蛙侍

SamuraPEPE Price Today & AI Analysis

蛙侍SolanaAnalysis as of May 22, 2026

Price

$0.000299

FDV $298,964

Contract

Live
2tkcnxyqy3FaKfPCEDpziHhcP7nNNbcxrLBZ6X5Rpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

209

Market cap

$298,964

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SamuraPEPE: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-22 15:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,007

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is SamuraPEPE ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,007 addresses (2026-05-22 15:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling SamuraPEPE?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is SamuraPEPE liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-22 15:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 22, 03:17 PM UTC

FDV

$256,359

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

1,007

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

SamuraPEPE (蛙侍) is a newly launched Solana meme token on PumpSwap with mint address 2tkcnxyqy3FaKfPCEDpziHhcP7nNNbcxrLBZ6X5Rpump. The token launched with extreme recency — holder count was flat at 12 for the entire prior 30-day period, then exploded to 1,007 holders within the last 24 hours (+995 holders, +99%). The 24h price change of +458.5% signals a classic pump-phase launch. Total supply is 1 billion tokens with a current FDV of ~$256K. Liquidity is reported at $0.00 on-chain, raising significant concerns about exit liquidity. The token has no verified contract, no social links, and no description — hallmarks of a speculative micro-cap meme launch.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h holder growth from 12 to 1,007 (+995 holders, +99%) indicating a brand-new viral launch
  • 458.5% 24h price appreciation with high trading volume (~$1.376M combined buy/sell)
  • Top 10 holders control only 21.2% of supply — relatively distributed for a new launch
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) creating extreme slippage and exit risk
  • 20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks, most showing significant realized profits (several >100% PnL)

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The most recent hourly candle (15:00 UTC) opened at $0.000212, spiked to $0.000391 (all-time high), then collapsed to close at $0.0000345 — an 84% intra-candle crash. The 5-minute price change is -23.3%, confirming active selling pressure. The current price of $0.000256 is a partial recovery from the candle close low but remains well below the intra-hour high. Short-term outlook is bearish with high volatility.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000390

Support

$0.000034 (candle 1 close / candle 2 open), $0.000020 (estimated pre-pump baseline)

Resistance

$0.000256 (current price), $0.000299 (candle 2 high), $0.000391 (all-time high, candle 1 high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without verified liquidity, social presence, or utility, sustaining price appreciation beyond the initial pump is unlikely. Sniper profit-taking and early holder distribution will likely suppress price. A retest of sub-$0.000050 levels is plausible if buying momentum fades.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media traction (currently absent — no links provided)
  • New exchange listings or PumpFun graduation
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices

Bullish factors

  • 458.5% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial demand
  • 2,024 unique buyers in 24h shows broad retail participation
  • Relatively distributed top-10 concentration (21.2%) vs typical new launches
  • Meme coin narrative (Pepe + Samurai) has proven viral potential in prior cycles

Bearish factors

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) — extreme exit risk
  • Most recent candle shows 84% intra-hour price collapse from high to close
  • 5-minute price change of -23.3% confirms active selling
  • Snipers with 100–379% realized PnL are likely distributing into retail buyers
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — minimal project legitimacy signals
  • Sell transactions (5,113) outnumber buy transactions (4,035) in 24h
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 12 holders before sudden activation

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old in terms of active trading, liquidity is reported at $0.00, and price action is extremely volatile. Prediction confidence is inherently low for such a nascent, speculative asset.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2tkcnx...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity creates extreme exit risk and slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 12 holders — suggests pre-mine or insider accumulation before public launch
  • Snipers with up to 379.7% realized PnL actively distributing into retail buyers
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract — minimal project legitimacy

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle 2 (14:00 UTC): O=$0.0000345, H=$0.000299, L=$0.0000345, C=$0.000201 — a strong bullish candle with a long lower wick, closing near the upper range. Volume: $1.026M. Candle 1 (15:00 UTC): O=$0.000212, H=$0.000391, L=$0.000202, C=$0.0000345 — a bearish engulfing / shooting star pattern. Price spiked to $0.000391 (all-time high) then collapsed 91% to close at $0.0000345. Volume: $305K. This two-candle sequence shows a classic pump-and-dump pattern: explosive breakout followed by a sharp reversal.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend has reversed sharply bearish after the candle 1 high of $0.000391. The current price of $0.000256 represents a partial recovery from the $0.0000345 close, but the dominant pattern is a failed breakout with heavy selling at the top.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

49%

Sell

51%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000034 (candle 1 close / candle 2 open — key pivot level)

Major support

$0.000020 (estimated pre-pump baseline)

Immediate resistance

$0.000299 (candle 2 high)

Major resistance

$0.000391 (all-time high, candle 1 high)

The $0.0000345 level is the most critical pivot — it served as both the open of the initial pump candle and the close of the subsequent dump candle. A break below this level would signal full reversal. The $0.000391 ATH is strong resistance given the heavy selling that occurred there.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle 1 (15:00 UTC) — high of $0.000391 closing at $0.0000345
  • Bullish hammer on candle 2 (14:00 UTC) — opened at lows, closed near highs
  • Classic pump-and-dump two-candle sequence
  • Volume declining on the recovery — bearish divergence
  • No prior price history to establish longer-term trend context

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$256,359.30

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    458.5% 24h price gain followed by an 84% intra-candle collapse from $0.000391 to $0.0000345. Current 5-minute change of -23.3%. Extreme volatility typical of new meme launches.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity creates extreme exit risk and slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 12 holders — suggests pre-mine or insider accumulation before public launch
  • Snipers with up to 379.7% realized PnL actively distributing into retail buyers
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract — minimal project legitimacy
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle pattern observed in the only 2 available hourly candles
  • Sell transactions (5,113) outnumber buy transactions (4,035) in 24h
  • Mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed

Mitigating factors

  • Relatively healthy supply distribution — top 10 at 21.2%, no single whale dominates
  • Broad retail participation with 2,515 unique wallets in 24h
  • mutable=false metadata reduces certain manipulation vectors
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically includes mint authority burn upon graduation
  • High trading volume ($1.376M) demonstrates genuine market interest

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap meme token risks.

SamuraPEPE is a brand-new Solana meme token in the early hours of its public launch. The bull case rests entirely on viral meme momentum and continued retail FOMO. The bear case — which is more probable given the data — centers on zero confirmed liquidity, active sniper distribution, and a classic pump-and-dump technical pattern. This is a high-risk speculative play with asymmetric downside.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme traction drives continued holder growth beyond 1,007, social media presence emerges, and the token graduates the PumpFun bonding curve with deep liquidity. Price recovers above $0.000391 ATH and establishes a new trading range.

  • Organic viral spread of the Samurai + Pepe meme narrative on Twitter/Telegram
  • PumpFun bonding curve graduation adding permanent liquidity
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices establishing a price floor

Base Case

Token experiences continued high volatility with multiple pump-and-dump cycles over the next 24–72 hours. Price oscillates between $0.000034 and $0.000299. Holder count grows to 2,000–5,000 but stabilizes. Without liquidity or community development, the token fades to near-zero within 1–2 weeks.

  • Meme narrative generates moderate but not viral social traction
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero, allowing some trading activity
  • Snipers complete their distribution within 24–48 hours
  • No major exchange listings or influencer endorsements materialize

Bear Case

High probability

Sniper and early holder distribution overwhelms retail buying pressure. Liquidity remains near zero, causing catastrophic slippage on exits. Price collapses back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000020 or lower). Token becomes dormant again.

  • Continued sniper profit-taking (16/20 snipers already in significant profit)
  • Zero confirmed on-chain liquidity making large exits impossible without severe price impact
  • No social presence or community to sustain narrative momentum
  • Sell transaction dominance (5,113 sells vs 4,035 buys) indicating distribution phase
  • 30-day dormancy before launch suggests coordinated insider activity

Analysis details

Generated

May 22, 03:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-22 15:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, supply, authority fields)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (2 hourly candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (total holders, tier breakdown, top 20 addresses)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily data)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers identified)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — possible data anomaly; true liquidity depth unconfirmed
  • Sniper sniped amounts (USD) are unknown — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — inferred from partial metadata
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • No social links or community data available for sentiment analysis
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in active trading — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • FDV reported as $0.00 in analytics section but $256,359 in metadata — data inconsistency noted

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is SamuraPEPE ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,007 addresses (2026-05-22 15:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling SamuraPEPE?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is SamuraPEPE liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for SamuraPEPE (蛙侍)?

The most recent hourly candle (15:00 UTC) opened at $0.000212, spiked to $0.000391 (all-time high), then collapsed to close at $0.0000345 — an 84% intra-candle crash. The 5-minute price change is -23.3%, confirming active selling pressure. The current price of $0.000256 is a partial recovery from the candle close low but remains well below the intra-hour high. Short-term outlook is bearish with high volatility. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000390.

Is 蛙侍 a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap meme token risks.

What are the key risks of holding 蛙侍?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity creates extreme exit risk and slippage • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 12 holders — suggests pre-mine or insider accumulation before public launch • Snipers with up to 379.7% realized PnL actively distributing into retail buyers

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