APE

ApeCoin Price Today & AI Analysis

APESolanaAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$0.1584

+4.38% 24h · FDV $915,299

Contract

Live
C1MHyoTJpRTeS9AQCyspNVu2EWAYCZwmJ1jNkEArFP1f

Chain

Solana

Holders

8,460

Market cap

$915,299

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ApeCoin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 18:15 UTC

Holder addresses

8,460

Top 10 supply share

24.28%

Reported liquidity

$1,011,829.00
How concentrated is ApeCoin ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 18:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 24.28% of supply. It reports 8,460 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling ApeCoin?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 18:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $4,536,666.00 in buys and $4,206,230.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ApeCoin liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +3563.40%, from $16,125.84 (2026-09-21 19:00 UTC) to $590,753.66 (2026-09-22 18:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 18:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 19:00 UTC$16,125.84
2026-09-21 23:00 UTC$16,314.76
2026-09-22 00:00 UTC$16,482.80
2026-09-22 01:00 UTC$16,273.71
2026-09-22 02:00 UTC$16,364.62
2026-09-22 04:00 UTC$16,298.28
2026-09-22 05:00 UTC$16,111.76
2026-09-22 06:00 UTC$16,243.26
2026-09-22 08:00 UTC$16,172.76
2026-09-22 09:00 UTC$16,268.29
2026-09-22 10:00 UTC$16,261.24
2026-09-22 11:00 UTC$16,189.04
2026-09-22 12:00 UTC$16,325.64
2026-09-22 13:00 UTC$16,350.04
2026-09-22 14:00 UTC$16,239.00
2026-09-22 15:00 UTC$16,500.85
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC$16,535.25
2026-09-22 17:00 UTC$715,829.15
2026-09-22 18:00 UTC$590,753.66

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 22, 06:16 PM UTC

FDV

$915,299

Liquidity

$1,011,829.00

Holders

8,460

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

APE (ApeCoin, mint C1MHyoTJpRTeS9AQCyspNVu2EWAYCZwmJ1jNkEArFP1f) trades on Raydium CLMM at $0.1584, up 4.38% in 24h. The token saw an explosive volume and price spike in the last two hourly candles (17:00 and 18:00 UTC), with volume jumping from a baseline of tens/low-hundreds of dollars per hour to $20.8M and $5.8M respectively, and price briefly spiking to a high of $0.1798 before settling back to ~$0.158. This single-candle volume anomaly dominates the 24h trading picture and should be treated with caution. Holder data shows 8,460 holder addresses with the top 10 holding 24.28% of supply, but no historical holder trend or wallet classification data is available to confirm accumulation/distribution patterns. Mint/freeze authority status is unknown, and no sniper data is available, leaving several key risk dimensions unverifiable.

Key points

  • Massive single-hour volume spike ($20.8M in the 17:00 UTC candle) against a near-zero-volume baseline for most of the prior 24h, suggesting either a major news/listing event or highly unusual, potentially manipulated activity
  • Total liquidity of only ~$1.01M against a 24h volume figure in the tens of millions — an extreme volume-to-liquidity ratio worth scrutinizing
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 24.28% of supply across 8,460 holder addresses, which is moderate but not independently verifiable for trend direction
  • No sniper data, no mint/freeze authority confirmation, and no holder history — multiple key risk inputs are simply unavailable, not favorable

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48h

neutral

Price spiked from ~$0.145 to a high of $0.1798 within the 17:00 UTC candle on abnormal volume, then partially retraced to $0.1584. Near-term direction is uncertain: continuation would require sustained volume at recent levels, while a full retrace back toward the $0.145-0.148 pre-spike range is equally plausible given the volume anomaly.

Target low

$0.145

Target high

$0.180

Support

$0.1578 (recent hourly low), $0.1500 (pre-spike breakout level), $0.1458 (24h candle low pre-spike)

Resistance

$0.1798 (24h high), $0.1650 (psychological/round level between spike high and current price)

Medium term · 7-14 days

neutral

Medium-term trajectory depends heavily on whether the volume spike represents a durable shift in demand (e.g., a listing, partnership, or community catalyst) or a one-off manipulated/wash-trading event. Without historical holder trend data or sniper analysis, it is not possible to confirm organic accumulation.

Catalysts

  • Sustained volume above the pre-spike baseline (>$100/hr) would support continuation
  • Any confirmation of mint/freeze authority renouncement would reduce rug risk and could support price
  • Renewed sell-off back toward $0.145 support would signal the spike was speculative/unsustainable

Confidence: low. The data shows a very sharp, anomalous volume and price spike in the final two candles versus flat, low-volume trading before it. Aggregate 24h buy/sell volumes ($4.54M/$4.21M) are roughly balanced but dwarf the token's $1.01M liquidity pool, an inconsistency that undermines confidence in extrapolating trend continuation. No sniper, holder-history, or authority data exists to corroborate directional conviction.

APE call history

Full track record →

Sep 22neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
C1MHyo...FP1f
Total Supply
5,779,247.73 APE

Key Risks

  • Extreme, sudden volume spike (from near-zero to $20.8M in one hour) against thin $1.01M liquidity, consistent with possible wash trading, a pump event, or an unverified news catalyst
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper or holder-history data available to assess early-buyer behavior, dump risk, or accumulation/distribution trends
  • High volume-to-liquidity ratio increases slippage risk and susceptibility to sharp price swings on relatively small trades

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the last 24 hourly candles, price was largely flat and low-volume (many candles with $0 or ~$30-120 volume) ranging between $0.1438 and $0.1509 through the first 21 candles. The 22nd candle (16:00 UTC) began a breakout with volume rising to $1,651, followed by an extreme spike in the 23rd candle (17:00 UTC): open $0.1512, high $0.1798, low $0.1456, close $0.1580, on volume of $20.84M — by far the largest candle in the dataset. The final candle (18:00 UTC) consolidated with a tight range ($0.1578-$0.1589) on $5.84M volume, closing at $0.1584.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is bullish following the breakout spike, up roughly 9-10% from the pre-spike close of ~$0.1447 to the current $0.1584. Medium-term (across the full 24h window), price is essentially sideways-to-up, with the bulk of the move concentrated in the final two hours rather than a sustained trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.1578

Major support

$0.1458

Immediate resistance

$0.1798

Major resistance

$0.1798

The candle 23 high of $0.1798 stands as the clear resistance ceiling formed during the spike; the candle 23 low of $0.1456 and candle 24 low of $0.1578 mark near-term support. Because the entire range was built in a two-hour window on anomalous volume, these levels should be considered provisional and untested by normal trading conditions.

Notable patterns

  • Extreme volume spike (wide-range candle) at 17:00 UTC resembling a breakout/blow-off candle with a long upper wick (high $0.1798 vs close $0.1580), suggesting some rejection of the highest prices
  • Consolidation/inside-range candle immediately following the spike (18:00 UTC), which can indicate either accumulation before continuation or exhaustion before reversal
  • Long flat, low-volume basing period (candles 1-21) preceding the breakout, consistent with a low-liquidity token that saw a sudden demand/supply shock

Liquidity

Liquidity

$1,011,829.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of $1.01M is thin relative to the reported 24h buy+sell volume of roughly $8.75M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of over 8x in a single day, which is highly atypical and raises slippage and price-manipulation concerns, especially given that nearly all of this volume occurred within a single two-hour window (candles 23-24). Buy volume ($4.54M, 51.9%) modestly exceeds sell volume ($4.21M, 48.1%), and buyer count (10,450) exceeds seller count (8,071), indicating a net inflow bias, but the shallow liquidity pool means large orders could move price sharply in either direction. The FDV of ~$915K versus $1.01M in liquidity is also an unusual ratio (liquidity exceeding FDV), which is worth independent verification.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

5,779,247.73 APE

FDV

$915,299 (~$915.30K)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved from a ~24h low of $0.1438 to a high of $0.1798 (a ~25% intraday range) with the entire move concentrated in a single hourly candle, indicating extreme short-term volatility and low price stability.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $1.01M against a reported 24h volume near $8.75M (buy+sell) represents a very high volume-to-liquidity ratio, implying thin order book depth relative to trading activity and elevated slippage risk for meaningful order sizes.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top 10 holders control 24.28% of the 5.78M token supply among 8,460 holder addresses. This is a moderate concentration level; however, without top-100 data or historical trend, the true concentration trajectory (increasing or decreasing) is unknown.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme, sudden volume spike (from near-zero to $20.8M in one hour) against thin $1.01M liquidity, consistent with possible wash trading, a pump event, or an unverified news catalyst
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper or holder-history data available to assess early-buyer behavior, dump risk, or accumulation/distribution trends
  • High volume-to-liquidity ratio increases slippage risk and susceptibility to sharp price swings on relatively small trades
  • Token name/symbol matches a well-known existing brand (ApeCoin/APE), raising the possibility of impersonation or an unrelated/unofficial deployment not affiliated with the established brand

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($4.54M) modestly exceeds sell volume ($4.21M) and buyer count (10,450) exceeds seller count (8,071), suggesting net positive demand rather than a one-sided dump
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 24.28% is not extreme by typical token standards
  • A broad holder base of 8,460 addresses exists, though this reflects address count, not necessarily unique individual investors

Suitable for

Given the combination of an anomalous volume/price spike, shallow liquidity relative to trading volume, and multiple unresolved data gaps (mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, holder history), this token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can actively monitor positions and accept the possibility of severe volatility or total loss. It is not appropriate for conservative or passive investors.

APE shows a sharp, anomalous volume and price breakout in the most recent trading data, but the underlying evidence base is thin: liquidity is shallow relative to volume, authority/rug-risk data is entirely unknown, and no sniper or holder-history data exists to confirm whether the move reflects genuine organic demand or manipulated/wash activity. Any position should be sized and managed with this uncertainty in mind.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The 17:00-18:00 UTC volume spike reflects a genuine demand catalyst (e.g., listing, partnership, community event) that continues to draw net buyers, evidenced by the 51.9%/48.1% buy/sell split and buyer count exceeding seller count (10,450 vs 8,071) in the past 24h.

  • Sustained buy-side volume above pre-spike baseline over the next 24-48h
  • Confirmation of legitimate contract/authority status reducing rug-risk uncertainty
  • Continued net inflow of new buyer addresses beyond the current 8,460 holder base

Base Case

Price consolidates in a wide range roughly between the pre-spike level (~$0.145) and the spike high (~$0.180) as the market digests the sudden volume event, with continued two-sided (roughly 52/48) buy/sell activity and no clear resolution until more data (additional candles, holder trend history, authority confirmation) becomes available.

  • No new material catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity remains around the current ~$1.01M level, keeping slippage risk elevated
  • Holder base and concentration remain broadly similar to the current snapshot (8,460 holders, top-10 at 24.28%)

Bear Case

Medium probability

The volume spike was a short-lived, possibly manipulated (wash-traded or bot-driven) event given the extreme jump from near-zero baseline volume to $20.8M in a single hour against only $1.01M of liquidity; price retraces back toward the pre-spike $0.145-0.148 range as speculative volume dries up.

  • Volume returning to pre-spike baseline levels (well under $200/hr) in subsequent candles
  • Price failing to hold the $0.1578 immediate support and retesting the $0.1458 24h low
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status being confirmed unfavorably or remaining permanently unverifiable, deterring larger investors

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 22, 06:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 18:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • USD price and 24h price change feed
  • Hourly OHLCV candle data (last 24 hours)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity, FDV)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count, top-10 concentration)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No sniper data was available, preventing assessment of early-buyer/dump risk
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) or wallet classification data was available, preventing trend, accumulation, or distribution analysis
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, contract verification, and spam-flag status are all unknown, preventing rug-risk assessment from authorities
  • The most recent two hourly candles show an extreme, unexplained volume spike (>100,000x baseline) that dominates 24h aggregates and cannot be independently corroborated or explained with the data provided
  • Top-100 holder concentration and individual notable holder identities were not available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (authority status, sniper activity, holder history). The data itself is treated as untrusted evidence, not as verified fact, and token name/branding claims (e.g., 'ApeCoin') have not been independently verified against any official project. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss; conduct independent due diligence before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is ApeCoin ownership?

As of 2026-09-22 18:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 24.28% of supply. It reports 8,460 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling ApeCoin?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 18:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $4,536,666.00 in buys and $4,206,230.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is ApeCoin liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +3563.40%, from $16,125.84 (2026-09-21 19:00 UTC) to $590,753.66 (2026-09-22 18:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for ApeCoin (APE)?

Price spiked from ~$0.145 to a high of $0.1798 within the 17:00 UTC candle on abnormal volume, then partially retraced to $0.1584. Near-term direction is uncertain: continuation would require sustained volume at recent levels, while a full retrace back toward the $0.145-0.148 pre-spike range is equally plausible given the volume anomaly. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48h), with a target range of $0.145 to $0.180.

Is APE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 72/100. Given the combination of an anomalous volume/price spike, shallow liquidity relative to trading volume, and multiple unresolved data gaps (mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, holder history), this token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can actively monitor positions and accept the possibility of severe volatility or total loss. It is not appropriate for conservative or passive investors.

What are the key risks of holding APE?

Extreme, sudden volume spike (from near-zero to $20.8M in one hour) against thin $1.01M liquidity, consistent with possible wash trading, a pump event, or an unverified news catalyst • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing • No sniper or holder-history data available to assess early-buyer behavior, dump risk, or accumulation/distribution trends

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