MANA

Decentraland MANA Price Today & AI Analysis

MANAEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 3, 2026

Price

$0.0886

-2.40% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0f5d2fb29fb7d3cfee444a200298f468908cc942

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

280.6K

Market cap

$194.32M

Liquidity

$42.91K

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Decentraland MANA: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-03 13:15 UTC

Holder addresses

280,751

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$30,348.07
How concentrated is Decentraland MANA ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 280,751 addresses (2026-07-03 13:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Decentraland MANA?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Decentraland MANA liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-03 13:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $30,348.07. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-03 13:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 3, 2026, 01:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$141.28M

24h Volume

$55.75K

Liquidity

$30.35K

FDV

—

Holders

280.8K

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

Decentraland MANA is a 106.6-month-old Ethereum-based utility token powering a decentralized virtual world where users own land, build experiences, and participate in DAO governance. At $0.0723, the token trades at a $141M market cap with its circulating supply fully equal to total supply (2.19B tokens), meaning no future unlock dilution risk. The short-term price action is constructive with a +9.8% 7-day gain, but the 30-day trend of -7.1% and critically shallow on-chain liquidity of ~$30K on Uniswap v3 are significant concerns for active traders. With 280,751 holders and an accelerating 31-day growth trajectory, community breadth is solid, but concentration risk from individual whales holding 33.1% of dumpable supply warrants careful monitoring.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 3, 2026, 01:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • One of the earliest and most established metaverse protocols at 106.6 months old, with a functioning DAO governance structure and real virtual land economy
  • Fully circulating supply with no future token unlocks eliminates a common dilution risk present in newer projects
  • Broad holder base of 280,751 wallets with accelerating growth provides genuine community depth despite whale concentration

Decentraland MANA AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

MANA has posted a strong 7-day gain of +9.8%, recovering from a 30-day low near $0.04056 and now sitting at 52% of its 86-day range. The recent daily close sequence shows a clear reversal from the $0.06211 trough, with the last close at $0.07227 confirming upward momentum. Immediate resistance at $0.07408 is the first meaningful test; a clean break would open the path toward $0.1021.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the short-term bounce, the 30-day trend remains negative at -7.1%, indicating that the broader medium-term structure is still a downtrend from the $0.1021 peak. The 86-day range shows MANA has spent significant time below current levels, and without a sustained catalyst the 30-day headwind is likely to reassert. A failure to hold above immediate support at $0.06974 would risk a retest of major support near $0.04056.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +9.8% confirms a short-term reversal from the $0.06211 trough, with the last 14 daily closes showing a clear base-building pattern
  • Holder trajectory is accelerating: net +1,135 holders over 31 days with the growth rate increasing, signaling genuine new demand entering the token
  • Buy pressure at 51.8% with 126 buy vs. 106 sell transactions in 24h shows marginal but consistent net buying activity
  • Current price at 52% of the 86-day range ($0.04056–$0.1021) means MANA is not extended and retains meaningful upside to the range high

Bearish Factors

  • 30-day trend is -7.1%, meaning the medium-term structure remains a downtrend that the current bounce has not yet reversed
  • Total on-chain liquidity is only $30,348, which is critically thin for a $141M market-cap token — large orders will face severe slippage and price impact
  • Two of the top individual whale wallets (5.90% and 2.22% of supply) have wallet first-active dates of July 14, 2025 and August 9, 2025 respectively, with positions acquired via transfer rather than market buys, raising questions about insider allocation and potential future sell pressure
  • Dumpable supply from individual whales totals 33.1% of circulating supply, representing a structural overhang that could suppress price recovery

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

MANA call history

Full track record →

Jul 3bullish
24h-2.8%
7d-0.6%
30d-7.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x0f5d...c942
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Metaverse sector headwinds: the broader metaverse narrative has significantly cooled since 2021-2022, and MANA's 30-day price decline of -7.1% within a longer downtrend from $0.1021 reflects this sector-level pressure
  • Two recently activated whale wallets (first active July 14, 2025 and August 9, 2025) collectively hold 8.12% of supply acquired via transfer with no DEX swap history — the origin and intent of these allocations is unknown, representing a potential future sell overhang
  • On-chain DEX liquidity of $30,348 means that any coordinated whale sell through this pool would cause extreme price impact, and the thin liquidity makes the DEX price vulnerable to manipulation

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is mildly bullish with buy pressure at 51.8% and a slight edge in buyer count (59 unique buyers vs. 47 unique sellers over 24h). The 1-hour window shows an even more pronounced buyer dominance (31 buys vs. 20 sells, 19 unique buyers vs. 11 sellers), suggesting intraday momentum is building. However, total 24h volume of ~$55.7K against a $141M market cap is extremely low, limiting the signal strength of these ratios.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term trend is clearly bullish: the 14 most recent daily closes show a recovery from $0.06211 to $0.07227, and the 7-day return is +9.8%. However, the 30-day return of -7.1% confirms the medium-term trend remains a downtrend from the $0.1021 peak. The current price at 52% of the 86-day range ($0.04056–$0.1021) places MANA in a recovery phase within a broader corrective structure.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 3.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a mid-cap crypto asset. The recent bounce from $0.06211 to $0.07227 represents a +16.3% move from trough to current, which is meaningful but not yet overbought given the distance to the $0.1021 range high. Momentum is building but has not reached an extreme reading.

Volume Analysis

Buy

51.8%

Sell

48.2%

Volume Trend

Stable

DEX volume on this Uniswap v3 pool is thin and stable at ~$55.7K over 24h. The buy/sell ratio of 51.8%/48.2% is nearly balanced, consistent with a market in price discovery rather than a directional surge. Volume data from this pool alone is insufficient to draw strong conclusions about overall MANA trading activity given its primary CEX listing.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence ($0.07792 → $0.06211 trough → $0.07227 recovery) describes a V-shaped reversal pattern. The sequence shows a steady decline from $0.07792 to $0.06211 over approximately 10 sessions, followed by a sharp 4-session recovery back to $0.07227.

V-shaped reversals from well-defined lows can signal genuine demand absorption, but they require confirmation via a sustained hold above the immediate resistance at $0.07408. A failure to break that level and a close back below $0.06974 would suggest the bounce is corrective rather than a trend change.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.06974

Major support

$0.04056

Immediate resistance

$0.07408

Major resistance

$0.1021

Immediate support at $0.06974 is the first line of defense for the current recovery — a daily close below this level would signal the bounce has failed. Major support at $0.04056 represents the 86-day range low and a critical structural floor. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.07408 is just 2.5% above current price and is the key near-term hurdle; clearing it would target the major resistance at $0.1021, which is 41% above current price and represents the range high from the past 86 days.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily volatility of 3.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate. The 86-day range of $0.04056 to $0.1021 represents a 152% spread from low to high, indicating significant price swings are normal for MANA. This is typical for mid-cap crypto assets but elevated compared to traditional assets.

  • LiquidityHigh

    The Uniswap v3 pool analyzed has only $30,348 in liquidity — critically thin for a $141M market cap token. While MANA trades on major CEXs (Binance holds 7.10% of supply), the on-chain DEX liquidity is insufficient for any meaningful trade without severe slippage. Investors relying on DEX execution face high slippage risk.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token for a virtual world platform with governance functions, MANA faces ongoing regulatory uncertainty around whether such tokens constitute securities in various jurisdictions. The metaverse sector has attracted regulatory scrutiny, and MANA's use in virtual land transactions adds a real-estate-adjacent dimension that regulators may examine.

Key Risks

  • Metaverse sector headwinds: the broader metaverse narrative has significantly cooled since 2021-2022, and MANA's 30-day price decline of -7.1% within a longer downtrend from $0.1021 reflects this sector-level pressure
  • Two recently activated whale wallets (first active July 14, 2025 and August 9, 2025) collectively hold 8.12% of supply acquired via transfer with no DEX swap history — the origin and intent of these allocations is unknown, representing a potential future sell overhang
  • On-chain DEX liquidity of $30,348 means that any coordinated whale sell through this pool would cause extreme price impact, and the thin liquidity makes the DEX price vulnerable to manipulation

Mitigating Factors

  • 106.6 months of operational history with no major exploit demonstrates contract resilience and project longevity that most crypto projects never achieve
  • Fully circulating supply eliminates future token unlock dilution risk, and the LAND burn mechanism provides a structural deflationary pressure tied to platform usage

Investor Suitability

MANA may be suitable for investors with high risk tolerance who have a specific thesis on metaverse sector recovery, understand the token's long-term utility within the Decentraland ecosystem, and are comfortable with the 30-day downtrend and thin DEX liquidity. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking short-term gains without active monitoring of whale wallet activity.

MANA is a veteran metaverse token with genuine utility, a fully circulating supply, and an accelerating holder base — but it trades within a medium-term downtrend and faces sector-level headwinds from reduced metaverse interest. The short-term technical picture is constructive (+9.8% over 7 days), while the 30-day trend (-7.1%) and thin DEX liquidity present meaningful risks for active traders.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A broader crypto bull market rotation into metaverse/GameFi assets, combined with Decentraland DAO-driven platform upgrades, drives renewed user adoption and LAND purchases. Increased LAND transactions accelerate the MANA burn mechanism, reducing circulating supply while demand rises. Price recovers toward the $0.1021 range high and potentially beyond, representing a ~41% gain from current levels.

  • Sector rotation into metaverse tokens during a risk-on crypto market environment
  • Decentraland DAO governance actions that meaningfully increase platform utility and user engagement, driving LAND transaction volume and MANA burns

Base Case

MANA consolidates in the $0.06974–$0.07408 range defined by its immediate support and resistance levels, with the short-term bounce losing momentum as the medium-term downtrend exerts gravity. Holder growth continues at a modest pace, and the token maintains its position as a recognized metaverse asset without a significant directional catalyst in either direction over the next 30-90 days.

  • No major Decentraland platform announcement or metaverse sector catalyst emerges to break the current technical range
  • Whale wallets identified as recently activated remain in a holding pattern and do not initiate significant on-chain distribution

Bear Case

Medium probability

The 30-day downtrend reasserts after the current bounce fails at immediate resistance ($0.07408), and one or both of the recently activated whale wallets (holding 8.12% combined) begin distributing their transferred supply. Continued metaverse sector disinterest and thin DEX liquidity amplify downside moves, with price retesting major support at $0.04056 — a -44% decline from current levels.

  • Failure to break and hold above immediate resistance at $0.07408, triggering a return to the medium-term downtrend
  • Distribution by recently activated whale wallets holding 8.12% of supply acquired via transfer, whose intent and timeline are unknown

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 3, 2026, 01:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-03 13:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.072269821502025100

Market Cap

$141.28M

24h Volume

$55.7K

Holders

280,751

Liquidity

$30,348.07

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (280,751 wallet addresses)86-day daily OHLC price historySmart contract security assessment (verified contract analysis)Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history lookup)Smart money realized PnL tracking31-day holder trajectory timeseries

Limitations

  • DEX liquidity and volume data covers only the Uniswap v3 pool and does not reflect MANA's primary trading activity on centralized exchanges like Binance — overall market liquidity and volume are substantially higher than the on-chain figures suggest
  • The identical smart money PnL figures across all six tracked wallets (+$162,910, +83%, 106 trades each) are anomalous and may reflect a data aggregation artifact, reducing confidence in the smart money analysis
  • 90-day price change is unavailable, limiting the ability to assess the full medium-term trend context beyond the 86-day OHLC window provided

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about MANA?