IOTX

IOTX Price Today & AI Analysis

IOTXEthereumAnalysis as of Aug 10, 2026

Price

$0.001096

-65.58% 24h

Contract

Live
0x6fb3e0a217407efff7ca062d46c26e5d60a14d69

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

24.1K

Market cap

$10.96M

Liquidity

$365.00

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IOTX: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-10 13:31 UTC

Holder addresses

23,717

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$46,225.42
How concentrated is IOTX ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 23,717 addresses (2026-08-10 13:31 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling IOTX?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is IOTX liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-10 13:31 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,225.42. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-10 13:31 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 10, 2026, 01:31 PM UTC

Market Cap

$63.36M

24h Volume

$12.43K

Liquidity

$46.23K

FDV

—

Holders

23,717

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

IoTeX Network (IOTX) is a nearly 8-year-old DePIN and Internet of Things infrastructure project with a $63.4M market cap and a fully circulating supply of 10 billion tokens. The token is currently trading at $0.006711, sitting at just 10% of its 85-day price range, reflecting a sustained 30-day decline of -16.2% that has pushed it close to multi-month lows. On-chain activity is minimal — only 40 transactions in the past 24 hours with 88.4% sell pressure — and liquidity on the Uniswap v3 pool is critically thin at $46,225. Despite its established project history and smart money profitability track record, the current technical and flow data paint a bearish near-term picture.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 10, 2026, 01:31 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • One of the oldest DePIN/IoT blockchain infrastructure projects, launched in May 2018, with a verified contract and nearly 8 years of operational history
  • Smart money traders have extracted over $1.5M in combined realized profits from this token, confirming it has historically generated significant returns for active traders
  • Fully circulating supply with no future unlock events, removing a common source of structured sell pressure found in newer token launches

IOTX AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

IOTX is trading at $0.006711, sitting at just 10% of its 85-day range ($0.005264–$0.01963), reflecting a deeply depressed price position. The 30-day trend of -16.2% dominates the short-term picture, and the recent daily close sequence shows a persistent drift lower from $0.006901 to $0.006557 before a modest stabilization. With 88.4% sell pressure and zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours, near-term downside pressure remains the dominant force.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day decline of -16.2% and the token's position at the bottom decile of its 85-day range signal sustained selling pressure with no structural reversal yet visible. Recovery toward the $0.01963 major resistance would require a near-tripling from current levels, which is inconsistent with the current holder growth rate of just 53 new holders over 30 days and the thin liquidity environment. A base-case medium-term scenario sees price consolidating between major support ($0.005264) and immediate resistance ($0.006761) unless a macro DePIN/IoT catalyst emerges.

Bullish Factors

  • The 7-day price change of +1.7% represents a tentative short-term stabilization after the 30-day decline, suggesting selling exhaustion may be approaching near major support.
  • Smart money traders have realized substantial profits on this token — the top trader (0xc2b51b) booked $356,823 across 137 trades, and 0x509711 achieved a +2,332% return over 14 trades — confirming the token has historically rewarded active participants.
  • IoTeX is a nearly 8-year-old project (launched May 2018) with a verified contract, real DePIN infrastructure, and a fully circulating supply of 10 billion tokens, eliminating unlock-driven sell pressure.
  • The token sits at 10% of its 85-day range, meaning the risk/reward ratio from a mean-reversion standpoint is asymmetrically favorable for patient buyers near major support.

Bearish Factors

  • The 30-day trend of -16.2% is the dominant multi-window signal and reflects sustained net selling, not a temporary dip.
  • Buy pressure stands at just 11.6% of 24-hour volume ($1,442 buys vs. $10,986 sells), indicating active distribution rather than accumulation.
  • Total liquidity on this Uniswap v3 pool is only $46,225 — critically thin for a $63M market cap token — meaning even modest sell orders cause outsized price impact.
  • The top 7 holders collectively labeled as 'Null' addresses hold 77.14% of supply; while these may represent burned or locked tokens, the opacity of these wallet labels introduces significant uncertainty about actual circulating supply and potential unlock risk.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

IOTX call history

Full track record →

Aug 10bearish
24h-1.8%
7d—
30d-34.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x6fb3...4d69
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Liquidity crisis risk: With only $46,225 in pool liquidity, a single whale deciding to exit their 1.5%+ position (worth ~$950,000 at current prices) would completely drain the pool multiple times over, causing a catastrophic price collapse — the whale would need to sell across multiple venues or over an extended period
  • Null address opacity: Seven wallets labeled 'Null' collectively hold ~77% of supply; if any of these are not permanently burned and represent recoverable tokens, their mobilization would represent an existential supply shock
  • Sustained distribution trend: The 30-day -16.2% decline combined with 88.4% sell pressure and zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours suggests the token is in an active distribution phase with no confirmed reversal signal

Trading Insight

bearish

Trading sentiment is strongly bearish, with sell volume ($10,986) outpacing buy volume ($1,442) by a ratio of approximately 7.6:1 over the past 24 hours. The transaction count asymmetry — 23 buys from 21 unique buyers versus 17 sells from only 8 unique sellers — reveals that a small group of sellers is driving the majority of volume, suggesting concentrated distribution rather than broad panic selling.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The medium-term trend is clearly bearish, defined by the 30-day decline of -16.2% and a daily close sequence that moved from $0.006901 down to $0.006499 before a minor bounce to $0.006711. The short-term picture (7d: +1.7%) shows tentative stabilization, but this is a weak counter-trend move within a larger downtrend rather than a confirmed reversal. Price is compressing near the bottom of its 85-day range, which historically precedes either a breakdown to major support or a relief rally toward immediate resistance.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

With price at just 10% of its 85-day range ($0.005264–$0.01963) and a 30-day loss of 16.2%, momentum indicators would reflect deeply oversold conditions. The daily volatility of 3.8% (standard deviation of daily returns) confirms ongoing price instability, but the recent stabilization in daily closes suggests the immediate selling velocity is slowing.

Volume Analysis

Buy

11.6%

Sell

88.4%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24-hour combined volume of $12,427 is extremely low relative to the $63.4M market cap, representing a volume-to-market-cap ratio of under 0.02%. The zero transaction count in the last hour and only 2 sell transactions in the last 4 hours confirm that volume is collapsing, which in the context of a downtrend typically signals either exhaustion or disinterest — both of which delay recovery.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a clear descending staircase from $0.006901 to a trough near $0.006472, followed by a modest two-session recovery to $0.006711. Price is currently sandwiched between immediate support at $0.006689 and immediate resistance at $0.006761 — a range of just $72 basis points.

This tight compression between immediate support and resistance, following a sustained decline, is a consolidation pattern that typically resolves in the direction of the prevailing trend (bearish) unless accompanied by a meaningful increase in buy-side volume.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.006689

Major support

$0.005264

Immediate resistance

$0.006761

Major resistance

$0.01963

The immediate support at $0.006689 and resistance at $0.006761 define an extremely tight $72 range that the current price ($0.006711) sits within — a break below $0.006689 opens the path to major support at $0.005264, a further -21.5% decline. Conversely, a sustained close above $0.006761 would be the first technical confirmation of a short-term trend change, though major resistance at $0.01963 remains nearly 3x away and represents the ceiling of the 85-day range.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 3.8% (standard deviation of daily returns) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 30-day decline of -16.2% and the 85-day range spanning from $0.005264 to $0.01963 — a 273% spread — confirm that IOTX experiences substantial price swings. A single seller executing trades under $2,500 drove a -13% daily move, illustrating how thin liquidity amplifies volatility.

  • LiquidityHigh

    The Uniswap v3 pool holds only $46,225 in liquidity against a $63.4M market cap — a ratio of 0.073%. This means any trade above a few thousand dollars will experience significant slippage, and a coordinated sell of even 0.1% of market cap could move the price by double digits. This is the most immediate practical risk for any trader.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token for a DePIN/IoT infrastructure platform, IOTX faces the standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to platform utility tokens in major jurisdictions. The DePIN category is increasingly attracting regulatory attention as it involves real-world device networks and potential data monetization, which may invite additional scrutiny beyond standard token regulation.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity crisis risk: With only $46,225 in pool liquidity, a single whale deciding to exit their 1.5%+ position (worth ~$950,000 at current prices) would completely drain the pool multiple times over, causing a catastrophic price collapse — the whale would need to sell across multiple venues or over an extended period
  • Null address opacity: Seven wallets labeled 'Null' collectively hold ~77% of supply; if any of these are not permanently burned and represent recoverable tokens, their mobilization would represent an existential supply shock
  • Sustained distribution trend: The 30-day -16.2% decline combined with 88.4% sell pressure and zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours suggests the token is in an active distribution phase with no confirmed reversal signal

Mitigating Factors

  • Nearly 8 years of operational history without a major exploit or rug event provides meaningful credibility that this is a legitimate project rather than a short-term scam
  • Fully circulating supply eliminates the structured unlock-driven sell pressure that plagues newer token launches, and smart money traders have historically found profitable opportunities in this token

Investor Suitability

IOTX in its current state is suitable only for experienced cryptocurrency traders who understand DePIN sector dynamics, can tolerate high volatility and illiquidity, and are capable of managing position sizes that account for severe slippage risk. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those requiring liquidity, or those unfamiliar with the specific risks of thin-liquidity altcoin markets.

IoTeX presents a high-risk, asymmetric opportunity rooted in its status as one of the oldest DePIN infrastructure projects, but the current technical and flow data are unambiguously bearish. The token's position at 10% of its 85-day range offers mean-reversion potential, but the thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and stagnant holder growth make near-term recovery dependent on external catalysts rather than organic demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A broad DePIN sector re-rating — driven by real-world adoption milestones, major partnership announcements, or a general altcoin bull market — reignites interest in IoTeX as one of the category's most established platforms. Buy-side volume returns above $50,000/day, the Null address supply is confirmed as permanently burned (dramatically reducing effective circulating supply), and price recovers toward the $0.01963 major resistance.

  • DePIN sector narrative acceleration driven by real-world device adoption metrics or major enterprise partnerships announced by the IoTeX team
  • Confirmation that the Null-labeled wallets represent permanently burned supply, which would reframe the effective circulating supply and dramatically improve the supply/demand equation

Base Case

IOTX consolidates in the $0.005264–$0.006761 range over the next 30–90 days, with intermittent sell pressure from concentrated holders offset by occasional smart money accumulation. The token maintains its market cap in the $50–65M range without a decisive breakout or breakdown, awaiting a macro catalyst to determine the next directional move.

  • The Null-labeled wallets remain inactive and do not introduce additional sell-side supply
  • No major negative news (exploit, regulatory action, or team event) disrupts the current low-activity equilibrium

Bear Case

High probability

The current distribution trend continues as the dominant seller (0xc62752) and potentially the three transfer-acquired whale wallets begin offloading. With only $46,225 in liquidity, even modest sustained selling drives price through immediate support at $0.006689 toward major support at $0.005264 — a further -21.5% decline. Holder growth remains near zero, and the token enters a prolonged low-activity consolidation at multi-year lows.

  • Continued concentrated selling from 0xc62752 and potential entry of the three transfer-acquired whale wallets into the sell side
  • Absence of new buyer demand — zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours and only 21 unique buyers in 24 hours confirms the buy side is structurally weak

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 10, 2026, 01:31 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-10 13:31 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.006710851989644129

Market Cap

$63.36M

24h Volume

$12.4K

Holders

23,717

Liquidity

$46,225.42

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)85-day daily OHLC price history with computed swing-high/low key levelsSmart money realized PnL data (top profitable trader wallets)Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first active date, acquisition method)Smart contract security scoring and verification status

Limitations

  • The 90-day price return is unavailable, limiting the full multi-window trend picture to 7-day and 30-day windows only
  • The classification of seven large holders as 'Null' addresses is ambiguous — whether these represent permanently burned tokens or recoverable supply cannot be determined from available data alone, and this ambiguity materially affects the true circulating supply and concentration risk assessment
  • The Uniswap v3 pool analyzed may not represent the full trading activity for IOTX across all venues (CEXs, other DEXs, the native IoTeX chain), meaning the liquidity and volume figures reflect only this specific pool

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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