LPT

Livepeer Token Price Today & AI Analysis

LPT
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 4, 2026

$1.55

+18.41%24h
LiveContract:0x58b6a8a3302369daec383334672404ee733ab239Chain:EthereumHolders:2.15MMarket cap:$77.19MLiquidity:$17.23K

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What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 4, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC
Market Cap

$77.19M

24h Volume

$25.99K

Liquidity

$17.23K

FDV

—

Holders

2.15M

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Livepeer Token (LPT) is the governance and utility token of the Livepeer Network, a decentralized video transcoding protocol on Ethereum that has been live for over 100 months. At a current price of $1.55 and a market cap of approximately $77.2 million, LPT is in a short-to-medium-term recovery phase with 7-day and 30-day gains of +14.4% and +19.7% respectively, though it remains down -14.9% over 90 days. The token's primary value drivers are staking participation in transcoding work allocation and on-chain governance, supported by an algorithmically adjusted inflationary emission model. The most significant near-term concern is the extremely thin liquidity of $17,228 on this Uniswap pool, which creates meaningful slippage risk for any position of material size.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 4, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Established 100-month protocol history with a live decentralized video transcoding use case, distinguishing it from purely speculative tokens
Algorithmically self-adjusting inflation rate that targets a specific network staking participation level, creating a built-in incentive mechanism
Governance utility tied directly to protocol parameter decisions, giving token holders meaningful on-chain influence

Livepeer Token AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

LPT has posted a 7-day gain of +14.4% and the most recent daily closes show a clear recovery from the $1.33–$1.35 range toward the current $1.55 level. The price is sitting at 33% of its 91-day range ($1.17–$2.33), meaning there is substantial room to the upside before encountering the major resistance at $2.33. Immediate resistance at $1.58 is the first test; a clean break above it would confirm continuation of the short-term uptrend.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day trend of +19.7% demonstrates sustained buying interest that extends well beyond short-term noise, even as the 90-day trend remains negative at -14.9%, indicating the token is in a recovery phase from a deeper drawdown. If the recovery momentum holds and LPT can clear the $1.58 immediate resistance, the next meaningful target is the major resistance at $2.33, which would represent a roughly 50% move from current levels. The inflationary staking model and governance utility provide a structural demand floor, but the token must reclaim more of its 90-day range to confirm a trend reversal.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +14.4% and 30-day gain of +19.7% reflect a multi-week recovery trend, not a single-day spike
  • +Recent daily closes show a clear staircase recovery: $1.33 → $1.34 → $1.35 → $1.43 → $1.55, indicating progressive higher lows
  • +Price at only 33% of the 91-day range ($1.17–$2.33) means significant upside headroom before major resistance
  • +LPT is a 100-month-old token with an established protocol, governance utility, and an algorithmically managed inflationary staking model that creates structural demand
Bearish Factors
  • -The 90-day trend is still -14.9%, confirming LPT remains in a longer-term downtrend that the recent recovery has not yet reversed
  • -On-chain liquidity for this Uniswap pool is critically shallow at $17,228, meaning even modest sell orders can cause outsized price impact
  • -The top 10 holders control 46.2% of supply; without per-wallet classification data, the dumpable portion of that concentration cannot be assessed, leaving an unquantified overhang risk
  • -Daily volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation of daily returns) means the token can retrace quickly; the $1.40 support level is only ~10% below current price

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

LPT call history

Full track record →
Sep 4bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x58b6...b239
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Liquidity crisis risk: with only $17,228 in pool liquidity, a coordinated sell from any top-10 holder could collapse the price on this venue before arbitrageurs can rebalance
•Trend reversal risk: the 90-day trend remains -14.9% and the current recovery has not yet reclaimed the $1.58 immediate resistance; failure to hold $1.40 support would signal a return to the prior downtrend
•Tokenomics dilution: continuous inflationary minting each round creates persistent sell pressure from stakers harvesting rewards, which can suppress price appreciation even during periods of positive sentiment

Trading Insight

bullish

Buy pressure stands at 52% versus sell pressure at 48% over the past 24 hours, reflecting a marginally bullish but closely contested market. Notably, unique sellers (61) significantly outnumber unique buyers (35) over the same period, suggesting that while buy volume is slightly dominant, a broader base of participants is distributing rather than accumulating. This divergence between volume dominance and wallet-count distribution warrants caution.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The short-term trend is clearly bullish, with 14 consecutive daily closes showing a recovery from $1.38 down to a trough near $1.30 and then a sharp reversal to $1.55. The medium-term 30-day trend of +19.7% confirms this is not a one-day anomaly. However, the 90-day trend of -14.9% means the broader context is still a recovery within a longer downtrend, and LPT must sustain above $1.58 and eventually reclaim $2.33 to declare a full trend reversal.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

The 8.9% 1-hour and 9.8% 4-hour price moves, combined with the 14.4% 7-day gain, suggest momentum has accelerated sharply in a short window. With daily volatility at 3.2% and the price having moved roughly 4–5 standard deviations in a week, near-term consolidation or a pullback toward the $1.40 immediate support is a reasonable expectation before any further leg higher.

Volume Analysis

Buy 52%Sell 48%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Trading activity is heavily front-loaded into the most recent hours, with 1-hour and 4-hour transaction counts nearly matching the full 24-hour totals. This spike in activity coincides with the sharp price appreciation, suggesting momentum-driven participation rather than steady accumulation. The $25,994 in 24-hour volume against a $17,228 liquidity pool represents a pool turnover ratio above 1.5x, which is elevated and increases slippage risk.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence ($1.38 → $1.45 → $1.40 → $1.40 → $1.40 → $1.42 → $1.36 → $1.35 → $1.35 → $1.34 → $1.33 → $1.30 → $1.43 → $1.55) shows a prolonged base-building phase between $1.30 and $1.42 followed by a sharp two-day breakout to $1.55.

This base-and-breakout pattern, where price consolidates near a support zone before a sharp move higher, is typically a bullish continuation signal. The key question is whether the $1.40 level — which acted as both support and the top of the consolidation range — can hold as support on any retest.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$1.40
Major$1.17
Resistance
Immediate$1.58
Major$2.33

The $1.40 immediate support is the most critical near-term level — it was the floor of the multi-day consolidation base and a break below it would negate the recent breakout thesis. The $1.17 major support represents the 91-day range low and a last line of defense before new lows. On the upside, $1.58 is the first swing high to clear; a confirmed close above it would target the $2.33 major resistance, which marks the 91-day range high and would represent a full recovery of the 90-day drawdown.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly swings, as evidenced by the 14.4% 7-day move and the 90-day range spanning $1.17 to $2.33 — a 99% peak-to-trough spread. The recent 8.9% 1-hour move further illustrates how quickly price can shift in a thin-liquidity environment.

Liquidity
High

The Uniswap pool liquidity of $17,228 is critically shallow for a $77 million market cap token. A 24-hour volume of ~$26,000 already exceeds pool liquidity by 1.5x, meaning even modest trades cause material price impact. Any position exceeding a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage.

Concentration
Medium

The top 10 holders control 46.2% of supply, which is elevated. However, per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it is impossible to determine how much of this represents dumpable individual holdings versus protocol contracts or exchange custody. The risk is rated medium rather than high to reflect this uncertainty — it could be lower or higher depending on wallet composition.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an assessment. The 100-month live deployment without a known critical exploit is a positive data point, but it does not replace a formal audit review.

Regulatory
Medium

LPT's staking and governance functions could attract regulatory scrutiny under securities frameworks in various jurisdictions, particularly given its inflationary reward distribution model. As an established protocol with real utility, it is somewhat better positioned than purely speculative tokens, but regulatory risk across the broader crypto sector remains elevated.

Key Risks

  • •Liquidity crisis risk: with only $17,228 in pool liquidity, a coordinated sell from any top-10 holder could collapse the price on this venue before arbitrageurs can rebalance
  • •Trend reversal risk: the 90-day trend remains -14.9% and the current recovery has not yet reclaimed the $1.58 immediate resistance; failure to hold $1.40 support would signal a return to the prior downtrend
  • •Tokenomics dilution: continuous inflationary minting each round creates persistent sell pressure from stakers harvesting rewards, which can suppress price appreciation even during periods of positive sentiment

Mitigating Factors

  • •100-month protocol history with a live, functioning use case (decentralized video transcoding) provides fundamental demand for the token beyond pure speculation
  • •Algorithmically self-adjusting inflation rate reduces emissions when staking participation is high, providing a built-in mechanism to moderate sell pressure during periods of strong network engagement

Investor Suitability

LPT may be suitable for investors with high risk tolerance who have a specific thesis on decentralized media infrastructure adoption and are comfortable with thin liquidity, inflationary tokenomics, and the volatility of a mid-cap protocol token. It is not suitable for investors who require liquid exit options or cannot tolerate drawdowns exceeding 50% from recent highs.

LPT presents a recovery trade within an established decentralized infrastructure protocol, with the 7-day and 30-day trends turning positive after a prolonged drawdown. The core thesis rests on whether Livepeer's transcoding network can grow real-world demand sufficiently to absorb inflationary emissions and attract sustained capital, but the extremely thin on-chain liquidity at this Uniswap pool is a structural constraint that limits the token's investability at scale.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

LPT breaks above the $1.58 immediate resistance on sustained volume, converts it to support, and begins a multi-week recovery toward the $2.33 major resistance as broader crypto market conditions improve and Livepeer network activity increases. The 30-day momentum of +19.7% continues, and the self-adjusting inflation mechanism reduces emissions as more stakers participate, tightening net supply.

  • +Sustained close above $1.58 immediate resistance confirming the breakout from the $1.30–$1.42 consolidation base
  • +Broader decentralized infrastructure sector rotation attracting capital to established utility tokens like LPT
Base Case

LPT consolidates between $1.40 and $1.58 over the next several weeks as the market digests the recent sharp move. The 30-day uptrend gradually moderates, and price action becomes range-bound while the protocol continues operating without a major catalyst in either direction.

  • •The $1.40 immediate support holds on any near-term retest, preventing a deeper reversion to the $1.17 major support
  • •No major protocol-level catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the near term to break the token out of the consolidation range
Bear Case
Medium

The recent price spike proves to be a low-liquidity pump driven by a small number of buyers (consistent with the 35 unique buyers vs. 61 unique sellers pattern). Price fails to hold the $1.40 immediate support, reverting toward the $1.17 major support as the 90-day downtrend reasserts itself. Continuous inflationary emissions from staking rewards add persistent sell pressure.

  • -Failure to hold $1.40 immediate support after the recent sharp move, signaling the rally was not backed by durable demand
  • -Thin liquidity ($17,228 pool) amplifying any selling pressure from staking reward distributions into outsized price declines

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 4, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$1.55350332244
Market Cap$77.19M
24h Volume$26.0K
Holders2,154,660
Liquidity$17.2K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution data were unavailable for this chain, preventing any assessment of holder momentum or retail vs. whale accumulation trends
  • •Whale transaction data and individual swap records were unavailable, so specific large-holder behavior and recent notable movements could not be observed
  • •Contract-security data (audit status, vulnerability scoring, ownership structure) was unavailable from this chain's data provider
  • •The Uniswap pool liquidity of $17,228 is extremely thin relative to market cap, meaning price signals from this venue may not reflect the broader market for LPT across all trading venues
  • •The FDV ($38.7M) being lower than the market cap ($77.2M) is a data anomaly that could not be resolved from available information and may indicate a data provider discrepancy

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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