POL

Polygon Token Price Today & AI Analysis

POLEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 18, 2026

Price

$0.0967

+3.71% 24h

Contract

Live
0x455e53cbb86018ac2b8092fdcd39d8444affc3f6

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

101.8K

Market cap

$1.03B

Liquidity

$40.77K

At a $10B market cap, $POL would be $0.9405 (9.72x from today’s price)

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Polygon Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-18 09:15 UTC

Holder addresses

99,658

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$25,628.43
How concentrated is Polygon Token ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 99,658 addresses (2026-07-18 09:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Polygon Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Polygon Token liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-18 09:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $25,628.43. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-18 09:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 18, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$868.77M

24h Volume

$12.51K

Liquidity

$25.63K

FDV

—

Holders

99,658

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bearish

Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) is the native utility token of the Polygon network, a Layer 2 / ZK-scaling platform for Ethereum that has been live for approximately 32.8 months. With a market cap of ~$869M and a fully circulating supply of ~10.68 billion tokens, POL is a large-cap altcoin by crypto standards. The token is currently trading at $0.08135, sitting at 69% of its 90-day range after recovering from a low of ~$0.02995, though the broader 90-day trend remains negative at -12.4%. The specific Uniswap v3 pool analyzed here carries only $25,628 in liquidity, which is negligible relative to POL's market cap and should not be mistaken for the token's total market liquidity across all venues.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 18, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • ZK-powered Ethereum scaling infrastructure with a real, multi-year track record and active ecosystem — not a speculative concept token
  • Concentration risk is structurally low despite 80% top-10 supply share, because 67.26% of that is held in Polygon's own protocol/treasury contracts and Binance custody, leaving only 9.2% as genuinely dumpable individual-whale supply
  • Holder base of 99,658 wallets with 75,174 acquired via transfer (vs. 22,761 via swap) reflects broad ecosystem distribution rather than purely speculative accumulation

Polygon Token AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

POL has posted a 7-day gain of +2.1% and sits at 69% of its 90-day range ($0.02995–$0.1045), indicating the token is in the upper half of its recent trading band. The 14-day daily close sequence shows a clear staircase recovery from $0.07364 to a recent high of $0.08534 before a modest pullback to $0.08135, suggesting buyers are defending higher lows. Immediate support at $0.08087 is very close to current price, making the risk/reward skewed toward a test of $0.08289 resistance in the near term.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the short-term recovery, the 90-day trend remains down at -12.4%, meaning the broader macro structure for POL is still bearish. A sustained break above the $0.1045 major resistance would be required to reverse the medium-term downtrend, and with daily liquidity on this Uniswap v3 pool at only ~$25,600, large institutional flows are unlikely to drive that breakout. Holder growth is decelerating (96,427 to 99,388 over 31 days, slowing pace), which limits the demand-side catalyst needed for a sustained medium-term rally.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price trend is +2.1% and 30-day is +4.2%, confirming a short-to-medium recovery from the 90-day lows near $0.02995
  • Price sits at 69% of the 90-day range, well above the $0.02995 floor, indicating buyers have absorbed the prior drawdown
  • Holder base grew by net +2,961 wallets over 31 days (96,427 → 99,388), showing sustained organic accumulation
  • Top 10 holdings are dominated by Polygon protocol/treasury contracts (34.37%, 29.28%, 3.61%) and Binance exchange custody (5.23%), meaning dumpable supply from individual whales is only 9.2% — genuine sell-side pressure is limited

Bearish Factors

  • 90-day trend is -12.4%, confirming the dominant macro trend for POL remains bearish despite the recent bounce
  • 24-hour sell pressure stands at 55.4% ($6,931 sell volume vs. $5,580 buy volume), with more sell transactions (104) than buys (89), indicating short-term distribution
  • Total liquidity on this Uniswap v3 pool is only $25,628 — critically shallow for an ~$869M market-cap asset, meaning this pool is not representative of true market depth and any analysis of price impact here is unreliable
  • Holder growth is decelerating across the 31-day trajectory, suggesting the pace of new demand is slowing rather than accelerating

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

POL call history

Full track record →

Jul 18bullish
24h-0.1%
7d-5.3%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x455e...c3f6
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • 90-day price trend of -12.4% confirms POL is in a medium-term downtrend; a failure to hold the $0.08087 immediate support could accelerate selling toward lower structural levels
  • The Uniswap v3 pool's $25,628 liquidity is dangerously thin — any coordinated selling on this specific venue could cause outsized price impact disproportionate to POL's true market value
  • The 57/100 security score leaves open the possibility of undisclosed contract vulnerabilities; without knowing the specific deductions, investors cannot fully assess smart contract risk

Trading Insight

bearish

Current 24-hour trading sentiment leans mildly bearish, with sell pressure at 55.4% and sell transactions (104) outnumbering buys (89). However, the magnitude of individual trades is small — the largest recent on-chain swap on this pool was a $628 buy — indicating this is retail-level activity on a low-liquidity pool rather than meaningful institutional distribution.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 14-day daily close sequence shows a clear recovery from $0.07364 to $0.08534 before a minor pullback, confirming a short-term uptrend with higher lows being established. However, the 90-day trend of -12.4% and the fact that price remains well below the $0.1045 major resistance confirm the medium-term structure is still a downtrend. The 30-day gain of +4.2% represents a counter-trend bounce within the larger bearish structure.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 2.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a large-cap altcoin, indicating neither extreme momentum nor stagnation. The recent pullback from $0.08534 to $0.08135 (-4.7%) after a strong run-up is a normal consolidation within the short-term uptrend rather than a momentum reversal signal.

Volume Analysis

Buy

44.6%

Sell

55.4%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume on this specific Uniswap v3 pool is thin and consistent with a secondary liquidity venue. The 24-hour combined volume of ~$12,512 against $25,628 in liquidity represents a turnover ratio of ~49%, which is high for a DEX pool but reflects the pool's small absolute size rather than unusual activity. Volume data from this pool alone cannot be used to assess POL's broader market volume trend.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence shows a staircase recovery pattern: $0.07364 → $0.07509 → $0.07693 (dip to $0.07623) → $0.07687 → $0.08008 → $0.07964 → $0.08083 → $0.08247 → $0.08534 (local high) → pullback to $0.08135. This is a series of higher lows and higher highs over the observed window.

The higher-low structure within the 14-day window is constructive for short-term bulls, but the local high of $0.08534 falling short of the $0.1045 major resistance by 22% illustrates how much work remains to reverse the medium-term downtrend. The current price at $0.08135 is testing the immediate support zone at $0.08087.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.08087

Major support

$0.02995

Immediate resistance

$0.08289

Major resistance

$0.1045

The immediate support at $0.08087 is derived from a recent OHLC swing low and is just $0.00048 (0.6%) below current price — a very tight level that, if broken on volume, could accelerate selling toward the next meaningful structure. The immediate resistance at $0.08289 represents the nearest overhead supply zone; a clean daily close above it would be a short-term bullish confirmation. The major support at $0.02995 is the 90-day range low and represents the worst-case scenario in a continued bear market. The major resistance at $0.1045 is the 90-day range high and the key level that must be reclaimed to declare a medium-term trend reversal.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

42/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily return volatility of 2.6% (standard deviation) is moderate for a large-cap altcoin. The 90-day range of $0.02995–$0.1045 represents a 249% spread from low to high, indicating significant drawdown potential in adverse market conditions. However, the 32.8-month track record and large market cap provide more stability than micro-cap tokens.

  • LiquidityHigh

    The specific Uniswap v3 pool analyzed has only $25,628 in liquidity — critically shallow for a token of this market cap. This pool-specific liquidity risk is HIGH, though it is important to note that POL trades on major centralized exchanges where liquidity is substantially deeper. Investors using this specific pool face high slippage risk.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token for a major L2 infrastructure project, POL faces the same regulatory uncertainty as the broader altcoin market. Polygon's institutional partnerships and compliance-oriented positioning provide some buffer, but no large-cap altcoin is immune to potential securities classification risk in key jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • 90-day price trend of -12.4% confirms POL is in a medium-term downtrend; a failure to hold the $0.08087 immediate support could accelerate selling toward lower structural levels
  • The Uniswap v3 pool's $25,628 liquidity is dangerously thin — any coordinated selling on this specific venue could cause outsized price impact disproportionate to POL's true market value
  • The 57/100 security score leaves open the possibility of undisclosed contract vulnerabilities; without knowing the specific deductions, investors cannot fully assess smart contract risk

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply is only 9.2% of total supply, with the vast majority locked in protocol contracts and exchange custody — structural sell pressure from insiders is limited
  • 32.8 months of operational history without a major exploit, combined with a fully circulating supply (no future unlock cliffs), reduces both technical and tokenomics-driven downside risk

Investor Suitability

POL is most suitable for investors with medium-to-high risk tolerance who have a thesis on Ethereum L2 adoption and ZK technology specifically. Given the 90-day downtrend, it is better suited to patient investors with a 12+ month horizon who can tolerate further drawdown, rather than short-term traders seeking quick gains. The shallow liquidity on this specific DEX pool makes it unsuitable for large-position trading without sourcing liquidity from centralized exchanges.

POL represents a bet on Polygon's ZK-powered multi-chain vision becoming a dominant Ethereum scaling layer. The token has real infrastructure utility, a mature 32.8-month track record, and low genuine concentration risk — but the 90-day downtrend and competitive L2 landscape mean the medium-term path requires both ecosystem execution and favorable macro conditions.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Polygon's AggLayer achieves significant adoption, with multiple major dApps and chains migrating to the ZK ecosystem. This drives genuine POL utility demand for gas and staking, pushing price back toward and above the $0.1045 major resistance. A broader altcoin bull market amplifies the move.

  • AggLayer mainnet expansion attracting institutional and DeFi dApp deployments
  • Broader Ethereum L2 narrative gaining momentum in a risk-on crypto market cycle

Base Case

POL consolidates in the $0.07–$0.10 range over the next 30–90 days, with the short-term uptrend (+2.1% 7d, +4.2% 30d) gradually fading back into the dominant 90-day downtrend. Holder growth continues to decelerate. Price action remains range-bound pending a clear ecosystem catalyst or macro shift.

  • No major Polygon ecosystem announcement or exploit in the near term
  • Broader crypto market remains in a consolidation phase without a strong directional trend

Bear Case

Medium probability

Polygon loses market share to competing L2s (Arbitrum, Base, zkSync) as developer and user activity migrates. The 90-day downtrend accelerates, the $0.08087 immediate support breaks, and POL retraces toward the $0.02995 major support over the medium term.

  • Intensifying L2 competition eroding Polygon's TVL and transaction volume market share
  • Continued macro risk-off environment suppressing altcoin demand broadly

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 18, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-18 09:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.081346192309891430

Market Cap

$868.77M

24h Volume

$12.5K

Holders

99,658

Liquidity

$25,628.43

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 pool swaps)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)90-day daily OHLC price historyWhale wallet forensics (DEX swap history lookup)Smart contract security assessmentToken fundamentals and project metadata

Limitations

  • Liquidity and volume data reflects only this specific Uniswap v3 pool — POL trades across many venues and the full market picture requires aggregated exchange data
  • Smart-money cohort (top profitable trader) data was unavailable, limiting the ability to assess informed-money positioning
  • The 57/100 security score is cited without breakdown of specific deductions, preventing granular smart contract risk assessment

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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