ORAI

Oraichain Token Price Today & AI Analysis

ORAIEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 4, 2026

Price

$0.7544

+36.02% 24h

Contract

Live
0x4c11249814f11b9346808179cf06e71ac328c1b5

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

14.1K

Market cap

$14.66M

Liquidity

$45.79K

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Oraichain Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-04 22:15 UTC

Holder addresses

14,074

Top 10 supply share

1.06%

Reported liquidity

$45,788.00
How concentrated is Oraichain Token ownership?
As of 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 1.06% of supply. It reports 14,074 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Oraichain Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $8,893.00 in buys and $2,524.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Oraichain Token liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +9.96%, from $93,368.62 (2026-10-03 23:00 UTC) to $102,668.41 (2026-10-04 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-03 23:00 UTC$93,368.62
2026-10-04 05:00 UTC$96,876.71
2026-10-04 07:00 UTC$97,134.16
2026-10-04 11:00 UTC$97,301.55
2026-10-04 12:00 UTC$98,028.03
2026-10-04 13:00 UTC$98,028.54
2026-10-04 14:00 UTC$97,642.41
2026-10-04 15:00 UTC$98,432.80
2026-10-04 16:00 UTC$94,362.82
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC$99,120.60
2026-10-04 18:00 UTC$97,344.72
2026-10-04 19:00 UTC$97,569.46
2026-10-04 21:00 UTC$98,446.62
2026-10-04 22:00 UTC$102,668.41

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 4, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$14.66M

24h Volume

$11.42K

Liquidity

$45.79K

FDV

—

Holders

14,074

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

ORAI is the native token of Oraichain, a Cosmos SDK Layer 1 that links smart contracts to AI APIs via oracle infrastructure. This Ethereum contract is 72.3 months old and trades on Uniswap at $0.7544 with a $14.66M market cap and 14,074 holders. Price has just broken out to a 91-day high after weeks of consolidation near $0.50. Trading on this venue is very thin, so the move should be treated cautiously.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 4, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Layer 1 on Cosmos SDK focused on connecting smart contracts to AI APIs through oracles
  • Token used for fees, delegated proof-of-stake validation, and governance
  • Established contract (72.3 months old) with 14,074 holders, though Ethereum-side liquidity is shallow

Oraichain Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

ORAI closed at $0.7544 after a roughly 36% single-day jump, with a 7d gain of +44.7% and a 30d gain of +23.9%. Price sits at 100% of its 91-day range, so momentum favors continuation, but the move came from a flat $0.50-$0.55 base and a pullback toward the prior breakout zone is plausible. The directional lean is bullish, with elevated retracement risk.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 90d trend is +167.9% from a low of $0.1960, and the 30d trend is positive, so the multi-window structure leans bullish. Sustaining the gains requires price to hold above the former $0.50-$0.55 consolidation zone. Failure to do so would suggest the spike was a liquidity-driven event rather than a trend change.

Bullish Factors

  • Multi-window uptrend: +44.7% over 7d, +23.9% over 30d, +167.9% over 90d
  • Price at 100% of the 91-day range ($0.1960 to $0.7544), a fresh high with no overhead supply from the period
  • Breakout from a tight $0.48-$0.55 consolidation over about two weeks
  • 24h buy volume of $8,893 vs $2,524 sell volume (77.9% buy pressure), with 25 unique buyers vs 18 sellers

Bearish Factors

  • Daily volatility of 8.3% and a one-day +36% candle raise mean-reversion risk
  • Liquidity of $45,788 against a $14.66M market cap means a small number of trades can move price sharply
  • Total 24h volume of about $11.4K is minuscule relative to market cap, so the breakout lacks broad confirmation
  • FDV ($64.88M) is far above market cap ($14.66M) even though the data lists circulating supply equal to total supply, an inconsistency that makes valuation unclear

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

ORAI call history

Full track record →

Oct 4bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x4c11...c1b5
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Breakout on very thin liquidity could fully retrace if buyers fade
  • Inconsistent supply/FDV data limits valuation confidence
  • Ethereum-side market is small relative to market cap, so price discovery may be dominated by other venues or by a few trades

Trading Insight

bullish

Buyers dominate recent flow, with 77.9% buy pressure by volume and more unique buyers than sellers across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows. However, absolute volumes are small, so sentiment is easily swayed by a few participants.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Price moved from about $0.50 to $0.7544 within two daily closes, with 7d +44.7% and 90d +167.9%. The structure is higher highs after a long base, though the breakout is a single-candle event.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +36% daily move and price at 100% of the 91-day range with 8.3% daily volatility indicate stretched short-term momentum. Overbought conditions can persist in thin markets, but pullbacks are common after such spikes.

Volume Analysis

Buy

77.9%

Sell

22.1%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Transaction count is concentrated in the last hours (23 of 58 in 1h), showing rising activity during the breakout. Absolute volume remains low at about $11.4K over 24h.

Recent Price Action

About two weeks of tight consolidation between roughly $0.48 and $0.55, followed by a close at $0.5530 and then a jump to $0.7544.

A breakout from a long range signals a regime shift, but a vertical single-candle move often retests the breakout zone before continuation or fails back into the range.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.5530

Major support

$0.1960

Immediate resistance

$0.7544

Major resistance

$0.7544

$0.5530 is the last close before the breakout and the first area to watch on a pullback. $0.1960 is the 91-day low, far below the current price. Price is at $0.7544, the period high, so there is no historical resistance above it in this window and resistance equals the current price.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation is 8.3% and the latest daily move was about +36%, so sharp reversals are plausible.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $45,788 of liquidity and roughly $11.4K daily volume mean modest orders can cause significant slippage and exits may be costly.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Aggregate top-10 holdings are 1.1% of supply. Per-wallet detail is unavailable, so this rests on the aggregate only.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Tokens tied to AI and oracle networks and used for staking and governance may face evolving regulatory scrutiny, which is not specific to this data.

Key Risks

  • Breakout on very thin liquidity could fully retrace if buyers fade
  • Inconsistent supply/FDV data limits valuation confidence
  • Ethereum-side market is small relative to market cap, so price discovery may be dominated by other venues or by a few trades

Mitigating Factors

  • Established token with 72.3 months of history and 14,074 holders
  • Low aggregate top-10 concentration at 1.1%

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for experienced, high-risk-tolerance participants who understand slippage in thin pools and can size positions accordingly.

ORAI shows a strong multi-window uptrend and fresh breakout, backed by an established AI-oracle Layer 1 narrative. The thin liquidity and single-candle nature of the move limit conviction.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Price holds above $0.5530 on any retest and continues higher as volume and liquidity grow.

  • Sustained net buying and rising unique buyers
  • Ecosystem progress supporting the AI-oracle narrative

Base Case

Choppy consolidation after the spike, with a retest of the $0.5530-$0.75 region before the next directional move.

  • Volatility stays elevated near 8% daily
  • Liquidity remains shallow, keeping moves exaggerated

Bear Case

Medium probability

The spike unwinds as buyers fade, sending price back into the $0.48-$0.55 range or lower.

  • Thin liquidity amplifying sell-offs
  • Lack of broader volume confirming the breakout

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 4, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-04 22:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.75438539455

Market Cap

$14.66M

24h Volume

$11.4K

Holders

14,074

Liquidity

$45,788.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Smart-money, deployer, and launch-allocation forensics were unavailable
  • Supply and FDV figures are internally inconsistent
  • Analysis covers only the Ethereum DEX market, which is thin

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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