65K) relative to reported 24h volume (~$8.45M combined buy/sell), creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Mint/freeze authority status entirely unknown — cannot rule out ability to mint additional supply or freeze accounts
  • Sniper positioning and PnL entirely unknown, despite the price action pattern being consistent with sniper/bot-driven volatility
  • No holder history available, so recent distribution trend (accumulation vs. dumping) cannot be verified beyond a single snapshot
  • Token metadata fields (verified contract, mutability, master edition, update authority) all unknown, reducing overall due-diligence confidence

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 holder concentration at the current snapshot (11.71%) is not extreme in isolation, though its trend and meaning cannot be verified
  • 24h buy/sell volume is nearly balanced (50.2% buy vs 49.8% sell), suggesting two-sided trading rather than pure one-directional dumping in raw volume terms
  • Roughly 13,821 unique buyers vs 12,573 unique sellers in 24h indicates broad participation rather than a single actor dominating flow

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. This profile (new/low-cap PumpSwap token, extreme volatility, thin liquidity, unknown authorities, no sniper/holder history) is characteristic of high-risk speculative micro-cap tokens and is unsuitable for conservative or long-term holders.

Group Project is an extremely small, extremely volatile PumpSwap-listed token that has already gone through a dramatic pump (roughly 185x intra-hour spike) and an equally dramatic collapse (-60.49% over 24h, -98.7% from its peak high). With only $9.65K in liquidity, a $23.64K FDV, and critical data gaps around mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, and holder history, this token sits firmly in high-risk speculative territory. Any position should be sized accordingly and treated as a short-term speculative trade rather than an investment, with full awareness that key risk-defining data is unavailable.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the recent stabilization (candle [9] shows a bounce off $0.0000226 with +7.96% over 1h) continues, and if buy volume (currently 50.2% of 24h flow) remains resilient with continued broad participation (13,821 buyers in 24h), the token could stabilize and rebuild a base above current support levels ($0.0000219-$0.0000226), potentially retracing toward the $0.0000420-$0.0000548 resistance band.

  • Sustained buy volume matching or exceeding sell volume
  • Renewed social/community activity via the token's Twitter and website presence
  • No further large sell-offs from concentrated holders (though this cannot be verified given unknown wallet classifications)

Base Case

The most likely near-term path is continued high volatility around current support/resistance levels ($0.0000226-$0.0000420) without a clear directional resolution, as the market digests the aftermath of the initial spike with roughly balanced 24h buy/sell flow (50.2%/49.8%) but insufficient liquidity to support a durable recovery.

  • No new liquidity injections or major holder actions occur in the immediate term
  • Trading activity continues at reduced but still meaningful levels (thousands of buyers/sellers daily)
  • No resolution yet on mint/freeze authority or sniper-risk unknowns

Bear Case

High probability

Given the clear pump-and-dump candle signature and continuing downtrend across candles [3]-[9], the token could continue bleeding toward new lows, especially if the thin $9.65K liquidity pool is further reduced or if any large holder (among the top 10 controlling 11.71% of supply) exits. Unknown mint/freeze authority status also leaves open the possibility of further dilution or malicious action.

  • Continuation of the established downtrend with lower highs and lower lows
  • Extremely thin liquidity amplifying any sell pressure into further price declines
  • Unresolved authority and sniper-risk unknowns that could crystallize negatively
  • Rapid volume decay (from ~$9.41M in the spike hour to ~$3.37K in the most recent hour) signaling fading interest

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 22, 11:46 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 23:45 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, FDV)
  • Price feed (current USD price and % change intervals)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (9 most recent candles) from PumpSwap pair
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price % changes)
  • Holder aggregate snapshot (Codex) — current holder count and top-10 concentration only
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Sniper data was entirely unavailable, preventing assessment of sniper concentration, PnL, or dump risk
  • No mint/freeze authority verification was available; authority-related risk is genuinely unknown, not merely assumed safe
  • Holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) is unavailable; only a single current snapshot (3,161 holders, 11.71% top-10 concentration) exists, so trend-based claims about accumulation/distribution cannot be made
  • Only 9 hourly candles were available, limiting the technical analysis window and confidence in medium-term projections
  • Top-100 holder concentration and any wallet classification/labeling data were not provided
  • Verified contract status, mutability, and master edition status were all listed as unknown in metadata

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (sniper data, authority status, holder history). Cryptocurrency trading, especially in micro-cap and newly launched tokens, carries a high risk of substantial or total loss of capital. Do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Group Project ownership?

As of 2026-09-22 23:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 11.71% of supply. It reports 3,161 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Group Project?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 23:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $4,244,506.00 in buys and $4,210,834.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Group Project liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +153.76%, from $4,027.08 (2026-09-22 15:00 UTC) to $10,219.16 (2026-09-22 23:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Group Project (Project)?

Price has been in a steep downtrend since the candle [2] spike, falling from a high of $0.00177 to $0.0000239, a decline of roughly 98.7% off the peak. The most recent candle [9] shows a modest bounce (5m +0.10%, 1h +7.96%) but this sits within a broader downtrend with lower highs and lower lows across candles [4]-[9]. Given the thin $9.65K liquidity, short-term price action is likely to remain highly volatile and vulnerable to sharp swings on small trade sizes. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of 0.0000180 to 0.0000320.

Is Project a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. This profile (new/low-cap PumpSwap token, extreme volatility, thin liquidity, unknown authorities, no sniper/holder history) is characteristic of high-risk speculative micro-cap tokens and is unsuitable for conservative or long-term holders.

What are the key risks of holding Project?

24h price collapse of -60.49% following an extreme parabolic spike in candle [2] (low $0.0000048 to high $0.00177), suggesting a pump-and-dump or highly manipulated launch event • Very thin total liquidity ($9.65K) relative to reported 24h volume (~$8.45M combined buy/sell), creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Mint/freeze authority status entirely unknown — cannot rule out ability to mint additional supply or freeze accounts

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