Sovicat

Soviet Cat Price Today & AI Analysis

SovicatSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 5, 2026

Price

$0.053349

FDV $3,273

Contract

Live
2rNwFkn6Y44P36rWsJyPyAe36HC3jFiBKfz5ekCcpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

170

Market cap

$3,273

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 5, 01:16 AM UTC

FDV

$100,323

Liquidity

$39,170

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Soviet Cat (Sovicat) is a meme token on Solana launched on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.0001026. The token has experienced a dramatic 117.7% 24h price surge, but this is accompanied by extremely heavy sell pressure (79.9% of volume), shallow liquidity (~$39K), and a very low FDV of ~$100K. The token is unverified and authority status is unknown, making it a high-risk speculative asset.

Key points

  • 117.7% 24h price pump driven by speculative momentum
  • Extremely heavy sell pressure: 79.9% of 24h volume is sells ($227.76K vs $57.24K buys)
  • Very shallow liquidity at ~$39K total, creating high slippage risk
  • Launched on PumpSwap — typical meme/pump-and-dump launchpad environment
  • Mutable=false provides some immutability assurance; update authority unknown

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Despite the 117.7% 24h pump, the most recent hourly candle (01:00 UTC) shows a sharp pullback from H:$0.0001449 to C:$0.0001089, and the 5-minute change is already -8.06%. Sell pressure dominates at 79.9% of volume. The price is likely to continue retracing toward the $0.000035–$0.000052 support zone unless fresh buy volume enters.

Target low

$0.000035

Target high

$0.000145

Support

$0.000052 (candle [3] open / candle [2] close area), $0.000039–$0.000042 (candle [3]–[4] close cluster), $0.000025–$0.000031 (candle [4]–[5] lows)

Resistance

$0.000109 (candle [1] close / current price area), $0.000128–$0.000137 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open), $0.000145–$0.000160 (candle [1]–[2] highs / all-time high in data)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained buy-side demand, the token faces continued distribution pressure. The sell-to-buy ratio of nearly 4:1 in transactions (3,674 sells vs 951 buys) and 1,340 sellers vs 229 buyers signals broad distribution. Shallow liquidity means even modest selling can crater the price. A return to pre-pump levels (~$0.000035–$0.000050) is the base expectation.

Catalysts

  • Any new social media catalyst or influencer mention could reignite buying
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity addition by team or whales could stabilize price
  • Failure to hold $0.000052 support would accelerate decline

Bullish factors

  • 117.7% 24h price appreciation demonstrates speculative momentum
  • 1h price change of +105.7% shows recent explosive upside
  • 951 buy transactions in 24h indicates some active buyer interest
  • Meme coin narrative (Soviet Cat) may attract social media attention

Bearish factors

  • 79.9% of 24h volume is sell-side ($227.76K sells vs $57.24K buys)
  • 3,674 sells vs 951 buys — nearly 4:1 transaction ratio favoring sellers
  • 1,340 unique sellers vs only 229 unique buyers in 24h
  • Total liquidity only ~$39K — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Most recent candle shows bearish reversal from intrabar high
  • 5-minute price change already -8.06% at time of analysis
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • FDV of only ~$100K limits institutional interest

Confidence: low. Only 5 hourly candles are available, no sniper data, no holder data, and the token is a low-liquidity meme coin with highly erratic price action. Predictions are directional estimates only.

Sovicat call history

Full track record →

Aug 5bearish
24h-81.3%
7d-95.3%
30d-96.4%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2rNwFk...pump
Total Supply
977,767,107.35

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 79.9% of 24h volume is sells, 1,340 sellers vs 229 buyers
  • Shallow liquidity (~$39K) creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug or freeze risk cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data is available for Soviet Cat. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The broader trading analytics, however, show a heavily sell-dominated market: 3,674 sell transactions vs 951 buys, and 1,340 unique sellers vs 229 unique buyers in 24h. This pattern is consistent with early buyers distributing into retail demand generated by the price pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data provided. However, the extreme sell-to-buy ratio (nearly 4:1 by transaction count) suggests early participants or informed traders are actively distributing. The 117.7% pump likely provided profitable exit opportunities for anyone who entered before the spike.

Deep Analysis

Five hourly candles show a volatile pump-and-partial-retrace pattern. Candle [5] (21:00): small body with long upper wick, O:$0.0000383, H:$0.0001051, C:$0.0000501 — bullish but with significant rejection at highs. Candle [4] (22:00): massive range candle, O:$0.0000493, H:$0.0001331, L:$0.0000254, C:$0.0000420 — shooting star / bearish engulf of upper range, very high volume ($93K). Candle [3] (23:00): lower range, O:$0.0000419, H:$0.0000893, C:$0.0000522 — modest recovery. Candle [2] (00:00): explosive candle, O:$0.0000523, H:$0.0001599, C:$0.0001283 — strong bull candle, highest high in dataset, highest volume ($45.6K after the $93K spike). Candle [1] (01:00): bearish reversal, O:$0.0001374, H:$0.0001449, C:$0.0001089 — lower close, bearish engulfing of open, declining volume ($9.8K). Overall pattern: pump with multiple upper-wick rejections and a bearish reversal on the most recent candle.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

The medium-term trend over the 5-candle window is upward (price moved from ~$0.000038 open to current ~$0.000103), but the short-term (last 1–2 candles) shows a clear bearish reversal with lower close and declining volume, suggesting the pump may be exhausting.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

20%

Sell

80%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000104 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.000025–$0.000031 (candle [4] low / candle [5] low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000128–$0.000137 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open)

Major resistance

$0.000145–$0.000160 (candle [1] high / candle [2] high — dataset peak)

The $0.000104 level (candle [1] low) is the first line of defense. A break below opens a path to $0.000052 (candle [3] open). Major resistance sits at the dataset highs of $0.000145–$0.000160. The wide candle bodies and long upper wicks throughout suggest price discovery is volatile and support levels are not well-established.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / upper-wick rejection on candle [4] at $0.0001331 high
  • Bearish reversal candle [1]: lower close relative to open after gap-up open
  • Volume climax followed by sharp volume decline (bearish divergence)
  • Multiple long upper wicks across candles [4], [5] indicating repeated sell pressure at highs
  • Pump-and-dump price structure: rapid ascent followed by partial retrace

Liquidity

Liquidity

$39,170

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at ~$39.17K on PumpSwap pair DUwrC5w9ozEZjyt2ecxzuqpPNdSGjxDhf83FiKpmxzcw. With an FDV of ~$100K and only $39K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~39%, which is low for a healthy market. Slippage risk is high — any moderately sized trade will move the price significantly. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $227.76K in sell volume vs only $57.24K in buy volume, representing a net outflow of ~$170.5K. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 1,340:229 (~5.85:1) confirms broad distribution pressure. The market is in an unhealthy state with sellers vastly outnumbering buyers despite the price pump, suggesting the pump was driven by a small number of aggressive buyers overwhelmed by a much larger cohort of sellers.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$57,240

Sell volume

$227,760

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

229

Unique sellers

1,340

Supply & authorities

Total supply

977,767,107.35

FDV

$100,323.06

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Soviet Cat has a total supply of ~977.77 million tokens with an FDV of ~$100.3K at current prices. The token has 6 decimals, standard for Solana SPL tokens. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, preventing a definitive assessment of mint or freeze authority status. The token is marked as mutable=false, which provides some assurance that metadata cannot be changed, but this does not speak to mint or freeze authority. The contract is unverified. The low FDV of ~$100K means the token is in micro-cap territory, amplifying both upside and downside volatility. Authority risks cannot be ruled out given the unknown authority status.

  • Volatilityhigh

    117.7% 24h price swing with intraday range from ~$0.000025 to ~$0.000160 — a ~6.3x range within hours. The 5-minute price is already -8.06%. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's trading behavior.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only ~$39.17K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe price impact. Exit liquidity is extremely limited.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Holder distribution data is unavailable, so concentration cannot be measured directly. However, the 1,340 sellers vs 229 buyers pattern and the meme token launchpad context suggest concentration risk is elevated. Default high risk applied due to data absence and token profile.

  • Sniper Dumplow

    No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. Set to low per policy when sniper data is absent — this does not mean the risk is confirmed absent, only that it cannot be measured.

  • Authoritymedium

    Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. Mutable=false provides partial assurance on metadata immutability, but authority risks remain unresolved.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 79.9% of 24h volume is sells, 1,340 sellers vs 229 buyers
  • Shallow liquidity (~$39K) creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug or freeze risk cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$100K) subject to extreme manipulation
  • Price already showing bearish reversal signals after the pump
  • PumpSwap launchpad tokens have historically high failure/dump rates
  • No holder distribution data available to assess concentration risk

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some project presence
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Active trading with 1,389 unique wallets in 24h shows genuine market participation

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme token dynamics on Solana. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

Soviet Cat (Sovicat) is a high-risk Solana meme token that has experienced a sharp 117.7% pump in 24 hours but is showing clear signs of distribution. The overwhelming sell pressure (79.9% of volume, ~5.85:1 seller-to-buyer ratio), shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and unverified contract make this a speculative trade at best. The token may offer short-term momentum plays for experienced traders but carries substantial risk of rapid price collapse.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A viral social media moment or influencer endorsement reignites buying interest, pushing the price back toward the $0.000145–$0.000160 resistance zone (dataset highs). Sustained community building could gradually improve liquidity and holder base.

  • Viral meme/social media catalyst
  • Broader Solana meme season rally
  • Influencer or KOL promotion
  • Liquidity addition stabilizing the pool

Base Case

The token stabilizes in the $0.000042–$0.000080 range after the pump exhausts, with low but persistent trading activity. Price gradually drifts lower over days/weeks as initial excitement fades without new catalysts.

  • No new major catalysts emerge
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels
  • Sell pressure moderates but buyers remain scarce
  • Token is not abandoned or rugged in the near term

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity is drained, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels of $0.000025–$0.000038. In a worst case, the token is abandoned entirely and liquidity is removed.

  • Continued 4:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio
  • Shallow liquidity unable to absorb selling
  • Unknown authority risk materializing (freeze or rug)
  • No fundamental value proposition beyond meme narrative
  • Typical PumpSwap token lifecycle ending in abandonment

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 5, 01:16 AM UTC

Data freshness

Price and OHLC data current as of 2026-08-05T01:00:00Z (most recent hourly candle). Trading analytics reflect 24h window ending at analysis time.

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana SPL token program)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • OHLC price candles (hourly, 5 candles)
  • 24h trading volume and wallet analytics
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 5 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder count or distribution data available (endpoints retired)
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Update authority status is unknown — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Contract is unverified — no audit or code review available
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no cross-venue price discovery
  • Meme token with no fundamental valuation anchor
  • 6h and 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics data, which may reflect a data artifact or calculation methodology difference from the OHLC-derived figures

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Soviet Cat (Sovicat)?

Despite the 117.7% 24h pump, the most recent hourly candle (01:00 UTC) shows a sharp pullback from H:$0.0001449 to C:$0.0001089, and the 5-minute change is already -8.06%. Sell pressure dominates at 79.9% of volume. The price is likely to continue retracing toward the $0.000035–$0.000052 support zone unless fresh buy volume enters. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000035 to $0.000145.

Is Sovicat a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme token dynamics on Solana. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What does sniper activity look like for Sovicat?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Sovicat?

Extreme sell pressure: 79.9% of 24h volume is sells, 1,340 sellers vs 229 buyers • Shallow liquidity (~$39K) creates high slippage and exit risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug or freeze risk cannot be ruled out

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