モモ太

Momota-kun Price Today & AI Analysis

モモ太SolanaAnalysis as of May 22, 2026

Price

$0.046483

FDV $64,815

Contract

Live
4kvUo4SyBnpPB9SDEwZucLZvm4iZdwyup6CqKi3Npump

Chain

Solana

Holders

133

Market cap

$64,815

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Momota-kun: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-22 10:17 UTC

Holder addresses

393

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Momota-kun ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 393 addresses (2026-05-22 10:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Momota-kun?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Momota-kun liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-22 10:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 22, 10:17 AM UTC

FDV

$106,459

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

393

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Momota-kun (モモ太) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap, themed around a viral polar bear resembling a teddy bear. The token has a total supply of 1,000,000,000 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$106,459. It is experiencing an explosive 24-hour price surge of +240%, driven almost entirely by a single-day holder explosion from 43 to 393 holders (+350, +89%). However, sell pressure dominates heavily (69.4% sell volume vs 30.6% buy volume), liquidity is reported at $0.00, and the token was dormant for at least 30 days prior to this event. This is a very high-risk, speculative meme token in early viral momentum phase.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h price surge of +240% from viral polar bear meme narrative
  • Holder count surged from 43 to 393 in a single day (+350 holders, +89%)
  • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before this breakout event
  • Severe sell-side dominance: 69.4% sell pressure vs 30.6% buy pressure
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 on PumpSwap — extreme slippage risk
  • Top 10 holders control 34.2% of supply; top 100 control 88.48%

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Despite the 240% 24h surge and a 96% 1h spike, sell pressure is overwhelming at 69.4% of volume. With $0 reported liquidity, any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The token is likely in a blow-off top phase following the viral meme catalyst. Short-term retracement toward recent lows is the most probable outcome unless fresh buy volume enters.

Target low

$0.000017

Target high

$0.000150

Support

$0.0000187 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open), $0.0000172 (candle [4] low), $0.0000119 (candle [5] low — major support)

Resistance

$0.0000693 (candle [1] low anomaly / intra-candle high), $0.0000427 (candle [5] high), $0.000106 (current price — 24h high zone)

Medium term · 3–14 days

bearish

Meme tokens with no prior holder activity for 30+ days and a single-day viral spike historically retrace 70–95% of the pump. Without sustained community growth, utility, or liquidity depth, medium-term price action is expected to be bearish. A stabilization is possible only if the viral narrative sustains new buyer inflows.

Catalysts

  • Sustained viral social media traction (Twitter/Moralis links active)
  • New exchange listings or liquidity provision events
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Whale accumulation at lower price levels

Bullish factors

  • 240% 24h price surge signals strong initial viral momentum
  • +350 new holders in 24 hours shows rapid community formation
  • Viral meme narrative (polar bear resembling teddy bear) has broad appeal
  • 1h price change of +96% suggests very recent buying acceleration
  • 5m price change of +1.7% indicates momentum still active at analysis time

Bearish factors

  • 69.4% sell pressure vs 30.6% buy pressure — sellers dominating
  • Total liquidity reported at $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ consecutive days before this pump
  • 3,064 sells vs 1,285 buys in 24h — more than 2:1 sell-to-buy ratio
  • 925 unique sellers vs 363 unique buyers — broad distribution pressure
  • Top 100 holders control 88.48% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable metadata flag unclear

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) $0.00 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (2) OHLC data showing anomalous candle structures (candle [1] has L > O which is atypical, suggesting data quirks), (3) the token's entire history is a single-day event with no prior price baseline, and (4) meme token price action is inherently unpredictable.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4kvUo4...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage for any position
  • 69.4% sell pressure with 2.55:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days — no organic community prior to pump
  • Top 100 holders control 88.48% of supply — extreme concentration

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Analyzing the 5 most recent hourly candles (oldest to newest, candles [5]→[1]): Candle [5] (06:00): O=$0.0000343, H=$0.0000427, L=$0.0000119, C=$0.0000197 — large bearish candle with wide range, closing near lows. Candle [4] (07:00): O=$0.0000186, H=$0.0000253, L=$0.0000171, C=$0.0000253 — bullish recovery candle, closing at highs. Candle [3] (08:00): O=$0.0000258, H=$0.0000258, L=$0.0000248, C=$0.0000186 — bearish candle, narrow range, closing lower. Candle [2] (09:00): O=$0.0000186, H=$0.0000258, L=$0.0000322, C=$0.0000258 — note: L > H anomaly in raw data suggests possible data inversion; treating as volatile recovery. Candle [1] (10:00): O=$0.0000258, H=$0.0000258, L=$0.0000694, C=$0.0000186 — another apparent data anomaly (L > H); if taken at face value, this is a wide-range bearish close. Overall pattern suggests extreme volatility with no clear directional trend established — characteristic of a freshly pumped meme token.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term price action is highly volatile and choppy, oscillating between $0.0000119 and $0.0000694 across the 5 observed candles. No clean uptrend structure is established. The medium-term context (30 days of dormancy at ~43 holders followed by a single-day pump) suggests the medium-term trend is a pump-and-distribute pattern, which is inherently bearish once momentum fades.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

31%

Sell

69%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000187 (recent candle close / open cluster)

Major support

$0.0000119 (candle [5] intra-hour low — lowest observed price)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000427 (candle [5] high)

Major resistance

$0.000106 (current price — represents the 24h high zone and psychological level)

The $0.0000119 level represents the lowest price observed in the 5-candle window and serves as major support. The $0.0000187–$0.0000258 range is a key consolidation zone where multiple candles opened and closed. Resistance at $0.0000427 (candle [5] high) and the current price of ~$0.000106 are key levels to watch — the current price is well above all observed OHLC candle values, suggesting the price spike to $0.000106 occurred very recently and may not be sustained.

Notable patterns

  • Dormancy-to-pump pattern: 30+ days of zero holder growth followed by single-day +350 holder explosion
  • Sell-side dominance: 2.4:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio across 24h
  • Volume exhaustion: 09:00 candle peak volume ($49K) followed by sharp drop to $20K at 10:00
  • Possible blow-off top: current price ($0.000106) is significantly above all 5 observed OHLC candle highs, suggesting a very recent parabolic spike
  • Wide-range candles with closes near lows (candles [5] and [1]) indicate distribution pressure

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$106,458.64

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    240% 24h price surge from a 30-day dormant base, with 96% 1h spike. Extreme volatility with wide-range candles and no established price floor. Current price ($0.000106) is well above all recent OHLC candle values.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage for any position
  • 69.4% sell pressure with 2.55:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days — no organic community prior to pump
  • Top 100 holders control 88.48% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Meme token with no utility — entirely dependent on viral narrative sustainability
  • Current price ($0.000106) significantly above all recent OHLC candle highs — possible data lag or unsustainable spike
  • 3 wallets with near-identical ~30M token balances suggest coordinated holdings

Mitigating factors

  • Token launched via PumpFun which typically burns mint authority upon graduation
  • 'Mutable: false' metadata reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Viral meme narrative (polar bear/teddy bear) has genuine social appeal
  • 20 snipers appear to have largely exited — primary sniper dump risk reduced
  • No airdrop acquisition method — all holders acquired via swap or transfer (more organic)
  • Social links present (Twitter, Moralis) suggesting some community infrastructure

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely inappropriate for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Given the $0 liquidity, extreme concentration, and active sell pressure, even experienced traders face significant exit risk.

Momota-kun (モモ太) is a pure viral meme play on Solana with no utility, no prior community, and a single-day explosive launch event. The investment thesis is entirely dependent on whether the viral polar bear narrative can sustain and grow buyer interest against overwhelming sell pressure and near-zero liquidity. The risk/reward is extremely asymmetric and unfavorable for most investors.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The viral polar bear meme gains significant traction on Twitter and broader social media, driving sustained new buyer inflows. The PumpSwap liquidity pool deepens as the token gains visibility, enabling price discovery at higher levels. The FDV remains below $500K, leaving room for 4–5x growth if the narrative sustains.

  • Viral social media momentum sustains beyond initial 24h spike
  • New liquidity providers add depth to the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme season amplifies attention
  • Whale holders choose to hold rather than distribute
  • Token gets picked up by meme token aggregators or influencers

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 50–70% from the current price over the next 3–7 days as initial excitement fades, settling in the $0.000030–$0.000050 range. A small but active community of ~500–800 holders forms around the meme narrative. Trading volume normalizes to $10–30K/day. The token survives but does not achieve significant further upside without a new catalyst.

  • Some new buyers continue to enter at lower prices, providing a floor
  • Liquidity pool receives some depth from market makers or LPs
  • The viral narrative maintains low-level social media presence
  • Concentrated whales choose partial rather than full distribution
  • No major negative events (rug, exploit, or authority misuse)

Bear Case

High probability

The viral pump fades within 24–48 hours as sell pressure overwhelms the thin liquidity. Early holders and the 3 near-identical whale wallets distribute into the pump. Price retraces 80–95% from the current level back toward the pre-pump range ($0.000017–$0.000025). The token returns to dormancy with a small residual holder base.

  • $0.00 liquidity cannot support sustained price at current levels
  • 69.4% sell pressure and 2.55:1 seller-to-buyer ratio continues
  • No utility or roadmap to sustain interest beyond meme narrative
  • Concentrated holders (top 100 = 88.48%) have strong incentive to take profits
  • Historical pattern: 30 days of dormancy suggests no sticky community

Analysis details

Generated

May 22, 10:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-22 10:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed (pair H2qrm7W7GTgrWCxnjnKPedJnYptDy1Wi1Mthyz4Lpvqu)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • OHLC hourly candle data (5 most recent candles, USD-denominated)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (total holders, acquisition method, tier breakdown)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily snapshots)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers identified)
  • Moralis token analytics platform

Limitations

  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data reporting issue or genuinely empty pool; either way, exit risk is extreme
  • OHLC candle data contains apparent anomalies (Low > High in candles [1] and [2]), suggesting possible data inversion or reporting errors
  • Sniper sniped amounts are all 'unknown', preventing precise sniper concentration calculation
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Current price ($0.000106) is significantly above all 5 OHLC candle values, suggesting either a very recent spike or data lag
  • 6h and 24h price change percentages show 0% in analytics despite 240% 24h change in price data — possible data inconsistency
  • Only 5 hourly candles provided — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token is extremely new (single-day event) with no historical price baseline

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Momota-kun ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 393 addresses (2026-05-22 10:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Momota-kun?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Momota-kun liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Momota-kun (モモ太)?

Despite the 240% 24h surge and a 96% 1h spike, sell pressure is overwhelming at 69.4% of volume. With $0 reported liquidity, any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The token is likely in a blow-off top phase following the viral meme catalyst. Short-term retracement toward recent lows is the most probable outcome unless fresh buy volume enters. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000017 to $0.000150.

Is モモ太 a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely inappropriate for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Given the $0 liquidity, extreme concentration, and active sell pressure, even experienced traders face significant exit risk.

What are the key risks of holding モモ太?

$0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage for any position • 69.4% sell pressure with 2.55:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution • Token was dormant for 30+ days — no organic community prior to pump

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