MIDTERMS

Midterm Elections Price Today & AI Analysis

MIDTERMS
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 29, 2026

4tzmsD8EpQVPqHDdzSXWNHJnBLL3fNUFbLv3nufjpump

$0.054809

+0.85%

FDV $4,728

LiveContract:4tzmsD8EpQVPqHDdzSXWNHJnBLL3fNUFbLv3nufjpumpChain:SolanaHolders:339Market cap:$4,728

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Report snapshotas of Jul 29, 03:47 AM
FDV

$124,517

Liquidity

$35,890

Holders

301

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

MIDTERMS (Midterm Elections) is an extremely new PumpFun-launched meme/narrative token on Solana, minted on or around 2026-07-28. It has a total supply of ~983.4M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$124.5K. The token launched less than 24 hours ago, experienced a sharp pump-and-dump pattern in its first hours of trading, and is now trading ~30% below its intraday high. Sell pressure heavily dominates at 70% of 24h volume ($172K sells vs $73K buys). Holder data is incomplete (top holders unavailable, concentration data shows 0%), and sniper data is absent. This is a very high-risk, speculative micro-cap token with no verified contract and unknown update authority.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched within the last 24 hours on PumpSwap — entire holder base (301 wallets) acquired in a single day
Extreme pump-and-dump price action: candle [11] shows a launch low of $0.0000258 surging to $0.0001458 within the first hour, followed by a sustained sell-off
Sell pressure is 70% of 24h volume ($172.19K sells vs $73.62K buys across 1,451 sell transactions vs 381 buys)
Top holder and supply concentration data is unavailable, making whale risk unquantifiable
Political/narrative meme token tied to U.S. Midterm Elections — purely sentiment-driven with no utility

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price has already fallen ~36% from its intraday high of ~$0.0001975 (candle [6]) to the current ~$0.0001266. The most recent candle [1] closed at the high ($0.0001266), suggesting a brief stabilization, but the dominant sell pressure (70% of volume) and declining volume trend point to continued downside. Immediate support is the recent consolidation zone around $0.0001059–$0.0001075 (candles [4]–[5] lows). A break below that opens a path toward the launch-day low near $0.0000258.

Target low$0.0000900
Target high$0.0001488
Support: $0.0001059 (candle [4] low), $0.0000970 (candle [9] low / candle [11] close area), $0.0000258 (candle [11] absolute low — launch floor)
Resistance: $0.0001267 (current price / candle [1] high), $0.0001488 (candle [5] high), $0.0001975 (candle [6] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a sustained narrative catalyst (e.g., actual midterm election news cycle), this token is likely to continue bleeding as early buyers take profits and sell pressure remains dominant. The FDV of ~$124.5K is tiny, meaning even modest selling can move price significantly downward. A recovery above $0.0001975 would require a major influx of new buyers.

Catalysts
  • Renewed political/media attention on U.S. Midterm Elections driving speculative interest
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Influencer or community promotion driving new buyer inflow
  • Reduction in sell pressure as early sellers exhaust their positions

Bullish factors

  • Price stabilized in the $0.0001059–$0.0001267 range over the last 4 candles, suggesting a potential floor forming
  • 24h price change is reported as +49% from the prior day open, indicating net positive performance despite the intraday dump
  • 301 holders acquired in a single day shows rapid community formation
  • Narrative token tied to a recurring, high-visibility political event (U.S. Midterms)
  • Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggests some organized community effort

Bearish factors

  • 70% sell pressure ($172.19K sells vs $73.62K buys) with 1,451 sell transactions vs 381 buys
  • Price dropped ~36% from intraday high of $0.0001975 to current $0.0001266 within hours of launch
  • Volume is collapsing: candle [11] had $175K volume, candle [10] $32.7K, candle [1] only $120 — a 99.9% volume decline
  • Total liquidity is only $35.89K — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false but authority status unclear
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Purely speculative narrative token with no utility or fundamental value driver
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) the token is less than 24 hours old with highly incomplete data (no top holder info, no sniper data, no supply concentration figures); (2) micro-cap meme tokens are inherently unpredictable; (3) the 70% sell pressure and declining volume make short-term direction clearer (bearish) but magnitude is highly uncertain.

MIDTERMS call history

Full track record →
Jul 29bearish
24h-14.5%
7d-97.3%
30d-95.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 11-candle hourly series tells a classic pump-and-dump story. Candle [11] (launch candle) opened at $0.0000520, spiked to a high of $0.0001458 (a 180% intra-candle move), and closed at $0.0000971 on massive volume ($175K). Candles [10]–[7] show a continued rally with higher highs, peaking at $0.0001975 in candle [6]. From candle [6] onward, price has been in a clear downtrend: candle [6] closed at $0.0001423, candle [5] at $0.0001086, candle [4] at $0.0001247 (brief bounce), and candles [3]–[1] consolidating in the $0.0001245–$0.0001266 range. Volume has collapsed from $175K (candle [11]) to $120 (candle [1]), indicating the speculative frenzy has subsided.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 30%Sell 70%

Short-term downtrend from the $0.0001975 peak. The last 3 candles show a narrow consolidation range ($0.0001245–$0.0001267), which could be a base-building attempt or a pause before further decline. Medium-term trend is also bearish given the token is only 1 day old and has already shed ~36% from its high.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0001059 (candle [4] low / candle [5] close area)
Major$0.0000258 (candle [11] absolute low — launch floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001267 (candle [1] high / current price)
Major$0.0001975 (candle [6] all-time high)

The $0.0001059–$0.0001075 zone (candles [4]–[5] lows) is the nearest meaningful support. Below that, the $0.0000971 level (candle [11] close) is the next reference. The all-time high of $0.0001975 from candle [6] is the key resistance. Current price is sandwiched between immediate support and resistance in a very tight range.

Notable patterns

  • Launch candle [11]: massive wick-heavy candle with 180% intra-candle range — classic pump launch pattern
  • Candles [10]–[6]: higher highs forming a rapid pump sequence over 5 hours
  • Candle [6]: bearish engulfing / shooting star characteristics — opened at $0.0001796, hit $0.0001975 high, closed at $0.0001423 — signals top
  • Candles [6]–[5]: sharp bearish continuation, price dropped from $0.0001975 to $0.0001064 low
  • Candles [3]–[1]: tight consolidation doji-like candles with very low volume — indecision / exhaustion at current levels
  • Overall pattern: textbook pump-and-dump with volume collapse confirming distribution phase

Total holders301
24h Δ+100
7d Δ+100
30d Δ+100
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

The entire holder base of 301 wallets was acquired on 2026-07-28, the token's launch day. Historical data shows zero holders for all prior days in the 30-day window, confirming this is a brand-new token. The 24h holder growth of +302 (100%) is entirely a function of the launch event, not organic growth acceleration. Current real-time count is 301 (slight discrepancy likely due to data timing). Holder growth and price are both products of the same launch event — correlation is coincidental rather than causal.

The token has 301 holders, all acquired within the last 24 hours via swap (286) or transfer (15). There is no historical holder baseline to compare against. The distribution data shows 0% for all size categories (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus) and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0% — this is likely a data availability issue rather than a genuine reflection of equal distribution. Top holder data is explicitly unavailable, making it impossible to assess concentration risk from holder metrics alone. The rapid acquisition of 301 holders in a single day is consistent with a PumpFun launch event attracting speculative traders.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Data unavailable — top holders list was not provided for this token

0.00%

Top holder data is explicitly unavailable in the provided dataset. The supply concentration metrics report 0% for both top10 and top100, which is almost certainly a data artifact rather than a genuine reflection of equal distribution — it is statistically implausible for any token to have zero concentration among its top holders. With 301 total holders and a FDV of only $124.5K, it is highly likely that a small number of wallets control a significant portion of supply. The distribution health is classified as 'very_concentrated' as a conservative risk assumption given the data gap. Investors should treat the absence of this data as a red flag and exercise extreme caution. The 286 swap-acquired holders vs 15 transfer-acquired holders suggests most supply entered through trading rather than team/insider transfers, but this cannot be confirmed without top holder visibility.

Liquidity$35,890
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$73,620
Sell$172,190
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers156
Unique sellers522

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $35.89K on a single PumpSwap pool (Fy7xZpWUEDn8Tf5PqC4KCStvunSr5EwR65KtKFPhb3Bv). With a FDV of $124.52K, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 28.8%, which is low and means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $172.19K in sell volume vs $73.62K in buy volume — a net outflow of ~$98.57K. Sellers outnumber buyers 3.3:1 (522 unique sellers vs 156 unique buyers) and sell transactions outnumber buys 3.8:1 (1,451 vs 381). This is a clear distribution market. The token trades on a single DEX pool with no evidence of additional liquidity venues, amplifying slippage risk for any position of meaningful size.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply983,405,659.78
FDV$124,517.41

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~983.4M tokens with 6 decimals. The FDV is $124.52K, placing this firmly in micro-cap territory. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but without explicit confirmation of mint and freeze authority status, rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed. The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism. The description presents a political narrative theme (U.S. Midterm Elections) — this is a purely speculative meme token with no utility, revenue model, or fundamental value driver. The 'possible spam' flag is false, but the unverified contract and unknown authority status warrant caution.

Volatility
high

Price swung from $0.0000258 to $0.0001975 and back to $0.0001266 within 11 hours of launch — an intraday range of ~666%. This is extreme volatility consistent with a PumpFun launch event.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $35.89K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~28.8% is dangerously low.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, making concentration risk unquantifiable. With only 301 holders and a brand-new token, it is highly probable that a small number of wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. The 0% concentration figures are almost certainly data artifacts.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, but the launch candle pattern (violent spike from $0.0000258 to $0.0001458 on $175K volume) is consistent with sniper/bot activity at launch. The subsequent 70% sell pressure strongly suggests early buyers are distributing.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is marked mutable=false which is a partial positive, but the overall authority picture is opaque. Rated medium rather than high solely because mutable=false provides some protection against metadata manipulation.

Key risks

  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • Top holder and supply concentration data is completely unavailable — cannot assess whale risk
  • 70% sell pressure with 3.3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • Liquidity of $35.89K is extremely shallow — high slippage and exit risk
  • Purely speculative narrative token with no utility, revenue, or fundamental value
  • Unknown update authority and unverified contract
  • Volume has collapsed 99.9% from launch candle to current — speculative interest fading rapidly
  • PumpFun-launched tokens have historically high failure/rug rates
  • Political narrative tokens are highly time-sensitive and lose relevance quickly

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Social presence exists (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggesting some community organization
  • Price has stabilized in a narrow range ($0.0001245–$0.0001267) over the last 3 candles, suggesting a potential short-term floor
  • FDV of $124.5K is low enough that a small influx of buyers could move price significantly upward
  • 286 of 301 holders acquired via swap (organic trading) rather than airdrop or insider transfer
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely inappropriate for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun micro-cap dynamics. Position sizes should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

MIDTERMS is a brand-new PumpFun narrative meme token that has already experienced its initial pump-and-dump cycle within hours of launch. The investment thesis is purely speculative: either the political narrative gains traction and attracts new buyers, or the token continues to bleed as early participants exit. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric and unfavorable given the current sell-dominated market structure.

Bull case (low)

The U.S. Midterm Elections narrative gains renewed media/social attention, driving a second wave of speculative buying. New buyers enter the market, volume recovers, and price breaks above the $0.0001975 all-time high, potentially reaching $0.0003–$0.0005 range.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion linking MIDTERMS to actual election news
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally creating a rising tide effect
  • Early sellers have exhausted their supply, reducing sell pressure and allowing price to recover
  • Community coordination around election-related milestones driving speculative FOMO

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000800–$0.0001300 range as the initial distribution phase completes. The token survives with a small community of 300–500 holders but sees minimal trading activity and gradual price decay over days/weeks without a catalyst.

  • Sell pressure moderates as the most motivated sellers have already exited
  • A small core community maintains interest in the political narrative theme
  • No major whale dump occurs (unverifiable given missing holder data)
  • No significant new buyer inflow without a specific catalyst

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity dries up further, and price retraces toward the launch-day low of $0.0000258 or lower. The token becomes illiquid and effectively abandoned.

  • Continued 70%+ sell pressure as remaining early buyers exit positions
  • Volume collapse (already down 99.9% from launch) leading to complete illiquidity
  • No meaningful catalyst to attract new buyers to a sub-$125K FDV political meme token
  • Whale/concentrated holder (unknown) deciding to dump remaining supply
  • Broader market indifference to political narrative tokens between election cycles

GeneratedJul 29, 03:47 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-07-29T03:00:00Z. The token is less than 24 hours old. All OHLC data covers the token's entire trading history (11 hourly candles).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (hourly, 11 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics (total holders, acquisition method, distribution tiers)
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Top holder data is completely unavailable — whale and concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10/top100) report 0%, which is almost certainly a data artifact rather than reality
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior and smart money signals are inferred from price/volume patterns only
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority cannot be confirmed as renounced
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are based on a single day of trading history, making trend analysis unreliable
  • The 24h price change of 0% reported in the 5m/24h fields conflicts with the +49% figure reported elsewhere — data inconsistency noted
  • PumpFun bonding curve mechanics may affect price discovery differently than standard AMM pools

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in MIDTERMS. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply983,405,659.78

Key Risks

Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
Top holder and supply concentration data is completely unavailable — cannot assess whale risk
70% sell pressure with 3.3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
Liquidity of $35.89K is extremely shallow — high slippage and exit risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for MIDTERMS. Given the token launched within the last 24 hours on PumpFun/PumpSwap, it is plausible that snipers were active at launch (candle [11] shows a violent spike from $0.0000258 to $0.0001458), but this cannot be confirmed from the provided data. The 70% sell pressure and 1,451 sell transactions vs 381 buys strongly suggest early buyers have been aggressively distributing. The collapse in volume from $175K to $120 over 11 candles is consistent with early participants having largely exited.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Likely bearish/distributing — the dramatic volume and price decline from the launch candle peak suggests early buyers who entered at low prices have been selling into strength. The 70% sell pressure ratio (1,451 sells vs 381 buys) supports this interpretation, though without sniper data this cannot be confirmed with precision.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Midterm Elections (MIDTERMS)?

Price has already fallen ~36% from its intraday high of ~$0.0001975 (candle [6]) to the current ~$0.0001266. The most recent candle [1] closed at the high ($0.0001266), suggesting a brief stabilization, but the dominant sell pressure (70% of volume) and declining volume trend point to continued downside. Immediate support is the recent consolidation zone around $0.0001059–$0.0001075 (candles [4]–[5] lows). A break below that opens a path toward the launch-day low near $0.0000258. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000900 to $0.0001488.

Is MIDTERMS a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely inappropriate for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun micro-cap dynamics. Position sizes should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

How are MIDTERMS holders trending?

Midterm Elections currently has 301 holders and is growing (24h: 100, 7d: 100, 30d: 100). The token has 301 holders, all acquired within the last 24 hours via swap (286) or transfer (15). There is no historical holder baseline to compare against. The distribution data shows 0% for all size categories (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus) and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0% — this is likely a data availability issue rather than a genuine reflection of equal distribution. Top holder data is explicitly unavailable, making it impossible to assess concentration risk from holder metrics alone. The rapid acquisition of 301 holders in a single day is consistent with a PumpFun launch event attracting speculative traders.

What does sniper activity look like for MIDTERMS?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding MIDTERMS?

Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record • Top holder and supply concentration data is completely unavailable — cannot assess whale risk • 70% sell pressure with 3.3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution

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