USP

United States of Pudgy Price Prediction 2026

USP
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 15, 2026

4nYuHrJT6NM2w2aUbroT5TZYtapfLxjECmps3nMGpm6X

$0.051687

FDV $1,681

LiveContract:4nYuHrJT6NM2w2aUbroT5TZYtapfLxjECmps3nMGpm6XChain:SolanaHolders:199Market cap:$1,681

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about USP

Report snapshotas of May 15, 10:17 PM
FDV

$89,659

Liquidity

$0

Holders

975

Snipers

34

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

United States of Pudgy (USP) is a Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$89,659. The token launched very recently — historical holder data shows just 49 holders for the entire prior 30-day window, with a massive spike to 975 holders in the last 24 hours (+926, +95%). This explosive holder growth coincides with a 65.7% price surge, but is accompanied by heavily skewed sell pressure (75.4% sell volume vs 24.6% buy volume) and $0 reported on-chain liquidity, raising significant red flags about sustainability.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h holder growth: +926 holders (+95%) in a single day from a base of just 49
65.7% price appreciation in 24 hours on PumpSwap
20 snipers active in first 1,000 blocks, majority already in profit (many >100% realized PnL)
Sell pressure dominates heavily: 75.4% sell volume ($320K) vs 24.6% buy volume ($105K)
Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extremely shallow market depth

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent 5-minute candle shows a -15% drop, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 75.4% of 24h volume. With $0 reported liquidity, even modest sell orders can cause severe slippage. The token is likely in a post-pump distribution phase as snipers and early buyers take profits.

Target low$0.000031
Target high$0.000092
Support: $0.0000314 (candle [2] low), $0.0000362 (candle [2] open)
Resistance: $0.0000917 (current price / candle [1] high), $0.0001547 (candle [2] all-time high in data)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Without verified utility, renounced authorities, or meaningful liquidity, sustaining price levels post-launch pump is historically very difficult for meme tokens of this profile. Sniper sell-through is high and most early buyers are already in profit, incentivizing further distribution.

Catalysts
  • Broader Solana meme season continuation could provide temporary support
  • Pudgy Penguins brand association (if legitimate) could attract attention
  • Any exchange listing or influencer promotion could trigger secondary pump
  • Failure to build community or utility will accelerate decline

Bullish factors

  • 65.7% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • 926 new holders in 24 hours shows viral spread
  • Pudgy brand association may attract meme buyers
  • Some snipers still holding (wallets with remaining balances), suggesting not all early money has exited

Bearish factors

  • 75.4% sell volume vs 24.6% buy volume — heavily sell-dominated
  • Reported $0.00 total liquidity creates extreme slippage risk
  • Most snipers (15/20) have already realized profits, many >100% PnL
  • 5-minute price change of -15% indicates active selling pressure
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 49 holders before sudden activity — suspicious launch pattern
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, mutable status unclear
  • FDV of only ~$89K limits institutional interest
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 48 hours old based on holder data, liquidity is reported as $0, and sniper/sell data is incomplete. Price prediction confidence is therefore low.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (21:00 UTC) was an extremely volatile candle: Open $0.0000362, Low $0.0000314, High $0.0001547, Close $0.0000874 — a massive wick to the upside indicating a pump-and-partial-dump within a single hour, with volume of $344,589. Candle [1] (22:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000882, reached a high of $0.0000917, and closed at the high — a bullish close but on dramatically reduced volume ($25,706), suggesting the initial frenzy has subsided. The upper wick on candle [2] reaching $0.0001547 and closing well below it is a classic 'shooting star' / rejection pattern.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 75%

Short-term trend is technically up from the launch low of $0.0000314, but the massive upper wick rejection at $0.0001547 and the -15% 5-minute move suggest the uptrend is exhausting. Medium-term is effectively unknown given only 2 candles of history, but the sell pressure profile points to sideways-to-down.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000874 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open)
Major$0.0000314 (candle [2] absolute low — launch floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000917 (candle [1] high / current price area)
Major$0.0001547 (candle [2] spike high — likely strong resistance)

The $0.0000314 low represents the launch floor and strongest support. The $0.0000874–$0.0000882 zone is near-term support. The $0.0000917 level is the current price and immediate resistance. The $0.0001547 spike high is major resistance that will be difficult to reclaim given the shooting star rejection pattern.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / upper wick rejection on candle [2]: price spiked to $0.0001547 but closed at $0.0000874, a 43% rejection from the high
  • Bullish close on candle [1]: closed at the high ($0.0000917) but on 92.5% lower volume — low-conviction follow-through
  • Volume exhaustion: massive volume spike on launch candle followed by near-total volume collapse
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle structure visible in the 2-candle sequence

Total holders975
24h Δ+926
7d Δ+926
30d Δ+926
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The 926-holder surge in 24 hours directly correlates with the 65.7% price pump, suggesting the price action attracted new buyers rather than organic community growth. The token had exactly 49 holders for the entire prior 30-day period with zero net change, indicating dormancy before a coordinated or viral launch event.

Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours. The token sat at exactly 49 holders for 30 consecutive days (April 15 – May 14, 2026) with zero net change — a highly unusual pattern suggesting the token was pre-loaded or dormant. On May 15, 975 total holders are recorded, implying +926 new holders in a single day. This explosive growth is correlated with the price pump but the -4 holder change in the last hour (-0.41%) suggests early holders are already beginning to exit. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (966 of 975), confirming this is trading-driven rather than community-driven growth.

Top 10 hold26.18%
Top 100 hold66.15%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

CAuxiGghnGy1gTot6FeZUSD3mj3cVR4SqyuCH7Aj1Uce

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address)

13.63%

4DrxgaFhKrGWYXp6haFpQTDtyXPdPsZ9Lac9DZpEj9xP

Individual whale / early buyer

2.13%

AtAQ4HgMVJSiEBQiYTXkjL6q5MX2QWD2z9RRArZjDV4a

Individual whale / early buyer

1.68%

HYSq1KBAvqWpEv1pCbV31muKM1za5A1WSHGdiVLUoNhb

Individual whale / early buyer

1.57%

5foBSCsJQNmCr4eB8WMvqhn1VRWTuGADZLZStmtQrcRp

Individual whale / early buyer

1.36%

The top 10 holders control 26.18% of supply and the top 100 control 66.15%, indicating moderate-to-high concentration. The largest single holder (13.63%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (CAuxiGghnGy1gTot6FeZUSD3mj3cVR4SqyuCH7Aj1Uce), which is expected. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders each hold 1.02%–2.13%, suggesting a relatively even distribution among top individual wallets — no single insider dominates. However, the 66.15% top-100 concentration means the majority of supply is held by a small group. Given the dominant sell pressure and sniper exit behavior, overall whale sentiment is classified as distributing.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported — likely a data anomaly or extremely thin pool)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$104,650
Sell$320,350
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers906
Unique sellers2,191

Market health is poor. The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is either a data reporting issue or reflects an extremely thin PumpSwap pool — either way, it signals severe slippage risk for any meaningful position. The 24h trading profile is heavily skewed toward selling: $320,350 in sell volume (75.4%) vs $104,650 in buy volume (24.6%), with 2,191 unique sellers vs 906 unique buyers. The ratio of sellers to buyers (2.4:1) and sell transactions to buy transactions (6,655 vs 2,345, ratio 2.8:1) confirms this is a distribution event. Net capital flow is clearly outflow. The FDV of $89,659 is extremely small, making this token susceptible to price manipulation and wash trading.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 USP
FDV$89,658.66

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens, a standard meme token supply. FDV is ~$89,659 — extremely small, placing this firmly in micro-cap/nano-cap territory. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. The token is marked as mutable: false, which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed). However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data — these are critical unknowns for rug risk assessment. The absence of a description, unverified contract, and unknown authority status are red flags. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair: CAuxiGghnGy1gTot6FeZUSD3mj3cVR4SqyuCH7Aj1Uce), consistent with a PumpFun-style launch.

Volatility
high

Price moved from $0.0000314 to $0.0001547 and back to $0.0000917 within a single hour — a 392% range. The 5-minute change of -15% confirms extreme ongoing volatility. This is a nano-cap meme token with no price stability mechanisms.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00. Even if this is a data error, the PumpSwap pool for a ~$89K FDV token will have minimal depth. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe price impact and slippage.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 holders control 26.18% of supply (excluding the LP pool at 13.63%, the top 9 individual wallets hold ~12.55%). Top 100 hold 66.15%. Concentration is notable but not extreme at the individual level — no single non-LP wallet holds more than 2.13%.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. 17 of 20 have realized profits, many exceeding 100% PnL. The sell-through rate is high — most sniper positions have been fully or largely liquidated. Ongoing sniper dump risk is moderate (most have already sold), but the pattern confirms this token attracted predatory early buyers.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The contract is unverified. Update authority is unknown. The token is marked mutable: false (positive), but without confirmed renouncement of mint/freeze authorities, the risk of supply manipulation or account freezing cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • 75.4% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 49 holders before sudden pump — suspicious launch pattern
  • 20 snipers mostly already in profit and exited — classic pump-and-dump sniper behavior
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Nano-cap FDV (~$89K) makes price easily manipulated
  • -15% price move in last 5 minutes signals active selling
  • No utility, no description, no verified use case

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered post-deployment
  • No single non-LP wallet holds more than 2.13% — relatively distributed among top holders
  • Pudgy brand association may attract organic meme interest
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggest some community presence
  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

USP is a nano-cap Solana meme token that launched with a coordinated pump, attracting 926 new holders and a 65.7% price gain in 24 hours. However, the overwhelming sell pressure (75.4%), near-zero liquidity, sniper exit behavior, and 30-day dormancy before launch all point to a high-risk distribution event rather than organic growth. The investment case is speculative at best.

Bull case (low)

Secondary meme pump driven by Pudgy Penguins brand association or viral social media attention drives a new wave of buyers, temporarily pushing price back toward the $0.0001547 spike high or beyond.

  • Pudgy Penguins brand recognition attracts meme buyers
  • Broader Solana meme season provides tailwind
  • Influencer or KOL promotion triggers FOMO buying
  • Remaining holders accumulate and create supply squeeze

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.00004–$0.00007 range as initial pump excitement fades. Holder count stabilizes or slowly declines. Token persists as a low-activity meme coin with occasional volume spikes but no sustained uptrend.

  • Some buyers hold for speculative reasons, preventing complete collapse
  • No major negative catalyst (rug pull, freeze) in near term
  • Broader market conditions remain neutral for Solana memes
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate as remaining early buyers and snipers exit. With $0 liquidity and no fundamental support, price retraces to near-launch levels ($0.0000314) or lower, with holder count declining as traders cut losses.

  • Continued 75.4% sell pressure exhausts buy-side
  • Zero liquidity means any selling causes outsized price drops
  • Sniper and whale distribution continues
  • No utility or verified team to sustain community interest
  • Token dormancy pattern suggests coordinated manipulation

GeneratedMay 15, 10:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-15T22:00 UTC. OHLC data covers only 2 hourly candles. Sniper USD amounts are largely unknown.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: 4nYuHrJT6NM2w2aUbroT5TZYtapfLxjECmps3nMGpm6X)
  • PumpSwap pair data (CAuxiGghnGy1gTot6FeZUSD3mj3cVR4SqyuCH7Aj1Uce)
  • Moralis token analytics API
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data error or reflect an empty pool
  • Sniper sniped amounts and many balances are unknown, limiting precise concentration calculation
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority is unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is less than 48 hours old based on holder data — insufficient history for reliable trend analysis
  • No description or whitepaper — fundamental analysis not possible
  • 30-day holder stasis at exactly 49 is anomalous and may indicate data gaps or pre-launch wallet seeding

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially nano-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 USP

Key Risks

$0.00 reported liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
75.4% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
Token was dormant for 30+ days with 49 holders before sudden pump — suspicious launch pattern
20 snipers mostly already in profit and exited — classic pump-and-dump sniper behavior

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of 20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks, 17 have realized profits and most have fully exited their positions. Realized PnL percentages range from 0% to 192.4%, with the majority above 50% and many above 100%. This indicates smart money entered early, pumped the price, and has largely distributed. The high sell-through rate combined with dominant sell pressure (75.4%) strongly suggests the token is in a distribution/exit phase.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.50%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Of 20 identified snipers, the majority have already sold significant portions of their positions. Top sellers include sniper [14] ($3,928 sold, 113.2% PnL), [16] ($3,518 sold, 92.5% PnL), [20] ($3,196 sold, 127.2% PnL), and [1] ($1,558 sold, 99.6% PnL). Only 3 snipers show remaining balances (sniper [8]: $9, [9]: $7, [13]: $9), suggesting most have fully exited.

Bearish — early buyers (snipers) have overwhelmingly taken profits. 15 of 20 snipers show realized PnL above 50%, and the largest sellers have already extracted $3,000–$4,000 each. Only 3 wallets show any remaining balance, and those are tiny ($7–$9). Early buyer sentiment is clearly 'exit on strength'.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for United States of Pudgy (USP)?

The most recent 5-minute candle shows a -15% drop, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 75.4% of 24h volume. With $0 reported liquidity, even modest sell orders can cause severe slippage. The token is likely in a post-pump distribution phase as snipers and early buyers take profits. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000031 to $0.000092.

Is USP a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

How are USP holders trending?

United States of Pudgy currently has 975 holders and is growing (24h: 926, 7d: 926, 30d: 926). Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours. The token sat at exactly 49 holders for 30 consecutive days (April 15 – May 14, 2026) with zero net change — a highly unusual pattern suggesting the token was pre-loaded or dormant. On May 15, 975 total holders are recorded, implying +926 new holders in a single day. This explosive growth is correlated with the price pump but the -4 holder change in the last hour (-0.41%) suggests early holders are already beginning to exit. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (966 of 975), confirming this is trading-driven rather than community-driven growth.

What does sniper activity look like for USP?

Snipers hold roughly 0.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding USP?

$0.00 reported liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk • 75.4% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 49 holders before sudden pump — suspicious launch pattern

Track USP