SOPH

Sophon Price Today & AI Analysis

SOPH
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 3, 2026

$0.003757

-6.12%24h
LiveContract:0x6b7774cb12ed7573a7586e7d0e62a2a563ddd3f0Chain:EthereumHolders:1.6KMarket cap:$15.51MLiquidity:$55.49K

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Ask Unhosted AI about SOPH

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 3, 2026, 01:32 AM UTC
Market Cap

$15.51M

24h Volume

$30.58K

Liquidity

$55.49K

FDV

—

Holders

1.6K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Sophon (SOPH) is an Ethereum-based token that has been live for approximately 22.6 months, positioning itself in the consumer-facing crypto entertainment space. At $0.003757, the token trades near the bottom of its 91-day range after a 32.4% decline over that period, with a market cap of approximately $15.5M against a fully diluted valuation of $37.4M. Liquidity is critically shallow at $55,493, creating meaningful slippage risk for any position of size. The top 10 holders control 88.7% of supply, and per-wallet forensics are unavailable, leaving concentration risk partially unquantifiable.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 3, 2026, 01:32 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Consumer entertainment positioning in a sector that has seen limited traction in the current market cycle
Full circulation — total supply equals circulating supply at 9.95B SOPH, eliminating future unlock-driven sell pressure
Extreme top-10 concentration at 88.7% with no per-wallet classification available, making the nature of that concentration opaque

Sophon AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

SOPH is down 3.6% over 7 days and sits at just 15% of its 91-day range ($0.003251–$0.006523), signalling persistent selling pressure with no meaningful recovery. The last hour and 4-hour windows show zero buy transactions against active selling, confirming near-term momentum is firmly negative. Price is hugging immediate support at $0.003751 with little buying interest to defend it.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 90-day trend shows a 32.4% decline, and the 30-day figure of -1.0% reflects a token that has largely stopped recovering rather than stabilising. With price compressed near the bottom of its 91-day range and no structural reversal signals in the OHLC data, the medium-term path of least resistance remains downward. A sustained reclaim of the $0.004020 area (recent swing high in the daily closes) would be the minimum requirement to shift this outlook.

Bullish Factors
  • +Price is near the 91-day range floor ($0.003251 major support), which historically represents a zone where sellers are exhausted and risk/reward for buyers improves
  • +The 22.6-month token age suggests the project has survived multiple market cycles without disappearing, providing some baseline longevity evidence
  • +Circulating supply equals total supply (9.95B SOPH), meaning there is no hidden unlock schedule that could create additional sell pressure
Bearish Factors
  • -90-day price decline of 32.4% with price sitting at only 15% of the 91-day range indicates a sustained downtrend, not a temporary dip
  • -The last 4 hours recorded zero buy transactions versus 23 sell transactions from 8 unique sellers, showing a complete collapse of buying interest in the near term
  • -Total liquidity of only $55,493 is critically thin relative to a $15.5M market cap, meaning even modest sell orders will cause significant slippage and can accelerate price declines

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

SOPH call history

Full track record →
Sep 3bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x6b77...d3f0
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Liquidity crisis risk: at $55,493 total liquidity, a coordinated or panic sell from any of the top-10 holders (who collectively hold 88.7% of supply) could drain the pool and cause a near-total price collapse with no liquidity to absorb it
•Sustained downtrend with no reversal signal: the 90-day decline of 32.4% combined with zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours suggests the token may continue drifting toward or below major support at $0.003251 without a clear catalyst
•Opaque concentration risk: the inability to classify the top-10 holders (88.7% of supply) as protocol contracts, exchanges, or individual whales means the true dump risk is unknown — a significant information gap for any prospective investor

Trading Insight

bearish

With 51.7% sell pressure versus 48.3% buy pressure over 24 hours, and the last hour and 4-hour windows showing zero buys against active selling, market sentiment is clearly bearish. The sell-side dominance is not extreme in volume terms but the complete absence of buyers in recent windows is a meaningful deterioration signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Both the 7-day (-3.6%) and 30-day (-1.0%) trends are negative, and the 90-day decline of 32.4% confirms a sustained medium-term downtrend. The recent daily closes (ranging from $0.003537 to $0.004020 over the last 14 sessions) show a series of lower highs and lower lows, with the most recent close at $0.003757 sitting below the midpoint of that recent range. No reversal structure is visible in the OHLC data.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

Price at 15% of the 91-day range ($0.003251–$0.006523) places SOPH deep in oversold territory on a range-relative basis. Daily volatility of 3.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate, meaning the token is not in a volatility collapse but is grinding lower without sharp recoveries. The absence of any buy transactions in the last 4 hours reinforces the lack of upward momentum.

Volume Analysis

Buy 48.3%Sell 51.7%

Volume Trend: Stable

24-hour volume of ~$30,580 is consistent with a low-liquidity token trading actively relative to its pool size. The volume split — $14,777 buys vs $15,803 sells — shows a slight sell bias. The more significant observation is the intraday deterioration: volume in the last 4 hours is entirely sell-side, suggesting the buy-side participation seen earlier in the 24-hour window has not persisted.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a range-bound but downward-drifting pattern: a high of $0.004020 was reached mid-sequence, followed by a step-down to $0.003757. The sequence $0.003537 → $0.003619 → $0.003898 suggested a brief recovery attempt, but the subsequent closes have failed to sustain above $0.003900.

This pattern of failed recoveries — where brief bounces are sold into — is characteristic of a token in distribution or one where sellers consistently outpace buyers at higher prices. It reduces confidence in any near-term reversal without a clear catalyst.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.003751
Major$0.003251
Resistance
Immediate$0.003810
Major$0.006523

Immediate support at $0.003751 is essentially the current price, meaning SOPH is trading right at this level with minimal buffer. A close below $0.003751 would expose the major support at $0.003251, representing a further ~13.6% downside. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.003810 is only ~1.4% away but has capped recent price action; a sustained break above it would be the first constructive signal. Major resistance at $0.006523 represents the 91-day range high and would require a ~73.6% rally from current levels — a distant target given present momentum.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 3.6% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 90-day price decline of 32.4% and the token's position at 15% of its 91-day range demonstrate that large drawdowns are a real and recent outcome, not a theoretical risk.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $55,493 is critically shallow. The 24-hour volume of ~$30,580 represents roughly 55% of the entire liquidity pool, meaning even moderate trading activity creates meaningful price impact. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage, and a large sell order could move the price substantially against the seller.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 88.7% of the 9.95B SOPH supply. Per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined how much of this represents dumpable individual whale supply versus protocol or exchange custody. This opacity itself is a risk factor, as the true dumpable supply concentration is unknown.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available on this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an assessment. Investors should independently verify the contract on Etherscan and review any available audit reports before exposure.

Regulatory
Medium

As an Ethereum-based token in the entertainment/consumer crypto space, SOPH faces the same evolving regulatory environment as other ERC-20 tokens. No specific regulatory flags are present in the available data, but the sector remains subject to ongoing global regulatory scrutiny.

Key Risks

  • •Liquidity crisis risk: at $55,493 total liquidity, a coordinated or panic sell from any of the top-10 holders (who collectively hold 88.7% of supply) could drain the pool and cause a near-total price collapse with no liquidity to absorb it
  • •Sustained downtrend with no reversal signal: the 90-day decline of 32.4% combined with zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours suggests the token may continue drifting toward or below major support at $0.003251 without a clear catalyst
  • •Opaque concentration risk: the inability to classify the top-10 holders (88.7% of supply) as protocol contracts, exchanges, or individual whales means the true dump risk is unknown — a significant information gap for any prospective investor

Mitigating Factors

  • •No future unlock events: circulating supply equals total supply, so there is no scheduled token release that could mechanically increase sell pressure
  • •Token longevity: 22.6 months of operational history without a documented exploit or rug event provides a baseline of project continuity, though it does not guarantee future safety

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand the implications of thin liquidity, extreme holder concentration, and a sustained downtrend. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. Position sizing should reflect the very high probability of significant further losses.

SOPH presents a high-risk speculative profile: a 22.6-month-old consumer entertainment token in a sustained 90-day downtrend, trading near the bottom of its range with critically thin liquidity and opaque concentration. The bull case depends entirely on a credible project catalyst that drives new demand; the bear case — continued drift toward and through major support — requires no new information to materialise.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The project delivers a tangible consumer product or partnership announcement that drives new buyer demand, pushing volume above recent averages and allowing price to reclaim the $0.003810 immediate resistance and eventually target the $0.004020 recent swing high. Broader market tailwinds could amplify this move given the token's compressed position at 15% of its 91-day range.

  • +Credible product launch or partnership announcement that validates the consumer entertainment thesis
  • +Broader Ethereum small-cap recovery cycle that brings fresh liquidity into thin pools
Base Case

SOPH continues to trade in a narrow range near current levels ($0.003500–$0.003900) with low volume and minimal new buyer interest, gradually drifting lower as the 90-day downtrend persists. No major catalyst emerges in the near term, and the token remains a low-liquidity, high-concentration asset with limited retail participation.

  • •No significant project announcement or market event disrupts the current low-activity trading environment
  • •Top-10 holders do not initiate large-scale liquidation, allowing price to drift rather than collapse
Bear Case
High

Continued absence of buy-side interest, combined with any meaningful selling from the concentrated top-10 holders, pushes price through immediate support at $0.003751 and toward major support at $0.003251. A breach of $0.003251 in a low-liquidity environment could trigger a disorderly decline with limited price discovery.

  • -Zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours signals a complete withdrawal of buyer interest, leaving price vulnerable to even modest sell pressure
  • -Top-10 holders controlling 88.7% of supply with unclassified intent represent a structural overhang that could materialise as selling at any time

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 3, 2026, 01:32 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.0037572211078
Market Cap$15.51M
24h Volume$30.6K
Holders1,650
Liquidity$55.5K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder growth history, size-tier distribution, and acquisition-method data were unavailable for this chain, preventing trend analysis of holder behaviour
  • •Per-wallet whale transaction data was unavailable, so individual large-holder movements and intent cannot be assessed
  • •Contract security audit data is not available on this chain's data provider, leaving smart contract risk unverified
  • •Smart-money (profitable trader cohort) data was unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital flows
  • •Launch allocation forensics and deployer profile data were unavailable, so insider risk at genesis cannot be evaluated

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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