NMR

Numeraire Price Prediction 2026

NMR
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Apr 28, 2026

$8.04

-0.06%24h
LiveContract:0x1776e1f26f98b1a5df9cd347953a26dd3cb46671Chain:EthereumHolders:39.2KMarket cap:$85.39MLiquidity:$60.92K

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Ask Unhosted AI about NMR

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Apr 28, 2026, 08:17 AM UTC
Market Cap

$62.68M

24h Volume

$6.63K

Liquidity

$95.88K

FDV

—

Holders

38.3K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

Numeraire (NMR) is a utility token powering Numerai's innovative data science tournament for stock market predictions, where participants stake models for cryptocurrency rewards, backed by prominent investors. With a market cap of $62.68M and trading on Uniswap v3, it operates in the prediction markets category but faces challenges from low liquidity at $95,880.83 and declining holders. Currently priced at $8.90, the token shows balanced trading but recent downward pressure, positioning it as a niche player with strong fundamentals but high risks.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 28, 2026, 08:17 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: neutral
Hosts the world's hardest data science tournament with hedge fund quality data
Combines thousands of models into a meta model for a crowdsourced hedge fund
Over $27M paid out to data scientists, demonstrating proven reward mechanism

Numeraire Price Prediction

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The token has experienced a 2.11% decline over the past 24 hours with sell pressure slightly outweighing buys in the last hour, indicating potential continued downward momentum. Trading volume is low at $6,632.666 total over 24 hours, suggesting limited conviction in current price action. Holder growth is minimal at 0.0078%, which doesn't provide strong support for a rebound.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

Over the next 30-90 days, NMR could stabilize if platform adoption increases, but the 2.5% holder decline over 30 days and high supply concentration pose risks. Positive catalysts like new tournament rewards or investor backing could drive recovery, but broader market conditions in prediction markets remain subdued.

Bullish Factors
  • +Slight buy pressure dominance at 50.8% with 16 buy transactions vs 15 sells in 24h
  • +Backing from prominent investors and over $27M paid out to data scientists indicating real-world utility
Bearish Factors
  • -2.11% price drop in 24h and 0.496% in 1h with no buys in the last hour
  • -High supply concentration with top 10 holders controlling 82% increasing manipulation risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x1776...6671
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme holder concentration could lead to price crashes if whales sell
•Declining holder base signals weakening network effects
•Low liquidity amplifies volatility in thin markets

Trading Insight

neutral

Market sentiment is neutral with buy pressure at 50.8% slightly edging out sell pressure at 49.2%, reflecting balanced trading activity. Low volume of $6,632.666 over 24 hours indicates limited enthusiasm, while the equal buy/sell transactions in the last 4 hours suggest consolidation. Recent 1-hour data shows only sells, which could signal short-term weakness.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

Short-term trend is downtrend based on the 2.11% drop in 24h and 0.496% in 1h, with no upward reversal signals. Medium-term is sideways, as the 30d holder decline hasn't accelerated price falls dramatically. Overall, the token appears to be consolidating after recent losses.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Momentum is neutral, with balanced buy/sell pressure not indicating overbought or oversold conditions; the low transaction counts (31 in 24h) suggest waning momentum without strong directional push.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.8%Sell 49.2%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

Volume trend is decreasing, with total 24h volume at $6,632.666 down from potentially higher periods, and only 7 transactions in the last hour, which could amplify price swings due to thin order books.

Recent Price Action

Gradual decline with flat periods, showing a series of lower highs over 24h.

This pattern typically indicates bearish continuation unless broken by increased volume, often signaling investor caution.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate8.70
Major8.00
Resistance
Immediate9.00
Major9.50

Immediate support at $8.70 aligns with recent lows, while major support at $8.00 could act as a floor if selling intensifies; resistance at $9.00 and $9.50 may cap rebounds without volume surge, reflecting psychological barriers based on price history.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders38,292
24h Change+3
Growth Rate+0.0078%

Holder trends show stability with minimal 24h growth, but a 2.5% decline over 30d suggests eroding interest, potentially pressuring price if not reversed by platform developments.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders82%
Top 100 Holders100%
Retail Holders0.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

Extreme concentration with top 100 holding all supply and retail at 0% poses critical risk of price manipulation or dumps, limiting decentralization and broad adoption.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

Minimal changes with only 3 holder increase in 24h, suggesting whales are holding rather than moving.

  • •Low unique sellers at 7 in 24h indicate limited whale distribution
  • •Balanced unique buyers/sellers in 4h show no major shifts

Whale activity indicates a holding pattern, which could stabilize price but risks sudden volatility if large holders decide to sell given their 82% control.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Medium
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Airdrop recipients (695) likely represent early smart money with long-term stakes in the platform.

Smart money behavior suggests confidence in utility but high profit-taking risk due to concentration, potentially leading to sell-offs on positive news.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$95,880.83
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

Shallow liquidity at $95,880.83 implies high slippage for larger trades, increasing trading costs and volatility, which is below typical standards for tokens with $62M market cap.

Overall Risk:
High
75/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Recent price drops of 2.11% in 24h and low volume indicate high volatility potential

Liquidity
High

Shallow liquidity at $95,880.83 increases slippage and exit risks for larger positions

Concentration
High

Top 10 holders control 82%, risking dumps or manipulation

Smart Contract
Medium

Verified contract with 64/100 score suggests moderate vulnerabilities

Regulatory
Medium

Prediction markets may face scrutiny in finance regulations, especially with stock ties

Key Risks

  • •Extreme holder concentration could lead to price crashes if whales sell
  • •Declining holder base signals weakening network effects
  • •Low liquidity amplifies volatility in thin markets

Mitigating Factors

  • •Proven utility with $27M payouts builds long-term value
  • •Backing from prominent investors provides stability

Investor Suitability

Suitable for risk-tolerant investors interested in AI and prediction markets, with a long-term horizon

NMR offers a compelling case for investors in AI-driven finance through its unique tournament model, but high concentration and low liquidity temper upside. Bull case hinges on adoption growth, while bear case involves continued holder erosion.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Increased platform usage drives staking and rewards, pushing price to new highs

  • +Expansion of data scientist community
  • +Successful meta model performance attracting investors
Base Case

Price stabilizes around current levels with gradual recovery on platform milestones

  • •Stable holder trends reverse mildly
  • •No major whale movements
Bear Case
Medium

Persistent holder decline and whale dumps lead to further price erosion

  • -Lack of retail adoption
  • -Broader crypto market downturn

Analysis Details

GeneratedApr 28, 2026, 08:17 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$8.901172547435477256
Market Cap$62.68M
24h Volume$6.6K
Holders38,292
Liquidity$95.9K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data
Holder distribution analytics
Trading volume metrics
Smart contract analysis

Limitations

  • •Analysis based on snapshot data, which may not capture intraday shifts
  • •No access to off-chain sentiment or broader market data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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