NMR

Numeraire Price Today & AI Analysis

NMREthereumAnalysis as of Apr 28, 2026

Price

$12.28

+10.34% 24h

Contract

Live
0x1776e1f26f98b1a5df9cd347953a26dd3cb46671

Holders

42.1K

Market cap

$86.34M

Liquidity

$90.61K

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Numeraire: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-28 08:17 UTC

Holder addresses

38,292

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$95,880.83
How concentrated is Numeraire ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 38,292 addresses (2026-04-28 08:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Numeraire?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Numeraire liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-28 08:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $95,880.83. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-28 08:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Apr 28, 2026, 08:17 AM UTC

Market Cap

$62.68M

24h Volume

$6.63K

Liquidity

$95.88K

FDV

—

Holders

38,292

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

Numeraire (NMR) is a utility token powering Numerai's innovative data science tournament for stock market predictions, where participants stake models for cryptocurrency rewards, backed by prominent investors. With a market cap of $62.68M and trading on Uniswap v3, it operates in the prediction markets category but faces challenges from low liquidity at $95,880.83 and declining holders. Currently priced at $8.90, the token shows balanced trading but recent downward pressure, positioning it as a niche player with strong fundamentals but high risks.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 28, 2026, 08:17 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Hosts the world's hardest data science tournament with hedge fund quality data
  • Combines thousands of models into a meta model for a crowdsourced hedge fund
  • Over $27M paid out to data scientists, demonstrating proven reward mechanism

Numeraire AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token has experienced a 2.11% decline over the past 24 hours with sell pressure slightly outweighing buys in the last hour, indicating potential continued downward momentum. Trading volume is low at $6,632.666 total over 24 hours, suggesting limited conviction in current price action. Holder growth is minimal at 0.0078%, which doesn't provide strong support for a rebound.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Over the next 30-90 days, NMR could stabilize if platform adoption increases, but the 2.5% holder decline over 30 days and high supply concentration pose risks. Positive catalysts like new tournament rewards or investor backing could drive recovery, but broader market conditions in prediction markets remain subdued.

Bullish Factors

  • Slight buy pressure dominance at 50.8% with 16 buy transactions vs 15 sells in 24h
  • Backing from prominent investors and over $27M paid out to data scientists indicating real-world utility

Bearish Factors

  • 2.11% price drop in 24h and 0.496% in 1h with no buys in the last hour
  • High supply concentration with top 10 holders controlling 82% increasing manipulation risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x1776...6671
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration could lead to price crashes if whales sell
  • Declining holder base signals weakening network effects
  • Low liquidity amplifies volatility in thin markets

Trading Insight

neutral

Market sentiment is neutral with buy pressure at 50.8% slightly edging out sell pressure at 49.2%, reflecting balanced trading activity. Low volume of $6,632.666 over 24 hours indicates limited enthusiasm, while the equal buy/sell transactions in the last 4 hours suggest consolidation. Recent 1-hour data shows only sells, which could signal short-term weakness.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term trend is downtrend based on the 2.11% drop in 24h and 0.496% in 1h, with no upward reversal signals. Medium-term is sideways, as the 30d holder decline hasn't accelerated price falls dramatically. Overall, the token appears to be consolidating after recent losses.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum is neutral, with balanced buy/sell pressure not indicating overbought or oversold conditions; the low transaction counts (31 in 24h) suggest waning momentum without strong directional push.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.8%

Sell

49.2%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume trend is decreasing, with total 24h volume at $6,632.666 down from potentially higher periods, and only 7 transactions in the last hour, which could amplify price swings due to thin order books.

Recent Price Action

Gradual decline with flat periods, showing a series of lower highs over 24h.

This pattern typically indicates bearish continuation unless broken by increased volume, often signaling investor caution.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

8.70

Major support

8.00

Immediate resistance

9.00

Major resistance

9.50

Immediate support at $8.70 aligns with recent lows, while major support at $8.00 could act as a floor if selling intensifies; resistance at $9.00 and $9.50 may cap rebounds without volume surge, reflecting psychological barriers based on price history.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

75/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Recent price drops of 2.11% in 24h and low volume indicate high volatility potential

  • LiquidityHigh

    Shallow liquidity at $95,880.83 increases slippage and exit risks for larger positions

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Prediction markets may face scrutiny in finance regulations, especially with stock ties

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration could lead to price crashes if whales sell
  • Declining holder base signals weakening network effects
  • Low liquidity amplifies volatility in thin markets

Mitigating Factors

  • Proven utility with $27M payouts builds long-term value
  • Backing from prominent investors provides stability

Investor Suitability

Suitable for risk-tolerant investors interested in AI and prediction markets, with a long-term horizon

NMR offers a compelling case for investors in AI-driven finance through its unique tournament model, but high concentration and low liquidity temper upside. Bull case hinges on adoption growth, while bear case involves continued holder erosion.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Increased platform usage drives staking and rewards, pushing price to new highs

  • Expansion of data scientist community
  • Successful meta model performance attracting investors

Base Case

Price stabilizes around current levels with gradual recovery on platform milestones

  • Stable holder trends reverse mildly
  • No major whale movements

Bear Case

Medium probability

Persistent holder decline and whale dumps lead to further price erosion

  • Lack of retail adoption
  • Broader crypto market downturn

Analysis Details

Generated

Apr 28, 2026, 08:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-28 08:17 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$8.901172547435477256

Market Cap

$62.68M

24h Volume

$6.6K

Holders

38,292

Liquidity

$95,880.83

Data Sources

On-chain transaction dataHolder distribution analyticsTrading volume metricsSmart contract analysis

Limitations

  • Analysis based on snapshot data, which may not capture intraday shifts
  • No access to off-chain sentiment or broader market data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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