REF

Reflection Price Today & AI Analysis

REFSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 7, 2026

Price

$0.000171

+254.11% 24h

Contract

Live
4g2ToCkuFSBdW8GTJWMgnL7hGH2b2G2WkxgmS87Rpump

Chain

Holders

1,120

Market cap

$164,665

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Reflection: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-07 13:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,120

Top 10 supply share

16.93%

Reported liquidity

$19,680.00
How concentrated is Reflection ownership?
As of 2026-10-07 13:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.93% of supply. It reports 1,120 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Reflection?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-07 13:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $413,341.00 in buys and $404,445.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Reflection liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +632.05%, from $2,696.83 (2026-10-07 08:00 UTC) to $19,742.13 (2026-10-07 13:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-07 13:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-07 08:00 UTC$2,696.83
2026-10-07 09:00 UTC$3,225.99
2026-10-07 10:00 UTC$3,045.72
2026-10-07 11:00 UTC$17,168.72
2026-10-07 12:00 UTC$14,801.18
2026-10-07 13:00 UTC$19,742.13

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 7, 01:15 PM UTC

FDV

$164,665

Liquidity

$19,680.00

Holders

1,120

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

Reflection (REF) is a PumpSwap-traded Solana token with a ~$164.7K FDV and only ~$19.68K liquidity. Price went from a flat ~$0.0000022 to ~$0.000171 within hours (+254% reported 24h). Volume of ~$817K in 24h against ~$19.7K liquidity is extreme, and the 5m change is -9.4%. Authority and sniper data are unavailable.

Key points

  • Price flat with zero volume for 18 hourly candles, then a vertical spike over ~6 hours
  • 24h volume (~$817K) is over 40x liquidity ($19.68K)
  • Top-10 supply share 16.93% across 1,120 holder addresses
  • Mint/freeze authority and sniper data not available

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-72 hours

neutral

After a parabolic spike with a long upper wick (high ~0.000302 vs close ~0.000171) and -9.4% over 5m, outcomes are binary: sharp mean reversion or continued speculative volatility. No reliable directional edge.

Target low

$0.00005

Target high

$0.00030

Support

$0.000081, $0.000038, $0.0000209

Resistance

$0.000220, $0.000302

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Only about 6 active hours of history exist; medium-term direction cannot be reliably inferred. Thin liquidity makes the price highly sensitive to flows.

Catalysts

  • Sustained volume and liquidity growth
  • Social/narrative traction around the 'autonomous systems' theme
  • Liquidity additions or removals

Bullish factors

  • Buy pressure 50.5% with 8,546 buys vs 5,925 sells
  • 2,949 buyers vs 2,496 sellers
  • +81% in the last hour
  • Top-10 share of 16.93% is moderate

Bearish factors

  • Parabolic ~77x rise from the flat base
  • Upper wicks on candles 22-24 show heavy selling at highs
  • Volume dropped from 442K to 74K in the latest candle
  • Liquidity only $19.68K
  • -9.4% over 5 minutes

Confidence: low. Very short trading history, a parabolic move, thin liquidity and missing authority/sniper data.

REF call history

Full track record →

Oct 7neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4g2ToC...pump
Total Supply
962,448,862.22

Key Risks

  • Parabolic price spike prone to sharp reversal
  • Very thin liquidity relative to volume
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • No sniper or insider data

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Candles 1-18 are perfectly flat at $0.00000221 with zero volume. From candle 19 (08:00) price rose in successive higher highs and higher closes: 0.0000036, 0.0000074, 0.0000209, 0.000138. Candle 23 reversed (high 0.000302, close 0.0000966). Candle 24 recovered to close at 0.000171 with much lower volume.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term strongly up from the flat base but with an extreme blow-off style spike; medium-term not determinable from the flat prior history.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000081

Major support

$0.0000209

Immediate resistance

$0.000220

Major resistance

$0.000302

Levels are derived from the candle 22-24 lows and highs; with so little history they are unreliable.

Notable patterns

  • Flat zero-volume base followed by a vertical breakout
  • Long upper wick (shooting-star-like) on candle 23
  • Higher highs and higher lows from candles 19-22
  • Volume spike then decline

Liquidity

Liquidity

$19,680.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity of $19.68K is about 12% of the $164.66K FDV, and 24h volume is over 40x liquidity. Net flow is roughly balanced (+$8.9K buy). 8,546 buys vs 5,925 sells. Large trades would move the price substantially, and the liquidity lock/ownership status is unknown.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

962,448,862.22

FDV

$164.66K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +254% in 24h, a ~77x rise in 6 hours, and a -9.4% 5m move.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $19.68K liquidity against ~$817K 24h volume.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Top-10 share is 16.93%, but wallet classification and top-100 data are unavailable, so risk cannot be classified.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Parabolic price spike prone to sharp reversal
  • Very thin liquidity relative to volume
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • No sniper or insider data
  • Very short trading history (~6 active hours)
  • Unverified project claims in the description

Mitigating factors

  • Balanced buy/sell volume
  • 2,949 buyers and 2,496 sellers in 24h
  • Top-10 share of 16.93% (unclassified)

Suitable for

Only suitable for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss. Not financial advice.

A high-volatility, newly active micro-cap with strong momentum but thin liquidity and substantial unknowns. Informational only, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum and the narrative attract more liquidity and buyers, holding gains above ~$0.00008.

  • Sustained buy pressure
  • Liquidity growth
  • Community or narrative traction

Base Case

Choppy, volatile trading with a partial retracement and wide swings.

  • Volume continues to decline from the peak
  • Liquidity stays thin
  • No major new catalyst

Bear Case

High probability

The spike fully retraces toward the earlier base as early buyers take profit in thin liquidity.

  • Blow-off pattern with upper wicks
  • Declining volume
  • Shallow liquidity
  • Unknown authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 7, 01:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-07 13:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Hourly OHLC candles (24)
  • Trading analytics
  • Holder aggregates (current snapshot)

Limitations

  • No sniper data
  • No mint/freeze authority checks
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Only ~6 hours of non-flat price history
  • Liquidity lock status unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly risky; do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Reflection ownership?

As of 2026-10-07 13:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.93% of supply. It reports 1,120 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Reflection?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-07 13:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $413,341.00 in buys and $404,445.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Reflection liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +632.05%, from $2,696.83 (2026-10-07 08:00 UTC) to $19,742.13 (2026-10-07 13:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Reflection (REF)?

After a parabolic spike with a long upper wick (high ~0.000302 vs close ~0.000171) and -9.4% over 5m, outcomes are binary: sharp mean reversion or continued speculative volatility. No reliable directional edge. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-72 hours), with a target range of $0.00005 to $0.00030.

Is REF a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. Only suitable for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss. Not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding REF?

Parabolic price spike prone to sharp reversal • Very thin liquidity relative to volume • Unknown mint/freeze authorities

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