SDT

Stake DAO Token Price Today & AI Analysis

SDT
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 14, 2026

$0.1060

+1.81%24h
LiveContract:0x73968b9a57c6e53d41345fd57a6e6ae27d6cdb2fChain:EthereumHolders:4.1KMarket cap:$7.25MLiquidity:$265.41K

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What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 14, 2026, 11:18 PM UTC
Market Cap

$7.25M

24h Volume

$6.88K

Liquidity

$265.41K

FDV

—

Holders

4.1K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Stake DAO Token (SDT) is a 67.8-month-old Ethereum governance token tied to the Stake DAO DeFi platform, trading at $0.106031601448 on Curve with a $7.25M market cap. Daily OHLC data shows a choppy consolidation, up 25.1% over 30 days but down 1.7% over 7 days and 5.3% over 90 days, currently sitting near a computed resistance level of $0.1069. Trading activity is very light (24h volume near $6,884 across only 11 transactions) against $265,406 of liquidity, and the top 10 holders control 79.6% of supply though the composition of those wallets could not be verified.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 14, 2026, 11:18 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: bearish
Long operating history (67.8 months) relative to most on-chain tokens
Fee-sharing governance model tied to Stake DAO's staking and strategy products
No supply dilution risk since circulating supply equals total supply

Stake DAO Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

SDT is down 1.7% over the past 7 days and has twice failed to hold above the computed immediate resistance of $0.1069, most recently pulling back from a local high of $0.1070 to the current $0.1061. With 24h sell volume ($3,987) exceeding buy volume ($2,897), the short-term tape favors continued consolidation or a retest of the $0.1060 support before any renewed advance.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day trend of +25.1% is the dominant medium-term signal, showing a recovery from the period low of $0.07632 that outweighs the milder 90-day decline of -5.3%. Price currently sits at 80% of its 91-day range, meaning a break of the major resistance at $0.1136 would confirm the medium-term uptrend rather than the shorter, shallower pullback seen in the last week.

Bullish Factors
  • +30-day price trend of +25.1%, recovering from the period low of $0.07632
  • +Circulating supply equals total supply (70,153,172 SDT) with FDV ($7,438,453) barely above market cap ($7,252,639), so there is no unlock-driven dilution overhang
  • +Token has traded on-chain for 67.8 months, indicating durability through multiple market cycles
Bearish Factors
  • -7-day trend is negative (-1.7%) with price rejected twice near the $0.1069 immediate resistance
  • -90-day trend is negative (-5.3%), showing the longer window has not fully recovered
  • -24h sell volume ($3,987) exceeds buy volume ($2,897), a 57.9%/42.1% sell/buy split
  • -Total liquidity of $265,406 is only ~3.7% of the $7.25M market cap, and 24h turnover of ~$6,884 is extremely thin, raising slippage risk for any sizeable order

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

SDT call history

Full track record →
Sep 14bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x7396...db2f
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Thin liquidity ($265,406) relative to market cap increases the risk of significant slippage or price impact on moderately sized trades
•79.6% top-10 concentration is high in aggregate and its composition (whale vs. protocol/exchange) cannot be verified from available data
•24h trading activity is very low (11 transactions, ~$6,884 total volume), making short-term price signals unreliable
•No holder-growth, whale-transaction, or smart-money data is available to corroborate on-chain conviction behind the price trend

Trading Insight

bearish

24h trading shows sell-side dominance, with $3,987 in sell volume against $2,897 in buy volume (57.9% vs 42.1% pressure). Transaction counts are very low (6 buys, 5 sells) with only 5 unique buyers and 4 unique sellers, meaning the sentiment reading is based on a small sample and should be treated cautiously.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Over the last 14 daily closes, price fell from a local peak near $0.1080 to a low of $0.1023, then bounced to $0.1070 before settling at $0.1061 — consistent with the 7-day change of -1.7%. This short-term softness sits within a stronger 30-day uptrend of +25.1% off the $0.07632 period low, while the 90-day change of -5.3% shows the broader range has not been fully reclaimed.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Price is sitting at 80% of its 91-day range ($0.07632–$0.1136) after being rejected twice at the $0.1069 immediate resistance, suggesting momentum has stalled just below resistance rather than showing clear overbought or oversold extremes.

Volume Analysis

Buy 42.1%Sell 57.9%

Volume Trend: Stable

Transaction counts are consistent across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows (1 buy in the last hour, 6 buys/4 sells in 4h, 6 buys/5 sells in 24h), indicating steady but very low trading intensity rather than any acceleration or drop-off.

Recent Price Action

Choppy sideways consolidation between roughly $0.1023 and $0.1084 over the past two weeks, currently testing the computed immediate resistance of $0.1069 from below.

This pattern typically signals indecision; a decisive close above $0.1069 (and eventually $0.1136) would be needed to confirm a resumption of the 30-day uptrend, while a break below $0.1060 support risks a retest of lower 90-day levels.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.1060
Major$0.07632
Resistance
Immediate$0.1069
Major$0.1136

These levels are derived from real 91-day OHLC swing highs/lows. Price is currently pinned between immediate support ($0.1060) and immediate resistance ($0.1069), a tight range whose breakout direction will likely determine whether the medium-term $0.1136 resistance or the $0.07632 major support comes into play next.

Overall Risk:
Medium
56/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Medium

Daily return volatility of 3.8% over the trailing 91 days indicates moderate price swings, consistent with the observed range between $0.1023 and $0.1084 over the past two weeks.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $265,406 is only about 3.7% of the $7.25M market cap, and 24h volume of roughly $6,884 is extremely thin, meaning larger trades could face significant slippage.

Concentration
Medium

Top 10 holders control 79.6% of supply in aggregate, which is high, but since no per-wallet classification is available it is unknown whether this reflects dumpable individual whales or protocol/treasury holdings, so the risk grade reflects that uncertainty rather than confirmed dump risk.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default level rather than an actual assessment of the contract's code.

Regulatory
Medium

As a governance token that entitles holders to a share of protocol fees via staking, SDT carries the general regulatory uncertainty associated with revenue-sharing DeFi tokens, though no specific regulatory action is indicated in the data.

Key Risks

  • •Thin liquidity ($265,406) relative to market cap increases the risk of significant slippage or price impact on moderately sized trades
  • •79.6% top-10 concentration is high in aggregate and its composition (whale vs. protocol/exchange) cannot be verified from available data
  • •24h trading activity is very low (11 transactions, ~$6,884 total volume), making short-term price signals unreliable
  • •No holder-growth, whale-transaction, or smart-money data is available to corroborate on-chain conviction behind the price trend

Mitigating Factors

  • •Circulating supply equals total supply, removing unlock-driven dilution risk
  • •Token has a 67.8-month operating history, suggesting resilience through multiple market cycles

Investor Suitability

May be suitable for investors already familiar with the Stake DAO ecosystem who are comfortable with thin liquidity and unverifiable holder composition; not suitable for investors seeking high liquidity or requiring verified contract security data.

SDT presents a mixed picture: a legitimate, multi-year-old DeFi governance token with no dilution overhang, but currently trading in a thin-liquidity environment with a short-term pullback from resistance layered on top of a stronger 30-day uptrend. The investment case depends heavily on whether the medium-term rally can resume past $0.1069 and $0.1136 resistance, versus renewed weakness dragging price back toward the $0.07632 major support.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Price reclaims and holds above the $0.1069 immediate resistance, extending the 30-day +25.1% uptrend toward the major resistance of $0.1136, supported by the token's long operating history and fully circulating supply.

  • +A break and hold above $0.1069 immediate resistance
  • +Increased buy-side volume beyond the current thin ~$2,897/day buy volume
Base Case

SDT continues to consolidate in the $0.1023–$0.1084 range seen over the past two weeks, with thin liquidity and low transaction counts limiting decisive directional moves until a volume catalyst emerges.

  • •24h trading volume remains in the low single-digit thousands of dollars, as currently observed
  • •No new holder-growth or whale-activity data becomes available to shift the concentration picture
Bear Case
Medium

Continued sell-side dominance (currently 57.9% of 24h volume) pushes price below the $0.1060 immediate support, opening a retest of lower levels within the 91-day range, consistent with the negative 7d and 90d trends.

  • -Sell volume continuing to exceed buy volume as seen in the last 24 hours
  • -Failure to hold the $0.1060 immediate support

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 14, 2026, 11:18 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.106031601448
Market Cap$7.25M
24h Volume$6.9K
Holders4,123
Liquidity$265.4K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • •Top-10 holder concentration (79.6%) could not be broken down by wallet type, preventing a confirmed dumpable-supply assessment
  • •24h trading volume (~$6,884) and transaction count (11) are low, limiting statistical confidence in short-term sentiment readings

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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