RSUP

Resupply Price Today & AI Analysis

RSUP
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 6, 2026

$0.1144

+7.07%24h
LiveContract:0x419905009e4656fdc02418c7df35b1e61ed5f726Chain:EthereumHolders:746Market cap:$3.08MLiquidity:$300.71K

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Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 6, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$3.08M

24h Volume

$16.09K

Liquidity

$300.71K

FDV

—

Holders

746

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Resupply (RSUP) is an 17.8-month-old Ethereum-based protocol token for a CDP-backed stablecoin system designed to maximize yield by targeting Curve Lend and Fraxlend as its primary borrowing markets. At a market cap of $3.08M and FDV of $8.77M, it remains a micro-cap DeFi project with a fully circulating supply of ~76.6M tokens. The token has delivered an impressive 90-day gain of +85.4% from its $0.04039 low, but has since entered a 30-day correction of -14.5%, with price now consolidating tightly around $0.1144. Extremely thin liquidity ($300K), a highly concentrated holder base (top 10 at 95.8%), and limited trading activity (746 holders, 50 transactions in 24h) make this a high-risk, low-liquidity micro-cap suitable only for investors with high risk tolerance and deep familiarity with DeFi yield mechanics.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 6, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Borrow rate is algorithmically capped at half the lending rate earned, half the risk-free rate, or 2% — whichever is greater — creating a structural yield advantage for borrowers
Emissions are revenue-correlated: borrowers who generate more protocol revenue receive a proportionally larger share of RSUP emissions, aligning incentives between the protocol and its users
Exclusively targets Curve Lend and Fraxlend, positioning RSUP within established, battle-tested DeFi liquidity infrastructure rather than building its own from scratch

Resupply AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The 7-day trend of -2.1% and a 14-session daily close sequence that has declined from $0.1198 to $0.1144 signal persistent short-term selling pressure. Price is currently trading just above immediate support at $0.1141, with immediate resistance at $0.1145 only $0.0001 away — an extremely compressed range that leaves little upside buffer before the next test of sellers. A break below $0.1141 would expose the token to a deeper pullback toward the $0.04039 major support.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 30-day decline of -14.5% dominates the medium-term picture and reflects sustained distribution after the 90-day rally of +85.4% that peaked near $0.1361. Price at 77% of the 91-day range suggests the token has already retraced meaningfully from its highs, and the 30-day momentum has not yet shown signs of reversal. Unless the protocol attracts meaningful new borrower activity or a broader DeFi yield narrative re-emerges, the 30-day downtrend is likely to continue toward the $0.10–$0.11 zone.

Bullish Factors
  • +The 90-day return of +85.4% (from $0.04039 low to current $0.1144) demonstrates the token has already proven it can sustain a major uptrend when protocol fundamentals attract buyers.
  • +Buy pressure over the past 24 hours stands at 94.3% ($15,170 buy volume vs. $918 sell volume), indicating that the small cohort of active traders is currently net accumulating.
  • +The protocol's yield-optimization design — borrow rate capped at half the lending rate or 2%, whichever is greater — provides a structural incentive for borrowers that could drive sustained demand for RSUP emissions.
Bearish Factors
  • -The 30-day price decline of -14.5% is the dominant medium-term trend and has not shown a reversal signal across the 14 most recent daily closes, which have moved monotonically lower from $0.1198 to $0.1144.
  • -Top 10 holders control 95.8% of supply, and with per-wallet data unavailable, the concentration risk cannot be classified as protocol/exchange contracts — this unresolved concentration is a structural overhang.
  • -Total liquidity of $300,708 against a market cap of $3.08M yields a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of roughly 9.7%, which is shallow enough that any moderate sell order could cause significant slippage and accelerate a downside move.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

RSUP call history

Full track record →
Sep 6bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x4199...f726
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme holder concentration (top 10 at 95.8%) with unclassified wallet types means a coordinated or uncoordinated exit by a small number of holders could collapse the price in a $300K liquidity pool
•The FDV-to-market-cap discrepancy ($8.77M vs. $3.08M despite reportedly full circulation) is unexplained and may indicate hidden supply that could enter the market
•The 30-day price decline of -14.5% in the absence of any visible catalyst suggests organic selling pressure that has not yet been absorbed, increasing the risk of further downside toward the $0.04039 major support

Trading Insight

bullish

Despite the 30-day downtrend, the 24-hour trading session shows a strongly skewed buy-to-sell volume ratio of 94.3% buy pressure, with $15,170 in buys against only $918 in sells. However, this must be interpreted cautiously: only 6 unique buyers drove all buy volume versus 19 unique sellers, meaning a very small number of wallets are responsible for the apparent accumulation signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The 14 most recent daily closes form a clear descending sequence from $0.1198 to $0.1144, confirming a short-term downtrend. The 7-day change of -2.1% and 30-day change of -14.5% both point to sustained selling pressure across timeframes. The 90-day gain of +85.4% establishes a longer-term bullish base, but the current correction has not yet found a floor.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

After a 90-day rally of +85.4% from $0.04039 to a high of $0.1361, the token has retraced approximately 16% from its peak. The 30-day decline of -14.5% combined with the monotonically declining daily close sequence suggests momentum is exhausted on the downside but has not yet produced a reversal signal. Daily volatility of 5.8% (standard deviation of daily returns) indicates the token can move meaningfully in either direction on any given day.

Volume Analysis

Buy 94.3%Sell 5.7%

Volume Trend: Stable

Daily trading volume is extremely low in absolute terms (~$16K in 24 hours), consistent with a micro-cap token with 746 holders. Volume has not shown a clear increasing or decreasing trend from the available data — it appears sporadically driven by a handful of participants rather than by sustained institutional or retail flow.

Recent Price Action

Price has been grinding lower in a tight descending channel over the past 14 sessions, with closes ranging from $0.1198 down to $0.1131 before a slight recovery to $0.1144. The current price sits in an extremely compressed range between immediate support at $0.1141 and immediate resistance at $0.1145 — a spread of just $0.0004.

Tight consolidation after a prolonged decline often precedes a directional breakout. The compression between $0.1141 and $0.1145 means the next meaningful move will likely be decisive. A break below $0.1141 opens the path toward the $0.04039 major support, while a sustained close above $0.1145 would be the first technical signal of trend reversal toward the $0.1361 major resistance.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.1141
Major$0.04039
Resistance
Immediate$0.1145
Major$0.1361

The $0.0004 gap between immediate support and resistance reflects the current price compression and signals an imminent breakout decision. The major support at $0.04039 — the 91-day range low — represents a worst-case scenario of a ~65% drawdown from current levels if the downtrend accelerates. The major resistance at $0.1361 is the 91-day range high and would represent approximately a 19% gain from current price if bullish momentum returns.

Overall Risk:
High
72/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 5.8% (standard deviation) implies annualized volatility of approximately 110%, which is high even by crypto standards. The 90-day range spans $0.04039 to $0.1361 — a 237% spread — confirming the token is capable of extreme price swings in both directions.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $300,708 against a $3.08M market cap represents a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~9.7%. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will incur meaningful slippage, and a large holder exit could move the price dramatically. This is a shallow liquidity pool by any standard.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 95.8% of supply. Per-wallet data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined whether these are protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or individual holders. Given this uncertainty, concentration risk must be rated high — the unresolved nature of who holds 95.8% of supply is itself a risk factor.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this rating is an uninformed default rather than an assessment. Investors should independently verify audit status and contract upgrade mechanisms before investing.

Regulatory
Medium

As a CDP-backed stablecoin protocol, Resupply operates in a segment of DeFi that has attracted increasing regulatory scrutiny globally, particularly around stablecoin issuance and yield-bearing instruments. The protocol's design does not appear to involve direct fiat exposure, which moderates but does not eliminate regulatory risk.

Key Risks

  • •Extreme holder concentration (top 10 at 95.8%) with unclassified wallet types means a coordinated or uncoordinated exit by a small number of holders could collapse the price in a $300K liquidity pool
  • •The FDV-to-market-cap discrepancy ($8.77M vs. $3.08M despite reportedly full circulation) is unexplained and may indicate hidden supply that could enter the market
  • •The 30-day price decline of -14.5% in the absence of any visible catalyst suggests organic selling pressure that has not yet been absorbed, increasing the risk of further downside toward the $0.04039 major support

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token is 17.8 months old and has survived a full market cycle, including a recovery from $0.04039 to $0.1361 — demonstrating some resilience and a real user base
  • •Deployment on Curve and integration with Curve Lend and Fraxlend provides access to established DeFi liquidity infrastructure and a credible technical foundation

Investor Suitability

RSUP is suitable only for experienced DeFi investors with high risk tolerance who understand CDP mechanics, are comfortable with micro-cap illiquidity, and can afford to lose their entire position. It is not appropriate for retail investors seeking capital preservation or predictable returns.

Resupply presents a structurally differentiated yield-optimization protocol with a revenue-correlated emissions model, but its micro-cap status, extreme holder concentration, thin liquidity, and ongoing 30-day price decline make it a speculative high-risk position. The 90-day track record of +85.4% demonstrates the protocol can attract capital when its yield narrative resonates, but sustaining that requires meaningful borrower adoption on Curve Lend and Fraxlend.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Resupply successfully grows its borrower base on Curve Lend and Fraxlend, driving protocol revenue that triggers the emissions flywheel — more revenue leads to more RSUP directed at borrowers, attracting more borrowers, and so on. This could push RSUP back toward the $0.1361 major resistance and potentially beyond.

  • +Meaningful increase in CDP borrowing activity on Curve Lend and Fraxlend that generates protocol revenue and activates the emissions-to-borrowers mechanism
  • +Broader DeFi yield-farming cycle that increases demand for yield-optimized stablecoin strategies
Base Case

RSUP consolidates in the $0.09–$0.12 range over the next 30–90 days as the post-rally correction works through remaining sell pressure. Protocol activity on Curve Lend and Fraxlend remains modest, and the token gradually builds a slightly broader holder base without a major catalyst in either direction.

  • •No large holder exits into the thin liquidity pool that would trigger a cascade below $0.1141
  • •Protocol continues to operate and maintain its Curve and Fraxlend integrations without a security incident
Bear Case
Medium

The 30-day downtrend continues as one or more top-10 holders (controlling 95.8% of supply) reduce positions into the thin $300K liquidity pool. Price breaks below immediate support at $0.1141 and accelerates toward the $0.04039 major support — a potential -65% drawdown from current levels.

  • -Unresolved concentration risk: 95.8% of supply in top 10 wallets with no per-wallet classification available
  • -Continued 30-day price decline without a visible protocol catalyst to reverse seller momentum

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 6, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.114364176089
Market Cap$3.08M
24h Volume$16.1K
Holders746
Liquidity$300.7K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution data were unavailable for this chain, preventing trend analysis of the holder base
  • •Whale transaction data was unavailable, so individual large-holder behavior and recent movements cannot be assessed
  • •Contract-security data (audit status, admin key risk, upgrade mechanisms) was unavailable from this chain's data provider
  • •Smart-money cohort and profitable-trader data were unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital flows
  • •The FDV-to-market-cap discrepancy could not be resolved with available data and may indicate unreported locked supply

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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