thUSD

thUSD Price Today & AI Analysis

thUSDEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$0.9995

+0.01% 24h

Contract

Live
0xa3fe5c7596024e6811e14f029937d5bd8ae485b3

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

202

Market cap

$134.30M

Liquidity

$235.81K

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thUSD: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 17:30 UTC

Holder addresses

202

Top 10 supply share

95.60%

Reported liquidity

$235,805.00
How concentrated is thUSD ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 17:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 95.60% of supply. It reports 202 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling thUSD?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 17:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $232,067.00 in buys and $3,019.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is thUSD liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -3.75%, from $6,066,415.36 (2026-09-21 19:00 UTC) to $5,839,144.05 (2026-09-22 16:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 17:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 19:00 UTC$6,066,415.36
2026-09-21 20:00 UTC$6,066,253.35
2026-09-21 21:00 UTC$6,043,253.68
2026-09-22 06:00 UTC$6,043,170.86
2026-09-22 10:00 UTC$6,026,639.80
2026-09-22 14:00 UTC$5,943,943.45
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC$5,839,144.05

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 22, 2026, 05:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$134.30M

24h Volume

$235.09K

Liquidity

$235.81K

FDV

—

Holders

202

24h

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Ask Unhosted AI about thUSD

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

thUSD is a 5.5-month-old Ethereum token trading on Uniswap at $0.9995, with a $134.3M market cap and fully circulating supply. Its price history shows an extremely tight $0.9785–$1.00 range with 0.1% daily volatility, consistent with a peg-like design, but this sits atop only $235,805 of on-chain liquidity and a highly concentrated holder base (top 10 holders own 95.6% of supply across just 202 wallets). No project description, category data, security score, or holder-list data is available, which limits fundamental and risk verification considerably.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 22, 2026, 05:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely low observed volatility (0.1% daily stdev) versus typical crypto assets
  • 100% of total supply already circulating with no FDV/market-cap gap
  • Very thin liquidity-to-market-cap ratio (~0.18%) relative to its $134.3M valuation

thUSD AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

Daily closes have stayed within a 0.9950–0.9995 band for the last two weeks with 90d volatility of just 0.1%, and the token currently sits at the top of its 91-day range at $0.9995. With 7d and 30d change both flat at 0.0%, there is no directional trend to extrapolate over the next week.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

The 90d trend of +0.1% and a 91-day trading range of only $0.9785–$1.00 show a price that behaves like a maintained peg rather than a token with directional momentum. Absent a liquidity shock or large holder exit, the base case is continuation of range-bound trading near $1.00.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy volume of $232,067 vastly exceeds sell volume of $3,019 (98.7% buy pressure), indicating net demand in the current session
  • Price has held a tight $0.9785–$1.00 band with only 0.1% daily volatility over the full 91-day history, showing operational peg stability to date
  • 100% of total supply (134,366,400.81 tokens) is already circulating, removing future unlock/dilution overhang

Bearish Factors

  • Total on-chain liquidity of $235,805 is under 0.2% of the $134.3M market cap, leaving the peg vulnerable to slippage or a de-peg event from a single large trade
  • Top 10 holders control 95.6% of supply across only 202 total holders, with no per-wallet data available to rule out concentrated dump risk
  • 24h activity is very thin in absolute terms — only 16 total transactions (8 buys, 8 sells) — so the strong buy/sell volume skew likely reflects one or a few large trades rather than broad organic demand

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

thUSD call history

Full track record →

Sep 22neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xa3fe...85b3
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Liquidity of $235,805 against a $134.3M market cap creates a severe liquidity-to-valuation mismatch and slippage risk for any sizeable trade
  • 95.6% of supply held by the top 10 wallets among only 202 total holders, with no data available to determine whether these are protocol contracts or individually dumpable positions
  • No security audit, contract verification, or project documentation is available, leaving the peg mechanism and code risk entirely unverified
  • 24h trading activity is thin (16 total transactions), meaning the observed buy-dominant volume could reflect a small number of large trades rather than durable demand

Trading Insight

bullish

24h trading shows a strong buy-side skew, with $232,067 in buy volume against only $3,019 in sell volume (98.7% buy pressure), even though transaction counts are balanced at 8 buys and 8 sells. This suggests the volume imbalance is driven by a small number of larger buy orders rather than broad-based participation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

7d and 30d price change are both flat at 0.0%, and 90d change is only +0.1%, confirming a sideways, range-bound market rather than any emerging directional trend. Recent daily closes have clustered tightly between $0.9950 and $0.9995.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

With daily volatility of just 0.1% and price sitting at 98% of its 91-day range ($0.9785–$1.00), there is no meaningful overbought/oversold signal to extract; the token is behaving as a stable, low-momentum instrument rather than a trending asset.

Volume Analysis

Buy

98.7%

Sell

1.3%

Volume Trend

Stable

Only a 24h volume figure is available, so a multi-day volume trend cannot be confirmed. Within that 24h window, buy volume ($232,067) overwhelmingly dominates sell volume ($3,019), though this is generated by just 16 total transactions.

Recent Price Action

Daily closes have held almost flat around $0.9993–$0.9994 for an extended stretch, dipped briefly to $0.9950, and recovered to $0.9995 in the most recent session.

This pattern of tight clustering with a brief dip and quick recovery is typical of an asset defending a soft peg near $1.00, with minor deviations quickly arbitraged back toward the anchor price.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.9994

Major support

$0.9785

Immediate resistance

$0.9995

Major resistance

$1

These OHLC-derived levels show an unusually narrow band: immediate support and resistance are separated by only $0.0001, while major support ($0.9785) and major resistance ($1.00) mark the full 91-day extremes. A sustained break below $0.9785 would be the first real signal of peg stress, while a move to $1.00 would represent the top of the observed historical range.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

66/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityLow

    Daily volatility is just 0.1% and the 91-day range spans only $0.9785–$1.00, showing very stable price behavior to date.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $235,805 represents under 0.2% of the $134.3M market cap, meaning larger trades could face significant slippage or price impact.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders control 95.6% of supply across only 202 total holders; no per-wallet classification is available to confirm whether this is protocol-held or individually dumpable supply, so the high aggregate concentration itself is treated as elevated risk.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The token's price behavior resembles a pegged/stable-value asset, a category facing increasing global regulatory scrutiny; however, no documentation confirms its structure, adding uncertainty to this classification.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity of $235,805 against a $134.3M market cap creates a severe liquidity-to-valuation mismatch and slippage risk for any sizeable trade
  • 95.6% of supply held by the top 10 wallets among only 202 total holders, with no data available to determine whether these are protocol contracts or individually dumpable positions
  • No security audit, contract verification, or project documentation is available, leaving the peg mechanism and code risk entirely unverified
  • 24h trading activity is thin (16 total transactions), meaning the observed buy-dominant volume could reflect a small number of large trades rather than durable demand

Mitigating Factors

  • Price has held within a tight $0.9785–$1.00 band with 0.1% daily volatility across the full 91-day history, showing consistent operational stability to date
  • 100% of total supply is already circulating, removing the risk of future unlock-driven sell pressure

Investor Suitability

This token may only be appropriate for investors seeking stable-value-like exposure who independently verify the peg mechanism and backing before allocating capital, and who can tolerate thin liquidity and unverifiable holder concentration; it is not suited to investors seeking price appreciation or those unable to conduct independent due diligence on the missing fundamental and security data.

thUSD exhibits price behavior consistent with a pegged asset — a tight $0.9785–$1.00 range and 0.1% daily volatility over 91 days — but this stability sits on top of just $235,805 in liquidity against a $134.3M market cap and 95.6% top-10 holder concentration, creating structural fragility beneath the surface-level calm.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If thUSD has a credible, verifiable backing or redemption mechanism, its demonstrated peg stability and current buy-dominant flow ($232,067 buy vs $3,019 sell in 24h) could support its continued use as a stable-value instrument.

  • 91-day track record of holding within a narrow $0.9785–$1.00 band
  • Strong 24h buy-side volume skew (98.7% buy pressure)

Base Case

Absent a major liquidity event or large holder action, price likely continues trading within the observed $0.9785–$1.00 range, consistent with the last 91 days of behavior.

  • No large holder among the top 10 (95.6% of supply) initiates a significant sell-off
  • Daily trading activity remains low and routine, similar to the 16 total transactions observed in the last 24h

Bear Case

Medium probability

Given liquidity of only $235,805 against a $134.3M market cap and 95.6% of supply concentrated in the top 10 holders, a large holder exit or liquidity withdrawal could trigger a rapid de-peg with limited on-chain depth to absorb the shock.

  • Liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of roughly 0.18%, well below what would be needed to absorb large sell orders without slippage
  • No holder classification data available to rule out concentrated dump risk from the top 10 wallets

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 22, 2026, 05:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 17:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.999522631675

Market Cap

$134.30M

24h Volume

$235.1K

Holders

202

Liquidity

$235,805.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Individual holder wallet identities and classifications could not be verified, limiting concentration-risk precision
  • Smart money / profitable trader cohort data was unavailable, so early-buyer and smart-money behavior could not be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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